科技板块-周期中段调整叠加石油危机-Tech Bytes-Mid-Cycle Correction Meets Oil Crisis

What's priced in? The SOX has de-rated 20% since the start of the Middle East conflict to 20x NTM P/E, and now sits only 8% away from Liberation Day (April-25) levels at 18.7x, which is consistent with mid-cycle corrections as consensus NTM EPS continues to revise higher. Stocks are trading as if numbers are going to be cut, despite global Tech earnings up 6% since the Iran conflict started. The risk of further downside is if the market assumes: 1) this conflict is extended; 2) oil stays elevated well above ...