RXO (NYSE:RXO) FY Conference Transcript

RXO FY Conference Summary Company Overview - Company: RXO (NYSE: RXO) - Event: FY Conference held on February 18, 2026 Key Points Industry Context - RXO operates in the asset-light transportation sector, focusing on brokerage services for freight transportation - The company is experiencing a supply-driven market environment with significant changes in regulations impacting capacity and competition [4][35] Financial Performance - RXO's earnings have faced challenges in the last two quarters, particularly in Q4, with guidance for Q1 indicating adjusted EBITDA between $5 million and $12 million [8][9] - The company anticipates a volume decline of 5%-10% year-over-year in Q1, with truckload volumes expected to be down low double digits [12][12] - In Q4, LTL (Less Than Truckload) volumes were up 31% year-over-year, but tougher comparisons are expected in Q1 with LTL projected to be up 5% year-over-year [12][12] Business Model and Strategy - RXO's business model is heavily reliant on long-term relationships with large shippers, with top customers averaging 16 years of partnership [5] - The company is leveraging technology and AI to improve productivity and unlock new revenue opportunities, emphasizing the importance of exceptional customer service [4][5] - RXO's late-stage brokerage sales pipeline has increased by over 50% year-over-year, indicating strong potential for future growth [13][15] Market Dynamics - The company is currently facing a significant squeeze in gross margins due to a 15% month-on-month increase in industry-wide buy rates from November to December, the largest movement in 16 years [8][9] - RXO's brokerage gross profit per load was reported to be 30% below the five-year average, excluding COVID highs [45][46] - The company is optimistic about resuming truckload outperformance versus the market as early as mid-2026, driven by a strong pipeline and easing comparisons [14][17] Competitive Landscape - RXO has a network of approximately 120,000 carriers, which positions it well to capture market share as smaller, less compliant brokers exit the market due to regulatory pressures [25][30] - The company is focused on maintaining high-quality carrier partnerships, which is crucial for servicing complex freight needs [26][27] Cost Management and Efficiency - RXO has successfully realized $70 million in synergies from the Coyote acquisition, with $60 million in operating expenses and $10 million in CapEx [43][44] - The company has reduced its capital expenditure forecast for 2026 to $50 million-$55 million, reflecting a focus on efficient operations [55][56] Future Outlook - RXO is entering 2026 with significant momentum, aiming for profitable growth and improved cash flow generation [59] - The company is optimistic about the potential for demand recovery, citing lean inventories and positive economic indicators [20][21] - RXO's strategy emphasizes driving growth while maintaining a focus on margin improvement and operational efficiency [19][59] Conclusion - RXO is positioned to capitalize on market opportunities as it navigates current challenges, with a strong focus on technology, customer relationships, and operational efficiency [59]