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Auna: Scalable, Profitable, Misunderstood
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-23 17:00
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying high-quality and mispriced investment opportunities, suggesting that great investment ideas should be intuitive and involve purchasing strong companies at favorable prices [1]. Group 1 - The focus is on the role of an investment analyst in uncovering valuable investment ideas, highlighting the necessity of thorough research and analysis [1]. - The article suggests that successful investments are characterized by a combination of quality companies and attractive pricing, which can lead to significant returns [1].
Auna S.A.(AUNA) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-21 13:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Auna reported consolidated revenue and EBITDA growth of only 41% on an FX neutral basis, which was lower than expected [7][8] - Net income was positive for the fifth consecutive quarter, indicating underlying financial stability despite operational setbacks [12][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Peru's operations outperformed, with a 10% increase in revenue driven by higher surgery volumes and improved pricing, while adjusted EBITDA increased by 19% [20][22] - In Mexico, revenues decreased by 4% and adjusted EBITDA by 5% on an FX neutral basis, attributed to operational setbacks and a challenging macroeconomic environment [15][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Capacity utilization in Peru increased by 4.4 percentage points year-over-year, while it decreased by 0.9 and 2.1 percentage points in Mexico and Colombia, respectively [14] - Colombia saw a 5% revenue increase in local currency, driven by risk-sharing models and diversification of the payer portfolio [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains committed to transforming healthcare in Spanish-speaking Latin America through its value-based care model, with a focus on high complexity services [29] - Auna is diversifying its payer mix in Colombia to manage risk and stabilize cash flows, while also aiming to recover growth momentum in Mexico [30][31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged operational setbacks in Mexico but expressed confidence in recovering growth momentum as corrective measures are implemented [8][12] - The company is optimistic about the long-term potential in Colombia and continues to focus on improving payment flows and cash cycle [30] Other Important Information - Auna's debt leverage remained unchanged, with a commitment to reach a midterm target of three times or less [12][28] - The company has maintained a solid cash position despite a 15% decrease in cash, generating PEN165 million of pretax operating cash flow [24][27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on Mexico's operations and transition to the Auna Way - Management clarified that the transition is necessary for long-term growth and efficiency, emphasizing the importance of aligning physician practices with the Auna model [35][36] Question: Update on Colombia's risk-sharing agreements - Management indicated that approximately 20% of revenues are now from risk-sharing models, with a target of 30% by the end of the year [37] Question: Guidance for Mexico's performance - Management refrained from providing specific guidance but expressed confidence in recovering growth in the coming quarters [48][49] Question: CapEx guidance and impairments in Colombia - CapEx is expected to remain at or below $50 million annually, with ongoing impairments in Colombia as part of a derisking strategy [52] Question: Acceptance of the Auna Way in Peru - Management noted that acceptance took several years in Peru, but they expect a quicker transition in Mexico due to lessons learned [63]
Auna S.A.(AUNA) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-21 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a disappointing quarter with revenue and EBITDA increasing by only 41% on an FX neutral basis [6][7] - Net income was positive for the fifth consecutive quarter, indicating underlying strength despite operational setbacks [12][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Peru's operations outperformed, with a 10% increase in planned memberships and a 19% increase in adjusted EBITDA [14][20] - In Mexico, revenues decreased by 4% and adjusted EBITDA by 5% on an FX neutral basis, attributed to operational setbacks and market softness [15][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Peru's total capacity utilization increased by 4.4 percentage points year over year, while Mexico and Colombia saw decreases of 0.9 and 2.1 percentage points, respectively [14][15] - Colombia experienced a 5% revenue increase in local currency, driven by risk-sharing models and diversification of the payer portfolio [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains committed to transforming healthcare in Spanish-speaking Latin America through a value-based care model, with a focus on high complexity services [28][29] - The strategic direction includes recovering growth