Group 1 - The small metals sector increased by 2.06% on January 19, with China Uranium Industry leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4114.0, up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14294.05, up 0.09% [1] - Key stocks in the small metals sector showed significant price increases, with China Zhiyue rising by 7.90% to a closing price of 80.28 [1] Group 2 - The small metals sector saw a net inflow of 756 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of approximately 93.46 million yuan [2] - Major stocks like China Zhiyue and China Rare Earth had substantial net inflows from main funds, indicating strong institutional interest [3] - The trading volume for key stocks in the small metals sector varied, with China Zhiyue recording a volume of 457,000 shares traded [1][3]

Fixed Income Research - The report highlights four key points regarding the EVE indicator for major banks, focusing on the impact of extended bond durations, deposit replacement, Tier 1 capital replenishment, and changes in the behavior of large banks in primary and secondary markets [2][3][4][5] - It emphasizes that the adjustment of the EVE indicator is more about risk mitigation rather than a significant increase in active long-term bond purchases by banks, suggesting that long-term supply pressures may limit the downward space for long-term interest rates [2][5] Metal New Materials Research: China Uranium Industry - China Uranium Industry derives over 90% of its revenue from natural uranium business and is the exclusive supplier of natural uranium products for its controlling shareholder, China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) [6][7] - The company is expected to see significant growth due to its role in national uranium supply and expansion in domestic capacity and overseas resource layout, with projected revenues of CNY 172.79 billion in 2024 and a net profit of CNY 14.58 billion [6][38] - The global uranium market is experiencing a supply-demand gap, with increasing demand driven by nuclear energy development, which is expected to benefit the company in the long term [8][40] Company Overview: China Uranium Industry - The company is the sole supplier of natural uranium products within CNNC, controlling 69.94% of the company’s shares, and has signed long-term supply agreements with China Nuclear Power [7][39] - It holds extensive domestic and international exploration and mining rights, with core uranium resources located in strategic areas such as Xinjiang and Namibia [7][39] - The report projects a net profit growth of CNY 17.62 billion, CNY 33.09 billion, and CNY 44.28 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of CNY 0.85, CNY 1.60, and CNY 2.14 [6][38] Investment Recommendations - The report assigns a target price of CNY 80 for China Uranium Industry, based on a 50x PE valuation for 2026, and recommends an "Accumulate" rating [6][38] - The company is positioned to benefit from the long-term supply-demand gap in the uranium market, with a projected increase in global uranium demand expected to reach 150,500 tons by 2040 [8][40]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating and sets a target price of 80 CNY [5][11][15]. Core Insights - China Uranium Industry (001280) derives over 90% of its revenue from natural uranium business and is the exclusive supplier of natural uranium products for its controlling shareholder, China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) [2][11]. - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for nuclear energy and the ongoing global uranium supply-demand gap, which is projected to persist in the long term [11][39]. Financial Summary - The total revenue is projected to grow from 14,801 million CNY in 2023 to 31,422 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21.5% [4][16]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 1,262 million CNY in 2023 to 4,428 million CNY in 2027, with a significant growth rate of 87.8% in 2026 [4][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.61 CNY in 2023 to 2.14 CNY in 2027 [4][11]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from natural uranium sales is expected to grow from 13,234.90 million CNY in 2023 to 28,500 million CNY by 2027, with a growth rate of 43.94% in 2024 [16]. - The radioactive co-mineral resource business is projected to see revenue growth from 1,164.08 million CNY in 2023 to 2,672.00 million CNY by 2027, with a notable increase of 39.51% in 2025 [16]. Industry Position - China Uranium Industry is a leading player in the uranium sector, with a strong historical presence and a comprehensive resource layout both domestically and internationally [19][24]. - The company controls significant uranium resources, ranking among the top ten global uranium producers, and has a robust operational footprint in key strategic areas [33][39]. Supply-Demand Dynamics - The global uranium market is characterized by a high concentration of resources, with the top five countries holding 68% of the total uranium reserves [39][40]. - The report highlights a persistent supply-demand gap in the uranium market, driven by increasing nuclear energy requirements and a recovery in global uranium production expected to reach 60,213 tons in 2024 [40][41].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange announced the inclusion of 53 ETFs and 4 stocks into the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, effective January 19, 2026, enhancing investment opportunities in the Chinese market [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11]. Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect - 53 ETFs including CICC CSI 300 ETF (510320) and CICC CSI A500 ETF (512080) will be included [1][2]. - Notable stocks added include Zhongli Co., Ltd. (603194) and Lianyun Technology (688449) [1][7]. Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect - 43 ETFs such as Free Cash Flow ETF (159201) and ChiNext ETF Dongcai (159205) will be included [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11]. - Stocks added include Hai'an Group (001233) and China Uranium Industry (001280) [1][7]. Effective Date - All changes will take effect on January 19, 2026 [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange announced the inclusion of 53 ETFs and 4 stocks into the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, effective January 19, 2026, enhancing investment opportunities in the Chinese market [1]. Group 1: Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect - 53 funds including the CSI 300 ETF (510320) and the A500 ETF (512080) will be added to the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect [1][2]. - The stocks included are Zhongli Co., Ltd. (603194) and Lianyun Technology (688449) [1][8]. Group 2: Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect - 43 funds including the Free Cash Flow ETF (159201) and the ChiNext ETF (159205) will be added to the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect [1][9]. - The stocks included are Hai'an Group (001233) and China Uranium Corporation (001280) [1][13].

