Group 1 - Traeger reported quarterly earnings of $0.05 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.04 per share, and showing an earnings surprise of 25% [1] - The company posted revenues of $143.28 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.29%, although this represents a decline from year-ago revenues of $144.91 million [2] - Traeger has surpassed consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters, but has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once in the same period [2] Group 2 - Traeger shares have declined approximately 38.9% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's decline of 5.3% [3] - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, as it includes current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters and any recent changes to these expectations [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.07 on revenues of $168.72 million, and $0.13 on revenues of $602.5 million for the current fiscal year [7] Group 3 - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the Consumer Products - Discretionary sector is currently in the bottom 22% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may negatively impact stock performance [8] - Central Garden, another company in the same industry, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.94 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -5.1%, with revenues anticipated to be $875.2 million, down 2.8% from the previous year [9][10]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - First quarter revenues declined by 1% to $143 million compared to the same period in 2024, with adjusted EBITDA of $23 million, down from $24 million year-over-year [27][30][8] - Net loss for the first quarter was $1 million, an improvement from a net loss of $5 million in the first quarter of 2024 [30] - Adjusted net income increased to $7 million or $0.05 per diluted share, compared to $5 million or $0.04 per diluted share in the same period last year [30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Grill sales increased by 13% year-over-year, benefiting from the launch of the new Woodridge series [17][20] - Consumables revenues decreased by 6% to $30 million, largely in line with expectations [27] - Accessories revenue fell by 27% to $26 million, primarily due to challenges faced by the Meter product line [27][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American revenues rose by 6%, while revenues from the rest of the world dropped by 47%, significantly impacted by Meter's performance [28] - The first quarter typically experiences slower sales in the outdoor cooking industry, but sell-through for grills remained positive compared to the previous year [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on mitigating tariff impacts through cost reductions, sourcing diversification, and strategic pricing increases [11][12][13] - Plans to reduce production in China significantly by 2026 while enhancing relationships with manufacturing partners [13] - The company has suspended forward guidance for fiscal 2025 due to uncertainties in the macroeconomic environment and consumer demand [16][34] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the challenges posed by tariffs and declining consumer sentiment, emphasizing the need for strategic navigation through the current macroeconomic landscape [9][10] - The company remains optimistic about its ability to offset tariff impacts and is committed to long-term growth strategies despite short-term challenges [26][36] Other Important Information - The Woodridge series received strong consumer reception, achieving an average rating of 4.8 stars, marking the highest rating for a product launch in the company's history [21] - The company is actively managing inventory levels and has reduced purchase orders to avoid overstocking amid uncertain demand [35][55] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide some color around strategic price increases across your product portfolio? - Management indicated that pricing decisions were made based on historical sell-through data and product elasticity, with a focus on premium positioning and innovation [38][39] Question: Can you talk about the Meter segment and capital allocation going forward? - Management acknowledged short-term challenges in the Meter segment but emphasized a long-term strategy focused on wholesale channels and operational efficiency [44][46] Question: Have you sensed a shift in retailer willingness to take on inventory? - Management noted no significant reluctance from retailers to take inventory, but there has been a shift towards domestic fulfillment due to tariff implications [50][52] Question: Can you clarify the tariff situation regarding products from China? - Management confirmed that grills from China are subject to a total tariff of 45%, while accessories vary based on sourcing [58][60] Question: What is the approach to marketing this year? - The company is focusing on sales activation activities and in-store marketing, while top-of-funnel marketing has been deprioritized due to the uncertain environment [89][90]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - First quarter revenues declined by 1% to $143 million compared to the same period in 2024, with adjusted EBITDA of $23 million, down from $24 million year-over-year [6][24][27] - Net loss for the first quarter was $1 million, an improvement from a net loss of $5 million in the first quarter of 2024 [27] - Adjusted net income increased to $7 million or $0.05 per diluted share, compared to $5 million or $0.04 per diluted share in the same period last year [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Grill sales increased by 13% year-over-year, benefiting from the launch of the new Woodridge series [15][24] - Consumables revenues decreased by 6% to $30 million, in line with expectations, due to a reduction in wood pellet and soup consumables [21][24] - Accessories revenue fell by 27% to $26 million, primarily due to challenges faced by Meter in the smart thermometer category [22][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American revenues rose by 6%, while revenues from the rest of the world dropped by 47%, largely due to Meter's performance [25] - The first quarter typically experiences slower sales in the outdoor cooking industry, but sell-through for grills remained healthy into the second quarter [16][24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on mitigating tariff impacts through cost reductions, sourcing diversification, and strategic pricing increases [10][12][14] - Plans to reduce production in China significantly by 2026 while enhancing relationships with manufacturing partners [11][12] - The company has suspended forward guidance for fiscal 2025 due to uncertainties in the macroeconomic environment and consumer demand [14][31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by tariffs and declining consumer sentiment, emphasizing the importance of navigating the current macroeconomic climate [7][8] - The company is optimistic about its ability to offset tariff impacts through various mitigation strategies, although consumer demand remains a significant unknown [10][29] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term value of the Meter brand despite short-term pressures [42][44] Other Important Information - The Woodridge series received strong consumer reception, achieving an average rating of 4.8 stars across various platforms [19][20] - The company is actively managing inventory levels and has reduced purchase orders to avoid overstocking amid uncertain demand [32][53] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide insights on strategic price increases across your product portfolio? - Management indicated that pricing decisions were made based on historical sell-through data and product elasticity, with a focus on premium positioning [35][36] Question: How is the Meter segment performing and what are the capital allocation plans? - Management acknowledged short-term challenges for Meter but emphasized a long-term strategy focused on wholesale channels and cost structure optimization [42][43] Question: Has there been a shift in retailer willingness to take on inventory? - Management noted no significant reluctance from retailers but mentioned a shift towards domestic fulfillment due to tariff implications [48][49] Question: Can you clarify the tariff situation for products sourced from China? - Management confirmed that grills from China are subject to a total tariff of 45%, while accessories vary based on sourcing [57][64] Question: What is the current status of the Walmart pellet rollout? - Management expressed excitement about the partnership with Walmart, noting it meets consumer demand for convenience [68][69]

