ASML Holding(ASML) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, total net sales were EUR 9.7 billion, with net system sales at EUR 7.6 billion, including EUR 3.6 billion from EUV system sales and EUR 4 billion from non-EUV system sales [6][8] - Gross margin for Q4 was 52.2%, and for the full year 2025, the gross margin was 52.8% [7][9] - Net income in Q4 was EUR 2.8 billion, representing 29.2% of total net sales, resulting in earnings per share of EUR 7.35 [7] - For the full year 2025, net income was EUR 9.6 billion, 29.4% of net sales, resulting in earnings per share of EUR 24.73 [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - EUV system sales for 2025 were EUR 11.6 billion, a 39% increase from 2024, while DUV system sales decreased by 6% year-over-year to EUR 12 billion [9] - Installed base management sales for 2025 were EUR 8.2 billion, a 26% increase from 2024 [9] - Logic system revenue was EUR 16.1 billion, a 22% increase from 2024, while memory system revenue was EUR 8.4 billion, a 2% decrease from 2024 [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, net bookings were EUR 13.2 billion, with EUR 7.4 billion from EUV systems and EUR 5.8 billion from non-EUV systems [8] - The order book concluded 2025 with a backlog of approximately EUR 38.8 billion [9] - The expected share of the China region in total net sales for 2026 is around 20% [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to invest in innovation, increasing R&D spending to EUR 4.7 billion, or about 14% of sales [10] - The market outlook has improved, particularly due to the buildup of data centers and AI-related infrastructure, leading to increased demand for advanced logic and DRAM customers [15] - The company expects significant revenue growth in EUV systems in 2026, while non-EUV revenues are expected to remain similar to the previous year [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that customers are increasingly positive about long-term demand sustainability, particularly in advanced logic and DRAM segments [15][16] - There is a notable increase in capacity expansion planning among customers, driven by strong demand for HBM and DDR products [16] - The company anticipates continued growth in installed base management revenue due to increasing service revenue from the growing installed base of EUV systems [17] Other Important Information - The company plans to declare a total dividend of EUR 7.50 per ordinary share for 2025, a 17% increase compared to 2024 [11] - A new share buyback program has been announced, with a total amount of up to EUR 12 billion [12][13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for calendar 2026 based on EUV bookings - Management indicated that the guidance is influenced by customer progress in completing fabs and the ability to execute on ramping production [24] Question: Changes in vision for High-NA tools in calendar 2026 - Management expects good progress in both DRAM and logic customer adoption, with qualification data collection expected to last most of the year [27] Question: Revenue growth guidance for 2026 - Management stated that growth is significantly driven by customer readiness to take tools and their ability to complete fab construction [33] Question: Manufacturing capacity capabilities for Low-NA EUV tools - Management confirmed that capacity is dynamic and will increase gradually, with a focus on ramping up production in response to demand signals [35][36] Question: Customer visibility on equipment needs for next year - Management noted that customers are providing strong indications of demand, aligning with public statements about revenue growth and CapEx [41][42] Question: Impact of China on revenue guidance - Management clarified that the expectation for China is integrated into the overall revenue guidance, with a significant portion of sales anticipated from that region [50]