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Box: Fair Performance, But Fairly Priced (Rating Downgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2024-12-04 10:32
Group 1 - The year 2024 has been characterized as unusually strong for stocks and risk assets, suggesting a favorable market environment [1] - Active portfolio management is emphasized as crucial during this period, indicating that complacency should be avoided [1] - Gary Alexander's extensive experience in technology companies and startups positions him as a knowledgeable contributor to industry themes [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide specific investment recommendations or advice, highlighting the importance of individual investor discretion [2][3] - Seeking Alpha's analysts are identified as third-party authors, which may include both professional and individual investors without formal licensing [3]
Box(BOX) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-12-04 00:56
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3, revenue grew 5% year-over-year to $276 million, or 6% in constant currency [9][29] - Record gross margin of 82% and record operating margin of 29%, up 440 basis points year-over-year [9][34] - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) increased by 13% year-over-year to $1.3 billion [31] - Q3 billings were $265 million, up 4% year-over-year [32] - Net retention rate remained stable at 102% [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Strong demand for Box AI and Enterprise Plus contributed to growth, with Enterprise Plus seeing solid attach rates in large deals [10][21] - Suites customers now represent 59% of total revenue, up from 51% a year ago [30] - Q3 Suites attach rate in large deals improved to 83% from 79% year-over-year [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 1,900 customers are paying at least $100,000 annually, an 8% increase year-over-year [29] - The company anticipates exiting FY '25 with a net retention rate of roughly 102% [32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Focus on embedding AI into the platform to enhance customer value from content [8] - Introduction of Enterprise Advanced to address complex enterprise use cases [13][22] - Expansion of partnerships with key technology providers like AWS, Anthropic, and OpenAI to enhance product offerings [19][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth trajectory despite macroeconomic headwinds [65] - Anticipated revenue for Q4 is approximately $279 million, representing 6% year-over-year growth [41] - Full fiscal year revenue expected to be around $1.09 billion, indicating a 5% year-over-year growth [44] Other Important Information - The company completed the sale of remaining data center assets, benefiting Q3 gross margin by approximately 70 basis points [33] - Free cash flow for Q3 was $57 million, down 2% year-over-year [36] - The company repurchased 1 million shares for approximately $30 million during the quarter [38] Q&A Session Summary Question: Feedback on AI solutions and legacy ECM footprint - Management noted positive early feedback on AI capabilities, which are expected to drive growth and replace legacy systems [54][60] Question: Billings outlook for Q4 - Management indicated that low single-digit growth in billings is due to difficult year-over-year comparisons rather than unusual factors [62][64] Question: Impact of new products on renewals and purchases - Management expects Enterprise Plus to dominate Q4 revenue, with Enterprise Advanced driving growth in the following year [70][74] Question: Net retention rate outlook - Management anticipates that the net retention rate has bottomed out and will trend upward over time [75][76] Question: Applicability of new SKU within customer base - Management stated that the new SKU is designed to be broadly applicable, catering to various customer needs [79][82] Question: Pricing expectations for new SKU - Management expects a 20% to 40% uplift in pricing for Enterprise Advanced compared to Enterprise Plus [85][86] Question: Business impact of new products - Management highlighted that the new offerings are expected to be significant drivers of growth and customer retention [90][100]
Box(BOX) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2024-12-03 23:35
| --- | --- | --- | |-------|-------|-------| | | | | | | | | | | | | Forward-looking statements & non-GAAP financial measures This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, including statements regarding Box's expectations regarding its growth and profitability, the size of its market opportunity, its investments in go-to-market programs, the demand for its products, the potential of AI and its impact on Box, the timing of recent and planned produc ...
