ASML Holding(ASML) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record net revenue of EUR 32.7 billion for 2025, with a gross margin of 52.8% and a net income of EUR 9.6 billion, resulting in an earnings per share (EPS) of approximately EUR 25 [30][31] - EUV technology was the main driver of growth, with a 39% increase in sales compared to 2024, attributed to higher sales prices and increased productivity of tools [31][32] - The installed base business grew by 26%, indicating strong demand for service and upgrades [34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - EUV sales significantly contributed to revenue growth, while DUV sales decreased by 6%, primarily due to a decline in the Chinese market [33] - The company saw a 28% increase in applications related to process control at leading nodes, reflecting strong demand for advanced technology [34] - The installed base business reached EUR 8.2 billion, showcasing rapid growth and resilience [37] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Chinese market's contribution to total sales decreased from 33% to 29%, with expectations for further decline to around 20% in 2026 [36][82] - Memory accounted for 34% of sales, while logic represented 66%, with a projected shift towards memory becoming more significant in 2026 [35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for long-term revenue between EUR 44 billion and EUR 60 billion by 2030, with a focus on innovation and engineering to maintain leadership in the semiconductor industry [11][27] - The company is investing in AI and 3D integration technologies, as well as expanding its footprint to support customer service and manufacturing needs [24][27] - A significant reorganization is underway to streamline operations, reducing leadership positions while increasing engineering roles to enhance innovation [50][51] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the sustainability of AI demand, which is expected to drive significant growth in advanced logic and memory segments [8][12] - The company anticipates a strong year for EUV in 2026, with increased shipments and productivity improvements [16][42] - Management acknowledged the need for capacity expansion among customers, particularly in the memory sector, which is seen as critical for market share [63][64] Other Important Information - The company is committed to community engagement, including investments in mobility, affordable housing, and cultural initiatives in Eindhoven [24][25][26] - A new share buyback program of EUR 12 billion over three years was announced, with a proposed dividend of EUR 7.50 per share for the year [39][40] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: What kind of restructuring costs or charges can be expected from the job cuts? - Management indicated that the costs would not be considered material in the grand scheme of ASML's finances [60] Question: How much of the capacity expansion announcements from customers is related to real capacity versus CapEx inflation? - Management clarified that capacity expansion translates directly into the need for more tools, with recent customer announcements indicating a strong commitment to new systems [61][62] Question: How is the AI memory shortage driving business, and how aggressive are customers in capacity expansion compared to logic? - Management noted that memory, particularly high-bandwidth memory for AI, is currently the bottleneck, leading to aggressive capacity expansion among memory customers [63][64] Question: How does the stabilizing AI market influence job growth in Eindhoven? - Management affirmed that long-term growth remains a priority, with ongoing job additions in manufacturing and customer service despite the restructuring in the technology team [67][68] Question: What changes will occur within the internal structure regarding D&E or R&D due to the reorganization? - Management confirmed that the transformation will primarily focus on D&E, aiming to improve interfaces and responsiveness within the organization [71][72] Question: Is the supply chain prepared for the new demand in machines? - Management stated that long lead time items have been secured, and the supply chain is aligned to increase capacity gradually based on strong customer signals [75]