momentum in Mexico and expanding oncology capabilities [29][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges in Mexico due to the transition to the Auna Way, emphasizing the need for gradual implementation to avoid volume loss [33][41] - The outlook for Colombia is positive, with improved cash flows and a target to increase revenue from risk-sharing models to 30% by mid-next year [36][29] Other Important Information - The company maintained a healthy debt structure and is focused on reducing net debt leverage to a target of three times net debt to EBITDA [27] - CapEx is expected to remain at or below $50 million annually, with ongoing investments in the business [50][57] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on Mexico's operations and transition to Auna Way - Management clarified that the transition is not a cleanup but a necessary transformation to align physician practices with the Auna Way, which is critical for growth in high complexity services [33][34] Question: Update on Colombia's risk-sharing agreements - Approximately 20% of revenues are now from risk-sharing models, with a target of 30% by the end of the year [36] Question: Details on operations in Mexico - The main source of lost volumes was due to close relationships between suppliers and physicians, but management is seeing early signs of recovery [41][42] Question: CapEx guidance and impairments in Colombia - CapEx is expected to remain consistent, and impairments in Colombia will continue as part of a derisking strategy [50] Question: Effective tax rate outlook - The effective tax rate is expected to stabilize around 38% this year, influenced by intercompany payments and deferred tax benefits [57] Question: Business development expenses in Mexico - Business development expenses were related to upfront payments to doctors and are nonrecurring [59][60] Question: Acceptance timeline for Auna Way in Peru - The acceptance in Peru took several years, while in Mexico, it is expected to be quicker due to lessons learned [61][62]
Auna S.A. (AUNA) Q1 Earnings Top Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 22:26
Company Performance - Auna S.A. reported quarterly earnings of $0.19 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.10 per share, and showing an increase from $0.10 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 90% [1] - The company posted revenues of $281.43 million for the quarter ended March 2025, which was 5.95% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate and a decrease from $286.43 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Auna S.A. has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates only once [2] Market Comparison - Auna S.A. shares have increased by approximately 3.2% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 1.4% [3] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.16 on revenues of $314.67 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.77 on revenues of $1.23 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Auna S.A. is mixed, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Medical Services industry, to which Auna S.A. belongs, is currently ranked in the top 22% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to lower-ranked industries [8]
Auna S.A.(AUNA) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-20 20:24
Financial Performance - Auna's consolidated revenue for Q1 2025 was S/ 1,042 million, a decrease of 3% year-over-year, but an increase of 4% on a foreign exchange neutral basis[19] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was S/ 222 million, down 8% year-over-year, but up 1% on a foreign exchange neutral basis, with a margin of 214%[19] - Adjusted Net Income increased 15x year-over-year, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of positive Adjusted Net Income[48] - The leverage ratio remained flat at 36x[16] Segment Performance - Healthcare Services in Mexico saw a revenue decrease of 21% to S/ 243 million, impacted by new doctor/supplier standards[25] - Healthcare Services in Peru & Oncosalud Peru experienced a revenue increase of 10% to S/ 460 million[28] - Healthcare Services in Colombia reported a revenue decrease of 3% to S/ 339 million[34] Cash Flow and Debt - End-of-period cash decreased 15% compared to Q4 2024[54] - The company successfully offered an additional $621 million in aggregate principal amount of the 10000% senior secured notes due 2029 in May 2025[57] - Consolidated debt was S/ 3,735 million, with more than half in direct local currency funding and the remaining US$ debt 94% hedged to PEN[57]
Auna S.A.(AUNA) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-05-20 20:23
Exhibit 99.1 Auna Announces 1Q25 Financial Results Adjusted EBITDA increases 1% FXN YoY; Peru supports quarterly results, further validating its integrated business model Luxembourg, May 20, 2025 – Auna (NYSE: AUNA) ("Auna" or the "Company"), a leading healthcare platform in Latin America with operations in Mexico, Peru, and Colombia, today announced financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025 ("first quarter 2025" or "1Q25"). Financial results are expressed in Peruvian Soles ("S/" or PEN") ...
