Core Viewpoint - Chewy Inc (NYSE:CHWY) is considered a strong e-commerce investment, with Piper Sandler maintaining an Overweight rating and setting a price target of $48.00, influenced by concerns regarding pet ownership and BC Partners' significant stake [1] Group 1: Earnings and Guidance - Chewy Inc's 2025 earnings are expected to align more closely with consensus expectations, showing only a 3% EBITDA beat year-to-date compared to a 22% average beat in 2024 [2] - The company is anticipated to adopt a conservative approach for 2026, guiding for 7-8% sales growth against the Street's expectation of 8% [2] - Chewy is likely to maintain a consensus EBITDA margin of 6.6%, with potential upside from improved leverage [2] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Price Targets - Morgan Stanley raised its price target for Chewy Inc to $51 from $48 while keeping an Overweight rating, suggesting a positive outlook for 2026 in the internet sector [3] - Goldman Sachs also sees long-term upside for Chewy, raising its target to $52 [7] Group 3: Company Overview - Chewy Inc operates as an online retailer specializing in pet food and related products, offering a range of services including Chewy Pharmacy and veterinary connections [4]

Core Viewpoint - Chewy's stock has experienced significant volatility, but the company has maintained revenue growth, positioning it as a potential value stock for investors [1][10]. Company Performance - Chewy has successfully differentiated itself from competitors like Amazon through superior customer service and competitive pricing, which contributed to its stock price surge during the pandemic [3]. - Despite the stock price decline in 2021, Chewy has continued to grow, expanding its business model to include veterinary telehealth services and pharmaceuticals for pets [4]. Financial Metrics - In the first nine months of fiscal 2025, Chewy reported revenue of $9.3 billion, an 8% increase year-over-year, while operating income rose to $212 million, a 74% increase from $122 million in the same period of fiscal 2024 [5]. - Analysts project revenue growth of 6% for the current fiscal year and 8% for fiscal 2027, which may exert downward pressure on valuation metrics if the stock remains stagnant [6]. Valuation Insights - Chewy's market capitalization stands at $12 billion, with a current price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.9, down from a peak of 7 in 2021, indicating a significant drop in valuation [8]. - Although the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 55, the forward P/E ratio of 17 suggests that the stock may be undervalued, especially given the company's ongoing financial improvements [9]. Investment Consideration - After a prolonged period of decline and stagnation, Chewy stock may be poised for recovery, making it an attractive investment opportunity before broader market recognition of its growth and low valuation [10][11].

Group 1: Amazon (AMZN) - Amazon's stock has declined by 9% at the start of the year, but this has not deterred smart money as indicated by volatility skew analysis [1] - For the March 20 expiration, the volatility skew shows elevated call implied volatility (IV) compared to puts, indicating a focus on upside volatility protection [8] - The Expected Move calculator projects a price range for AMZN between $194.94 and $225.71, with a probability density peak near $212 [10][11] Group 2: Chewy (CHWY) - Chewy's stock has dropped over 15% since January, with a different volatility skew profile compared to Amazon, focusing on downside risk management [13] - The skew indicates that put IV is higher than call IV, reflecting demand for insurance against tail risk, while also suggesting potential upside tail risk [14][15] - The Expected Move calculator estimates a price range for CHWY between $24.88 and $31.16, with a probability density peak near $32 [16][17] Group 3: Expedia Group (EXPE) - Expedia's stock is down more than 16% year-to-date, and while labeled a Weak Buy, the volatility skew presents an interesting setup [18] - The skew shows elevated put IV at lower strike prices, indicating a concern for downside protection, while call IV rises at higher strikes, suggesting potential upside risk [19][20] - The Expected Move calculator projects a price range for EXPE between $207.55 and $266.15, with a probability density peak around $262 [21][22]

Core Insights - Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Chewy to $51 from $48 while maintaining an Overweight rating, indicating confidence in the company's growth potential and operational leverage [1] - Chewy reported net sales of $3.12 billion for Q3 2025, reflecting an 8.3% year-over-year growth, surpassing management's guidance [3] - The company is diversifying its offerings, with Chewy Vet Care emerging as a significant growth driver, supported by the opening of two additional veterinary practices [3][4] Company Overview - Chewy, Inc. is a leading online retailer of pet food and related products, founded in 2011 and headquartered in Plantation, Florida [4] - The company's expanding ecosystem now includes healthcare services, positioning it to capture a larger share of pet spending and enhance customer loyalty [4] Market Context - The North America Internet sector is expected to favor companies demonstrating meaningful returns on invested capital, particularly those utilizing GenAI or GPU technologies [1] - Chewy stands out in this context as it shows improving operational leverage and clearer pathways to value creation amidst competitive pressures in other internet subsectors [1]

