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Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Weigh In On 3 Financial Stocks With Over 10% Dividend Yields - Oaktree Specialty Lending (NASDAQ:OCSL), Ares Comml Real Est (NYSE:ACRE)
Benzinga· 2025-11-13 11:39
Core Insights - Investors are increasingly turning to dividend-yielding stocks during market turbulence and uncertainty, as these companies typically have high free cash flows and offer substantial dividend payouts [1] Company Summaries Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp (NYSE:ACRE) - Dividend Yield: 12.22% - Analyst Ratings: Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Jade Rahmani maintained a Market Perform rating and raised the price target from $4.5 to $4.75 on Nov. 11, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 66% [7] - Recent Performance: Reported better-than-expected third-quarter financial results on Nov. 7 [7] Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp (NASDAQ:OCSL) - Dividend Yield: 11.70% - Analyst Ratings: Wells Fargo analyst Finian O'Shea maintained an Equal-Weight rating and cut the price target from $15 to $14 on April 28, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 63% [7] - Upcoming Events: Scheduled to report fourth fiscal quarter financial results before the opening bell on Nov. 18 [7] Starwood Property Trust Inc (NYSE:STWD) - Dividend Yield: 10.72% - Analyst Ratings: Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Jade Rahmani maintained an Outperform rating and cut the price target from $22 to $21 on Nov. 12, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 66% [7] - Recent Performance: Posted mixed quarterly results on Nov. 10 [7]
Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Weigh In On 3 Financial Stocks With Over 10% Dividend Yields
Benzinga· 2025-11-13 11:39
Core Insights - Investors are increasingly turning to dividend-yielding stocks during market turbulence and uncertainty, as these companies typically have high free cash flows and offer substantial dividend payouts [1] Group 1: Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp (ACRE) - ACRE has a dividend yield of 12.22% [7] - Analyst Jade Rahmani from Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintained a Market Perform rating and raised the price target from $4.5 to $4.75 on November 11, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 66% [7] - Analyst Steven Delaney from JMP Securities reiterated a Market Perform rating on April 21, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 64% [7] - ACRE reported better-than-expected third-quarter financial results on November 7 [7] Group 2: Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp (OCSL) - OCSL has a dividend yield of 11.70% [7] - Analyst Finian O'Shea from Wells Fargo maintained an Equal-Weight rating and cut the price target from $15 to $14 on April 28, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 63% [7] - Analyst Paul Johnson from Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintained a Market Perform rating and reduced the price target from $16.5 to $15 on April 8, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 60% [7] - OCSL is set to report its financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter before the opening bell on November 18 [7] Group 3: Starwood Property Trust Inc (STWD) - STWD has a dividend yield of 10.72% [7] - Analyst Jade Rahmani from Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintained an Outperform rating and lowered the price target from $22 to $21 on November 12, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 66% [7] - Analyst Donald Fandetti from Wells Fargo maintained an Outperform rating and reduced the price target from $23 to $22 on November 11, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 72% [7] - STWD posted mixed quarterly results on November 10 [7]
Ares Commercial Real Estate Stock: Discount Without A Bargain (NYSE:ACRE)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-13 05:13
Core Insights - Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) is a mortgage REIT that has reported its Q3 earnings, indicating progress in addressing distressed loans, although significant work remains to be done [1] Company Summary - ACRE has made strides in turning around its distressed loans, but challenges persist, suggesting a need for continued focus on loan management and recovery strategies [1] Investment Analysis - The analysis is based on value investing principles, emphasizing an owner's mindset and a long-term investment horizon, which may appeal to investors looking for stability in the mortgage REIT sector [1]
