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Spin-Off Research Values Comcast SOTP At $40 -BUY
Forbes· 2025-11-04 17:50
Core Insights - Comcast reported a 2.7% year-over-year decline in revenue for Q3 2025, totaling $31.2 billion, primarily due to a comparison with the previous year's $1.9 billion revenue boost from the Paris Olympics [3][24] - The company is undergoing a strategic shift to simplify pricing and enhance customer experience in response to intense competition in the broadband market [5][12] - The planned spin-off of Versant Media Group is expected to be completed by the end of 2025, allowing Comcast to focus on its core media and connectivity business [6][7] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was nearly flat, decreasing by 0.7% year-over-year to $9.7 billion, with a margin expansion of approximately 64 basis points to 31.0% [3][25] - The Connectivity & Platforms segment saw a slight revenue decline of 0.6% year-over-year to $20.2 billion, while adjusted EBITDA decreased by 3.5% to $8.0 billion [3][11] - The Content & Experiences segment reported a revenue decline of 6.8% to $11.7 billion, but adjusted EBITDA grew by 8.4% to $2.0 billion, driven by strong performance in Theme Parks [3][17] Segment Highlights - The Mobile division added 414,000 new lines, with domestic wireless revenue growing by 14.0% to $1.2 billion [4][14] - Theme Parks revenue increased by 18.7% to $2.7 billion, largely due to the successful opening of Epic Universe [4][18] - Peacock's adjusted EBITDA losses improved significantly, reducing from a loss of $436 million in Q3 2024 to a loss of $217 million in Q3 2025 [4][19] Strategic Initiatives - Comcast is investing in a new go-to-market strategy that includes simplified pricing and improved customer experience, which is expected to create near-term headwinds [5][12] - The company is facing increased competition from fiber and fixed wireless providers, prompting a focus on mobile growth and a converged product strategy [4][28] - Versant Media Group plans to address structural challenges by monetizing digital assets and expanding into adjacent markets post-spin-off [8][35] Valuation Insights - The fair value estimates for Comcast's stub business is $36.20 per share, while the consolidated entity is valued at $39.80 per share [8][42] - Versant is valued at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.0x, reflecting its challenges in the linear TV market [41][40] - Comcast's overall valuation reflects its leading position in the broadband market, despite slower growth compared to peers [42][41]
“I Am A Friend Of Comcast (CMCSA),” Says Jim Cramer
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-01 19:29
Core Viewpoint - Jim Cramer has recently discussed Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCSA), highlighting concerns regarding its stock performance and strategic decisions, particularly the spinoff of CNBC [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Comcast's stock was priced at $43.20 at the time of the spinoff announcement and has since dropped to $27, indicating a significant decline [1]. Group 2: Strategic Decisions - Cramer expressed opposition to the plan to spin off CNBC, emphasizing his belief in the company's potential but suggesting that other AI stocks may offer better investment opportunities with higher returns and lower risks [1].
Notable analyst calls this week: Meta, Boeing and Comcast among top picks
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-01 14:20
Core Insights - The S&P 500 closed positively on Friday, driven by a week of earnings reports from major tech companies such as Meta, Apple, Alphabet, and Amazon [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The S&P 500 (SP500) experienced a green close on Friday [1] - The week included significant earnings reports from big tech firms [1] Group 2: Key Companies - Major tech firms involved in the earnings reports include Meta, Apple, Alphabet, and Amazon [1]
Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) Faces a Mixed Financial Outlook Amid Competitive Pressures
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-31 19:14
Core Insights - Comcast Corporation is a significant entity in the telecommunications and media industry, providing services such as cable television, internet, and phone services, and owning NBCUniversal [1] - The company faces competition from major players like AT&T, Verizon, and Disney [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Comcast reported adjusted earnings of $1.12 per share, exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.82%, but remaining flat year over year [3][6] - Consolidated revenues decreased by 2.7% year over year to $31.2 billion, primarily due to the lack of revenue from the previous year's Paris Olympics [3][6] - Revenues surpassed Zacks Consensus Estimates by 1.85% despite the decline [3] Segment Performance - The Connectivity & Platforms segment, accounting for 64.7% of total revenues, saw a slight decline of 0.6% year over year, totaling $20.18 billion [4] - Residential Connectivity & Platforms revenues decreased by 