Stifel raised the firm’s price target on RXO Inc. (RXO) to $16 from $15 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. For 2026, the firm believes the focus for transport stocks will be on supply rationalization and cost-driven self-help, says the analyst, who continues to position “more conservatively in high-quality names that preserve or even expand share in a mild pullback.” Claim 50% Off TipRanks Premium and Invest with Confidence Unlock hedge-fund level data and powerful investing tools designed to help ...

CHARLOTTE, N.C.--(BUSINESS WIRE)---- $RXO #nyse--RXO has been named as a Leader in the inaugural 2025 Gartner Magic Quadrant for Fourth-Party Logistics (4PL). The company was recognized for its Ability to Execute and Completeness of Vision. "RXO is proud to be named a Leader in the Gartner research note. Some of the most well-known companies in the world rely on RXO for 4PL solutions that improve the efficiency of their supply chains,†said Brian Dean, president of RXO's Managed Transportation business. "We ...

We came across a bearish thesis on RXO, Inc. on DF Research’s Substack by Keith Dalrymple. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on RXO. RXO, Inc.'s share was trading at $13.25 as of December 1st. RXO’s trailing and forward P/E were 715.33 and 111.11 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. Jim Cramer Reveals Major Potential Catalyst For Ford (F) Pixabay/Public Domain RXO has come under sharp criticism from analysts who believe the company’s business model is fundamentally unsustainable a ...

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Summary of RXO Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: RXO (NYSE: RXO) - **Industry**: Brokered Transportation and Logistics - **Market Size**: The for-hire truckload market is valued at $400 billion, with brokerages currently only about 20% penetrated [8][9][85] Key Points and Arguments Transformation and Integration - RXO is now the third largest provider of brokered transportation in North America following the acquisition of Coyote in September 2024 [7][8] - The integration of Coyote has been completed rapidly, allowing RXO to operate as a unified company, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and market positioning [11][28][31] Market Dynamics - The brokerage industry has seen a reduction of about 10% in capacity over the last three years, primarily affecting small to medium-sized brokers [13][14] - Current market conditions are characterized by a prolonged soft freight environment, with Cass freight shipments down 7% year-over-year as of October 2025 [22][24] - Despite weak demand, freight KPIs such as tender rejections have been increasing, indicating potential for future demand recovery [23][24][55] Regulatory Changes - Recent regulatory changes, including English language proficiency requirements for drivers and stricter CDL standards, have reduced market capacity significantly [46][48] - These changes are expected to lead to a lower supply environment and potentially higher rates in the long term [49][50] Financial Performance and Projections - Financial results have not met expectations due to a softer market, but RXO remains optimistic about future performance as the integration of Coyote stabilizes [31][34] - RXO aims to achieve 1% savings on purchased transportation costs, equating to approximately $40 million, with current savings at 30 to 50 basis points [71][72] Technology and AI Integration - RXO is investing over $100 million annually in technology, including AI, to improve operational efficiency and productivity [16][73][80] - The company has seen a 38% increase in productivity over the last two years, with plans to further leverage AI to enhance margins and operational capabilities [74][75] Market Outlook - RXO is positioned for long-term success with the integration of Coyote behind it, aiming for significant volume outperformance and profitable growth in the future [85] - The company believes that the current market conditions, while challenging, present opportunities for larger brokers like RXO to gain market share as smaller competitors struggle [9][14][49] Additional Important Insights - The integration process has been described as the largest of its kind in the asset-light brokerage space, completed within an aggressive timeline [30][31] - RXO's strategy includes maintaining a high-quality carrier base of approximately 120,000 carriers and 1.6 million power units, which provides a competitive advantage [53][54] - The company emphasizes that it is not a technology company but a tech-enabled organization, focusing on enhancing human productivity rather than replacing jobs with technology [79][80]

Core Insights - The freight market is currently experiencing a prolonged period of softness, with cash freight shipments down 7% year-over-year in October, indicating a further decline compared to September [2] - Year-to-date cash freight shipments for 2025 are approaching levels seen during the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, highlighting significant weakness in overall shipments relative to the broader macroeconomic environment [2] - Despite a reasonably healthy macro economy characterized by positive GDP growth, slowing inflation, and a strong services sector, the freight economy is diverging negatively, suggesting challenges for goods transportation [3] Industry Overview - The freight economy is showing signs of weakness, with overall shipments significantly lower than historical averages over the past 15 years [3] - The divergence between the freight economy and the broader macroeconomic indicators raises concerns about the future performance of the freight market [3]

RXO (NYSE:RXO) Conference December 02, 2025 03:30 PM ET Company ParticipantsJared Weisfeld - Chief Strategy OfficerConference Call ParticipantsNone - AnalystJared WeisfeldThanks for having us at your conference. Really appreciate it. So when we reported a few weeks ago, when we talked about still being in a prolonged soft rate market, and you look at some of the indicators that we were referring to, the month of October, if you look at Cass Freight Shipments, Cass Freight Shipments were down 7% year over ye ...