Auna S.A. (AUNA) Reports Next Week: What You Should Expect
ZACKS· 2025-05-13 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Auna S.A. is expected to report flat earnings of $0.10 per share for the quarter ended March 2025, with revenues projected to increase by 6.7% to $305.6 million compared to the previous year [3][12]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for May 20, and the stock may experience upward movement if earnings exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2][3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 5.88% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, suggesting no recent differing analyst views [10][11]. - Auna S.A. holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Auna S.A. was expected to earn $0.15 per share but only achieved $0.12, resulting in a -20% surprise [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [13]. Conclusion - Auna S.A. does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [16].
Auna S.A.(AUNA) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Report
2025-04-10 20:40
Financial Performance - EBITDA for the year ended December 31, 2024, was US$268.8 million, an increase from US$802.4 million in 2023, reflecting a 33.5% growth[511] - The adjusted EBITDA for 2024 was US$263.9 million, up from US$824.8 million in 2023[511] - Adjusted EBITDA for 2024 reached US$263.9 million (S/993.3 million), up from US$824.8 million in 2023, indicating a year-over-year increase of 20.4%[529] - The Adjusted EBITDA Margin for 2024 remained stable at 22.6%, compared to 21.3% in 2023[529] - Total income for the period in 2024 was US$32.9 million (S/124.0 million), a significant recovery from a loss of S/214.3 million in 2023[531] Membership and Patient Growth - The number of plan memberships increased to 1,365,028 in 2024, up from 1,270,930 in 2023, representing a growth of 7.4%[512] - The number of patients treated rose to 58,559 in 2024, compared to 57,022 in 2023, indicating a growth of 2.7%[513] - The number of plan members treated increased by 1.6% year-over-year, attributed to general healthcare plan coverage[584] - Oncosalud membership base increased by 7.4% for the year ended December 31, 2024, driven by growth in general healthcare plans[584] Operational Metrics - Average monthly revenue per plan membership slightly increased to S/58.9 in 2024 from S/58.3 in 2023[512] - The total number of outpatient consultations in Peru increased to 938,655 in 2024, up from 830,032 in 2023, a growth of 13.0%[513] - The total number of surgeries performed in Mexico was 21,033 in 2024, compared to 20,641 in 2023, reflecting a growth of 1.9%[513] - Bed utilization in Peru increased by 4.2 percentage points, in Colombia by 3.3 percentage points, and in Mexico by 0.3 percentage points for the year ended December 31, 2024[584] Financial Position and Capital Structure - The company reported a negative working capital of S/241.4 million as of December 31, 2024[538] - The Adjusted Leverage Ratio was reported at 3.56x as of December 31, 2024[536] - As of December 31, 2024, total contractual obligations amounted to S/3,767.7 million, including S/3,619.8 million in loans and borrowings[553] - The company aims to improve its capital structure through potential public or private equity or debt financings[539] - The company has access to revolving credit lines of up to S/600 million, with S/446 million drawn as of December 31, 2024[579] Cash Flow and Investments - Net cash from operating activities for the year ended December 31, 2024 was S/668.5 million, an increase of S/86.1 million compared to S/582.4 million in 2023, driven by revenue growth across all segments and an improved cash conversion rate from 15.0% to 15.2%[542] - Net cash used in investing activities for the year ended December 31, 2024 was S/(236.8) million, an increase from S/(173.2) million in 2023, primarily due to a S/141.8 million investment in facility maintenance and medical equipment[543] - Net cash used in financing activities for the year ended December 31, 2024 was S/(418.1) million, compared to S/(370.0) million in 2023, including S/502 million in interest payments[544] - Capital expenditures for the year ended December 31, 2024 were S/178.7 million, with 