1.5% [4] - Peacock, Comcast's streaming service, generated $1.4 billion in revenue with a reduced EBITDA loss [4] - The Theme Parks segment experienced an 18.7% growth, driven by gains from Epic Universe [4] Stock Performance - CMCSA's current stock price is $27.12, reflecting a decrease of approximately 0.75% [5] - The stock has ranged from a low of $26.35 to a high of $27.26 during the trading day [5] - Over the past year, the stock reached a high of $45.22 and a low of $25.75, with a market capitalization of approximately $99.86 billion [5] Analyst Insights - Maher Yaghi from Scotiabank set a new price target for CMCSA at $41.50, indicating a potential upside of 53.71% from the current trading price [2][6] - This revised target is lower than the previous $45.50, reflecting a more cautious outlook [2]
Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCSA) Financial Overview and Market Performance
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-31 18:12
Core Insights - Comcast Corporation is a global media and technology company competing with major players like Disney and AT&T, with a recent stock price of $27.22 after Scotiabank adjusted its rating to "Sector Perform" [1] Financial Performance - Comcast reported adjusted earnings of $1.12 per share for Q3 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.82%, but these earnings were flat compared to the previous year, indicating a need for future growth [2][6] - The company's consolidated revenues decreased by 2.7% year over year to $31.2 billion, primarily due to the absence of revenue from the previous year's Paris Olympics, yet still beating Zacks Consensus Estimates by 1.85% [3][6] Segment Performance - The Connectivity & Platforms segment, which constitutes 64.7% of total revenues, saw a slight decline of 0.6% year over year to $20.18 billion, with Residential Connectivity & Platforms revenues down by 1.5% [4] - The Theme Parks segment experienced significant growth of 18.7%, driven by gains from Epic Universe [4][6] - Peacock, Comcast's streaming service, generated $1.4 billion in revenue with a reduced EBITDA loss, indicating improvement in its financial performance [4][6] Stock Performance - Comcast's current stock price is approximately $26.98, reflecting a decrease of about 1.23% or $0.34, with a market capitalization of approximately $99.38 billion and a trading volume of around 10.75 million shares on NASDAQ [5]
Tech Titans Drive Mixed Market as Earnings Season Nears Close
Stock Market News· 2025-10-31 18:07
Market Overview - The U.S. stock market had a mixed trading session on October 31, 2025, with major indexes showing solid gains for the week and month despite afternoon trading divergences influenced by tech earnings [1][2] - The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.2%, driven by strong results from Amazon, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.2% and the S&P 500 was down fractionally [2] Sector Performance - Sector performance was mixed, with the Technology Select Sector SPDR losing 1.2% and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR declining 2.3% on the previous day, while financial and real estate sectors showed strength [4] Notable Company Performances - Amazon's stock surged between 10% and 13% after reporting robust third-quarter results, with a 20% year-over-year growth in its AWS division [5] - Apple also contributed positively, with shares climbing between 2% and 8% after exceeding earnings estimates and providing an optimistic outlook for the holiday season [5] - Alphabet's stock jumped 5% following stronger-than-expected earnings, driven by Google Cloud and YouTube advertising revenue [7] - Meta Platforms saw a slight rebound of 1.5% after an 11% drop due to increased AI capital expenditures and a substantial tax charge [6] - Nvidia's market valuation dipped below $5 trillion, with little change in stock price after a 2% decline [6] Upcoming Events - The market is facing a partial U.S. government shutdown, delaying the release of crucial economic data, including the September PCE report [10] - Key economic data releases include the ISM Manufacturing PMI on November 3 and the ADP employment report on November 5 [11] - Nvidia and Palantir Technologies are expected to report earnings in mid-November, with analysts anticipating strong growth for Palantir driven by demand for its AI Platform [12] Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve recently cut the federal funds rate to 3.75-4.00%, but Chair Powell's neutral stance on future monetary policy has introduced uncertainty [13]
KeyBanc cuts rating on Comcast over bleak picture for broadband growth (CMCSA:NASDAQ)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-31 14:03
Core Viewpoint - KeyBanc Capital Markets has downgraded Comcast's investment rating from "overweight" to "sector weight" due to a lack of catalysts following the company's third-quarter results [3]. Group 1 - The downgrade reflects concerns over the absence of significant growth drivers for Comcast [3]. - Despite the downgrade, broadband and mobile net additions were reported to be better than expected [3].
