Rambus(US:RMBS)2026-02-02 23:02Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Rambus achieved record revenue and earnings for fiscal year 2025, with product revenue reaching $348 million, a 41% increase year-over-year [12][8] - Cash from operations for 2025 was a record $360 million, up 56% from 2024 [12] - Fourth quarter revenue was $190.2 million, exceeding expectations, with product revenue of $96.8 million, representing 32% year-over-year growth [13][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Product revenue for the full year was $348 million, driven by DDR5 market share gains and new product contributions [12] - Silicon IP is focused on delivering solutions for AI hardware, with strong traction in high-speed memory and security IP [9][12] - The company reported a free cash flow margin of 45% for the full year, totaling $320.9 million [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The DDR5 market share for Rambus is estimated to be in the mid-40% range, reflecting growth from the early 40s in 2024 [30][66] - The company expects to grow faster than the market in 2026, despite a supply chain issue impacting Q1 [11][30] - The demand for AI and traditional server markets remains strong, driving the need for higher compute and memory performance [6][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Rambus aims to capitalize on trends in AI and memory architecture, positioning itself for long-term growth [10][11] - The company is focused on expanding its product roadmap and market opportunities, particularly in high-performance and AI PCs [7][10] - The strategy includes maintaining a diversified portfolio and enhancing interoperability among products [8][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in returning to strong growth in Q2 following a supply chain issue in Q1 [11][24] - The company anticipates that the demand for servers will remain solid, but supply constraints may impact fulfillment [91][92] - Management expects gross margins to remain in the low 60% range, consistent with historical performance [97][98] Other Important Information - The company is actively monitoring the rollout of new platforms from Intel and AMD, which will influence product launches [31][70] - Rambus is preparing for the introduction of next-generation products, including MRDIMM, with initial contributions expected towards the end of the year [60][70] Q&A Session Summary Question: Will there be catch-up in the second quarter due to the supply chain issue? - Management confirmed that the supply chain issue has been resolved and expects a return to strong growth in Q2, with the lower Q1 revenue not changing the business trajectory [22][24] Question: What was the estimated revenue impact from the supply chain issue? - The estimated impact was around low double-digit millions, with expectations to recover in Q2 [25] Question: How did the RCD market share finish for 2025? - The RCD market share is believed to be in the mid-40% range, with expectations to continue growing faster than the market in 2026 [30][66] Question: What is the expected contribution from PMIC in 2026? - PMIC is expected to grow to a double-digit contribution of total product revenue, with strong traction anticipated [40] Question: How is the company addressing the DIMMs per CPU dynamic? - The company noted that the number of DIMMs per CPU is complex and varies based on application needs, with expectations for growth in average DIMMs per channel [48] Question: Is there any reputational harm from the supply chain issue? - Management stated there is no reputational harm, as the issue was identified and resolved quickly, maintaining strong collaboration with customers [56] Question: What is the outlook for the IP business in 2026? - The IP business is expected to continue growing in line with demand for AI solutions, with a strong portfolio positioned for market needs [81]