Core Insights - Chewy Inc.'s Hardgoods segment showed significant growth in Q1 2025, with revenues increasing by 12.3% year over year to $342.2 million, surpassing the overall revenue growth of 8.3% [1][10] - The company added over 150 new brands and halved SKU onboarding time, enhancing product selection and market execution speed [2] - Management noted broad-based growth across hardgoods subcategories, driven by improved inventory management, personalized merchandising, and enhanced digital discoverability [3] Sales and Market Position - Chewy's strategy to increase wallet share beyond essential products is evident, with hardgoods showing potential for deeper customer relationships and incremental revenue [4] - The company's hardgoods performance contributed to strengthening market share and resilient growth, maintaining full-year revenue guidance of $12.3–$12.45 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 6–7% adjusted for the previous year's extra week [5] - Chewy's net sales outperformed key competitors, including Central Garden & Pet Company and Petco Health and Wellness [6] Competitor Analysis - Central Garden & Pet reported Q2 fiscal 2025 net sales of $833.5 million, down 7.4% year over year, affected by weather delays and product line losses, though e-commerce and Wild Bird segments performed well [7] - Petco Health and Wellness reported Q1 fiscal 2025 net sales of $1.49 billion, down 2.3% year over year due to store closures, with expectations of low single-digit sales decline for 2025 [8] Financial Performance - Chewy's shares have increased by 17% year to date, outperforming the industry's growth of 9.5% [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 1.26X, below the industry average of 2.17X, with a Value Score of C [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Chewy's fiscal 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 23.1%, with upward revisions for estimates over the past 60 days [12]

Group 1 - The article compares eBay (EBAY) and Chewy (CHWY) to determine which stock is a better undervalued investment option [1] - eBay has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook, while Chewy has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - Value investors typically analyze various fundamental metrics, including P/E ratio, P/S ratio, earnings yield, and cash flow per share to identify undervalued stocks [4] Group 2 - eBay's forward P/E ratio is 14.44, significantly lower than Chewy's forward P/E of 29.97, suggesting eBay may be undervalued [5] - eBay has a PEG ratio of 1.74, while Chewy's PEG ratio is 3.23, indicating eBay's expected earnings growth is more favorable [5] - eBay's P/B ratio is 7.19 compared to Chewy's 42.32, further supporting eBay's position as a more attractive value option [6] Group 3 - eBay's improving earnings outlook and favorable valuation metrics suggest it is the superior value option compared to Chewy [7]

Core Viewpoint - Chewy Inc. (CHWY) is currently in Phase 8 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, showing signs that may favor long-term bullish investors as the stock begins to stabilize after previous declines [1][6]. Group 1: Adhishthana Principles - Chewy has consistently adhered to the Adhishthana Principles, a proprietary framework that utilizes cyclical analysis to forecast stock behavior through quantitative signals and behavioral archetypes [2]. - In Phase 3, Chewy experienced a significant decline of over 72%, which was anticipated by the Adhishthana framework, indicating the predictive power of this analysis [4]. Group 2: Current Stock Structure - The stock is currently forming the Adhishthana Cakra on the weekly chart, a structural channel that spans Phases 4 through 8, typically consolidating prior declines and setting up for a breakout in Phase 9 [6]. - Chewy has respected the lower bound of its Cakra, which is a crucial technical condition for a potential bullish breakout as it approaches Phase 9, expected to begin on December 1, 2025 [7]. Group 3: Investor Outlook - Current holders of CHWY are advised to continue holding the stock, as a breakout in Phase 9 could initiate a strong upward trend [9]. - Potential buyers should monitor for dips toward the lower range of the weekly Cakra channel, which may present high-conviction entry points ahead of the anticipated breakout [9].