37.9% allocated to land and facilities, 32.8% to medical equipment, and 29.4% to intangibles[549] - The company plans to allocate S/177.3 million for capital expenditures in 2025, primarily for maintenance, financed through operational cash and additional debt[552] Debt and Financing Agreements - The company redeemed US$57.8 million of 2025 Notes at a redemption price of 101.625% on December 23, 2024[557] - The 2029 Notes, issued on December 18, 2023, have an aggregate principal amount of US$310.8 million and bear interest at a rate of 10.000% per year[561] - As of December 31, 2024, the company's Leverage Ratio was 3.56:1.00 and Interest Coverage Ratio was 1.87:1.00, in compliance with the covenants of the 2029 Notes Indenture[562] - Oncosalud entered into a financing agreement for S/70.0 million to build a new hospital in Chiclayo[568] - The Credit Agreement includes term loans of US$550.0 million, with US$533.7 million used to repay existing obligations[572] Research and Development - Auna Ideas manages over 120 active clinical trials and conducts more than 50 ongoing applied research projects[582] - The company expects future expansions to result in temporary increases in costs due to integration and ramp-up efforts[583] - Auna Peru plans to grow organically by expanding installed capacity and evaluating additional expansion opportunities[585] - A strategic partnership with Opción Oncología was announced on March 7, 2025, to enhance oncology services in Mexico[585] - The company expects to invest in the expansion of existing facilities and new plan products throughout 2025[585] Cost Structure - The medical loss ratio (MLR) increased to 57.3% in 2024 from 53.8% in 2023, suggesting higher claims relative to revenue[513] - Pharmaceutical costs represented 47.8%, 41.8%, and 46.3% of the cost of services in Mexico, Peru, and Colombia, respectively[587] Risk Management - As of December 31, 2024, 37.2% of the company's liabilities were denominated in U.S. dollars, with 94% of these liabilities hedged[736] - The company maintains a general policy of holding financing at fixed rates, mitigating interest rate risk[737]
Auna: Strong Q4, Execution In Mexico Will Be Key, Reiterating Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-10 13:34
Core Insights - AUNA presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its low valuation and effective management in a market characterized by high valuations [1] Group 1: Company Overview - AUNA is identified as a well-managed company with a low valuation, making it attractive for investment despite global valuation corrections [1] Group 2: Analyst Background - The analyst has extensive experience in investment banking, economic journalism, and portfolio management, focusing on sectors such as technology, retail, and banking [1]
Auna S.A.(AUNA) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Report
2025-03-10 20:16
Financial Performance - Consolidated Revenue increased 4% YoY to S/1,063 million, or +11% FXN in 4Q24, and increased 13% YoY to S/4,386 million, or +12% FXN in FY24[6][16] - Adjusted EBITDA increased 19% YoY to S/254 million, or +28% FXN in 4Q24, and increased 20% YoY to S/993 million, or +20.1% FXN in FY24[6][19] - Net Income improved to S/24 million in 4Q24 from a loss of S/219 million in 4Q23, and for FY24, Net Income was S/124 million compared to a Net Loss of S/214 million in FY23[23] - Adjusted Net Income was S/36 million in 4Q24, versus a loss of S/6 million in 4Q23, and for FY24, Adjusted Net Income was S/146 million compared to S/14 million in FY23[24] - Adjusted EBITDA for FY 24 was S/993 million, reflecting a 20% increase compared to FY 23, with an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 23.9%[66] - Operating profit for FY 24 increased by 40% to 784 million Soles[97] - Net income for FY 24 was 124 million Soles, up 158% from FY 23[97] - Total EBITDA for FY 24 was 1,012 million Soles, a 26% increase compared to FY 23[97] Operational Efficiency - Oncology Plans MLR was 53.0%, improving 2.4 p.p. from FY23, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency[6] - Total capacity utilization increased to 66.4%, up 2.6 p.p. from FY23, demonstrating improved resource utilization[6] - Total capacity utilization improved to 