Allison(ALSN)
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South Korean auto, shipbuilding shares climb after trade deal finalized
CNBC· 2025-10-30 01:51
Group 1: Trade Agreement Overview - South Korea and the U.S. finalized a trade deal that includes lower tariffs on South Korean goods in exchange for a $350 billion investment pledge from Seoul [2][3] - U.S. tariffs on South Korean exports will decrease from 25% to 15% under the new agreement [3] Group 2: Investment Details - The $350 billion investment pledge consists of $200 billion in direct investment and $150 billion for shipbuilding cooperation, with a cap of $20 billion per year on the direct investment [3] - Hanwha Ocean and Samsung Heavy Industries saw significant stock price increases, with Hanwha Ocean rising by 14.9% and Samsung Heavy Industries by 8.33% [1] Group 3: Defense and Shipbuilding Implications - The agreement includes provisions for South Korea to build its first nuclear submarine at the Philadelphia Shipyards, following a $5 billion investment by Hanwha [4] - Hanwha's Chief Strategy Officer emphasized the company's readiness to support shipbuilding as a key aspect of the U.S.-Korea alliance [5]
Allison Transmission (ALSN) Q3 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-29 23:31
Core Insights - Allison Transmission reported a revenue of $693 million for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a decline of 15.9% year-over-year and falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $755.89 million by 8.32% [1] - The company's EPS was $1.63, down from $2.27 in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of -16.41% against the consensus estimate of $1.95 [1] Revenue Performance by End Market - North America On-Highway net sales were $327 million, which is a decrease of 28.5% year-over-year and below the average estimate of $368.42 million [4] - Outside North America On-Highway net sales reached $122 million, representing a decline of 3.2% year-over-year, also falling short of the estimated $130.83 million [4] - Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other net sales totaled $159 million, down 5.4% year-over-year, compared to the average estimate of $169.4 million [4] - Defense net sales were $78 million, exceeding the average estimate of $60.42 million, with a significant year-over-year increase of 47.2% [4] - Global Off-Highway net sales were $7 million, which is below the average estimate of $17.77 million [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Allison Transmission have returned -3.3%, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's increase of +3.8% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Allison Transmission (ALSN) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-29 22:41
Core Insights - Allison Transmission reported quarterly earnings of $1.63 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.95 per share, and down from $2.27 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -16.41% [1] - The company posted revenues of $693 million for the quarter ended September 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.32%, and down from $824 million year-over-year [2] - Allison Transmission shares have declined approximately 24% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 17.2% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.74 on revenues of $739.65 million, while for the current fiscal year, the estimate is $8.13 on revenues of $3.08 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Allison Transmission was mixed prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Automotive - Original Equipment industry, to which Allison Transmission belongs, is currently ranked in the top 34% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to lower-ranked industries [8] - Another company in the same industry, Cooper-Standard, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.50 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +173.5% [9]
Allison(ALSN) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $693 million, a decrease of 16% year-over-year, primarily due to lower demand for Class 8 vocational and medium-duty trucks in the North American on-highway end market [15][16] - Net income for the quarter was $137 million, down $63 million from $200 million in the same period of 2024, driven by lower gross profit and $14 million in acquisition-related expenses [15][16] - Adjusted EBITDA margin remained flat year-over-year at 37%, with adjusted free cash flow of $184 million in Q3 [7][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the defense end market, net sales increased by 47% year-over-year, indicating strong growth initiatives [15] - The North American on-highway end market faced significant challenges, with a noted decline in demand impacting overall sales [6][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The North American on-highway market has been negatively affected by global macroeconomic factors, leading to cautious purchasing decisions from end users [6][7] - The company reported a sequential quarterly increase in cash of $124 million, ending Q3 with over $900 million in cash [8][16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on operational excellence, quality, and customer service while adapting to evolving market dynamics [7] - The acquisition of Dana's off-highway business is a strategic priority, aimed at enhancing growth opportunities [8][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects the challenging operating environment to persist in the near term, with market activity likely to remain subdued until there is greater clarity around regulatory and economic factors [6][7] - The company views the current reductions in demand as a deferral of purchases rather than a permanent change in market size [7][24] Other Important Information - The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a