CRM(SH:688396)2026-01-20 03:19Summary of CR Micro (688396.SS) Conference Call Company Overview - Company: CR Micro (688396.SS) - Industry: Semiconductor, specifically Power Semiconductors Key Points Industry Dynamics - Management sees an improving supply/demand relationship in power semiconductors, with high levels of utilization reported [1] - Positive outlook for the China semiconductor supply chain, driven by demand recovery in industrial and new energy sectors, as well as new demand from AI and computing [1] Company Performance and Strategy - CR Micro is ramping up 12-inch wafer capacities in Shenzhen and plans to increase capacities in Chongqing and 6-inch SiC in the future [2] - Current utilization rates: 6-inch and 8-inch capacities are fully utilized; 12-inch line in Chongqing is fully loaded with wafer-in, while output is still ramping up [2] - Pricing adjustments: CR Micro has increased pricing on IGBT in October 2025 and is negotiating further price increases with customers [2] - Products for AI server applications yield higher margins compared to general products, with plans to introduce DrMOS products for AI servers this year [2] Financial Outlook - Target price set at Rmb37.46 based on a P/E ratio of 34.0x for 2026E, which is within CR Micro's historical trading range [3] - Current market cap is Rmb84.8 billion ($12.2 billion) with projected revenues increasing from Rmb10,118.5 million in 2024 to Rmb13,634.4 million by 2027 [9] Risks and Considerations - Key risks include better-than-expected average selling price (ASP) trends for MOSFET, IGBT, and SiC; faster-than-expected new design wins and market share gains; and fewer entrants in the IGBT/SiC space, which could reduce competition [4] Valuation Metrics - Current price is Rmb64.09, indicating a downside potential of 41.5% to the target price [9] - Earnings per share (EPS) projections show growth from Rmb0.58 in 2024 to Rmb1.29 in 2027 [9] - P/E ratios are projected to decrease from 72.3x in 2024 to 49.5x in 2026 [9] Additional Insights - Management's positive view aligns with broader industry trends, suggesting potential for growth despite current valuation concerns [1][2] - The competitive landscape in power semiconductors remains a critical factor for CR Micro's future performance [1][4]