Chewy(CHWY)
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Why Is This Growth Stock Falling, and Is It a Buying Opportunity?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-14 12:45
Group 1 - The management team has effectively encouraged customers to opt for recurring purchases [1]
Why Chewy Stock Was Diving This Week
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-13 18:56
Core Viewpoint - Chewy's stock has experienced a significant decline of nearly 15% following a quarterly earnings report that, despite beating analyst estimates, was poorly received by investors [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first quarter, Chewy achieved net sales growth of over 8% year-over-year, reaching $3.1 billion, while its non-GAAP net income improved to just under $149 million, or $0.35 per share [4]. - Analysts had anticipated slightly lower figures, with revenue expectations below $3.1 billion and adjusted profitability at $0.32 per share [4]. Market Valuation - Despite the positive earnings results, Chewy's stock is considered expensive, trading at a forward P/E ratio of almost 36, which raises concerns among investors given the company's single-digit percentage improvements and thin profit margins [5]. Analyst Reactions - Following the earnings report, several analysts adjusted their price targets for Chewy, with most raising their targets, although some provided less optimistic updates. Mizuho's David Bellinger reduced his target from $47 to $44 while maintaining a neutral recommendation [6]. Future Outlook - Chewy's Autoship program has shown promising results, indicating potential for increased recurring revenue. However, the stock's current valuation may limit its attractiveness unless the company can deliver more convincing quarterly earnings in the future [7].
These Analysts Revise Their Forecasts On Chewy Following Q1 Results
Benzinga· 2025-06-12 15:35
Core Insights - Chewy Inc. reported better-than-expected earnings for Q1, with adjusted earnings of 35 cents per share, a 12.9% increase year-over-year, surpassing the consensus of 34 cents and management guidance of 30-35 cents [1] - The company achieved sales of $3.12 billion, reflecting an 8.3% year-over-year growth, exceeding the consensus of $3.08 billion and management guidance of $3.06 billion-$3.09 billion [1] Financial Outlook - For fiscal year 2025, Chewy anticipates sales between $12.30 billion and $12.45 billion, slightly below Wall Street's estimate of $12.54 billion [2] - The expected adjusted EBITDA margin for 2025 is projected to be between 5.4% and 5.7%, compared to 4.8% for fiscal year 2024 [2] - For Q2 2025, Chewy forecasts sales of $3.06 billion to $3.09 billion, above the consensus of $3.03 billion, and adjusted earnings of 30-35 cents per share versus a consensus of 31 cents [2] Stock Performance - Following the earnings announcement, Chewy shares increased by 2.5%, trading at $41.79 [3] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - JP Morgan analyst Doug Anmuth maintained an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $36 to $47 [6] - Mizuho analyst David Bellinger maintained a Neutral rating and lowered the price target from $47 to $44 [6] - Wedbush analyst Scott Devitt maintained an Outperform rating and raised the price target from $39 to $45 [6] - Evercore ISI Group analyst Mark Mahaney maintained an Outperform rating and raised the price target from $47 to $52 [6] - Citigroup analyst Steven Zaccone maintained a Buy rating and raised the price target from $42 to $49 [6] - Guggenheim analyst Steven Forbes maintained a Buy rating and raised the price target from $42 to $45 [6]
Chewy's Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Active Customer Sales Increase Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-06-12 12:20
Core Insights - Chewy, Inc. (CHWY) reported strong first-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with both revenue and earnings exceeding expectations and showing year-over-year growth [1][3][11] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were 35 cents per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 34 cents, and reflecting a 12.9% increase from the previous year [3] - Net sales reached $3,116 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3,076 million, marking an 8.3% increase from $2,877.7 million in the prior year [3][11] - Gross profit increased by 8.2% year over year to $923.8 million, while gross margin slightly decreased to 29.6% [7] - Adjusted EBITDA was $192.7 million, an 18.3% increase from $162.9 million in the same quarter last year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 6.2% [9] Sales Breakdown - Hardgoods sales grew 12.3% year over year to $342.2 million, driven by improved inventory management and the addition of over 150 new brands [4][11] - Consumable sales increased by 6.4% year over year to $2.18 billion [4] - Autoship sales rose 14.8% to $2.56 billion, representing a record 82.2% of total net sales [5][11] Customer Metrics - The company ended the quarter with 20.8 million active customers, a 3.8% increase year over year [5] - Net sales per active customer reached $583, reflecting a 3.7% year-over-year increase [6] Cost and Expense Management - SG&A expenses rose 8.4% year over year to $653.1 million, accounting for 21% of net sales [8] - Advertising and marketing expenses totaled $193.8 million, up 3.7% year over year [8] Future Outlook - For Q2 fiscal 2025, Chewy expects net sales between $3.06 billion and $3.09 billion, with adjusted earnings per share projected between 30 cents and 35 cents [14] - For the full fiscal 2025, net sales are expected to be between $12.3 billion and $12.5 billion, representing approximately 6% to 7% year-over-year growth [15] - The company anticipates converting around 80% of adjusted EBITDA into free cash flow, translating to approximately $550 million [16]
