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Will Affiliated Managers (AMG) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-01-08 18:32
Core Viewpoint - Affiliated Managers Group (AMG) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a strong history of exceeding expectations and favorable earnings estimates changes [1][2]. Earnings Performance - AMG has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 6.57% over the past two quarters [1]. - In the last reported quarter, AMG achieved earnings of $4.08 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.78 per share by 7.94% [1]. - For the previous quarter, AMG's earnings were $4.45 per share against an expected $4.23 per share, resulting in a surprise of 5.20% [1]. Earnings Estimates - Recent changes in earnings estimates for AMG have been favorable, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [2]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [2]. Earnings ESP Metric - The Earnings ESP for AMG is currently +1.48%, indicating increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [3]. - A positive Earnings ESP combined with a Zacks Rank of 3 suggests a high probability of another earnings beat [3]. Importance of Earnings ESP - The Earnings ESP is a critical metric for predicting earnings performance, as it compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate [3]. - A negative Earnings ESP can reduce predictive power but does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [3].
Affiliated Managers (AMG) - 2023 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2023-11-06 20:06
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMG) Q3 2023 Earnings Conference Call November 6, 2023 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Patricia Figueroa - IR Jay Horgen - CEO Thomas Wojcik - CFO Conference Call Participants Dan Fannon - Jefferies. Alex Blostein - Goldman Sachs. Craig Siegenthaler - Bank of America. Brian Bedell - Deutsche Bank Operator Greetings, and welcome to the AMG Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn ...
Affiliated Managers (AMG) - 2023 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2023-11-05 16:00
Table of Contents Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock ($0.01 par value) AMG New York Stock Exchange 5.875% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2059 MGR New York Stock Exchange 4.750% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2060 MGRB New York Stock Exchange 4.200% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2061 MGRD New York Stock Exchange UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, DC 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) O ...
Affiliated Managers (AMG) - 2023 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2023-08-06 16:00
Table of Contents Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock ($0.01 par value) AMG New York Stock Exchange 5.875% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2059 MGR New York Stock Exchange 4.750% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2060 MGRB New York Stock Exchange 4.200% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2061 MGRD New York Stock Exchange UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, DC 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) O ...
Affiliated Managers (AMG) - 2023 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2023-07-26 15:42
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2023 was $214 million, which included $20 million of net performance fee earnings, reflecting ongoing execution of the growth strategy and strong performance in liquid alternative strategies [16] - Economic earnings per share increased by 10% year-over-year to $4.45, benefiting from share repurchases and discrete foreign tax benefits [16] - Net client cash outflows, excluding certain quantitative strategies, were $7 billion, primarily driven by global equities, which offset strength in alternatives [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Alternatives reported nearly $2 billion in net inflows during Q2 2023, with significant contributions from private market flows at Pantheon, EIG, and Comvest [17] - Liquid alternatives saw flat net flows, but absolute return-oriented strategies experienced strong demand with $1 billion in inflows, offset by lockup expirations on beta-sensitive strategies [18] - U.S. equities faced net outflows of approximately $2 billion, while multi-asset and fixed income flows remained flat [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately half of the company's earnings in the last 12 months were generated by alternative strategies, including private markets and liquid alternatives [11] - The company expects the composition of earnings to reflect an even greater contribution from alternatives moving forward [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company announced a new partnership with Forbion, marking its seventh investment in alternatives over the last four years, which aims to evolve the business towards in-demand strategies [4][5] - The focus remains on deploying additional capital toward private markets and liquid alternatives, leveraging financial flexibility and a disciplined capital allocation strategy [5][14] - The company aims to build a multi-generational firm by enhancing strategic capabilities and offering a broad array of partnership solutions to independent firms [7][8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while active equity outflows are impacting the current macro environment, the underlying momentum in alternatives remains strong [12] - The company is well-positioned to continue evolving its business through growth investments, supported by a robust financial position and a strong pipeline of opportunities [13][14] - Management expressed confidence in generating incremental value over time through disciplined capital allocation and strategic partnerships [25] Other Important Information - The company completed an accelerated share repurchase program, repurchasing additional shares worth $44 million in Q2 2023, totaling $269 million in share repurchases for the first half of 2023 [23] - The veritable transaction is expected to generate approximately $294 million in pre-tax proceeds, contributing to future earnings per share growth [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Is wealth management an immediate term priority for the company? - Management confirmed that wealth management is a focus area, with strategies to invest in independent wealth management firms and expand access to private markets and liquid alternatives [28][30] Question: Will the company consider pruning traditional businesses? - Management indicated that the business shape is changing, with nearly half of EBITDA coming from alternatives, but there is no intention to move away from high-quality active equity affiliates [34][37] Question: How has the M&A pipeline evolved over the last six months? - Management noted a steady flow of opportunities in the M&A pipeline, with expectations that valuations have moderated, making it a constructive environment for potential transactions [42][44] Question: Is there a pipeline of larger, impactful deals? - Management stated that there is a diverse pipeline of small, medium, and large transactions, with a focus on maintaining discipline in capital deployment [50][52]
Affiliated Managers (AMG) - 2023 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2023-05-07 16:00
Table of Contents Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock ($0.01 par value) AMG New York Stock Exchange 5.875% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2059 MGR New York Stock Exchange 4.750% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2060 MGRB New York Stock Exchange 4.200% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2061 MGRD New York Stock Exchange UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, DC 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) O ...
Affiliated Managers (AMG) - 2023 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2023-05-01 16:04
Affiliated Managers Group Inc. (NYSE:AMG) Q1 2023 Results Conference Call May 1, 2023 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Patricia Figueroa - IR Jay Horgen - CEO Tom Wojcik - CFO Conference Call Participants Bill Katz - Credit Suisse Daniel Fannon - Jefferies Craig Siegenthaler - Bank of America Alex Blostein - Goldman Sachs Brian Bedell - Deutsche Bank Patrick Davitt - Autonomous Research Operator Greetings, and welcome to the AMG First Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen ...
Affiliated Managers (AMG) - 2022 Q4 - Annual Report
2023-02-16 16:00
Table of Contents ___________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock ($0.01 par value) AMG New York Stock Exchange 5.875% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2059 MGR New York Stock Exchange 4.750% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2060 MGRB New York Stock Exchange 4.200% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2061 MGRD New York Stock E ...
Affiliated Managers (AMG) - 2022 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2023-02-06 16:03
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMG) Q4 2022 Earnings Conference Call February 6, 2023 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Patricia Figueroa - Head of Investor Relations Jay Horgen - President and Chief Executive Officer Tom Wojcik - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Alex Blostein - Goldman Sachs Craig Siegenthaler - Bank of America Bill Katz - Credit Suisse Dan Fannon - Jefferies Brian Bedell - Deutsche Bank Operator Greetings, and welcome to the AMG Fourth Quarter 2022 Earnings Call. ...
Affiliated Managers (AMG) - 2022 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2023-02-06 13:24
Investor Overview Q4 2022 AMG: Partner to Industry-Leading Independent Investment Firms 30 year partnership history with leading investment specialists 35+ independent Affiliates offering diverse suite of investment products >$1 billion EBITDA across outstanding return-oriented strategies Industry-Leading Independent Managers Attractive partnership model self-selects entrepreneurial, growing firms and enables access to specialist capabilities at scale Multi-Faceted Growth Strategy Unique combination of grow ...