Core Viewpoint - China Uranium Industry (001280) emphasizes the importance of its natural uranium business, which includes domestic and international mining, sales, and trading activities, highlighting its role in supporting the nuclear energy sector and national defense [1] Group 1: Business Overview - The company's natural uranium products consist of two forms: uranyl sulfate and uranium trioxide [1] - Natural uranium is a critical material foundation for the development of nuclear energy, applicable in nuclear power and defense sectors [1]

Core Viewpoint - Hunan Yongke New Materials Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 100 million yuan, focusing on hazardous waste management, non-coal mining, rare earth metal smelting, and sales of metal ores and rare earth functional materials [1] Company Summary - The legal representative of Hunan Yongke New Materials Co., Ltd. is Wang Chao [1] - The company is co-owned by Hunan Rare Earth Industry Group Co., Ltd. and China Uranium Corporation's subsidiary, China Nuclear Resources Development Co., Ltd. [1] Industry Summary - The company's business scope includes hazardous waste management, which indicates a focus on environmental sustainability and resource recovery [1] - The involvement in rare earth metal smelting and sales highlights the company's position in the critical materials sector, which is essential for various high-tech industries [1]

- Theoretical new stock yield for Class A accounts with a scale of 2 billion is 3.80%[2][10] - Theoretical new stock yield for Class B accounts with a scale of 2 billion is 2.88%[2][10] - Theoretical new stock yield for Class A accounts with a scale of 10 billion is 1.74%[2][10] - Theoretical new stock yield for Class B accounts with a scale of 10 billion is 1.03%[2][10] - The average first-day increase for STAR Market stocks is 258.09%[2][20] - The average first-day increase for ChiNext stocks is 231.27%[2][20] - The number of valid quotation accounts for the latest STAR Market new stock is 4687 for Class A and 2065 for Class B[2][26] - The number of valid quotation accounts for the latest ChiNext new stock is approximately 3879 for Class A and 2610 for Class B[2][26] - The number of valid quotation accounts for the latest Shanghai Main Board new stock is 5200 for Class A and 2944 for Class B[2][26] - The number of valid quotation accounts for the latest Shenzhen Main Board new stock is 4683 for Class A and 2918 for Class B[2][26] - The highest first-day increase among newly listed stocks in the past month is 600.07% for Muxi Shares-U[37] - The highest fundraising amount among newly listed stocks in the past month is 80 billion for Moore Threads-U[37] - The highest full subscription yield among newly listed stocks in the past month is 671.65 thousand yuan for Moore Threads-U[41][43] - The full subscription yield for Muxi Shares-U is 343.75 thousand yuan[41][43] - The full subscription yield for Angrui Micro-UW is 42.24 thousand yuan[41][43] - The full subscription yield for China Uranium Industry is 36.49 thousand yuan[41][43] - The full subscription yield for Baiao Saitu is 14.67 thousand yuan[41][43] - The full subscription yield for Youxun Shares is 24.68 thousand yuan[41][43] - The full subscription yield for Tiansu Measurement is 5.54 thousand yuan[41][43] - The full subscription yield for Nabai Chuan is 7.86 thousand yuan[41][43] - The full subscription yield for Xihua Technology is 4.51 thousand yuan[41][43] - The full subscription yield for Jianxin Superconducting is 12.53 thousand yuan[41][43] - The full subscription yield for C Shuangxin is 12.56 thousand yuan[41][43] - The full subscription yield for C Yufan is 2.35 thousand yuan[41][43] - The full subscription yield for C Qiangyi is 40.15 thousand yuan[41][43] - The full subscription yield for C Xinguangyi is 9.93 thousand yuan[41][43] - The monthly offline new stock yield for Class A accounts with a scale of 2 billion in December 2025 is 195.55 thousand yuan[48][49] - The monthly offline new stock yield for Class B accounts with a scale of 2 billion in December 2025 is 94.99 thousand yuan[53][54] - The cumulative offline new stock yield for Class A accounts with a scale of 2 billion in 2025 is 3.80%[48][49] - The cumulative offline new stock yield for Class B accounts with a scale of 2 billion in 2025 is 2.88%[53][54]

Group 1 - The report indicates that while the number of IPOs and fundraising amounts in 2025 increased compared to 2024, the overall profitability of offline subscription has reached a new low since 2019, with A1/B class products yielding only 2.7% and 2.4% respectively [4][10][5] - In 2025, 87 new stocks were issued in the A-share market, raising a total of 1,235 billion yuan, with 64% of the new stocks having an initial fundraising scale of less than 1 billion yuan [19][20][27] - The average initial price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for new stocks in 2025 was 23x, marking a new low since 2019, with an average discount of 39% compared to comparable companies [36][34][36] Group 2 - The report forecasts a rebound in offline subscription profitability in 2026, with expected yields for A1/B class products projected to be 4.05% and 3.23% respectively, driven by an increase in the number of IPOs and stable pricing [4][10][4] - The report highlights that the strategic allocation of new stocks is expected to remain attractive in 2026, with an increase in external strategic investors and a significant average return on unlocked shares [4][4][4] - The report notes that the number of offline inquiry products has significantly increased, with a year-on-year growth of 18%, indicating a heightened interest in new stock subscriptions [64][64][64]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that China Uranium Industry (001280) has stated that the "Guo Uranium No. 1" demonstration project is the largest natural uranium production base in China, featuring the highest construction standards and the most advanced technology [1] - The project is characterized by its green, economical, intelligent, and efficient attributes [1]