The truckload spot market remained subdued in the third quarter and a modest peak season will likely keep a lid on rate increases in the fourth quarter, freight broker RXO outlined in its quarterly outlook released Thursday. However, the company said increased regulatory action targeting non-compliant CDL holders could tip the scales next year, ushering in “freight rate volatility.” RXO’s (NYSE: RXO) Curve report showed TL spot rates (excluding fuel) were up just 1.8% year over year in the third quarter – ...

Revenue Performance - Revenue for the third quarter of 2025 increased by 36.6% to $1.421 billion, compared to $1.040 billion in the same quarter of 2024, driven by a $384 million increase in truck brokerage revenue due to the Coyote acquisition[86]. - Revenue increased by 48.2% to $4.3 billion in the first nine months of 2025, compared to $2.9 billion in the same period of 2024[95]. Cost and Expenses - Cost of transportation and services in the third quarter of 2025 was $1.137 billion, or 80.0% of revenue, up from $809 million, or 77.8% of revenue in the same quarter of 2024, primarily due to a full quarter of Coyote activity[87]. - Cost of transportation and services was $3.4 billion, or 79.8% of revenue, in the first nine months of 2025, up from $2.2 billion, or 76.6% of revenue, in 2024[96]. - Direct operating expenses decreased by 2.0% to $48 million in the third quarter of 2025, representing 3.4% of revenue, down from 4.7% in the same quarter of 2024, attributed to cost reduction initiatives[88]. - Direct operating expense decreased by $9 million, or 5.9%, to $143 million, representing 3.3% of revenue in 2025 compared to 5.3% in 2024[97]. - SG&A expenses increased by 39.6% to $208 million in the third quarter of 2025, representing 14.6% of revenue, compared to 14.3% in the same quarter of 2024, mainly due to a full quarter of Coyote activity[89]. - SG&A expenses increased by $184 million, or 41.1%, to $632 million, but as a percentage of revenue decreased to 14.8% from 15.5%[98]. - Depreciation and amortization expense rose to $26 million in the third quarter of 2025, compared to $21 million in the same quarter of 2024, reflecting an increase from Coyote activity[90]. - Depreciation and amortization expense rose to $88 million in 2025 from $54 million in 2024, largely due to the Coyote acquisition[99]. Financial Performance - The net loss for the third quarter of 2025 was $14 million, compared to a net loss of $243 million in the same quarter of 2024, indicating improved financial performance[85]. - Net cash provided by operating activities was $44 million in the first nine months of 2025, compared to a net cash used of $5 million in the same period of 2024[109]. - Net cash used in investing activities decreased significantly to $56 million in 2025 from $1.1 billion in 2024, primarily due to the Coyote acquisition in 2024[110]. Taxation - The effective income tax rate for the third quarter of 2025 was 9.2%, compared to (0.4)% for the same quarter in 2024, influenced by nondeductible expenses during a pre-tax loss[93]. - The effective income tax rate for the first nine months of 2025 was 16.0%, compared to 2.2% for the same period in 2024[102]. Acquisition and Integration - The company acquired Coyote for $1.038 billion in cash, with an additional $10 million for working capital adjustments, enhancing its truckload freight brokerage services[78]. - Transaction and integration costs decreased significantly to $5 million in the third quarter of 2025 from $30 million in the same quarter of 2024, with costs related to the Coyote acquisition included[91]. Assets and Liabilities - Total current assets decreased by 10.3% to $1.2 billion as of September 30, 2025, from $1.3 billion at the end of 2024[108]. - Total liabilities decreased by $181 million from December 31, 2024, to September 30, 2025, primarily due to a decrease in third-party transportation costs[108]. Service Positioning - The last mile service is positioned within 125 miles of the majority of the U.S. population, serving a customer base of omnichannel and e-commerce retailers[77].

The word that came up repeatedly from RXO management during the 3PL’s earnings call with analysts was “squeeze.” RXO is facing a squeeze created by contractual rates the brokerage locked in at lower numbers and a suddenly rising level of rates needed to provide capacity into those obligations. And while the call with analysts may have been about RXO (NYSE: RXO), it is reasonable to assume it’s the same predicament that much of the 3PL sector finds itself in at present. The earnings call came soon after R ...