Arrow Financial (AROW) is expected to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The earnings report might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the st ...

One stock that might be an intriguing choice for investors right now is Arrow Financial Corporation (AROW) . This is because this security in the Banks - Northeast space is seeing solid earnings estimate revision activity, and is in great company from a Zacks Industry Rank perspective.This is important because, often times, a rising tide will lift all boats in an industry, as there can be broad trends taking place in a segment that are boosting securities across the board. This is arguably taking place in t ...

Core Viewpoint - Arrow Financial (AROW) shares have recently declined by 9.5% over the past week, but the formation of a hammer chart pattern suggests potential support and a possible trend reversal in the future [1][2]. Technical Analysis - The hammer chart pattern indicates a potential bottoming out, suggesting that selling pressure may be exhausting, which could lead to a trend reversal [2][4]. - A hammer pattern forms when there is a small candle body with a long lower wick, indicating that despite a downtrend, buying interest emerges at lower prices [3][4]. - This pattern can occur across various timeframes and is utilized by both short-term and long-term investors [4]. Fundamental Analysis - There has been a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions for AROW, which is a bullish indicator suggesting potential price appreciation [6]. - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for the current year has increased by 1.5%, indicating that analysts expect better earnings than previously predicted [7]. - AROW currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks, which typically outperform the market [8].

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-K ☒ Annual Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2024 ☐ Transition Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Commission File Number: 0-12507 ARROW FINANCIAL CORPORATION (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) New York 22-2448962 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) (I.R.S. Em ...

Core Insights - Arrow Financial Corporation's earnings missed estimates in the last quarter due to several unexpected items [1] - The loan growth estimate has been reduced, leading to a lower earnings estimate for the company [1]

Company Overview - Arrow Financial (AROW) is headquartered in Glens Falls and operates in the Finance sector, with a year-to-date stock price change of -6.06% [3] - The company currently pays a dividend of $0.28 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.15%, which is significantly higher than the Banks - Northeast industry's yield of 2.51% and the S&P 500's yield of 1.53% [3] Dividend Performance - Arrow Financial's annualized dividend of $1.12 has increased by 2.8% from the previous year [4] - Over the past five years, the company has raised its dividend five times, achieving an average annual increase of 4.19% [4] - The current payout ratio stands at 57%, indicating that the company distributes 57% of its trailing 12-month earnings per share as dividends [4] Earnings Growth - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Arrow Financial's earnings in 2025 is projected at $2.65 per share, reflecting an expected increase of 29.27% compared to the previous year [5] Investment Considerations - Arrow Financial is considered a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong dividend profile and current Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [7] - The company is positioned as a solid dividend play, particularly appealing to income investors, despite the general challenges high-yielding stocks face during periods of rising interest rates [7]

