ASML Holding(ASML) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record quarter and year, with net revenue of EUR 32.7 billion and a gross margin of 52.8% for 2025, resulting in a net income of EUR 9.6 billion and earnings per share of approximately EUR 25 [29][30]. - EUV technology was the main driver of growth, with a 39% increase in sales compared to 2024, attributed to higher sales prices and increased productivity of tools [30][31]. - The installed base business saw a 26% increase, reflecting strong demand for upgrades and services [33]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - EUV sales significantly contributed to revenue growth, while DUV sales decreased by 6%, primarily due to declines in the Chinese market [30][32]. - The installed base business reached EUR 8.2 billion, indicating rapid growth and resilience for the company [36]. - Applications related to metrology and inspection grew by nearly 30%, driven by the need for more process control at leading nodes [20][21]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a decline in sales from China, projecting it to account for approximately 20% of total sales in 2026, down from 29% [35][78]. - Memory applications are expected to see increased demand, with DRAM customers aggressively expanding capacity due to high demand for AI-related memory [63][64]. - The overall semiconductor market is projected to grow significantly, with advanced logic and memory segments expected to exceed 20% year-on-year growth [12]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to continue investing in innovation, particularly in AI and advanced lithography technologies, to maintain its leadership position in the semiconductor industry [22][47]. - A significant restructuring is underway to streamline operations, reducing leadership roles while increasing engineering positions to enhance agility and responsiveness [49][50]. - The company aims to expand its footprint and capabilities, with plans for a new campus to support growth and customer service [26][27]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the sustainability of AI demand, which is expected to drive significant growth in the semiconductor market [5][6]. - The company anticipates a strong year for EUV in 2026, with increased shipments and a focus on advanced technology [15][41]. - The long-term revenue forecast remains between EUR 44 billion and EUR 60 billion by 2030, with a gross margin target of 56%-60% [11]. Other Important Information - The company is actively engaged in community initiatives, including infrastructure improvements and cultural investments in Eindhoven [23][24]. - A new collaboration with Mistral aims to integrate AI capabilities into the company's products and enhance core competencies [22]. Q&A Session Summary Question: What kind of restructuring costs or charges can be expected from the job cuts? - Management indicated that the costs would not be considered material in the grand scheme of ASML's finances, pending discussions with the Work Council [59]. Question: How much of the capacity expansion announcements from customers is related to real capacity versus CapEx inflation? - Management noted that customer capacity expansion translates directly into the need for more tools, with recent announcements indicating a strong commitment to new systems [61][62]. Question: How is the AI memory shortage driving business, and how aggressive are customers in capacity expansion compared to logic? - Management highlighted that memory, particularly high-bandwidth memory for AI, is currently the bottleneck, with DRAM customers showing significant appetite for capacity expansion [63][64]. Question: How does the stabilizing AI market influence job growth in Eindhoven? - The long-term growth trajectory remains positive, with plans to add jobs in manufacturing and customer service despite the restructuring in the technology team [66]. Question: What changes will occur within the internal structure regarding D&E or R&D due to the reorganization? - The transformation will primarily focus on D&E, aiming to improve interfaces with operations, customers, and suppliers [70]. Question: Is the supply chain prepared for the increased demand for new machines? - The company has worked with its supply chain to ensure readiness for increased capacity, gradually increasing the move rate to meet demand [72].