66.4% in FY 24 from 63.8% in FY 23, an increase of 2.6 percentage points[101] - The medical loss ratio increased to 57.3% in FY 24 from 53.8% in FY 23, indicating a 3.5 percentage point rise[101] Debt and Financial Flexibility - Leverage Ratio improved to 3.6x from 3.7x in 3Q24 and 4.5x in 4Q23, indicating a stronger balance sheet[6][7] - Consolidated debt decreased 4% YoY to S/3,768 million at the end of 4Q24, mainly due to a S/226 million decrease in FX and amortization of financial leases[43] - The leverage ratio decreased to 3.6x at the end of 4Q24, consistent with the company's deleveraging plan targeting less than 3.0x Net Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA[44] - Auna plans to further reduce debt and generate additional excess cash flow in 2025, enhancing financial flexibility[14] Revenue Growth - Total revenue from Peru increased 10% YoY in 4Q24 to S/442 million, driven by a 7% rise in plan memberships and a 9% increase in Healthcare Services revenue[33] - Segment revenue from Colombia increased 14% YoY in 4Q24 to S/353 million, primarily due to the implementation of risk-sharing models and price adjustments[39] - Oncosalud Peru's revenue increased 13% YoY in 4Q24 to S/276 million, supported by a 7% rise in plan memberships[33] - Healthcare Services Peru's revenue reached S/245 million in FY24, reflecting a 13% increase compared to FY23[32] - Total revenue for FY 24 reached 4,386 million Soles, a 13% increase compared to FY 23[97] Cash Flow and Investments - Net cash from operating activities for FY 24 increased by 15% YoY to S/668 million, with cash generated from operating activities rising by 24%[49] - Net cash used in investing activities rose by 37% YoY to S/237 million, including a S/60 million reduction in inorganic CapEx related to the acquisition of Dentegra[50] - Net cash used in financing activities increased by 13% YoY to S/418 million, primarily due to S/502 million in interest and hedge premium payments[51] - Cash generated from operating activities for FY 24 was 842 million Soles, a 161% increase from FY 23[98] Corporate Governance and Structure - The company appointed two independent directors to its Board, enhancing its corporate governance structure[52] Market Expansion - The company is pursuing market expansion through greenfield projects and M&A activities, as indicated by the business development expenses[76] Miscellaneous - Auna signed a five-year exclusive agreement with a physician group in Mexico to strengthen its oncology services[10] - The company expects to maintain a guideline of 20% FXN Adjusted EBITDA growth annually, with performance in Colombia being a key factor[14] - Auna successfully closed a private placement of USD 57.83 million in December 2024, increasing the total outstanding amount of its 10.000% Senior Secured Notes due 2029 to USD 310.84 million[46] - Auna's network included 31 healthcare facilities with a total of 2,323 beds and 1.4 million healthcare plans as of December 31, 2024[54] - Days Sales Outstanding increased to 83 days in LTM Dec-24 from 74 days in LTM Dec-23, indicating a longer collection period[48] - Auna's cash and cash equivalents at the end of FY 24 were S/236 million, a slight decrease of 2% from FY 23[47] - Total assets decreased to 7,081 million Soles in December 2024 from 7,690 million Soles in December 2023, reflecting a reduction of 609 million Soles[95] - Current liabilities increased to 1,945 million Soles in December 2024 from 1,689 million Soles in December 2023, an increase of 256 million Soles[96] - Trade accounts receivable rose to 962 million Soles in December 2024, up by 101 million Soles from 861 million Soles in December 2023[95] - Non-recurring financial costs included a significant reduction in extraordinary costs, decreasing from 234.1 million Soles in FY 2023 to 35.2 million Soles in FY 2024[75] - The average monthly revenue per plan in Oncosalud Peru remained stable at S/61.19, with a 0% change YoY[33] - Average monthly revenue per plan member increased by 1.1%, from S/ 58.25 in FY 23 to S/ 58.92 in FY 24[101] - The number of patients treated increased by 2.7%, from 57,022 in FY 23 to 58,559 in FY 24[101] - Emergency treatments rose by 3.6%, from 353,303 in FY 23 to 365,942 in FY 24[101]