Flash | Shennan Circuit (002916.SZ) Option Scheme To Ensure Growth Visibility Till 2028E CITI'S TAKE Shennan announced its Phase II Restricted Stock Incentive Plan, granting 15.16m shares (2.27% of total issued capital) to 667 key personnel at RMB114.72/share. We view this positively as it aligns key talent with shareholder interests during the critical AI upcycle. Notably, the unlocking criteria are stringent: requiring recurring net profit CAGR of ≥13% (vs. 2024) and continuous ROE improvement (to >12.8% ...

Summary of Shennan Circuits (002916.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shennan Circuits (002916.SZ) - **Market Cap**: Rmb102.6 billion / $14.4 billion - **Target Price**: Rmb254.00, raised by approximately 70% from previous estimates - **Current Price**: Rmb199.96 - **Upside Potential**: 27.0% [1][30] Key Industry Insights - **Industry Focus**: Transition from telecom PCB to AI PCB, targeting compute and networking demands, particularly in the context of the growing market for 800G and 1.6T optical transceivers [1][22] - **Growth Drivers**: - Expansion of high-end PCB capacity in Jiangsu and Thailand factories [1][23] - Increased demand for AI PCB from AI accelerators, optical transceivers, and switches [1][22] - Strong growth in IC substrate business driven by memory chips [1][24] Financial Performance and Projections - **Earnings Growth**: Expected net income growth of 44% CAGR from 2025 to 2027 [1] - **Revenue Estimates**: - 2025: Rmb22,775 million (up 7% from previous estimates) - 2026: Rmb28,491 million (up 15%) - 2027: Rmb35,503 million (up 29%) [1][27] - **Gross Margin Improvement**: Anticipated increase in gross margin by 2.6ppts, 2.7ppts, and 3.4ppts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1][26] Competitive Positioning - **Market Position**: Shennan has established long-term partnerships in the telecom sector, which aids its entry into the data center PCB market [4] - **Competitive Risks**: Potential competition from peers with higher exposure to AI and data centers, which could impact pricing and margins [4][37] Capacity and Production - **Capacity Expansion**: Significant ramp-up in production capacity expected from the Jiangsu Nantong factory and Thailand factory in 2026 [19][23] - **Product Mix Upgrade**: Transition towards high-layer count PCBs and optical transceivers, with a projected increase in AI PCB revenue contribution to 28%, 36%, and 41% of total PCB revenues from 2025 to 2027 [22] Investment Thesis - **Recommendation**: Maintain Buy rating based on strong growth prospects in AI PCB and IC substrate markets, supported by capacity expansion and product upgrades [1][30] - **Risks**: Slower-than-expected expansion into AI PCB, increased competition, customer concentration risks, and slower growth in server/automotive PCB and IC substrate markets [37] Conclusion - Shennan Circuits is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI PCBs and high-end IC substrates, with significant revenue and earnings growth projected over the next few years. The company's strategic expansion and product upgrades are expected to enhance its competitive edge in the evolving technology landscape.