Financial Performance - Arrow reported a net income of $4.5 million, or $0.27 per share, for Q4 2024, down from $7.7 million and $0.46 per share in Q4 2023[2] - For the full year 2024, net income totaled $29.7 million, with EPS of $1.77, compared to $30.1 million and EPS of $1.77 in 2023[2] - The company reported a net income of $29.7 million for the year, with diluted earnings per share of $1.77[21] - Net income for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, was $4,470 million, a decrease of 50.2% compared to $8,975 million in the previous quarter[25] - Basic earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $0.27, down from $0.54 in the previous quarter, reflecting a decline of 50%[25] Loan and Asset Growth - Loan growth for Q4 2024 was $59 million, representing a 7.0% annualized growth rate, while total loan balances reached a record $3.4 billion[4] - Total assets increased by $136.5 million, or 3.3%, to $4.3 billion at year-end 2024, driven primarily by loan growth[12] - Total assets increased to $4.3 billion, up from $4.2 billion in the previous year, reflecting growth in loans and deposits[23] - Total loans increased to $3,394,541 million in Q4 2024, up from $3,212,908 million in Q4 2023, representing a growth of 5.66%[40] - Total assets reached $4,339,833 thousand as of December 31, 2024, compared to $4,159,313 thousand a year earlier, indicating a growth of 4.3%[32] Interest Income and Margin - The net interest margin improved to 2.83% in Q4 2024, compared to 2.78% in the prior quarter, and 2.72% for the full year, up from 2.65% in 2023[4][9] - Net interest income for the year was $111.7 million, an increase from $104.8 million in 2023, with a net interest margin reflecting competitive rate pressures[21] - Net interest income for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, was $29,687 thousand, an increase from $25,613 thousand in the same quarter of 2023, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 15.3%[32] - The net interest margin (tax-equivalent) for the quarter was 2.85%, up from 2.79% in the previous quarter, indicating improved efficiency in earning assets[29] - The Net Interest Spread was 2.21% for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, compared to 1.89% in the same quarter of 2023[32] Non-Interest Income and Expenses - Non-interest income for Q4 2024 was $4.2 million, a decrease from $8.1 million in the previous quarter, and total non-interest income for the year was $28.1 million, down 3.6% from 2023[12] - Non-interest income totaled $28.1 million for the year, slightly down from $29.1 million in 2023, impacted by a net loss on securities[21] - Non-interest expense for the year was $97.3 million, compared to $93.0 million in 2023, primarily due to increased salaries and technology expenses[21] Credit Quality and Losses - The provision for credit losses was $5.2 million for the year, an increase from $3.4 million in the prior year, with net charge-offs at 0.09% for 2024[9][10] - The allowance for credit losses was $33.6 million at year-end 2024, representing 0.99% of loans outstanding, up from 0.97% at year-end 2023[12] - The allowance for credit losses at the end of the quarter was $33,598 million, compared to $31,265 million a year earlier, reflecting an increase of 7.43%[40] - The provision for credit losses for the quarter was $2,854 million, significantly higher than $525 million in Q4 2023, marking a substantial increase of 443.81%[40] - The net loans charged-off to average loans ratio for the quarter was 0.06%, up from 0.05% in the same quarter last year, suggesting a slight deterioration in loan performance[40] Shareholder Equity and Dividends - Total shareholders' equity rose to $400.9 million, an increase of $21.1 million or 5.6% from December 31, 2023, driven by net income of $29.7 million for the year[17] - Arrow declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.28 per share, an increase of 3.7% from the previous dividend[4] - Total stockholders' equity increased to $400,901 million from $393,311 million in the previous quarter, a rise of 2.0%[28] - Stockholders' Equity increased to $393,696 thousand as of December 31, 2024, from $363,753 thousand a year earlier, representing an increase of 8.2%[32] Regulatory and Recognition - The Common Equity Tier 1 Capital Ratio was 12.71% and the Total Risk-Based Capital Ratio was 14.47%, significantly exceeding regulatory standards[17] - Arrow was named to the Piper Sandler Sm-All Stars: Class of 2024, recognizing it as one of the top 30 small-cap banks in the U.S.[17] - Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio decreased to 12.71% from 13.00% year-over-year, remaining above the required minimum of 7.00%[30] Operational Developments - The company completed the unification of its two subsidiary banks under the Arrow Bank brand and acquired a bank branch in Whitehall, New York, along with a local insurance agency[3] - Arrow's subsidiary banks maintained 5-Star Exceptional Performance ratings from Bauer Financial for multiple quarters[17]

Core Viewpoint - Arrow Financial Corporation has appointed four new members to its Board of Directors, enhancing its leadership with diverse expertise and experience [1][6]. Group 1: New Board Members - James M. Dawsey brings over 45 years of construction management experience, focusing on financial statements, cost control, and operational efficiency [2]. - Dr. Kristine D. Duffy has over 35 years in higher education, contributing expertise in personnel management, strategic planning, and capital fundraising [3]. - Philip Morris, with nearly 50 years in cultural facility development, has raised over $200 million for projects, offering insights into fundraising and community engagement [4]. - Daniel J. White, a CPA with 37 years in community bank auditing, adds significant accounting expertise to the board [5]. Group 2: Company Overview - Arrow Financial Corporation is a multi-bank holding company based in Glens Falls, New York, serving northeastern New York's financial needs [6]. - The company is the parent of Glens Falls National Bank and Trust Company and Saratoga National Bank and Trust Company, with additional subsidiaries including North Country Investment Advisers, Inc. and Upstate Agency, LLC [6].

