KLA(KLAC) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For 2025, the company reported a revenue growth of 17% to a record $12.745 billion, with earnings per share increasing by 29% year-over-year [4][5] - Gross margins and operating margins were maintained at 62.8% and 43.6%, respectively, while free cash flow grew by 30% to $4.4 billion [5][6] - In the December quarter, revenue was $3.3 billion, with non-GAAP diluted EPS at $8.85 and GAAP diluted EPS at $8.68, reflecting a 17% year-over-year revenue growth [6][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The process control systems business revenue grew by 19%, while the service business grew by 15% for the year [6][8] - Advanced packaging revenue reached approximately $950 million for calendar 2025, representing over 70% year-over-year growth [8] - The service business generated $786 million in the December quarter, up 6% sequentially and 18% year-over-year, marking the 16th consecutive year of annual service revenue growth [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects the core wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) market to grow in the high single- to low double-digit percentages, reaching the low $120 billion range in 2026 [13][14] - Advanced packaging is projected to grow similarly to approximately $12 billion, contributing to a total market forecast in the mid-$130 billion range [14] - China’s WFE market is expected to be flat or slightly positive in 2026, with the company estimating it to be in the mid- to high-$30 billion range [30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on supporting customers, investing in next-generation product development, and executing product roadmaps to drive productivity [15][18] - KLA aims to capitalize on technology transitions and growth drivers in the semiconductor industry, particularly in advanced packaging and process control [18][19] - The company is positioned to benefit from increasing demand for custom silicon and advanced process control solutions [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company’s ability to outperform the market in 2026, driven by rising process control intensity and growth in advanced packaging [17][18] - The first half of 2026 is expected to see mid-single-digit revenue growth compared to the second half of 2025, with accelerating growth anticipated in the latter half [15][17] - Management noted supply constraints impacting growth potential, particularly in the first half of the year, but expressed optimism for the second half [31][50] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with $5.2 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and $5.9 billion in debt [12] - The effective tax rate for the quarter was 15%, with expectations for a planning tax rate of 14.5% for 2026 [11][17] - The company’s business model is designed to deliver 40%-50% incremental operating margin leverage on revenue growth over the long run [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on WFE growth forecast - The company clarified that its forecast for WFE growth is around $110 billion for 2025, with advanced packaging contributing to a total of low $120s for 2026, differing from peers' higher estimates due to varying definitions of WFE [22][25] Question: Supply constraints impact - Management indicated that supply constraints are primarily due to long lead times for optical components, affecting first-half growth potential, but they expect to see acceleration in the second half of 2026 [48][50] Question: Growth in inspection and patterning - The company expects continued strong growth in inspection and patterning, driven by increased demand for yield and manufacturability, particularly in the context of AI and advanced memory technologies [37][39] Question: Trajectory of gross margins - Management anticipates that March will be the low point for gross margins, with expectations for gradual improvement throughout the year, driven by product mix and volume increases [52][60] Question: DRAM process control intensity - The company noted that DRAM process control intensity is increasing, driven by technological advancements and customer demand for higher performance, but it remains distinct from advanced logic [67][69]