Summary of Shennan Circuit (002916.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shennan Circuit - **Industry**: PCB (Printed Circuit Board) manufacturing - **Market Position**: Leading PCB supplier in China, focusing on telecom and aeronautics sectors, with a "3-in-1" model encompassing PCB, PCB assembly, and IC substrate packaging [20][21] Key Financial Highlights - **Revenue Growth**: - 9M25 revenue increased by 28.4% year-over-year (YoY) to RMB 16.754 billion, with 3Q25 growth at 33.3% compared to 25.6% in 1H25 [1] - **Net Profit**: - Attributable net profit surged 56.3% YoY to RMB 2.326 billion, with 3Q25 growth accelerating to 92.9% compared to 37.8% in 1H25 [1] - **Earnings Estimates**: - 2025-27 earnings estimates raised by 13-15%, target price increased to RMB 281 from RMB 230 based on a 48x PE for 2026E [1][22] 4Q25 Outlook - **Revenue Forecast**: Expected 4Q25 revenue growth of 33% YoY to RMB 6.427 billion, similar to 3Q growth [3] - **Net Profit Forecast**: Anticipated net profit growth of 115% to RMB 838 million, driven by a low base in 4Q24 [3] Capacity Expansion Plans - **New Plants**: - Thai plant to start in mid-2025, targeting annual revenue of RMB 1.3 billion - Nantong Phase 4 for AI-PCB to commence in 4Q25, with projected annual revenue of RMB 1.5 billion [4] - **Capital Expenditure**: High capex of around RMB 3 billion per annum planned to support AI infrastructure growth [4] Margin and Cost Insights - **Gross Margin**: - 3Q25 gross margin improved to 31.4%, with net margin rising to 15.3% [11] - **Material Cost Inflation**: - Major CCL players increased ASP by RMB 5-10 per sheet in October due to a ~10% rise in copper costs [12] Segment Performance - **PCB and Substrate Segments**: - PCB segment gross margin reached a record high of 36% in 3Q25, with AI-PCB margins estimated at over 40% [10] - Substrate gross margin improved significantly to ~20% in 3Q25 from 15% in 1H25 [10] Investment Strategy - **Recommendation**: Buy rating maintained, with a preference for Shengyi Tech over Shennan due to higher operating leverage in the CCL industry [1][21] - **Market Exposure**: Over 80% revenue exposure to PCB-related businesses, with strong growth potential in AI servers and automotive sectors [21] Risks - **Downside Risks**: - Slower-than-expected growth in AI server demand, weaker automotive demand, and higher laminate cost inflation could impact performance [23] Conclusion - Shennan Circuit is positioned for significant growth driven by its strong market position in the PCB sector, ongoing capacity expansions, and favorable industry dynamics, despite potential risks from market fluctuations and cost pressures [1][21][23]

Company and Industry Summary Company: 深南电路 (Shennan Circuits) Key Financial Performance - Q3 revenue reached 6.3 billion RMB, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11% and a year-on-year increase of 11% [2][3] - Year-to-date revenue for the first three quarters was 16.75 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 28% [3] - Net profit for Q3 was 966 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 11% [2][3] - Year-to-date net profit was 2.33 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 56% [3] Business Segments Performance - PCB business contributed approximately two-thirds of revenue growth, while substrate business contributed about one-third [2] - Electronic assembly business saw a slight decline in revenue [2] - Demand from data centers and AI-related devices was the main driver for PCB growth, while increased storage market demand boosted substrate business [2][5] Margin Analysis - PCB business contributed over 60% to gross margin, but substrate business showed more significant margin growth due to improved utilization rates and enhancements at the Guangzhou plant [2][6] - Substrate gross margin improved significantly in Q3 compared to the first half of the year, while PCB gross margin saw only slight growth [6][35] Raw Material and Pricing Dynamics - Rising raw material prices were the main factor driving up substrate prices [2][10] - The increase in gold prices significantly impacted narrow board gross margins [11][30] - The company anticipates that storage market price increases may continue to push upstream prices higher, but the specific impact will depend on market dynamics and supply chain conditions [10] Ongoing Projects and Capacity - Major ongoing projects include Nantong Phase IV and a project in Thailand, with an expected input-output ratio between 1:1 and 1:1.2 [2][6] - Automotive-related business saw a slight decrease in proportion but an absolute increase, constrained by capacity [7] - The company does not plan to shift automotive capacity to AI products due to differing product characteristics and customer supply chain stability requirements [8] R&D and Future Outlook - R&D expenses increased, primarily focused on data centers, communications, and new products [9] - The company is preparing for potential delivery pressures and bottlenecks due to expected growth in the optical module market [4][15] - AI remains a significant growth driver, with strong demand expected to continue in the coming years [36] Market Trends and Competitive Landscape - Domestic PCB growth outpaced international growth in Q3, with local demand showing an increase [19] - The company is focused on maintaining resource allocation to meet customer needs without adjusting for domestic and international market differences [38] Challenges and Risks - The shortage of glass fiber cloth is impacting raw material supply and costs, leading to potential pressure on gross margins in Q4 [34] - Management expenses are expected to rise due to increased salaries and personnel, which may affect overall profitability in the short term [20][33] Conclusion - 深南电路 is experiencing robust growth driven by demand in the PCB and substrate markets, particularly from AI and data center applications. The company is actively managing its projects and R&D investments to capitalize on these trends while navigating challenges related to raw material costs and capacity constraints.