Ares mercial Real Estate (ACRE) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-07 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, the company reported GAAP net income of approximately $5 million or $0.08 per diluted common share, with distributable earnings of approximately $6 million or $0.10 per diluted common share, which excludes a realized loss of $1.6 million [14][15] - The net debt-to-equity ratio, excluding CECL, decreased to 1.1 times, down from 1.2 times quarter over quarter and 1.8 times year over year [16] - Outstanding borrowings were reduced to $811 million, a decrease of 9% quarter over quarter and 40% year over year [16][17] - The CECL reserve declined to $117 million, representing approximately 9% of the total outstanding principal balance of loans held for investment [17][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The office portfolio was reduced to $495 million, a decrease of 6% quarter over quarter and 26% year over year, driven by repayments and strategic restructuring [5] - The company closed five new loan commitments totaling $93 million across multifamily and self-storage properties during Q3, with continued momentum into Q4, closing over $270 million of loans [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The multifamily sector showed strong demand, with absorption rates significantly higher than historical averages, indicating a positive outlook despite stagnant rent growth [37] - The company noted that the office market continues to face headwinds, impacting the overall lending environment [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a strong balance sheet while addressing risk-rated 4 and 5 loans, with a focus on capital deployment to diversify the loan portfolio [4][5] - The strategy includes leveraging the ARES Real Estate platform to participate in larger institutional assets while maintaining a focus on middle-market lending [25][26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term earnings potential, emphasizing the importance of resolving non-accrual loans and reinvesting proceeds to expand the loan portfolio [13] - The company anticipates a return to portfolio growth in the first half of 2026, supported by a strong liquidity position and ongoing repayments [16][19] Other Important Information - The board declared a regular cash dividend of $0.15 per common share for Q4 2025, payable on January 15, 2026 [18] - The company highlighted the benefits of co-investing with other ARES Real Estate funds, resulting in a more diversified portfolio [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Comments on the mix of new loans and market focus - Management acknowledged the small dataset affecting average loan sizes and emphasized a focus on self-storage assets while also participating in larger transactions through the ARES platform [24][25] Question: Timeline for resolving risk-rated five loans - Management indicated ongoing progress and a focus on balancing resolution speed with principal recovery, with a commitment to resolving these assets [33][34] Question: Drivers behind multifamily downgrades and market outlook - Management noted that upcoming maturity dates were significant factors in downgrades, while overall demand in the multifamily sector remains strong, with a positive outlook for the next few years [36][37]
Ares mercial Real Estate (ACRE) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-11-07 15:00
Financial Performance - GAAP net income was $5 million, or $0.08 per diluted common share[12] - Distributable Earnings were $6 million, or $0.10 per diluted common share[12] - Excluding realized losses of $2 million or $0.03 per diluted common share, Distributable Earnings were $7 million, or $0.13 per diluted common share[12] - Book value was $521 million, or $9.47 per common share ($11.60 per common share excluding CECL reserve)[12] Portfolio & Balance Sheet - The company collected $162 million of repayments in 3Q 2025, bringing the YTD repayments to $498 million[12] - The company reduced office loans by $29 million QoQ to $495 million, a decrease of 6% QoQ and 26% YoY[12] - The company maintained a strong balance sheet with $173 million of available capital as of September 30, 2025, including $88 million of cash[12] - The company's total portfolio is $1.4 billion, comprised of loans held for investment and REO properties[15] CECL Reserve - The CECL reserve is $117 million, representing 9% of outstanding principal balance of loans held for investment[12,45] - 95% of the CECL reserve relates to risk rated 4 and 5 loans[46] - 90% of the CECL reserve relates to office and residential/condo loans[46] Ares Management Overview - Ares Management has approximately $596 billion in assets under management[22] - Ares Real Estate has $109 billion+ in Real Estate AUM[30]
Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 13:11
分组1 - Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) reported quarterly earnings of $0.1 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.09 per share, and showing an increase from earnings of $0.07 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +211.11% [1] - The company posted revenues of $23.26 million for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.83%, but down from $39.35 million in the same quarter last year [2] - ACRE shares have declined approximately 23.8% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 14.3% [3] 分组2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.07 on revenues of $21.91 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$0.55 on revenues of $95.12 million [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for REIT and Equity Trust is in the top 35% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating that the industry outlook can significantly impact stock performance [8]
Ares mercial Real Estate (ACRE) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-11-07 01:45
