The market expects Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended May 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected t ...

Core Viewpoint - Applied Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: APLD) is viewed positively, with a strong buy rating initiated in December and reiterated in April, indicating a bullish sentiment towards the stock [1]. Company Analysis - The company is positioned as an undervalued investment opportunity, leveraging the analyst's extensive experience in financial markets and institutions to provide thorough research and analysis [1]. Market Trends - The analysis includes a focus on financial statements, market trends, and upcoming events that may impact Applied Digital Corporation and its industry [1].

Core Insights - The article highlights the emergence of Applied Digital (APLD) and CoreWeave (CRWV) as key players in the AI infrastructure market, transitioning from legacy models to focus on high-performance computing (HPC) and AI-optimized data centers [2][3] - Both companies are positioned to benefit from increasing enterprise and hyperscaler demand for GPU-powered infrastructure [2] Applied Digital Overview - Applied Digital reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 revenues of $52.9 million, showing a significant year-over-year increase as it transitions from a crypto-hosting model to HPC and AI infrastructure [4] - Fiscal 2025 revenues for APLD are projected to exceed $200 million, supported by diverse revenue streams including traditional data center hosting, AI cloud infrastructure, and a growing HPC segment [5] - The company's Ellendale campus, its flagship AI data center, has started onboarding customers, marking a pivotal moment for recurring revenue growth [5] - APLD is focusing on developing liquid-cooled, high-density data centers optimized for AI workloads, which have attracted clients needing compute-heavy infrastructure [6] - Long-term contracts with AI service providers are being signed to enhance revenue visibility and reduce volatility, alongside disciplined capital expenditures and a shift towards higher-margin services [7] CoreWeave Overview - CoreWeave achieved first-quarter 2025 revenues of $438 million, a fourfold increase year-over-year, driven by strong demand for AI workloads [9] - The company operates 33 purpose-built AI data centers across the U.S. and Europe, with industry-leading GPU availability attracting enterprise-grade clients [10] - Exclusive long-term contracts with AI-native firms and research labs provide revenue stability and visibility, while investments in custom orchestration software enhance operational efficiency [11] - Management projects 2025 revenues to reach $5 billion, supported by onboarding large AI clients and expanding GPU capacity [12] Market Performance and Valuation - Over the past three months, APLD shares have increased by 154.7%, while CRWV shares have surged by 265.9% [14] - APLD trades at a forward sales multiple of 8.37, while CRWV's forward sales multiple is at 8.11, reflecting high growth expectations and improving profitability for both companies [15] Investment Outlook - APLD presents a compelling opportunity for investors seeking early-stage growth with significant upside potential, leveraging its diversified revenue model and disciplined capex strategy [19] - In contrast, CRWV may face valuation saturation due to its already scaled operations [19] - For investors looking to enter the AI infrastructure space, APLD is positioned as a more attractive growth story with potential for outperformance [20]

Core Insights - Applied Digital (APLD) achieved a 22% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 of fiscal 2025, totaling $52.9 million, despite challenges in its Cloud Services segment [2][10] - The company is transitioning its business model, focusing on high-performance computing (HPC) hosting, particularly for AI infrastructure, while facing a decline in Cloud Services revenue [3][6] Financial Performance - Cloud Services segment revenues fell to $17.8 million due to a shift to on-demand capacity and technical issues, which have since been resolved [2][10] - Data Center Hosting segment revenues increased to $35.2 million, driven by full utilization of North Dakota facilities and favorable Bitcoin pricing [3][10] - APLD's aggressive capital expenditures range from $30 million to $50 million per month, with a total debt of $689 million [5][10] Strategic Developments - The construction of the Ellendale campus, a 400MW data center, is on schedule, with the first 100MW facility expected to launch in Q4 2025 [4] - APLD has secured significant funding, including $5 billion from Macquarie and $375 million from SMBC, to support its strategic pivot [4] - The company is experiencing strong leasing interest, with potential for a single anchor customer to occupy the entire initial build [4] Competitive Landscape - Digital Realty (DLR) is expanding its AI infrastructure with a $10 billion U.S. Hyperscale Data Center Fund, focusing on major metropolitan areas [7] - Equinix (EQIX) is also capitalizing on AI demand, with numerous projects underway and a strategy emphasizing high-density builds [8] Valuation and Estimates - APLD's shares have increased by 24.6% year-to-date, outperforming the industry growth of 4.5% [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 7.97X, significantly above the industry average and its five-year median of 1.47 [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for APLD's fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a 67.7% year-over-year increase [14]

Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Market Highlights - Yunfeng Financial (00376) surged over 21% as the company plans to strategically invest in digital currency and AI sectors [1] - China Merchants Securities (06099) opened nearly 15% higher and is currently up over 4% after receiving approval for a virtual asset license [1] - GDS Holdings (09698) rose over 7% as its Southern GDS data center REIT concluded public investor fundraising ahead of schedule [1] - Hillstone Technology (01478) increased nearly 6% with positive earnings expectations, and Citigroup anticipates a favorable market reaction [1] - Sunny Optical Technology (02382) briefly rose over 3% and is currently up over 1% as its lithography equipment successfully entered Shanghai, indicating a shift to mass production [1] - Kintor Pharmaceutical (02171) saw an early gain of over 3% after achieving positive results in the European patent opposition process [1] - Bilibili (09626) rose over 5% as HSBC expressed optimism about its gaming and advertising business, with new games planned for 2025 [1] - Solar stocks experienced a decline, with institutions citing electricity prices affecting the stable profitability of new energy projects [1] Group 2: U.S. Stock Market Highlights - The U.S. nuclear sector saw gains, with NuScale Power (SMR.US) up 12.38% and Oklo Inc (OKLO.US) up 11.29%, following comments from the U.S. Energy Secretary about a nuclear revival [3] - Autodesk (ADSK.US) rebounded 5.05% after a period of decline, expressing confidence in its cloud and AI business strategies [3] - Sonnet BioTherapeutics (SONN.US) surged 86.46% due to a merger announcement, forming a cryptocurrency financial company valued at $888 million [3] - Quantum stocks rose, with D-Wave Quantum (QBTS.US) up 6.89% and Quantum Computing (QUBT.US) up 8.66% [3] - Hims & Hers Health (HIMS.US) increased 8.64% as it plans to enter the Canadian market with a generic drug following the expiration of a patent [4] - Rocket Lab (RKLB.US) rose 10.71% after Citigroup raised its target price, noting a significant increase in global space technology investments [4] - Nvidia-related stocks mostly strengthened as Jensen Huang made his third visit to China this year [5] - Cryptocurrency stocks collectively rose, with Bitcoin surpassing $120,000, driven by upcoming legislative reviews in the U.S. [5] - Tesla (TSLA.US) gained 1.08% amid investor speculation regarding a stake in xAI [5] - Netflix (NFLX.US) rose 1.35% ahead of its upcoming earnings report, with analysts projecting significant revenue growth [6]

Core Insights - Applied Digital (APLD) is shifting its focus towards hyperscale data center leasing, particularly for AI infrastructure, as its Cloud Services segment struggles to achieve profitability [1][4] - APLD's third-quarter fiscal 2025 revenues increased by 22% year-over-year to $52.9 million, but the Cloud business generated only $17.8 million, reflecting a sequential decline due to technical issues and a shift to on-demand capacity [1][9] - The Data Center Hosting segment is gaining traction, supported by significant financing agreements, including a $5 billion deal with Macquarie and a $375 million agreement with SMBC [2] Financial Performance - APLD's Cloud Services business incurred over $10 million in losses during the fiscal third quarter, facing competitive pressure from CoreWeave [3] - The company is exploring options to divest or spin out its Cloud Services business, which is seen as a hindrance to its leasing negotiations and potential REIT transition [3][4] - APLD's stock has increased by 20.7% year-to-date, contrasting with a 3.5% decline in the industry [8] Strategic Developments - APLD is developing its Ellendale campus with a planned 400MW critical IT load, with the first 100MW facility expected to be operational in the fourth quarter of 2025 [2] - A landmark $7 billion lease agreement with CoreWeave is expected to provide recurring revenues over 15 years, underscoring the economic potential of APLD's HPC infrastructure [2][9] - The company has a planned buildout of 1.4GW and is engaged in active lease discussions, although it faces execution risks related to high capital expenditures of $30–50 million per month [3] Valuation and Estimates - APLD trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 7.97X, which is above the industry average and its five-year median of 5.03X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for APLD's fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year increase of 73.6% [11]

Group 1 - Investors in Applied Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: APLD) have seen approximately 200% gains since the tariff sell-off lows, indicating that markets continue to reward selective growth narratives despite various pressures and uncertainties [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of rigorous risk management and a long-term perspective on value creation in investment strategies [1] - There is a focus on macroeconomic trends, corporate earnings, and financial statement analysis to provide actionable investment ideas [1]

Core Insights - Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) reported a 22% revenue growth in Q3 fiscal 2025, reaching $52.9 million, primarily due to expanded data center and cloud capacity [1][11] - The company experienced a widening net loss of $36.1 million, equating to a 16-cent loss per share, raising concerns about sustainability amid aggressive expansion [1][11] Financial Performance - APLD's adjusted EBITDA improved significantly to $10 million, indicating underlying business potential despite short-term challenges [2] - Cost of revenues increased to $49.1 million due to higher facility operations, while interest expenses nearly doubled to $8.9 million, reflecting elevated debt levels of $689.1 million [3] - Seasonal power costs and a shift from single to multi-tenant cloud configurations contributed to margin compression [3] Strategic Developments - APLD is on track to launch its Ellendale campus in Q4 fiscal 2025, supported by strategic financing commitments of $5 billion from Macquarie and $375 million from SMBC [2] - The company plans to divest its Cloud Services business to mitigate competition with hyperscaler clients and prepare for a potential REIT transition, raising questions about long-term strategic coherence [4][5] Market Position - APLD's stock has increased by 27.7% year-to-date, outperforming the industry average gain of 3.2% [10] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 8.64, significantly above the industry average and its five-year median of 1.45, indicating potential overvaluation [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for APLD's fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year increase of 73.6% [13] - Current estimates indicate a projected loss of $0.99 for the current year, with expectations of narrowing losses to $0.27 in the next year [14]