net leverage ratio of 1.33 times and $1.65 billion in liquidity [16] - The company is actively working to close the acquisition of Dana's off-highway business, which is expected to enhance its market position [8][62] Q&A Session Summary Question: On-highway sales decline - The decline in on-highway sales was steeper than expected, influenced by various factors including channel inventory and end market demand [20][22] Question: Fourth quarter revenue expectations - The company anticipates a sequential improvement in revenues due to expected growth in the defense segment, despite challenges in the North American on-highway market [31][32] Question: Observations on market weakness - The weakness in market demand began to manifest early in Q3, leading to adjustments in SG&A and R&D spending [35][36] Question: Impact of tariffs - The company highlighted that 85% of its components are sourced from the U.S., Mexico, and Canada, mitigating the impact of tariffs [42][44] Question: Earnings growth outlook for next year - The company is focused on managing costs and pricing, but future earnings growth will depend on end-user demand recovery [46][48] Question: International on-highway growth targets - The company sees significant opportunities in international markets and believes the Dana acquisition will enhance its global footprint [58][62]
Allison(ALSN) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-29 21:00
Q3 2025 Financial Performance - Net sales decreased by $131 million, a 16% decrease year-over-year, primarily due to lower sales in North America On-Highway, Global Off-Highway, Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other, and Outside North America On-Highway end markets, partially offset by higher sales in the Defense end market and price increases on certain products[17] - Net income decreased by $63 million, a 32% decrease year-over-year, to $137 million, principally driven by lower gross profit and acquisition-related expenses[14, 17] - Adjusted EBITDA decreased by $49 million, a 16% decrease year-over-year, to $256 million, driven by lower gross profit[14, 17] - Adjusted EBITDA margin was 36.9%, a decrease of 10 bps year-over-year, remaining essentially flat despite a challenging operating environment[14, 17] - Adjusted Free Cash Flow decreased by $26 million, a 12.4% decrease year-over-year, to $184 million, driven by lower net cash provided by operating activities and higher capital expenditures[14, 18] Segment Performance - North America On-Highway net sales decreased by 28% to $327 million, principally driven by lower demand for Class 8 vocational and medium duty trucks, partially offset by price increases and market share gains for hybrid propulsion systems for transit buses[16] - Outside North America On-Highway net sales decreased by 3% to $122 million, principally driven by lower demand in Asia, partially offset by higher demand in Europe[16] - Global Off-Highway net sales decreased by 65% to $7 million, principally driven by lower demand from the energy, mining and construction sectors outside of North America[16] - Defense net sales increased by 47% to $78 million, principally driven by increased demand for Tracked vehicle applications, price increases, and the continued execution of growth initiatives[16] - Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other net sales decreased by 5% to $159 million, principally driven by lower demand for aluminum die cast components and support equipment, partially offset by price increases[16]
Allison(ALSN) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2025-10-29 20:05
Financial Performance - Third quarter net sales were $693 million, a decrease of 15.9% year over year from $824 million[4] - Net income for the quarter was $137 million, representing 19.8% of net sales, down from $200 million in the same period last year[5][11] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $256 million, with an EBITDA margin of 37% despite a challenging demand environment[4][5] - Net income (GAAP) for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $137 million, a decrease of 31.5% from $200 million in the same period of 2024[32] - Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $256 million, representing 36.9% of net sales, compared to 37.0% in the same period of 2024[32] Market Performance - Defense end market net sales increased by 47% year over year to $78 million, driven by higher demand for tracked vehicle applications[5][6] - North America On-Highway net sales decreased by $130 million to $327 million, primarily due to lower demand for Class 8 vocational and medium-duty trucks[6][7] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Net cash provided by operating activities was $228 million, down from $246 million in the same period last year[12] - Net cash provided by operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $593 million, slightly up from $590 million in the same period of 2024[30] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period increased to $902 million, up from $788 million at the end of the same period in 2024[30] - The company expects adjusted free cash flow (Non-GAAP) for the year ending December 31, 2025, to be between $600 million and $620 million[38] Guidance and Projections - The company expects 2025 net sales to be in the range of $2,975 to $3,025 million and net income between $620 to $650 million[14] - The company provided guidance for net income (GAAP) for the year ending December 31, 2025, in the range of $620 million to $650 million[38] - Capital expenditures for 2025 are projected to be between $165 to $175 million[14] Shareholder Returns - The company repurchased $27 million of common stock and paid $23 million in dividends during the third quarter[3] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets increased to $5,517 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $5,336 million on December 31, 2024, reflecting a growth of 3.4%[28] - Total current liabilities decreased to $438 million as of September 30, 2025, from $506 million on December 31, 2024, a reduction of 13.4%[28] - Long-term debt remained stable at $2,393 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $2,395 million on December 31, 2024[28] Research and Development - Engineering research and development expenses for the quarter were $43 million, a decrease of $8 million from the same period in 2024[10] Acquisition Activities - The company incurred acquisition-related expenses of $14 million in the three months ended September 30, 2025, as part of its pending acquisition of the Dana Off-Highway business[32]