Core Insights - Chewy's Autoship subscription program is a key driver of customer loyalty and growth, with sales reaching $2.56 billion in Q1 fiscal 2025, a 14.8% increase year over year, significantly outpacing overall revenue growth of 8.3% [1][9] - The share of Autoship in total net sales has risen to 82.2%, the highest in the company's history, indicating its increasing importance [1][4] Customer Engagement - Strong momentum in Autoship was driven by higher enrollment and improved retention of existing subscribers, supported by a broad product assortment and a seamless digital experience [2] - Chewy ended the quarter with 20.8 million active customers, a 3.8% year-over-year increase, with many new customers quickly enrolling in Autoship [3] Financial Performance - Autoship has grown from 66% of net sales at the time of the IPO to over 82% today, reflecting better conversion of new customers and stronger long-term engagement [4] - Chewy's fiscal 2025 sales outlook is projected at $12.3 billion to $12.45 billion, indicating a growth of 6% to 7%, assuming continued strength in Autoship [4] Competitive Landscape - Chewy's net sales have outperformed key competitors like Central Garden & Pet Company and Petco Health and Wellness [5] - Central Garden & Pet reported a 7.4% decline in net sales to $833.5 million, while Petco's net sales decreased by 2.3% to $1.49 billion [6][7] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Chewy's shares have gained 13.4% year to date, outperforming the industry's growth of 7.6% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 1.22X, below the industry average of 2.17X, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings indicating a year-over-year growth of 23.1% [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes a fundamentals-based approach to value investing, arguing against the misconception that low multiple stocks are inherently cheap, and highlights the importance of long-term growth and a strong balance sheet in investment decisions [1]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The company seeks to identify firms that provide long-term durability at affordable prices, focusing on steady growth and minimal cyclicality [1]. - There is an acknowledgment of the risks involved in investing in successful companies, particularly the potential to overpay, which underscores the significance of valuation [1]. - The article suggests that in certain scenarios, the potential for growth may outweigh immediate price considerations, indicating a broader perspective on investment timing [1].

Core Viewpoint - Chewy (CHWY) stock experienced a significant decline of over 20% after reaching a two-year high of $48.62 on June 6, primarily due to an 11% drop following earnings on June 11, but is currently testing a historically bullish trendline [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - CHWY is trading within one standard deviation of its 80-day moving average, having closed above this trendline in eight of the last ten sessions [2] - Historical data indicates that similar signals have led to a 78% chance of CHWY being higher one month later, with an average gain of 10.9% [3] - From its current price of $38.68, a similar gain would eliminate its 9.3% quarter-to-date deficit and extend its 15.4% year-to-date lead [3] Group 2: Technical Indicators - CHWY's 14-Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 33, indicating it is in "oversold" territory, which has historically preceded rallies [3] - The stock is experiencing a potential short squeeze, with short interest up 7.7% and 15.51 million shares sold short, accounting for 7.3% of the total float [5] Group 3: Options Market Sentiment - The 10-day put/call volume ratio for CHWY is 0.68, indicating a higher level of pessimism among options traders compared to the past year [6] - Options are currently affordably priced, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 38% in the low 7th percentile of its annual range, suggesting a potential premium-selling strategy [7]

Group 1 - Chewy's stock closed at $40.00, down 2.49% from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500 and Dow indices [1] - Over the past month, Chewy's shares have declined by 11.8%, contrasting with a 1.87% gain in the Retail-Wholesale sector and a 3.94% gain in the S&P 500 [1] Group 2 - Chewy is expected to report an EPS of $0.33, reflecting a 37.5% increase year-over-year, with anticipated revenue of $3.08 billion, a 7.83% rise from the same quarter last year [2] - For the full year, earnings are forecasted at $1.28 per share and revenue at $12.48 billion, indicating growth of 23.08% and 5.21% respectively compared to the previous year [3] Group 3 - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate changes, currently ranks Chewy at 3 (Hold), with a recent 12.9% upward shift in the EPS estimate [5] - Chewy's Forward P/E ratio stands at 32.1, higher than the industry average of 25, indicating a premium valuation [5] Group 4 - Chewy has a PEG ratio of 3.46, significantly above the Internet - Commerce industry's average PEG ratio of 1.44, suggesting a higher valuation relative to expected earnings growth [6] - The Internet - Commerce industry is ranked 62 in the Zacks Industry Rank, placing it in the top 26% of over 250 industries [6]

Core Insights - Chewy (CHWY) reported a 6.2% adjusted EBITDA margin in Q1 of fiscal 2025, an increase of 50 basis points year over year, with adjusted EBITDA rising 18.3% to $192.7 million from $162.9 million a year ago, indicating disciplined execution and progress toward long-term profitability targets [1][9] Financial Performance - The improvement in margins was driven by a focus on high-margin, recurring revenue streams, particularly the Autoship program, and the expansion of the sponsored ads business, which is the largest contributor to margin gains [2] - Operational discipline was evident as SG&A was maintained at 18.5% of net sales, reflecting tight cost control, while adjusted earnings per share increased 12.9% year over year to 35 cents, highlighting consistent bottom-line growth alongside margin expansion [3] Future Outlook - Management reaffirmed its 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin outlook of 5.4-5.7%, with the mid-point implying a 75-basis-point improvement from 2024, expecting approximately 60% of this expansion to come from gross margin gains [4] - Chewy aims to convert about 80% of adjusted EBITDA into free cash flow for 2025, with confidence in achieving a long-term adjusted EBITDA margin goal of 10% [5] Industry Comparison - Central Garden & Pet (CENT) reported a resilient margin performance in Q2 of fiscal 2025 despite a 7% revenue drop, with gross margin expanding by 180 basis points to 32.8% and adjusted earnings per share rising to $1.04 [6] - Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF) focused on restoring profitability in Q1 of fiscal 2025, achieving a gross margin expansion of 30 basis points to 38.2% and an adjusted EBITDA margin improvement of 105 basis points to 6% [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Chewy's shares have gained 23.3% year to date, outperforming the industry's growth of 7.4% [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Chewy's fiscal 2025 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 23.1%, with upward revisions in estimates for fiscal 2025 and 2026 [10] - Chewy trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 1.33X, below the industry's average of 2.02X, with a Value Score of B [13]