Box (BOX) Beats Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-12-03 23:20
Core Viewpoint - Box reported quarterly earnings of $0.45 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.42 per share, and showing an increase from $0.36 per share a year ago, indicating a positive earnings surprise of 7.14% [1][2] Financial Performance - Box's revenues for the quarter ended October 2024 were $275.91 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.32%, and up from $261.54 million year-over-year [2] - The company has consistently outperformed consensus EPS estimates over the last four quarters, achieving this four times [2] Stock Performance - Box shares have increased approximately 37.1% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 26.8% [4] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.40, with expected revenues of $278.44 million, and for the current fiscal year, the estimate is $1.65 on $1.09 billion in revenues [8] - The estimate revisions trend for Box is currently mixed, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting the stock is expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [7] Industry Context - The Internet - Software industry, to which Box belongs, is currently ranked in the top 14% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [9]
Box(BOX) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2024-12-03 21:14
Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 FY25 was $276 million, a 5% increase year-over-year, or 6% growth on a constant currency basis[4] - GAAP operating margin reached a record 8.5%, while non-GAAP operating margin was 29.1%[4] - GAAP net income per share was $0.05, and non-GAAP net income per share was a record $0.45[4] - Billings for Q3 FY25 were $264.7 million, a 4% increase from the previous year[4] - Non-GAAP free cash flow for Q3 FY25 was $57.4 million, a 2% decrease from the previous year[4] - Total revenue for the three months ended October 31, 2024, was $275.9 million, a 5.3% increase from $261.5 million in the same period last year[35] - Gross profit for the three months ended October 31, 2024, was $220.4 million, representing a gross margin of 79.9%, compared to $192.3 million in the prior year[35] - Net income for the three months ended October 31, 2024, was $12.9 million, up 21.3% from $10.7 million in the same period last year[35] - Non-GAAP net income attributable to common stockholders for the three months ended October 31, 2024, was $67.462 million, compared to $53.225 million in the prior year, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 26.7%[41] - GAAP net income attributable to common stockholders for the three months ended October 31, 2024, was $7.626 million, compared to $5.647 million in the same period of 2023, representing an increase of 35.0%[39] Future Projections - Q4 FY25 revenue is expected to be approximately $279 million, up 6% year-over-year[10] - Full year FY25 revenue is expected to be approximately $1.090 billion, up 5% year-over-year[12] - The company expects GAAP net income per share attributable to common stockholders for the three months ending January 31, 2025, to be $0.07, with a non-GAAP net income per share guidance of $0.41[44] Performance Obligations and Cash Flow - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) as of October 31, 2024, were $1.3 billion, up 13% year-over-year, or 14% growth on a constant currency basis[2] - The company reported billings as a significant performance measure, reflecting sales to new customers, subscription renewals, and expansions within existing customers[26] - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) indicate contracted revenue not yet recognized, consisting of deferred revenue and backlog, which are crucial for future revenue projections[28] - Box's non-GAAP free cash flow is defined as cash flows from operating activities minus capital expenditures, indicating the cash available for business investments[29] - Non-GAAP free cash flow for the three months ended October 31, 2024, was $57.361 million, slightly down from $58.317 million in the same period of 2023[39] - The company reported a net cash provided by operating activities of $62.6 million for the three months ended October 31, 2024, compared to $71.8 million in the prior year[37] - GAAP net cash provided by operating activities for the three months ended October 31, 2024, was $62.582 million, compared to $71.782 million in the same period last year, a decrease of 