Interest Expense and Income - For the three months ended September 30, 2025, interest expense totaled $14,790,000, a decrease from $27,401,000 in the same period of 2024[51] - For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, interest expense was $49,081,000, down from $83,703,000 in the corresponding period of 2024[51] - The Company capitalizes and amortizes debt issuance costs over the term of the respective debt instrument, impacting interest expense recognition[47] - The Company's net interest margin for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $8.471 million, down from $11.944 million in the same period of 2024[151] Loans and Investments - The Company monitors its loans held for investment portfolio through borrower review, economic review, property review, and market review[39] - As of September 30, 2025, the Company held 27 loans for investment with an outstanding principal of $1.3 billion, down from $1.7 billion as of December 31, 2024[53] - The total loans held for investment portfolio had a carrying amount of $1.231 billion and an outstanding principal of $1.292 billion as of September 30, 2025[54] - The weighted average unleveraged effective yield for the total loans held for investment portfolio was 6.1% as of September 30, 2025[54] - The Company experienced a loan payoff of $530.6 million during the nine months ended September 30, 2025[61] - The Company continues to monitor and evaluate its loans, making modifications as necessary based on individual circumstances[60] - As of September 30, 2025, the Company had three loans on non-accrual status with a carrying value of $271.8 million, down from five loans valued at $318.4 million as of December 31, 2024[63] - The Company's CECL Reserve for loans held for investment is $117.3 million, representing 880 basis points of the total loans held for investment commitment balance of $1.3 billion[68] Real Estate Assets - The Company evaluates real estate assets held for investment for impairment on a quarterly basis, considering factors such as significant underperformance and economic trends[46] - Total real estate owned held for investment as of September 30, 2025, is valued at $146,137 thousand, net of accumulated depreciation of $12,285 thousand[82] - The Company has no impairment charges recognized for real estate owned held for investment as of September 30, 2025[82] - The net real estate owned held for investment is $133,852 thousand, down from $139,032 thousand as of December 31, 2024[82] Revenue Recognition - Revenue from real estate owned includes operations from properties acquired in September 2024 and June 2024, with a focus on rental revenue from operating leases[49][50] - The Company recognizes rental revenue on a straight-line basis over the lease term when collectability is probable, including variable lease payments[50] - Future minimum lease payments to be collected under non-cancelable operating leases total $107,044 thousand as of September 30, 2025[87] Financial Performance - For the three months ended September 30, 2025, the net income attributable to common stockholders was $4,653,000, compared to a net loss of $5,880,000 for the same period in 2024[106] - Basic earnings per common share for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $0.08, while for the same period in 2024, it was $(0.11)[106] - The total income tax expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $280,000, compared to a benefit of $(1,000) for the same period in 2024[109] - Total cash dividends declared for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, amounted to $25.09 million, with a per share amount of $0.45, compared to $41.42 million and $0.75 per share for the same period in 2024[136] Risk Management - A significant increase in interest rates could strain operating cash flows of real estate assets, potentially leading to non-performance or default[230] - The estimated fair value of fixed-rate investments is expected to decrease in a rising interest rate environment, while it would generally increase in a decreasing interest rate environment[234] - Prepayment rates on existing CRE loans can negatively impact net income if they occur faster than anticipated, potentially leading to liquidity issues[235] - The company is subject to risks from defaults by large banking institutions, which could impact liquidity and borrowing capabilities[236] - Continued weakness in financial markets could adversely affect lenders' willingness to provide financing, increasing costs[239] - Real estate investments are subject to volatility from various factors, including economic conditions and rising operating costs, which could pressure cash flow performance[240] - Inflation risks are significant as changes in interest rates may not correlate with inflation rates, potentially leading to lower investment returns[241] Commitments and Facilities - The outstanding balance of the Company's Financing Agreements as of September 30, 2025, is $693,046 thousand, with total commitments of $1,100,000 thousand[88] - The Company has total commitments of $1,332.2 million as of September 30, 2025, down from $1,773.1 million as of December 31, 2024, resulting in total unfunded commitments of $40.6 million[99] - The Secured Term Loan has a total commitment of $100.0 million, with an outstanding principal balance of $100.0 million