Core Insights - Chewy (CHWY) is a prominent player in the pet care industry, leveraging its strong e-commerce platform to cater to a growing number of pet owners. The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 1.38X, which is below the industry average of 2.02X, raising questions about whether it is a buy, hold, or sell opportunity [1][21] Valuation Comparison - Chewy's valuation is attractive compared to peers such as Central Garden & Pet Company (CENT) at a forward 12-month P/S of 0.75, Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF) at 0.15, and BARK, Inc. (BARK) at 0.33 [2] Stock Performance - Chewy's stock price has increased by 24.3% over the past three months, closing at $41.86, outperforming the industry's rise of 18.2% and the Retail - Wholesale sector's growth of 11.5% [3][5] - The stock is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages of $41.53 and $35.26, indicating strong upward momentum and market confidence [9] Financial Performance - For the first quarter of fiscal 2025, Chewy reported net sales of $3.12 billion, an 8.3% year-over-year increase, exceeding guidance expectations [10] - The Autoship program generated record sales of $2.56 billion, accounting for 82% of total net sales and growing 14.8% year-over-year [11][13] - Chewy's active customer base grew to 20.8 million, a 3.8% year-over-year increase, with net sales per active customer rising by 3.7% to $583 [14] Growth Initiatives - Chewy's Vet Care business is expanding, with 11 clinics currently operating and plans to open 8-10 additional clinics in fiscal 2025 [15] - The Chewy+ membership program has successfully transitioned out of beta, showing increased customer engagement and order frequency [15] Future Outlook - For fiscal 2025, Chewy anticipates net sales between $12.3 billion and $12.5 billion, reflecting 6-7% year-over-year growth, with an adjusted EBITDA margin guidance of 5.4% to 5.7% [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS has seen upward revisions, with current estimates at $1.28 for the current year and $1.53 for the next year [17] Market Position - Chewy has demonstrated resilience through steady revenue growth and customer retention strategies, positioning itself as a high-growth, digitally native pet care leader [21]

Core Insights - Chewy (CHWY) experienced significant growth in active customers, reaching 20.8 million, a 3.8% year-over-year increase, with an addition of approximately 240,000 customers sequentially [1][11] - The company demonstrated improved customer retention and acquisition strategies, evidenced by a reduction in churn and higher reorder rates [2][3] Customer Growth and Retention - Chewy's active customer growth was supported by robust gross customer additions and a meaningful reduction in churn, indicating effective retention strategies [2] - The quality of new customer cohorts improved, leading to higher reorder rates and increased spending levels [3] Financial Performance - Net sales for the fiscal first quarter rose 8.3% year-over-year to $3.12 billion, driven by the expansion of Autoship subscriptions, healthcare services, and the Chewy+ membership program [3][4] - Net Sales Per Active Customer increased by 3.7% year-over-year to $583, indicating stronger customer engagement [4] Future Outlook - Chewy expects low-single-digit active customer growth for fiscal 2025, with current trends suggesting a potential for higher growth within that range [5] - The company maintained its full-year revenue guidance between $12.3 billion and $12.45 billion, implying a 6-7% year-over-year growth [5] Competitive Positioning - Chewy's net sales growth outperformed key competitors such as Central Garden & Pet Company (CENT) and Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF) [6] - Central Garden & Pet reported a 7.4% year-over-year decline in net sales, while Petco experienced a 2.3% decline due to store closures [7][8] Stock Performance and Valuation - Chewy's shares have gained 27.3% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the industry growth of 7.7% [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 1.38X, below the industry average of 2.02X, indicating potential value [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Chewy's fiscal 2025 earnings implies a year-over-year growth of 10.3%, with a 7.3% increase expected for fiscal 2026 [13]