Core Viewpoint - Chewy's stock has significantly declined over the past five years, dropping more than 80% from its peak in early 2021, but there are signs that the company's long-term strategy is beginning to pay off, making it a potentially attractive investment opportunity [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Chewy is an online retailer specializing in pet food, toys, treats, and medicine, operating solely as an e-commerce platform without any physical retail presence [2]. - The company competes with Amazon in the online pet supply market, holding approximately one-third market share, similar to Amazon's share [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the fiscal third quarter, Chewy reported revenue of $3.1 billion, reflecting an 8.3% year-over-year increase, continuing a consistent growth trend [3]. - A significant portion of Chewy's revenue, 83.9%, came from subscription-based recurring shipments, up from 80% in the same quarter the previous year, indicating a growing customer base willing to spend nearly $600 annually [5][6]. Group 3: Profitability and Growth Potential - Chewy has transitioned from a loss-making position to profitability at a faster rate than its revenue growth, suggesting a sustainable shift towards positive earnings [4]. - The company's ability to retain customers through subscription services is expected to drive continued bottom-line growth, as it is more cost-effective to maintain existing customers than to acquire new ones [6].

Chewy - Chewy is an e-commerce pet retailer with a recession-resistant business model, currently valued at a forward P/E multiple of 18.5 times fiscal 2026 estimates [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $11 billion, with a current stock price of $27.09, and has seen a revenue increase of over 8.5% in the first nine months of its fiscal year [3][4] - More than 80% of Chewy's sales come from auto-ship customers, contributing to its stable business model [4] - Chewy is experiencing gross margin expansion through high-margin sponsored ads, a new paid membership program, and higher-margin private label brands, which can have gross margins up to 700 basis points higher than national brands [5] Dutch Bros - Dutch Bros is a rapidly growing coffee chain with a market capitalization of $6.8 billion and a current stock price of $53.49, benefiting from strong same-store sales growth of 5.7% in its third quarter [6][7] - The company is introducing hot food items, which have shown a 4% lift in comparable-store sales during early pilots, and plans to roll these out to about 75% of its locations [7] - Dutch Bros aims to expand from fewer than 1,100 locations to 2,029 by 2029, with a potential to support around 7,000 locations across the U.S., fully funding its expansion through free cash flow [8]

Core Viewpoint - Ryan Cohen is attempting to transform GameStop into a conglomerate akin to Berkshire Hathaway, drawing comparisons to Warren Buffett's early career moves, despite significant differences in their investment training and backgrounds [5][19]. Group 1: Ryan Cohen's Investment Background - Ryan Cohen's investment journey began after selling Chewy for $3.35 billion in 2017, netting him approximately $1 billion, which he invested primarily in Apple and Wells Fargo stocks [7][9]. - Cohen co-founded Chewy, which became the leading online specialty pet products retailer, growing the U.S. pet industry from $48 billion in 2010 to $70 billion in 2017, with projections of $150 billion by 2024 and $350 billion globally [10][11]. Group 2: GameStop's Financial Position - GameStop's standard deviation was 2.81, placing it among the top 100 bullish price surprises, indicating high volatility and investor interest [5][6]. - The company has undergone significant changes, including a reduction in store count from 4,816 in January 2021 to approximately 2,733 by January 2026, a 43% decrease [15]. - GameStop's long-term debt increased from $14.9 million to $4.16 billion following share offerings and convertible notes, while cash and short-term investments rose from $1.08 billion to $8.83 billion [17]. Group 3: Investment Strategy and Future Outlook - Cohen's strategy involves leveraging the meme stock phenomenon to raise cash for potential acquisitions, with a focus on transforming GameStop into a more profitable entity [14][18]. - Michael Burry suggests that Cohen's acquisition of GameStop stock is a strategic move to position the company for a significant acquisition that could enhance future cash flow [18]. - The tangible book value of GameStop is currently at 2.2x, with expectations that it will double, indicating an aggressive growth outlook [18].