Core Insights - Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) shares have increased by 52% in June, outperforming the Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry's 9.3% rise, driven by growing demand for AI services and infrastructure progress [1][8] - APLD has entered into two 15-year lease agreements with CoreWeave, expected to generate $7 billion in total revenues, enhancing its AI and HPC infrastructure presence [7][8] Industry Trends - Major tech companies like Microsoft and Meta are signaling increased demand for hyperscale, colocation, and AI workloads, with Meta planning to invest $62.5 billion and Microsoft projecting $80 billion in capital expenditures by 2025 [2] - Other tech giants, including Amazon, Alphabet, and Oracle, are also expanding their AI data center capacities to support cloud services [2] Financial Performance - APLD reported a loss of $0.16 per share for Q3 FY2025, compared to earnings of $0.52 per share a year ago, despite robust sales growth [3] - The company is expected to see a small sales uptick in Q4, with earnings projected to improve by nearly 81% year over year [3] Growth Drivers - APLD has deployed nearly $1 billion in assets over the past year for data center construction, currently operating 286 megawatts of contracted hosting capacity, primarily for Bitcoin miners [9] - The company is building three new facilities expected to add 700 megawatts of capacity by 2027, significantly scaling its footprint for HPC and AI workloads [9] Capital and Funding - APLD secured a $150 million equity facility to raise capital for HPC infrastructure expansion, addressing significant cash burn from elevated capital expenditures [10] - The company ended Q3 with $100 million in cash, down from $308 million in the previous quarter, but the new facility is expected to provide necessary liquidity for growth [10] Sales and Earnings Estimates - Zacks Consensus Estimates project sales of $44.78 million for the current quarter and $46.83 million for the next quarter, with year-over-year growth estimates of 34.25% for the current year [11] - EPS estimates show a year-over-year growth of 80.77% for the current quarter, with expectations of improved profitability in the coming periods [12] Challenges - APLD faces rising costs due to increased depreciation of newly built facilities, which may pressure near-term profitability [13] - Seasonal fluctuations in power costs have impacted margins, and a significant drop in Cloud Services revenues was noted during the transition to a multi-tenant model [13][14] Valuation - APLD stock is currently trading at a premium, with a forward price-to-sales ratio of 9.24X compared to the industry average of 3.86X, indicating a lofty valuation [16] Conclusion - Despite near-term challenges, APLD is strategically positioned for long-term growth in the AI and HPC infrastructure market, with strong partnerships and expansion plans [19] - The outlook remains promising for APLD as it aims to convert investments into sustainable revenue streams [19]

Group 1: Growth Stocks Overview - Growth stocks are experiencing significant momentum, with several small- and mid-cap stocks rising 40% or more in the past 30 days due to investor interest in innovative growth companies and the impact of AI development [1] - The Trump administration's efforts to roll back regulations are also contributing to this trend [1] Group 2: Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) - Viking Therapeutics has initiated its VANQUISH Phase 3 clinical program for VK2735, a dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist targeting obesity, which could transform the company into a pharmaceutical powerhouse [4] - The Phase 2 VENTURE study showed patients achieving up to 14.7% body-weight reduction after 13 weekly doses, with 95% of gastrointestinal side effects being mild or moderate [5] - The obesity market is projected to reach $150 billion by 2035, and Viking's oral formulation could significantly expand its addressable market compared to competitors requiring weekly injections [6] - Viking's comprehensive approach in trials for obesity and diabetes could support premium pricing, and if VK2735 meets its endpoints, the stock could potentially double or triple [7] Group 3: Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) - Applied Digital Corporation secured a $7 billion, 15-year hosting agreement with CoreWeave, validating its high-performance computing strategy [9] - Despite missing revenue expectations in Q3 FY2025, management anticipates significant growth as the Ellendale facility comes online starting Q4 2025 [10] - The AI boom is driving demand for high-performance computing infrastructure, positioning Applied Digital well to capture this growth [11] Group 4: Palantir Technologies (PLTR) - Palantir Technologies' stock is considered overvalued at 263 times forward earnings, yet it has risen 90% this year, indicating strong market confidence [12] - The Pentagon increased Palantir's Maven Smart System budget to $1.3 billion over four years, and the company is negotiating new contracts with various government agencies [13] - Commercial revenue grew 33% year over year to $397 million, contributing to total revenue of $884 million, a 39% increase, suggesting Palantir's software is becoming a standard for AI deployment [14] Group 5: Market Trends and Strategies - The market often overlooks companies with innovative solutions to significant problems, focusing instead on predictable business models [15] - Viking's oral alternative could attract patients averse to injectables, Applied Digital is developing AI infrastructure, and Palantir is establishing a recurring revenue stream from government contracts, all indicating a shift in market focus [16]