12.2%[39] Strategic Initiatives - Box introduced a new Suites plan, Enterprise Advanced, enhancing its Intelligent Content Management platform[7] - Box expanded its strategic partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS) to integrate advanced AI capabilities[7] - The company aims to maintain profitability and achieve revenue growth rates while managing operating efficiencies and foreign currency fluctuations[1] - Box's fiscal year 2025 targets include expanding operating margins and achieving a cash flow margin that supports long-term financial health[1] - The company emphasizes the importance of strategic partnerships and acquisitions to enhance its market position and product offerings[1] - The company is focused on leveraging AI and new product introductions to drive market adoption and retention[1] Balance Sheet and Liabilities - Total current assets increased to $962.6 million as of October 31, 2024, compared to $842.2 million as of January 31, 2024[33] - Total liabilities rose to $1.34 billion as of October 31, 2024, compared to $1.18 billion as of January 31, 2024[33] - Cash and cash equivalents increased to $608.8 million as of October 31, 2024, from $383.7 million as of January 31, 2024[33] - The company issued $448.9 million in convertible notes during the financing activities for the three months ended October 31, 2024[37] - The company’s total stockholders' deficit was $479.9 million as of October 31, 2024, compared to $431.1 million as of January 31, 2024[33] Economic and Market Conditions - The impact of macroeconomic conditions, including inflation and geopolitical conflicts, poses risks to Box's growth and profitability expectations[1] - Box's management believes that non-GAAP financial measures provide meaningful insights into operational performance and facilitate comparisons with competitors[21] - Box's non-GAAP gross profit and gross margin are calculated by excluding stock-based compensation and intangible asset amortization, providing a clearer view of core business performance[23]
Disney's Moana 2 Smashes Box Office on Debut: ETFs to Tap
ZACKS· 2024-12-03 17:30
Group 1: Core Insights - Disney's Moana 2 achieved a record-breaking box office debut, earning $221 million in its first five days, surpassing the previous record of $125 million set by Frozen II in 2019 [1] - The success of Moana 2 indicates a strong recovery for Disney's movie studio, following previous underperforming releases like Strange World and Wish [2] - Disney movies now dominate the top three openings of 2024 in the U.S., with Moana 2 joining Inside Out 2 and Deadpool & Wolverine [3] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Communication Services ETF (RSPC) includes Disney with a 5.2% share, focusing on entertainment and media, which constitutes 70% of its portfolio [4] - First Trust S-Network Streaming & Gaming ETF (BNGE) has Disney at a 5.1% share, with entertainment making up 52.8% of its holdings [5] - AdvisorShares Gerber Kawasaki ETF (GK) also includes Disney with a 5.1% share, focusing on growth companies benefiting from societal changes [6] - Monarch Blue Chips Core ETF (MBCC) features Disney at a 5% share, targeting established companies with strong market fundamentals [7][8] - iShares Global Comm Services ETF (IXP) holds Disney with a 4.8% share, primarily investing in interactive media and services [9]
Box Earnings Are Imminent; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call
Benzinga· 2024-12-02 15:53
Core Insights - Box, Inc. is set to release its third-quarter earnings results on December 3, with analysts expecting earnings of 42 cents per share, an increase from 36 cents per share in the same period last year [1][2]. - The company projects revenue of $275.1 million for the recent quarter, compared to $261.54 million a year earlier [2]. Analyst Ratings - Morgan Stanley analyst Josh Baer maintained an Equal-Weight rating and raised the price target from $30 to $33 [2]. - Citigroup analyst Steven Enders maintained a Buy rating and increased the price target from $32 to $34 [2]. - UBS analyst Rich Hilliker maintained a Buy rating but cut the price target from $34 to $31 [2]. - JMP Securities analyst Erik Suppiger reiterated a Market Outperform rating with a price target of $32 [2]. - JP Morgan analyst Pinjalim Bora maintained an Overweight rating and boosted the price target from $31 to $32 [2]. Stock Performance - Box shares gained 0.1% to close at $35.09 on the last trading day [2].