Summary of the Conference Call for ShenNan Circuit Company Overview - ShenNan Circuit is a leading domestic PCB supplier, particularly in the AI PCB sector, with significant experience in the power supply segment of AI servers and has achieved substantial shipments to overseas core ASIC customers [2][3] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a profit of 890 million RMB, exceeding expectations of 800 million RMB, driven by AI-related demand in the PCB business and a high demand for packaging substrates [2][5] - The company anticipates a profit exceeding 4 billion RMB by 2026, with a valuation higher than peers due to its strong performance in the packaging substrate business [4][15] Business Segments - The main business segments include: - PCB: 60% of revenue, serving data centers, communications, automotive electronics, industrial control, and military sectors [10] - Packaging Substrates: 20% of revenue, primarily BT substrates, with ABF substrates also showing growth [10][12] - Electronic Assembly: 15-20% of revenue, related to SMT services [10] AI PCB Business Impact - The AI PCB business is expected to significantly contribute to the company's performance starting in 2024, focusing on wired communication devices such as optical modules, switches, and routers [9][2] - The company has established a strong position in the AI power supply segment, particularly in the three-stage power supply architecture for servers, which has high gross margins [14] Expansion Plans - ShenNan Circuit is actively pursuing expansion plans in: 1. Thailand: New products expected to launch in the second half of the year [7] 2. Nantong: Four-phase expansion focusing on high-end HDI and multilayer products [7] 3. Shenzhen: Upgrading equipment and capacity for high-end HDI and multilayer products [7][6] Market Position and Client Base - The company has a strong presence in both domestic and international markets, serving major clients in the optical module sector and achieving significant shipments to overseas ASIC customers [3][11] - Key clients include major tech companies like Google and Amazon, with expectations of onboarding Meta as a significant customer by 2026 [11] Industry Trends and Competitive Advantages - The PCB industry is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, particularly for high-layer and HDI PCBs related to AI [16] - ShenNan Circuit's advantages include a broad product range, extensive experience in high-end technology, and strong relationships with leading North American clients [16][17] Conclusion - ShenNan Circuit is positioned for growth with its strategic focus on AI PCB, robust financial performance, and ongoing expansion efforts, making it a noteworthy investment opportunity in the PCB sector [17]

Summary of Shennan Circuits Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shennan Circuits - **Industry**: PCB (Printed Circuit Board) and IC (Integrated Circuit) substrates manufacturing - **Market Position**: Fourth-largest PCB manufacturer globally as of 2024 [16] Key Financial Results - **Q2 2025 Revenue**: Rmb 5.7 billion, representing an increase of 18.6% QoQ and 30.1% YoY, exceeding consensus estimates by 4% and 6% [2][9] - **Net Profit**: Rmb 869 million, up 77% QoQ and 43% YoY; adjusted net profit (after non-recurring items) was Rmb 780 million, reflecting a 61% QoQ and 37% YoY increase [2][9] - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Improved to 27.6%, a record high since Q3 2020, up 2.9 percentage points QoQ and 0.5 percentage points YoY [3][9] Revenue Growth Drivers - **PCB Sales Growth**: Increased by 29% YoY, driven by robust demand in data centers, wired communications, and automotive sectors [3] - **Data Center PCB**: Significant growth attributed to global AI capital expenditure upcycle, with revenue mix exceeding 25% compared to 20% in FY24 [3] - **IC Package Substrate Sales**: Rose by 9% YoY, supported by better BT substrate orders due to tight raw material supply [3] Operational Insights - **Utilization Rates**: High utilization rates for both PCB and BT substrates, with ongoing efforts to ramp up production capacity at new plants in Thailand and Nantong [4] - **Future GPM Expectations**: Anticipated recovery of GPM by 4-5 percentage points in H2 2025 [4] Market Outlook - **AI-Related Orders**: Management maintains a positive outlook for AI-related orders, particularly from North American customers, expecting data center revenue to lead growth in 2025 [4] - **Supply Constraints**: The company is currently supply-constrained for high-end PCBs, indicating potential for future growth as capacity expands [4] Investor Sentiment - **Expected Market Reaction**: Anticipated positive reaction from investors due to the earnings beat and favorable outlook for the second half of the year, following significant stock price increases since April [5] Valuation Metrics - **Market Capitalization**: Rmb 86.9 billion (approximately US$12.1 billion) [6] - **12-Month Price Target**: Rmb 171.00, with a current price of Rmb 169.50 [6][31] - **P/E Ratio (2025E)**: 34.3x, with projected EPS of Rmb 4.94 [8] Risks and Considerations - **Downside Risks**: Include slower-than-expected server demand, pricing pressure from clients, and longer breakeven times for new business segments [17] Conclusion Shennan Circuits demonstrated strong financial performance in Q2 2025, driven by robust demand in key sectors, particularly data centers and AI-related applications. The company is well-positioned for future growth, although it faces supply constraints and market risks that could impact its performance.