as of September 30, 2025[96] - The effective interest rate of the Secured Term Loan was 6.1% for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to 5.7% for the same period in 2024[97] - The Company has a master repurchase facility with Citibank with a maximum commitment of $325.0 million, which can be increased to $425.0 million[92] - The Wells Fargo Facility allows the Company to borrow up to $450.0 million, with the potential to increase to $500.0 million[91] - The CNB Facility has a maximum commitment of $75.0 million, with no immediate availability as of September 30, 2025[93] Management and Fees - The Company recorded a base management fee of $2.42 million for Q3 2025, down from $2.65 million in Q3 2024, and a total of $7.42 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $8.11 million for the same period in 2024[132] - The incentive fee structure is based on Core Earnings, with no incentive fees incurred for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, and 2024[127] - The term of the Management Agreement is set to end on April 25, 2026, with automatic one-year renewal terms thereafter[131] - The Company is responsible for its proportionate share of certain fees and expenses, including due diligence costs, as determined by ACREM and Ares Management[128] - The Company will not reimburse ACREM for salaries and other compensation of its personnel, except for specific allocable shares[129] Acquisitions and Fair Value - The Company recognized a realized loss of $33.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, due to a discounted payoff on a senior mortgage loan with an outstanding principal of $51.5 million[66] - The Company recognized a realized loss of $5.8 million on the acquisition of an office property in North Carolina, with the property's fair value at acquisition being $60.2 million[77] - The Company recognized a realized loss of $16.4 million on the acquisition of an office property in California, with an estimated fair value of $14.5 million at acquisition[78] - The fair value of loans held for investment is determined based on a discounted cash flow methodology, considering various market factors[123] - The fair value of the office property acquired on September 19, 2024, was estimated using capitalization rates ranging from 6.4% to 11.0% and discount rates from 14.0% to 16.0%[119] - The fair value of the mixed-use property acquired on September 8, 2023, was estimated using capitalization rates ranging from 6.4% to 8.3% and discount rates from 8.0% to 9.5%[120]
Ares mercial Real Estate (ACRE) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2025-11-07 01:30
Financial Performance - Third quarter GAAP net income was $4.7 million, or $0.08 per diluted common share, with Distributable Earnings of $5.5 million, or $0.10 per diluted common share[1][2] - The total revenue for the third quarter was $14.1 million, compared to $16.7 million in the same quarter of 2024, reflecting a decrease of approximately 15.5%[14] - Interest income for the third quarter was $23.3 million, down from $39.3 million in the same quarter of 2024[14] - The company reported a net interest margin of $8.5 million for the third quarter, compared to $11.9 million in the same quarter of 2024[14] - Distributable Earnings (Loss) for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $5,496,000, while for the twelve months it was $(23,471,000)[19] - Net income attributable to common stockholders for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $4,653,000, compared to $(7,701,000) for the twelve months[19] - Basic Distributable Earnings (Loss) per common share for the three months was $0.10, while it was $(0.43) for the twelve months[19] - Diluted Distributable Earnings (Loss) per common share for the three months was $0.10, while it was $(0.42) for the twelve months[19] Capital and Liquidity - Year-to-date, the company has collected nearly $500 million in repayments, enhancing its liquidity position[2] - As of September 30, 2025, the company had approximately $173 million in available capital[2] - The company closed $271 million in new loan commitments subsequent to the third quarter[1] Assets and Reserves - Total assets as of September 30, 2025, were $1.39 billion, a decrease from $1.75 billion as of December 31, 2024[13] - The current expected credit loss reserve was $115.3 million, down from $136.2 million at the end of 2024[13] Dividends and Distributions - The company declared a fourth quarter 2025 dividend of $0.15 per common share, consistent with the third quarter dividend[6] - The Company is required to distribute substantially all of its taxable income to maintain its REIT status[18] - Distributable Earnings (Loss) is aligned with the calculation of "Core Earnings" used for incentive fee calculations[18] - The Company believes Distributable Earnings (Loss) provides useful information regarding its ability to pay dividends[18] Expenses - Stock-based compensation for the three months was $1,024,000, and $4,133,000 for the twelve months[19] - Depreciation and amortization of real estate owned amounted to $2,009,000 for the three months and $8,747,000 for the twelve months[19] - Provision for (reversal of) current expected credit losses, net, was $(2,190,000) for the three months and $(28,650,000) for the twelve months[19]