Chewy Q1 Sales Rise AutoShip Hits Record
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-11 18:01
Core Insights - Chewy, Inc. reported Q1 FY2025 earnings with net sales of $3.12 billion, an increase of 8.3% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA of $192.7 million, reflecting a 6.2% adjusted EBITDA margin [1] - The company exceeded internal forecasts for growth and profitability, continuing disciplined share repurchases and making significant progress in core initiatives such as AutoShip, Chewy Plus, advertising, and veterinary clinic expansion [2] AutoShip Performance - The AutoShip subscription model accounted for 82.2% of total net sales, up from the mid-60% range at IPO, with AutoShip revenue growing 14.8% year-over-year, significantly outpacing overall company growth [3][4] - First quarter AutoShip customer sales reached $2.56 billion, representing approximately 82% of Q1 net sales, indicating strong customer loyalty [4] Market Position and Share Gains - The U.S. pet industry is expanding at an annual rate of 3%-4%, with online purchasing penetration estimated in the low-30% range; Chewy is capturing more than 50 cents of every dollar shifting to online channels, compared to 40-42 cents in previous years [5][6] - Management identified the migration to a proprietary first-party advertising platform as a key driver for 60 basis points of year-over-year gross margin expansion [6] Advertising and Revenue Streams - The new advertising system allows for scaling campaigns across on-site and off-site inventory, creating a high-margin revenue stream targeting 1%-3% of net sales [7] - The rapid ramp-up of high-contribution sponsored ads is expected to enhance gross margins and profit conversion [8] Future Guidance - Management reiterated FY2025 full-year net sales guidance of $12.3 billion–$12.45 billion, indicating 6%-7% growth, with first-half momentum suggesting a path toward the upper half of this range [10] - Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance remains at 5.4%-5.7% for FY2025, with an anticipated 80% EBITDA-to-free-cash-flow conversion, projecting about $550 million in free cash flow [11]
Crude Oil Gains Over 2%; Chewy Shares Plunge After Q1 Results
Benzinga· 2025-06-11 16:05
Market Overview - U.S. stocks showed a mostly positive trend, with the Dow Jones index increasing by 0.28% to 42,986.17, NASDAQ rising by 0.09% to 19,731.97, and S&P 500 gaining 0.06% to 6,042.25 [1] - Information technology shares experienced a notable increase of 0.6%, while materials stocks fell by 0.6% [1] Company Performance - SailPoint, Inc. saw its shares surge by 18% to $23.22 after reporting better-than-expected first-quarter adjusted EPS and raising its FY26 guidance above estimates [6] - Helius Medical Technologies, Inc. experienced an 85% increase in shares to $1.56 following the announcement of an authorized claim for payment for its PoNS Device from Aetna Healthcare [6] - Ouster, Inc. shares rose by 24% to $19.94 after the Department of Defense approved its OS1 digital lidar for use in unmanned aerial systems [6] - LeddarTech Holdings Inc. shares dropped by 40% to $0.2226 due to significant layoffs and potential bankruptcy [6] - Chewy, Inc. shares fell by 12% to $40.44 after reporting first-quarter results and issuing FY25 sales guidance below estimates [6] - Draganfly Inc. shares decreased by 41% to $2.1950 after announcing a public offering priced at $2.50 per unit [6] Investment Opportunities - Boxabl is positioning itself as a major disruptor in the housing market with interest for over 190,000 homes and a focus on high-efficiency production inspired by assembly line methods [6] - Boxabl's homes are priced at $60,000, and the company is raising $1 billion to scale production, offering investors a chance to participate in its growth [6][8]
Why Chewy Stock Crashed Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-11 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Chewy's stock has declined significantly despite beating analyst expectations for both earnings and sales, indicating investor dissatisfaction with the company's financial performance [1][5]. Financial Performance - Chewy reported adjusted earnings of $0.35 per share and sales exceeding $3.1 billion, surpassing analyst forecasts of $0.34 per share and just under $3.1 billion in sales [1][3]. - Year-over-year sales growth was 8%, but the gross profit margin decreased, and the net profit margin fell by 30 basis points to 2% [3][4]. - The reported earnings of $0.35 were non-GAAP; the actual GAAP earnings were only $0.15 per share, remaining flat year-over-year despite sales growth [3][4]. - Free cash flow for the quarter was $48.7 million, down 7% year-over-year and 22% below reported net income, indicating a cash profit of only $0.78 for every $1 in GAAP earnings [4]. Market Reaction - The stock price fell by 10% shortly after the earnings report, reflecting investor disappointment with the company's performance metrics [1][5]. - Chewy's stock is currently valued at 51 times trailing earnings, with sales growth in the single digits and declining free cash flow, raising concerns about its investment attractiveness [5][6].