异动盘点1031 | 港股美股冰火两重天:业绩引爆个股行情,福森药业飙涨74%,Meta、eBay重挫超10%
贝塔投资智库· 2025-10-31 04:00
Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Market Updates - China Metallurgical Group (01618) saw a decline of over 5%, reporting a revenue of 335.09 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year decrease of 18.79%, and a net profit of 3.97 billion yuan, down 41.88% [1] - Fosen Pharmaceutical (01652) surged nearly 74% after announcing that its subsidiary received approval for the "Enzalutamide Soft Capsule" from the National Medical Products Administration of China [1] - Sanhua Intelligent Control (02050) increased over 3%, with a revenue of 24.03 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year growth of 16.86%, and a net profit of 3.24 billion yuan, up 40.85% [1] - Rongchang Biopharmaceutical (09995) rose over 5%, reporting a revenue of approximately 1.72 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.27%, and a net loss of about 551 million yuan, narrowing by 48.6% [1] - New Special Energy (01799) fell nearly 8%, with a revenue of 11.66 billion yuan and a net loss of 526 million yuan for the first three quarters [1] Group 2: Additional Hong Kong Stock Market Updates - Chuny Medical (01858) increased over 10%, reporting a revenue of 756 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 48.75%, and a net profit of 192 million yuan, up 213.21% [2] - Innovent Biologics (01801) rose over 4%, achieving total product revenue exceeding 3.3 billion yuan in Q3, maintaining a strong year-on-year growth of about 40% [2] - Longpan Technology (02465) increased over 6%, with a revenue of approximately 5.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 2.91%, and a net loss of about 110 million yuan, narrowing by 63.53% [2] - 3SBio (01530) saw an early morning increase of nearly 7%, following a significant deal with Pfizer worth up to $12.5 billion [2] - China CNR Corporation (01766) fell over 8%, reporting a revenue of approximately 183.87 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.49%, and a net profit of about 9.96 billion yuan, up 37.53% [2] Group 3: US Stock Market Updates - Carvana (CVNA.US) dropped over 13%, reporting a Q3 revenue growth of 54.5% to $5.65 billion, exceeding analyst expectations [3] - Alphabet (GOOGL.US) rose nearly 2%, with Q3 revenue surpassing $100 billion, driven by strong AI demand boosting cloud business [3] - Meta Platforms (META.US) fell over 11%, reporting Q3 revenue of $51.2 billion, a 26% year-on-year increase, but net profit significantly below expectations due to a one-time tax expense [4] - Bitcoin-related stocks experienced declines, with Strategy (MSTR.US) down nearly 7% and Coinbase (COIN.US) down over 5% [4] - eBay (EBAY.US) plummeted 15%, marking its largest drop in over 20 years despite exceeding sales expectations [4] Group 4: Additional US Stock Market Updates - Comcast (CMCSA.US) fell 4%, losing 104,000 broadband users in Q3, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of user decline [5] - CoreWeave (CRWV.US) dropped over 6% after shareholders rejected a proposed acquisition [5] - Roblox (RBLX.US) fell over 15%, reporting Q3 revenue of $1.4 billion, a 48% year-on-year increase, but widening net losses [5] - Moderna (MRNA.US) rose over 13%, reportedly in talks for a large-scale acquisition with a major pharmaceutical company [6] - Altria (MO.US) fell over 7%, reporting adjusted EPS of $1.45, in line with market consensus, but net revenue declined by 1.7% [6]
Comcast Shares Slip as Q3 Results Beat Estimates But Revenue Falls
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-30 20:22
Core Insights - Comcast Corporation reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings with adjusted earnings per share of $1.12, exceeding analyst expectations by $0.02 [1] - Revenue declined 2.7% year-over-year to $31.2 billion but surpassed the consensus estimate of $30.7 billion [1] - Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 0.7% to $9.7 billion [1] Revenue Breakdown - The revenue decline was attributed to tough comparisons with last year's results, which included contributions from the Paris Olympics [2] - The wireless business added a record 414,000 lines, growing domestic wireless revenue by 14% to $1.25 billion, partially offsetting broadband customer losses of 104,000 [2] Segment Performance - Theme Parks revenue surged 18.7% to $2.7 billion following the successful May opening of Epic Universe in Orlando [3] - The Studios division reported a 6.1% revenue increase to $3 billion, driven by the blockbuster performance of Jurassic World Rebirth, which generated nearly $900 million globally [3] - Business Services continued to perform well, with connectivity revenue up 6.2% to $2.6 billion and EBITDA rising 4.5% to $1.5 billion [3]
Comcast(CMCSA) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-10-30 19:11
