Summary of Apple Inc. (AAPL) January 2026 App Store Spending Conference Call Company Overview - Company: Apple Inc. (AAPL) - Date: January 2026 Key Industry Insights - App Store Spending Growth: - January 2026 App Store spending grew approximately 7% year-over-year (yoy), an acceleration from 6% yoy in December 2025 [1][3] - This growth is below the average January growth rate of 8% yoy from 2022 to 2025 and below Apple's guidance for 14% yoy growth in the Services segment for F2Q26 [3][2] Core Financial Metrics - Net Revenue: - Apple App Store's global net revenue reached $7.08 billion, reflecting a 6.9% yoy increase, surpassing the 5.7% yoy growth in December 2025 [2][9] Category Performance - Revenue by Category: - Games: Comprising 45% of total revenue, improved to -3% yoy from -4% yoy in December 2025 [4] - Entertainment: Contributed 14% of total revenue, accelerating to +10% yoy from +3% yoy in December 2025 [4] - Photo & Video: Accounted for 8% of total revenue, stable at +18% yoy [4] Geographic Performance - Spending Trends by Geography: - United States: Stable growth at +3% yoy, representing 36% of total spending [7] - China: Improved to -1% yoy from -5% yoy in December 2025, accounting for 19% of total spending [7] - Japan: Improved to -1% yoy from -3% yoy [7] - United Kingdom: Growth accelerated to +24% yoy from +19% yoy [7] Competitive Landscape - Top Downloaded Apps: - Three of the top ten downloaded gaming apps on the US App Store (Roblox, Discord, Fortnite) feature off-app payment options, with Roblox and Fortnite offering discounts and rebates to incentivize users [8] Future Outlook - Services Growth: - Despite near-term risks related to off-app payment adoption, the expectation remains that App Store spending will continue to be a significant growth driver for Apple Services revenue [1][31] Investment Recommendation - Rating: - The recommendation for Apple Inc. is a Buy with a 12-month target price of $330, reflecting a 34X multiple on next twelve months plus one year earnings per share (EPS) [25] Key Risks - Consumer Demand: Potential weakening in consumer demand for products and services, particularly iPhones, which generated approximately 50% of revenue in F2025 [26] - Supply Chain Disruption: Risks associated with geopolitical tensions affecting global trade and reliance on key suppliers [27] - Intensifying Competition: Competition across various product lines and services, particularly in video streaming [28] - Regulatory Risks: Increased scrutiny that could impact competitive advantages [29] Conclusion - The overall sentiment remains positive for Apple Inc. with expectations of continued growth in services, despite facing challenges in product demand and regulatory scrutiny. The App Store is anticipated to play a crucial role in sustaining revenue growth moving forward.
苹果:2026 年 1 月 App Store 支出同比增速升至 7%