1106 科技日报 中英
2025-06-11 15:59
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Companies and Industries Involved - **GTLB (GitLab)**: Focus on software development and DevSecOps - **CHWY (Chewy)**: E-commerce platform for pet products - **General Market Trends**: Includes mentions of CPI, tariffs, and macroeconomic conditions Core Insights and Arguments GTLB (GitLab) - **Earnings Performance**: - Revenue of $214.5 million, up 27% year-over-year, slightly above the street estimate of $213 million [6] - Billings reached $222 million, a 35% increase year-over-year, showing acceleration from the previous quarter [6] - Free Cash Flow (FCF) was $104 million, significantly above the street estimate of $55 million [7] - **Market Sentiment**: - Concerns about AI competition have led to low expectations prior to earnings, and the slight revenue beat did not alleviate these concerns [5] - Management indicated that the mix and timing, rather than demand, drove the "thin beat" in revenue [7] - **Competitive Landscape**: - Customers are testing GitLab alongside competitors like Copilot and Cursor, indicating a competitive environment [8] - Management believes that innovations from startups do not pose a significant threat to GitLab's core offerings [8] - **Bull vs. Bear Debate**: - Bulls argue that underlying demand is stronger than indicated by the revenue beat, citing accelerating billings and strong profitability metrics [9] - Bears point to signs of slowing growth, including a decrease in customer additions and the smallest revenue beat on record [11] CHWY (Chewy) - **Earnings Performance**: - Q1 revenue increased by 8.3% year-over-year, exceeding the street estimate of 7% [13] - Active customers reached 20.8 million, above the street estimate of 20.63 million [13] - Gross margin was 29.6%, slightly below the street estimate of 29.9% [13] - **Market Sentiment**: - The gross margin miss is expected to be viewed negatively by both bulls and bears, despite the revenue beat [13] - The company reiterated its full-year guidance, indicating stability in expectations [13] Other Important but Potentially Overlooked Content - **Macroeconomic Context**: - The overall market is influenced by factors such as CPI data and tariff rates, with a 55% tariff on imports from China being highlighted [1] - **Future Guidance**: - GTLB provided a Q2 revenue guide of $226.5 million, indicating a 24% year-over-year growth expectation, closely aligned with street estimates [7] - CHWY's Q2 net sales guide is set between $3.06 billion and $3.09 billion, also in line with market expectations [13] - **Industry Trends**: - The technology sector is experiencing shifts due to AI advancements, impacting competitive dynamics across companies like GitLab and Chewy [8][12] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call records, focusing on the performance and outlook of GitLab and Chewy, as well as broader market trends and competitive dynamics.
Chewy, Inc. (CHWY) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-11 14:38
Company Overview - Chewy's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call was held with key participants including CEO Sumit Singh and CFO David Reeder [2][3] - The earnings release was filed with the SEC and is available on Chewy's Investor Relations website [3] Financial Performance - The call discussed Chewy's financial results and performance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025 [3] - A presentation summarizing the results was also made available on the company's website [3] Forward-Looking Statements - The company indicated that forward-looking statements regarding financial results, industry trends, and strategic initiatives would be made during the call [4] - These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could lead to actual results differing from projections [4]
Chewy Stock Eyes Worst Day Since 2023 After Profit Miss
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-11 14:32
Core Insights - Chewy Inc reported a first-quarter earnings miss despite beating revenue expectations, leading to a lackluster full-year outlook [1] - The stock is experiencing its third consecutive loss and its worst day since August 2023, trading down 11.3% to $40.63 [1][2] - Short interest in the stock has increased by 17.7% over the last two reporting periods, with 14.80 million shares sold short, representing 7.8% of the available float [2] Stock Performance - The stock is pulling back from a two-year high of $48.62 reached on June 6, 2023, but may find support at the 40-day moving average [2] - Despite recent losses, the stock still has a 21% lead for 2025 [2] Options Market Activity - Options traders are leaning bearish, as indicated by a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.50, ranking in the 98th percentile of annual readings [3] - Options volume is significantly higher than average, with 13,000 calls and 19,000 puts traded, indicating increased trading activity [4] - The most popular options contracts include the weekly 6/13 40-strike put and the 47-strike put, with new positions being opened at the latter [4]