Financial Performance - Consolidated revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2025, decreased by 2.7% to $31,198 million compared to $32,070 million in 2024[74] - Net income attributable to Comcast Corporation for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $3,332 million, down 8.2% from $3,629 million in 2024[74] - Adjusted EBITDA for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $9,669 million, a decrease of 0.7% from $9,735 million in 2024[74] - Consolidated costs and expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2025, decreased by 2.1% to $25,665 million compared to $26,211 million in 2024[74] - Total revenue for Q3 2025 decreased by 1.5% to $17,601 million, while for the nine months it fell by 0.9% to $53,057 million[103] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $6,554 million, down 5.1% year-over-year, and for the nine months it decreased by 1.5% to $20,554 million[103] - Operating income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $17,184 million, a decrease of 6.1% compared to $18,304 million in 2024[159] Revenue Breakdown - Total Connectivity & Platforms revenue for Q3 2025 was $20,176 million, a decrease of 0.6% compared to Q3 2024, while year-to-date revenue was $60,704 million, down 0.2%[86] - Media segment revenue for Q3 2025 was $6,589 million, a decline of 19.9% compared to Q3 2024, with domestic advertising revenue dropping by 41.3%[120] - Theme Parks revenue increased by 18.7% to $2,717 million for Q3 2025 and by 11.2% to $6,943 million for the nine months, reflecting ongoing investments in attractions and infrastructure[117] - Domestic broadband revenue for Q3 2025 was $6,433 million, a slight increase of 0.5% compared to Q3 2024, while for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, it rose to $19,521 million, up 1.3% year-over-year[103] - Domestic wireless revenue increased by 14.0% to $1,246 million for Q3 2025 and by 15.6% to $3,565 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, driven by higher customer lines and device sales[108] - International connectivity revenue grew by 10.8% to $1,275 million for Q3 2025 and by 11.9% to $3,626 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, aided by increases in broadband and wireless services[109] Cost Management - Programming and production costs decreased by 15.3% to $8,655 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $10,216 million in 2024[74] - Marketing and promotion expenses increased by 10.4% to $2,196 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $1,989 million in 2024[74] - Programming expenses, the largest operating expense, decreased by 3.7% to $3,952 million in Q3 2025, with year-to-date programming expenses down 5.5% to $12,057 million[97] - Marketing and promotion expenses for the Media segment decreased by 44.8% to $436 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $301 million in 2024[134] Customer Metrics - Domestic residential customer relationships decreased by 103, totaling 30,642 in Q3 2025, while international residential customer relationships fell by 95, totaling 17,603[89] - Domestic broadband residential customers decreased by 91, totaling 28,897 in Q3 2025, while total domestic broadband customers decreased by 104, totaling 31,436[89] - Average monthly total Connectivity & Platforms revenue per customer relationship increased by 0.7% to $131.74 in Q3 2025, while average monthly adjusted EBITDA per customer relationship decreased by 2.3% to $52.29[94] Investments and Future Outlook - A significant gain of $9.4 billion was recorded from the sale of Comcast's interest in Hulu during the nine months ended September 30, 2025[82] - The company is focusing on growing higher-margin connectivity businesses and has simplified its broadband pricing structure to improve customer retention[88] - The company expects continued declines in video revenue due to shifting consumption patterns and competitive pressures, impacting overall customer relationships[88] - The company aims to grow its Business Services Connectivity segment by offering competitive enterprise solutions[88] - Significant investments are being made in new theme park attractions and experiences, including the recently opened Epic Universe in Orlando, expected to positively impact attendance and guest spending[119] Tax and Cash Flow - The effective income tax rate for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was impacted by lower domestic income before income taxes, resulting in a decrease in income tax expense[83] - Payments of income taxes decreased to $2,378 million in 2025 from $5,988 million in 2024, primarily due to higher payments in the prior year related to a taxable gain on the investment in Hulu[161] - Cash provided by operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $24.8 billion, an increase from $19.6 billion in 2024, indicating a growth of 26.0%[156] - As of September 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents totaled $9.3 billion, an increase from $7.3 billion at the end of 2024[156] Shareholder Returns - The company repurchased 152 million shares of Class A common stock for $5.3 billion during the nine months ended September 30, 2025, with $10.4 billion remaining under the new $15.0 billion share repurchase program[171] - A 6.5% increase in the dividend was approved, raising it to $1.32 per share on an annualized basis, with total dividends paid amounting to $3.7 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2025[173]