Local bottom likely in for a few days. Alts should bounce more than $BTC.Then bearish continuation. ...

Market Overview & Predictions - The author emphasizes the importance of balancing predictions with adaptability in the crypto market, suggesting neither extreme works [1] - The author anticipates a major global reset, potentially a depression comparable to 1929, unfolding between late 2025 and early 2026, driven by the unwinding of quantitative easing and tightening policies [3] - Tariffs are considered less significant compared to larger economic forces that will cause sharper market corrections [4] Short-Term & Medium-Term Outlook - A rebound is expected in the very short term, with Bitcoin potentially moving towards the $92,000 - $98,000 zone, and altcoins potentially bouncing 50%-100% [4] - A decent chance of another capitulation is expected in the short term (next few weeks), potentially triggered by renewed tariff talks, a pandemic scare, or escalating conflict [5] - A bullish trend is expected in the medium term (next few months, probably until September), potentially leading to an altseason, though not as significant as 2021 or 2017 [5] Long-Term Concerns & Risks - The author expresses concern about the artificial inflation of Bitcoin's price by ETFs and USDT/USDC minting, while many altcoins remain near their lows [7] - September 2025 is highlighted as a potential pivot point, drawing parallels to the 2021 cycle where a bear market began in November 2021 [7] - The author cautions about the potential behavior of Bitcoin during a real global recession/depression, expecting extreme volatility and potentially the worst part of the cycle [8]

Market Observation - The market sometimes exhibits bubble characteristics [1] - Sometimes intervention is possible [1] - The optimal strategy might be non-participation [1]

$BTCConfirmations needed, but the cycle top could be in.Loss of momentum, good news not having impact anymore, and a potential financial crisis incoming.Reminder: Not financial advice. Just my opinion and observation. ...

Market Overview - The crypto market experienced a significant liquidation event [1] - Altcoins have shown weakness for months, confirming the fragility of liquidity and structure [2] - The main global event hasn't happened yet, indicating further potential market downturn [2] Bitcoin Analysis - Bitcoin's relative strength is delaying its inevitable decline to fair value [2] - Warnings were about the entire crypto market, not just Bitcoin [1]

Market Sentiment - The cryptoverse is characterized by liquidity, fuckery (deception/trickery), and manipulation [1]

Get ready for impact. ...

No changes, still bearish and expecting a capitulation event before any real altseason. Risk remains high despite the overall bullish sentiment.Positioned in stablecoins and swing short positions with low leverage.For more updates: https://t.co/lGkE8yqmkk ...

Market Sentiment - The market might be a bull trap [1] - Remaining cautious is advised [1]

Market Trend Prediction - The market hasn't reached a true capitulation event yet [1] - Altcoins could potentially decline by another 50%-80% [2] Bitcoin Price Targets - Bitcoin (BTC) falling below 100 thousand dollars could lead to a price range of 92-93 thousand dollars [3] - A drop below 92-93 thousand dollars for Bitcoin (BTC) might result in a potential bottom at 60-70 thousand dollars [3] Investment Strategy - The firm has been net short, primarily on altcoins, since late May and is increasing its short positions [2]