Summary of Shennan Circuits Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shennan Circuits (002916.SZ) - **Industry**: PCB (Printed Circuit Board) manufacturing, with a focus on AI applications Key Points and Arguments 1. **AI PCB Demand**: There is ongoing strength in demand for AI PCBs, which is expected to support resilient pricing and margins despite rising costs of raw materials such as CCL, gold-related chemicals, and glass fiber [1][2][4] 2. **Pricing and Margins**: The company is anticipated to experience slower price erosion than normal, leading to resilient margins. This is attributed to tight supply conditions in high-end PCBs for AI servers and networking [2][4] 3. **Revenue Estimates**: Revenue estimates for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E have been revised slightly upward by 0% to 2%, reflecting a more resilient pricing outlook [8] 4. **Target Price Update**: The 12-month target price has been revised up to Rmb150 from Rmb132, based on a 29x P/E ratio for 2026E, aligning with the company's historical average [4][12] 5. **Valuation**: Shennan Circuits is currently trading at approximately 28x/23x P/E for 2026E/2027E, which is considered undemanding compared to its historical average of 29x [3][11] 6. **Market Position**: The company is viewed as a key beneficiary of China's domestic AI infrastructure investments, with expectations for robust revenue and net profit growth as local equipment vendors increase their server and networking shipments [11] Additional Important Content 1. **Risks**: Key downside risks include weaker demand in datacom/AI PCBs, geopolitical disruptions affecting supply chains, competitive pricing pressures, and potential deterioration in 5G demand [13] 2. **Industry Context**: The overall PCB industry in China has seen strong share price rallies driven by AI demand, contributing to valuation recovery [3] 3. **Financial Metrics**: The revised net profit estimates for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E have been increased by 1% to 3%, reflecting the anticipated slower price erosion [8] This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call regarding Shennan Circuits, highlighting its market position, financial outlook, and associated risks.

