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Dynex Capital(DX) - 2023 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a book value of $14.20 and comprehensive income of $0.79 for the second quarter, resulting in an economic return of 5.7% for the quarter [16][32] - Despite an increase in the investment portfolio size, leverage decreased slightly to 7.7 turns due to book value appreciation [17][34] - Year-to-date, the total economic return is 1.7%, indicating a stable performance amidst market volatility [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company added over $2 billion of specified pools during the quarter, capitalizing on wider spreads, while reducing TBAs by $1.5 billion [34][39] - Hedge gains amounted to $170 million for the quarter, with unamortized net hedge gains of $650 million at quarter end, which helped offset increased financing costs [17][35] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Interest rates have fluctuated significantly, with two-year treasury yields peaking at 5% and 10-year treasuries around 4% [19] - Agency RMBS spreads have stabilized around 150 basis points over the seven-year treasury, with occasional spikes to 190 basis points during high volatility [20][72] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on navigating a complex global environment, emphasizing liquidity and disciplined capital allocation to capitalize on investment opportunities in housing [14][32] - The management believes that the current market presents a generational opportunity for private capital due to reduced footprints from the federal reserve and banks in the housing sector [14][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term attractiveness of Agency RMBS, anticipating significant upside as riskier assets adjust to higher financing costs [38][63] - The company is prepared for various scenarios, maintaining a flexible approach to leverage based on the evolving risk environment [42][50] Other Important Information - The company has a substantial unrealized gain on its hedges, which is expected to support dividend payments [18][66] - The management highlighted the importance of ethical practices and transparency in capital management, ensuring alignment with shareholder interests [25][68] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of failed bank portfolios on spread volatility - Management indicated that the clearance of these portfolios could positively impact mortgage spreads, and they are well-positioned for this environment [27][49] Question: Approach to leverage as asset sales conclude - The management noted that they are cautious about increasing leverage due to global uncertainties but see potential for adding 2 to 3 more turns if conditions stabilize [78] Question: Reference to the seven-year treasury - The management explained that the average market value of their assets is around $95, making the seven-year treasury a relevant benchmark for assessing cash flows [79] Question: Managing hedge gains for tax purposes - Management clarified that while hedge gains are significant, the portfolio is not managed solely for tax results, emphasizing the importance of transparency in their financial practices [86][96]