UPS(US:UPS)2026-01-27 14:32Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, consolidated revenue was $24.5 billion, with an operating profit of $2.9 billion and an operating margin of 11.8% [7][21] - Full-year 2025 consolidated revenue reached $88.7 billion, with an operating profit of $8.7 billion and an operating margin of 9.8% [31] - The company incurred total charges of $238 million in Q4, including a $137 million non-cash after-tax charge for the write-off of the MD-11 aircraft fleet [4][22] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. Domestic segment generated $16.8 billion in revenue for Q4, a decrease of 3.2% year-over-year, with an operating profit of $1.7 billion and an operating margin of 10.2% [26][27] - International segment revenue was $5 billion in Q4, up 2.5% year-over-year, with an operating profit of $908 million and an operating margin of 18% [29][30] - Supply Chain Solutions revenue was $2.7 billion in Q4, down $388 million year-over-year, with an operating profit of $276 million and an operating margin of 10.3% [30][31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. average daily volume (ADV) decreased by 10.8% in Q4, with significant declines attributed to the glide down of Amazon volume [24] - International average daily volume declined by 4.7% in Q4, with U.S. imports down 24.4% year-over-year [28][29] - SMB penetration in the U.S. reached 31.2% of total volume, marking the highest fourth-quarter SMB penetration in history [25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to reduce Amazon volume in its network by 50% over an 18-month period, with plans to glide down another million pieces per day in 2026 [11][34] - UPS is focusing on enhancing revenue quality and building a more efficient network, with a target of increasing automated processing to 68% of U.S. volume by the end of 2026 [14] - The company completed acquisitions to expand healthcare logistics capabilities, generating $11.2 billion in revenue from its global healthcare portfolio [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that 2025 was a year of considerable progress despite a dynamic macro environment, including changes in global trade policies [8] - For 2026, the company expects consolidated revenue of approximately $89.7 billion and an operating margin of about 9.6%, with a focus on growing SMB and enterprise revenue [17][35] - Management expressed confidence in completing network reconfiguration plans without hindering growth in targeted markets [12] Other Important Information - The company generated $8.5 billion in cash from operations in 2025 and returned $6.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [10][31] - UPS plans to further automate its network and expects to see cost per piece normalize to inflation levels as operational efficiencies improve [68] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance and exit rate for 2026 - Management indicated that the first half of 2026 will see margin pressure due to the transition costs related to the Amazon glide-down and the retirement of MD-11s, with expectations for recovery in the second half [43][47] Question: Domestic package growth post-glide-down - Management expects mid-single-digit growth in enterprise and SMB volumes in the second half of 2026, with revenue per piece growth normalizing [51][53] Question: Rate increases for domestic and international - Revenue per piece growth is expected to be around 4.5% for the year, with a normalization to about 3% in the second half [62][63] Question: Cost per piece trends - Management anticipates that cost per piece will trend down as the company finalizes its network reconfiguration and transitions Ground Saver back to USPS [68] Question: International segment pressures - Management noted that international segment EBIT is expected to decline year-over-year in the first quarter due to volume pressures and trade lane shifts, with recovery anticipated later in the year [75][78]