Allison Transmission Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results
Prnewswire· 2025-10-29 20:05
Core Insights - Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. reported third quarter net sales of $693 million, a decrease from $824 million in the same period last year, primarily driven by challenges in the North America On-Highway market and growth in the Defense sector [1][3][4]. Financial Performance - Net income for the quarter was $137 million, down from $200 million year-over-year, with diluted EPS at $1.63 [3][8]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $256 million, reflecting a margin of 36.9% despite a challenging demand environment [3][14]. - Net cash provided by operating activities was $228 million, a decrease from $246 million in the previous year [3][9]. Sales Breakdown by End Market - North America On-Highway sales decreased by $130 million to $327 million [4][15]. - Defense sales increased by $25 million to $78 million, marking a 47% year-over-year growth [4][15]. - Global Off-Highway sales fell by $13 million to $7 million, while Outside North America On-Highway sales decreased by $4 million [4][15]. Cost and Expense Management - Gross profit for the quarter was $329 million, down from $396 million, primarily due to lower volumes and unfavorable direct material costs [5]. - Selling, general and administrative expenses decreased to $82 million from $85 million, driven by lower incentive compensation and commercial activities spending [6]. - Engineering research and development expenses were $43 million, down from $51 million, reflecting reduced spending on product initiatives [7]. Guidance Update - The company revised its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting net sales between $2,975 million and $3,025 million, and net income in the range of $620 million to $650 million [10][11].
Allison Transmission Expands Its Global Network of Authorized Partners to Enhance Support for Cross-Drive Transmissions
Prnewswire· 2025-10-29 10:30
Core Insights - Allison Transmission has expanded its global network of authorized service providers, particularly in Poland, to support cross-drive transmissions for defense applications [1][3][4] - The partnership with Wojskowe Zakady Motoryzacyjne (WZM) allows for local maintenance and overhauls of key combat systems, enhancing national defense capabilities [3][4] - The company aims to improve operational readiness for defense vehicles by reducing the need for transoceanic shipments and facilitating local servicing [4][5] Company Expansion - Allison Transmission is the largest manufacturer of medium- and heavy-duty fully automatic transmissions, with a presence in over 150 countries [7] - The company has approximately 1,600 independent distributors and dealers worldwide, which supports its strategy of local service provision [5][7] - The expansion of the Authorized Network is a response to customer demand for nearby service and support capabilities [5] Strategic Partnerships - The agreement with WZM complements existing service capabilities in Poland, enhancing local support for wheeled and tracked vehicles [3][4] - Allison's focus on local servicing and training aims to decrease costs and downtime for customers [4][5] - The company has introduced similar service capabilities in various countries over the past two years, with plans for further expansion [5]
The London Company Mid Cap Portfolio: Top 3 Contributors And Detractors
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-29 01:30
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific information or insights regarding a company or industry [1]
J.P. Morgan Cautious on Allison, Points to Macro Drags and Delayed Upside
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-28 15:27
Company Overview - Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ALSN) is recognized as one of the most profitable manufacturing stocks currently available for investment [1] - The company specializes in developing fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles, providing fuel and operator efficiency advantages while holding a leading market share [4] Analyst Insights - On October 14, 2025, J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. analyst Tami Zakaria maintained a Neutral rating on Allison Transmission, reducing the 12-month price target from $95 to $90 [1] - The adjustment in the price target reflects broader industrial caution, as the machinery/waste-services segment typically lags after the Federal Reserve's first rate cut, and renewed tariffs on Chinese goods may negatively impact the company's Q4 performance [2] Market Conditions - J.P. Morgan's shift in target horizon from December 2025 to December 2026 indicates a belief that significant upside potential may only materialize over time [2] - The Neutral rating suggests that while Allison is not fundamentally flawed, it is not positioned for immediate breakout performance, with limited near-term upside unless macroeconomic conditions improve [3] - The company's performance is closely linked to global truck orders, industrial capital expenditures, and fluctuations in trade policy [3]