Box Shares Rise 39% Year to Date: How Should Investors Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2024-11-26 19:46
Core Viewpoint - Box, Inc. has demonstrated strong performance in the market, with a year-to-date share price increase of 39.2%, significantly outperforming both the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the Zacks Internet Software industry [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 of fiscal 2025, Box reported revenues of $270 million, a 3% year-over-year increase, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.32%. Non-GAAP earnings were 44 cents per share, exceeding estimates by 10% and reflecting a 22.2% year-over-year growth [2] - For fiscal 2025, Box has raised its revenue guidance to a range of $1.086-$1.09 billion, indicating a 5% year-over-year increase and 7% growth in constant currency [4] - For Q3 of fiscal 2025, Box anticipates revenues between $274-$276 million, representing a 5% year-over-year rise, with projected non-GAAP earnings of 41-42 cents per share [10][11] Clientele and Market Position - As of the end of Q2 fiscal 2025, Box had over 1,800 customers paying more than $100,000 annually, with strong demand for Box AI driving growth. Deals over $100,000 now include 87% suites, up from 78% the previous year [3] - The company has expanded its partner ecosystem, integrating with major technology providers like Microsoft, IBM, and Salesforce, enhancing its cloud content management and AI platforms [6][7] Strategic Partnerships - Box has strengthened its collaboration with Slack to provide secure AI capabilities, allowing customers to utilize Box AI queries within Slack [7] - The partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS) leverages Amazon Bedrock to offer advanced AI tools, while collaboration with Slalom aims to deliver AI-driven solutions across various industries [8] Market Recognition - Box has been selected by the National Transportation Safety Board as the cloud platform for its new Digital Content Delivery Platform Project, highlighting its growing market presence [9] Valuation Concerns - Despite strong performance and growth prospects, Box shares are considered overvalued, with a forward Price/Sales ratio of 4.48x compared to the industry average of 2.99x [14]
Jack in the Box: The Wind Of Change Blows Strong, Chicagoland And Florida Eagerly Await
Seeking Alpha· 2024-11-25 01:27
Group 1 - The article discusses the challenges faced by Quick Service Restaurants (QSRs) in California, specifically highlighting Jack in the Box's struggles during FY 2024 [1] - Jack in the Box is noted for its significant exposure to the California market, which has been particularly difficult for QSRs [1] Group 2 - The author has extensive experience in analyzing restaurant stocks, focusing on various segments including QSR, fast casual, and casual dining [1] - The company employs advanced analytical models and specialized valuation techniques to provide insights and strategies for investors [1]
Jack in the Box Q4 Earnings Top Estimates, Revenues Lag, Stock Down
ZACKS· 2024-11-21 16:16
Core Viewpoint - Jack in the Box Inc. (JACK) reported mixed fourth-quarter fiscal 2024 results, with earnings exceeding expectations while revenues fell short and declined year over year, leading to a 3.3% drop in shares during after-hours trading [1] Earnings & Revenues Details - Operating earnings per share (EPS) for the fourth quarter was $1.16, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.11, and increased by 5.5% from $1.10 in the prior-year quarter [2] - Quarterly revenues totaled $349.3 million, missing the consensus mark of $358 million, and represented a 6.2% decline year over year [3] - Franchise rental revenues rose by 1.5% year over year to $87.3 million, while franchise royalties and other revenues decreased by 1.3% to $54.5 million [3] - Company restaurant sales were $151.4 million, down from $175 million in the prior-year quarter [4] Comps Discussion - Company-owned same-store sales fell by 2.2% year over year, contrasting with a 4.4% growth in the prior-year quarter [5] - Same-store sales at franchised stores decreased by 2% year over year, compared to a 3.8% growth in the prior-year quarter [5] - Systemwide same-store sales declined by 2.1% year over year, against a 3.9% growth reported in the year-ago quarter, attributed to reduced transactions and an unfavorable mix shift [5] Operating Highlights - The total restaurant-level adjusted margin was 15.1%, down from 18% in the prior-year quarter, due to reduced transactions and rising costs from inflation [7] - Food and packaging costs as a percentage of company restaurant sales decreased by 80 basis points to 28.4% [7] - The total franchise level margin was 38.9%, slightly down from 39.2% in the prior-year quarter [8] - Selling, general and administrative expenses accounted for 8.6% of total revenues, down from 11.7% in the prior-year quarter [8] Balance Sheet - As of September 29, 2024, cash totaled $54.2 million, down from $185.9 million as of October 1, 2023 [10] - Long-term debt (net of current maturities) was $1.69 billion, slightly reduced from $1.72 billion as of October 1, 2023 [10] - The company repurchased 0.3 million shares in the fourth quarter and announced $180 million available under its share repurchase program [10] Dividend Declaration - The company declared a cash dividend of 44 cents per share, payable on December 30, 2024, to shareholders on record as of December 12 [11] Fiscal 2025 Outlook - For fiscal 2025, adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be in the range of $288-$303 million, with depreciation and amortization expenses expected between $58 million and $60 million [12] - Jack in the Box Restaurant Level Margin is projected to be 20-22%, with same-store sales expected to be flat to up 1%, while Del Taco segment is expected to be flat to down 1% [12] - Company-wide operating EPS for fiscal 2024 is expected to be in the range of $5.05-$5.45 [13]