Core Insights - Chewy, primarily known as an online pet product retailer, also provides pet insurance through partnerships with Lemonade and Trupanion, offering various coverage options [1][2] Pet Insurance Overview - Chewy's pet insurance includes accident-only, accident and illness, and wellness coverage, with specific plans varying by state and insurer [1][2] - Trupanion offers unlimited annual coverage for eligible vet expenses, while Lemonade has a cap of $20,000 per year [2][4] Coverage Details - Chewy CarePlus plans cover accidents and illnesses, including lacerations, cancer, hospitalization, and prescription medications, with optional wellness plans for routine care [6][10] - Lemonade's accident and illness policies include three tiers: Base, Value, and Value Plus, with the Base plan providing the least coverage [7][10] - Trupanion's Essential Accident & Illness plan covers a wide range of conditions, while the Complete plan includes additional coverage for chronic conditions and diabetes [11][12] Waiting Periods and Age Restrictions - Lemonade has a waiting period of 14 days for illness coverage and 12:01 a.m. the day after purchase for accident coverage, with a maximum pet age of 11 years [8][22] - Trupanion has a 5-day waiting period for accidents and no maximum age limit for pets [8][22] Cost and Discounts - The average monthly premium for Chewy pet insurance through Lemonade with a $5,000 annual limit is $70.62, while Trupanion's unlimited coverage averages $184.97 per month, which is above average [27][28] - Chewy offers a multi-pet discount of 10% for insuring more than one pet, which is competitive in the market [28] Claims Process - Claims for Lemonade can be filed through their mobile app, while Trupanion allows direct vet payments if the vet accepts them [31][34] - Lemonade customers have 180 days to submit claims, whereas Trupanion customers have 90 days [33] Customer Support and Accessibility - Chewy's pet insurance is available nationwide, with Lemonade in 41 states and Trupanion in all 50 states [39] - Chewy provides a customer service line for inquiries related to CarePlus insurance [41]

Core Insights - Chewy is a niche player in the pet industry, while Walmart offers a broader range of retail products, including pet supplies [1][2] - The pet care market is projected to grow at a 5.1% CAGR until 2030, but Chewy's reliance on the low-margin pet industry raises concerns about its growth potential compared to Walmart [2][3] Company Performance - Chewy has low net profit margins, typically in the low single digits, while Walmart's margins range from 3% to 4% [3][11] - Chewy is diversifying into pet health, which has a higher average net profit margin of 20%, and currently operates over 20 veterinary practice locations [4] - Chewy's stock has decreased by nearly 70% over the past five years, reflecting challenges in maintaining growth post-pandemic [10] Financial Metrics - Chewy's current market cap is $12 billion, with a P/E ratio of 67, while Walmart's market cap is $950 billion with a P/E ratio of 42 [5][9][10] - Walmart's revenue growth was 5.8% year-over-year in Q3 FY26, compared to Chewy's 8.3% in its third quarter of fiscal 2025 [8] - Walmart's global advertising sales increased by 53% year-over-year in Q3 FY26, providing potential for profit growth despite low sales growth [7] Competitive Position - Chewy offers pure exposure to the pet industry, but Walmart's broader customer base and competitive advantages position it for higher long-term gains [12]

Group 1 - Chewy Inc (NYSE:CHWY) is considered one of the best large-cap stocks under $100, with a significant upside potential of approximately 49% based on a median 1-year price target of $47.19 [1] - The stock has received coverage from 18 analysts, with 16 assigning Buy ratings and 2 giving Hold calls, indicating a highly bullish sentiment towards the company [1] - Analyst Shweta Khajuria from Wolfe Research reaffirmed an Outperform rating on Chewy, lowering her price target from $46 to $44, which still suggests around 39% upside potential [2] Group 2 - Khajuria's optimism for Chewy is based on a positive outlook for Internet stocks in 2026, although she cautions that the upcoming year may not see the same level of outperformance due to stretched valuations [3] - Chewy operates as an e-commerce retailer focused on pet health products and services, generating 70% of its business revenues through its popular "Autoship" service [4] - The company offers products from over 3,500 brands via a high-volume automated distribution network, highlighting its extensive market reach [4]