Core Points - Arrow Financial Corporation's banking subsidiaries have joined the Allpoint ATM Network, providing access to over 50,000 ATMs in the U.S. and internationally [1][2] - Customers can now withdraw cash without incurring fees at various locations, including big-box stores and pharmacies, enhancing convenience [2][3] - The partnership allows customers to use Allpoint ATMs without any additional sign-up, and they can also make cash deposits of up to $200 at select ATMs [3] Company Overview - Arrow Financial Corporation includes Glens Falls National Bank and Trust Company, Saratoga National Bank and Trust Company, and Upstate Agency, LLC, serving northeastern New York [4]

Company Overview - Arrow Financial Corporation plans to complete the Unification of its banking subsidiaries by December 31, 2024[142]. - The company operates two banking subsidiaries, GFNB and SNB, with main offices in Glens Falls and Saratoga Springs, New York, respectively[142]. - Arrow's performance is compared with a peer group of 190 domestic bank holding companies with total consolidated assets between $3 billion and $10 billion[141]. Financial Performance - Net income for the quarter ended September 30, 2024, was $8,975,000, an increase from $8,604,000 in the previous quarter[154]. - Basic earnings per share rose to $0.54 from $0.52 in the prior quarter, while diluted earnings per share remained at $0.53[154]. - Total stockholders' equity increased to $393,311,000 from $383,018,000 in the previous quarter[156]. - Loans increased to $3,329,873,000, up from $3,280,285,000 in the previous quarter, reflecting a growth in lending activity[154]. - Interest income for the quarter was $49,443,000, compared to $47,972,000 in the previous quarter, indicating a positive trend in interest earnings[154]. - Net interest income rose to $28,438,000 from $27,152,000 in the prior quarter, showcasing improved profitability from interest-earning assets[154]. - The return on average assets was 0.84%, up from 0.82% in the previous quarter, while the return on average equity increased to 9.20% from 9.15%[154]. - Total assets remained stable at $4,245,597,000, slightly up from $4,237,359,000 in the previous quarter[154]. - The efficiency ratio improved to 65.59%, down from 66.29% in the previous quarter, indicating better cost management[154]. Capital and Liquidity - Common Equity Tier 1 Capital Ratio stood at 12.77% as of September 30, 2024, slightly down from 12.88% in June 2024, but above the regulatory minimum of 7.00%[158]. - Total Risk Weighted Assets increased to $3,110,178 million in Q3 2024, up from $3,072,922 million in Q2 2024, indicating growth in the asset base[158]. - The total primary liquidity was approximately $483 million, with a primary liquidity ratio of about 11.0% of total assets, well above the internal policy limit of 5%[215]. - Arrow's subsidiary banks qualified as "well-capitalized," meeting the highest capital classification standards with CET1, Tier 1, and total risk-based capital ratios of 12.77%, 13.41%, and 14.46%, respectively[208]. Loan and Deposit Trends - Total loans reached $3.3 billion as of September 30, 2024, with loan growth of $24.2 million in Q3 2024 and $201.2 million since September 30, 2023[164]. - Deposit balances were $3.8 billion at September 30, 2024, an increase of $153.8 million from June 30, 2024, and $171.0 million from September 30, 2023[164]. - Total deposits increased by $149.9 million, or 4.1%, from December 31, 2023, reaching $3.8 billion[177]. - Noninterest-bearing deposits accounted for 19.6% of total deposits, a decrease from 22.3% a year ago[196]. Non-Interest Income and Expenses - Non-interest income for Q3 2024 was $8.1 million, up from $7.9 million in Q2 2024 and consistent with Q3 2023[164]. - Salaries and employee benefits increased by $1.458 million, or 12.2%, to $13.446 million in Q3 2024 compared to Q3 2023[221]. - Non-interest expense for the first nine months of 2024 was $71.4 million, an increase of $1.6 million, or 2.3%, from the same period in 2023[228]. Credit Quality and Losses - The provision for credit losses was $0.9 million in Q3 2024, compared to $0.8 million in Q2 2024 and $0.4 million in Q3 2023[164]. - Nonperforming loans reached $21.9 million, representing 0.66% of period-end loans, an increase from 0.20% in the previous year[166]. - The allowance for credit losses was $31,262 thousand at the end of Q3 2024, consistent with $31,009 thousand at the end of Q2 2024, and decreased from $31,112 thousand at the end of Q3 2023[201]. Investment Securities - As of September 30, 2024, the total fair value of available-for-sale securities decreased to $437,067,000 from $497,769,000 as of December 31, 2023, representing a decline of $60,702,000 or approximately 12.2%[181]. - The company held no investment securities related to foreign governments or agencies as of September 30, 2024[182]. - The total fair value of held-to-maturity securities decreased to $103,337,000 as of September 30, 2024, from $128,837,000 as of December 31, 2023[181]. Economic Outlook - The economic forecast indicates a projected negative change of approximately 0.25% in the national unemployment rate and a 0.07% improvement in GDP[200].