Summary of the Conference Call for ShenNan Electric Company Overview - **Company**: ShenNan Electric (深南电) - **Industry**: Energy and Power Generation Key Financial Performance - **Return on Equity**: Weighted average return on equity increased by 1.20% year-on-year, indicating enhanced operational capability [2][3] - **Net Profit**: Net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 17.75 million yuan year-on-year, reaching 21.91 million yuan [2][3] - **Operating Revenue**: Total operating revenue for 2024 was 443 million yuan, showing a decline due to a focus on maximizing comprehensive income, resulting in reduced actual power generation [3] - **Total Assets**: Total assets decreased by 1.79% year-on-year to 2.013 billion yuan [3] - **Net Cash Flow**: Operating net cash flow outflow decreased by 62.37 million yuan due to improved working capital management [3] - **Debt Ratio**: Asset-liability ratio decreased by 7.05 percentage points, supporting further transformation [3] Business Development and Growth Drivers - **Comprehensive Energy Strategy**: The comprehensive energy strategy accelerated, with related business revenue reaching 45.15 million yuan, surpassing 10% of total revenue for the first time [2][5] - **Asset Management**: Significant gains from asset management, including a net gain of 163 million yuan from land transfer and 66.72 million yuan from the sale of a 40% stake in Huizhou Shoes [2][5] - **Operational Efficiency**: Increased operating gross profit by 19.18 million yuan, primarily from the marginal contribution of the Nanshan Power Plant and additional profits from managing Shenzhen Energy Group's properties [5] Asset Revitalization Efforts - **Land Transfer**: Successfully delivered 190 acres of land in Zhongshan, receiving a total of 220 million yuan in compensation [6] - **Equipment Transfer**: Completed the transfer of power generation equipment and related assets, enhancing asset liquidity [6] New Energy and Storage Initiatives - **Investment in Energy Storage**: Launched a 500 million yuan energy storage mother fund and established a 400 million yuan subsidiary fund for independent storage and commercial storage projects [7][8] - **Partnerships**: Collaborated with Zhongshan Nalang Construction Development Co., Ltd. to build a 300 MW/600 MWh independent energy storage station, expected to be operational by May 2025 [8] Management and Organizational Reforms - **Management System Reform**: Implemented comprehensive management reforms, optimizing the institutional framework and establishing a standardized management system [4][9] - **Talent Strategy**: Focused on attracting high-quality talent and optimizing organizational structure to support strategic goals [9] Future Development Plans - **Strategic Focus**: In 2025, the company aims to solidify its position as a comprehensive energy service provider, focusing on key areas and expanding project portfolios [15] - **Operational Model**: Plans to enhance the operational model by undertaking diverse maintenance projects to accumulate resources and experience [15] Risk Management and Internal Reforms - **Governance Improvement**: Enhanced corporate governance and compliance with regulatory policies to ensure operational integrity and investor relations [18] - **Financial Management**: Streamlined financial processes and improved information quality to support business development [18] Conclusion ShenNan Electric is strategically positioning itself in the energy sector by enhancing operational efficiency, expanding into new energy services, and implementing comprehensive management reforms to support its transformation into a leading comprehensive energy service provider.

一、主要会计数据和财务指标 数据四舍五入，查看更多财务数据>> 二、前10名无限售条件股东持股情况 前十大流通股东累计持有： 26785.93万股，累计占流通股比： 44.44%，较上期变化： -54.42万股。 | 名称 | 持有数量(万股) | 占总股本比例 | 增减情况(万 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (%) | 股) | | 香港南海洋行(国际)有限公司 | 9212.32 | 15.28 | 不变 | | 深圳广聚实业有限公司 | 7366.68 | 12.22 | 不变 | | 深圳市能源集团有限公司 | 6510.61 | 10.80 | 不变 | | 曾颖 | 715.96 | 1.19 | 不变 | | GUOTAI JUNAN SECURITIES (HONG KONG) LIMITED | 632.68 | 1.05 | -26.61 | | 李宝琴 | 567.02 | 0.94 | -16.56 | | 招商证券(香港)有限公司 | 543.82 | 0.90 | 不变 | | BOCI SECURITIES LIMITED | 431.06 ...

一、主要会计数据和财务指标 | 持有数量(万股) 名称 | | 占总股本比例 | 增减情况(万 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (%) | 股) | | 香港南海洋行(国际)有限公司 | 9212.32 | 15.28 | 不变 | | 深圳广聚实业有限公司 | 7366.68 | 12.22 | 不变 | | 深圳市能源集团有限公司 | 6510.61 | 10.80 | 不变 | | 曾颖 | 715.96 | 1.19 | 不变 | | GUOTAI JUNAN SECURITIES (HONG KONG) LIMITED | 659.29 | 1.09 | 236.84 | | 李宝琴 | 583.58 | 0.97 | -36.81 | | 招商证券(香港)有限公司 | 543.82 | 0.90 | 3.60 | | BOCI SECURITIES LIMITED | 442.31 | 0.73 | 不变 | | LI SHERYN ZHAN MING | 414.94 | 0.69 | 新进 | | Haitong International Securiti ...