TRIANGLE TYRE(SH:601163)2026-01-19 02:29Tire Industry Conference Call Summary Industry Overview - The tire sector is expected to grow nearly 30%, benefiting from low raw material prices and high-end vehicle partnerships, with valuations projected to rise from below 10x to 15-20x or even higher [1][2] Key Companies and Their Performance Hai'an - Hai'an is a global leader in tire production, particularly in the giant tire segment, and is expected to achieve approximately 1.5 billion yuan in performance growth by 2028-2030, warranting a 15-20x PE valuation [1][9] - The company has announced new production capacity in Russia, significantly increasing its performance elasticity [4][8] - Hai'an's competitive advantage lies in its high technical barriers and cost-effectiveness, with a price premium of 60% to double compared to foreign products [9][10] - The company is projected to have a profit of 1.5-1.7 billion yuan by 2028-2030, with a strong growth outlook [19] Triangle Tire - Triangle Tire has established a new production capacity of 7 million tires in Cambodia, expected to contribute about 20% performance elasticity within 1-2 years, with valuations anticipated to rise from 10x to 15-20x [1][12][20] - The company has a strong cash flow position with 10 billion yuan in cash, indicating a solid foundation for international expansion [20] - Triangle's recent announcement of overseas production marks a significant strategic shift for the company [21] Zhongce Rubber - Zhongce Rubber is recognized as the largest tire leader, with a market capitalization expected to reach 80-100 billion yuan [3] - The company is expanding its overseas presence, particularly in Europe and the U.S., with new factories planned in Thailand and Indonesia, expected to yield about 30% performance elasticity by 2026 [13][14] - The market perception of Zhongce is gradually improving, with significant growth potential anticipated in high-end vehicle partnerships [16][17] Market Catalysts - Upcoming catalysts include the resolution of the European anti-dumping case in June, quarterly earnings releases, and announcements regarding high-end vehicle partnerships, which are expected to enhance industry growth and performance certainty [5][6] High-End Vehicle Partnerships - The breakthrough in high-end vehicle partnerships is expected to significantly impact the tire industry by improving profitability and enhancing brand strength in the replacement market, potentially leading to a shift from foreign to domestic brands [6] Investment Recommendations - Current recommendations focus on Zhongce, Hai'an, and Triangle, with Zhongce and Hai'an suitable for long-term investment due to their strong fundamentals, while Triangle's international expansion presents significant growth potential [15][24] - Additional recommendations may include Sailun and Senqilin, with a focus on their performance as market conditions evolve [25]