美联储监测-3 月 FOMC 会议前瞻：石油冲击下，美联储的剧本是 “维持或降息”，而非加息-Federal Reserve Monitor-March FOMC Preview Oil Shocks The Fed's Playbook Is Hold or Cut, Not Hike

March 13, 2026 12:33 PM GMT Federal Reserve Monitor | North America M Idea March FOMC Preview: Oil Shocks: The Fed's Playbook Is Hold or Cut, Not Hike We expect the Fed to remain on hold and retain its easing bias, with the median member still projecting one cut this year and one cut next. The oil price shock should mean higher headline inflation forecasts, but models and past Fedspeak suggest the Fed will look through energy price pressures. Key expectations Michael T Gapen Chief US Economist Michael.Gapen ...