Intel(INTC) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fourth quarter revenue was $13.7 billion, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of revenue above guidance, driven by strong growth across all businesses, particularly in AI infrastructure [18][20] - Non-GAAP gross margin for Q4 was 37.9%, approximately 140 basis points ahead of guidance, while full year non-GAAP gross margin was 36.7%, up 70 basis points year-over-year [18][20] - Non-GAAP earnings per share for Q4 was $0.15, exceeding guidance of $0.08, driven by higher revenue and stronger gross margins [19][20] - Operating cash flow for Q4 was $4.3 billion, with positive adjusted free cash flow of $2.2 billion [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Intel Products' Q4 revenue was $12.9 billion, up 2% sequentially, with Client Computing Group (CCG) revenue at $8.2 billion, down 4% quarter-over-quarter despite a 16% growth in AI PC units [22][23] - Data Center and AI (DCAI) revenue was $4.7 billion, up 15% sequentially, reflecting strong demand for traditional server compute [24] - Custom ASIC business grew over 50% in 2025, reaching an annualized revenue run rate greater than $1 billion in Q4 [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total addressable market (TAM) for client consumption was estimated to be greater than 290 million units in 2025, marking two consecutive years of growth [23] - Demand for traditional servers remains strong, with a focus on ramping available capacity to support the uptick in data center demand [9][24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to capitalize on AI-driven trends by strengthening its client franchise and advancing its data center, AI accelerator, and ASIC strategies [6][12] - A focus on simplifying the organization and reducing bureaucracy to improve efficiency and accelerate decision-making has been emphasized [4][6] - The long-term ambition is to rebuild Intel as a compute platform of choice for the next era of AI-driven computing, supported by world-class engineering and a renewed culture of execution [12][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the significant growth opportunities presented by AI across all business lines, despite acknowledging supply constraints that limited growth [6][15] - The company is committed to improving yield and efficiency in manufacturing to better support customer demand [15][16] - Management anticipates a strong year of growth for DCAI in 2026, with expectations of improved supply beginning in Q2 [28][29] Other Important Information - The company has strengthened its balance sheet, ending 2025 with $37.4 billion in cash and short-term investments [21] - The completion of strategic partnerships and investments, including a $5 billion investment from NVIDIA, has bolstered the company's financial position [20][21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Supply constraints and yield improvements - Management indicated that improving yields and throughput are key drivers for increasing supply, with expectations for improvements in Q2 [34][35] Question: Gross margin expectations - Management noted that gross margin is expected to decline in Q1 due to lower revenue and the impact of new product introductions, but improvements are anticipated as supply increases [40][41] Question: Server prospects and market share - Management emphasized the importance of the data center and AI strategy, focusing on the introduction of new products like Diamond Rapids and Coral Rapids to capture market share [55][56] Question: External foundry revenue expectations - Management expects to begin seeing revenue from external foundry efforts in 2027, with significant customer engagement already underway [76][79]