TRAEGER INVESTOR PRESENTATION. FIRST QUARTER 2025 SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of l995. All statements contained in this presentation that do not relate to matters of historical fact should be considered forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding our mitigation efforts to offset the direct impact of tariffs, our implementation of strategic actions to stabiliz ...

Financial Performance - Total revenues decreased by 1.1% to $143.3 million compared to $144.9 million in the first quarter last year[4] - Net loss was $0.8 million, or $0.01 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $4.7 million, or $0.04 per diluted share in the same period last year[8] - Adjusted EBITDA was $22.5 million, down from $24.4 million in the first quarter last year[8] - North America revenue increased by 5.6%, while Rest of World revenue declined by 46.5% compared to the prior year[5] - Gross profit decreased to $59.5 million, with a gross margin of 41.5%, down from 43.2% in the same period last year[6] - Revenue for Q1 2025 was $143,283,000, slightly down from $144,914,000 in Q1 2024, indicating a decrease of about 1.1%[29] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $22,530,000, compared to $24,414,000 in Q1 2024, reflecting a decline of approximately 7.7%[29] - Adjusted net income for Q1 2025 was $6,567,000, up from $4,684,000 in Q1 2024, marking an increase of about 40.3%[29] - Adjusted net income margin improved to 4.6% in Q1 2025 from 3.2% in Q1 2024[29] - The company reported a net loss margin of (0.5)% in Q1 2025, an improvement from (3.2)% in Q1 2024[29] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the first quarter totaled $12.0 million, down from $15.0 million at December 31, 2024[10] - Cash used in operating activities for Q1 2025 was $20,837,000, compared to $12,598,000 in Q1 2024, indicating an increase of approximately 65.5%[22] - Net cash provided by financing activities in Q1 2025 was $19,792,000, up from $12,049,000 in Q1 2024, representing an increase of about 64.5%[22] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2025 were $12,034,000, down from $23,620,000 at the end of Q1 2024, a decrease of approximately 49.1%[22] Inventory and Costs - Inventory at the end of the first quarter was $127.2 million, up from $107.4 million at December 31, 2024[10] - Stock-based compensation expense decreased to $5,176,000 in Q1 2025 from $10,098,000 in Q1 2024, a reduction of about 48.8%[29] Strategic Actions and Guidance - The company is withdrawing its financial guidance for Fiscal 2025 due to macroeconomic uncertainty and evolving trade policies[11] - Strategic actions include cost reductions, supply chain savings, and pricing increases to mitigate tariff impacts[14]

Traeger (COOK) is expected to deliver flat earnings compared to the year-ago quarter on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on May 1. ...

Core Insights - Traeger, Inc. has launched the Flatrock 2 Zone Griddle, expanding its griddle lineup with a compact design that maintains high performance similar to the Flatrock 3 Zone [1][2][3] - The Flatrock 2 Zone features a two-zone cooking system and streamlined ignition process, enhancing the outdoor cooking experience by providing versatility and efficiency [2][3] - The product is priced at $699 and will be available on Traeger.com and select retailers in the U.S. and Canada [4] Company Overview - Traeger Grills, based in Salt Lake City, is a leader in the wood pellet grill market, known for its innovative outdoor cooking systems that allow for various cooking methods [5] - The company has recently entered the griddle category, further solidifying its position in the outdoor cooking space with versatile cooking options [5] Product Features - The Flatrock 2 Zone includes two distinct cooking zones for precise heat control, ensuring even cooking without hot or cold spots [6] - It incorporates wind-blocking technology for consistent heat coverage and U-shaped burners for reliable cooking performance [6] - The design features EZ-CLEAN™ grease management for easy cleanup and a slimmed-down size suitable for smaller spaces [6] - Customizable cookspace options are available with the Pop-And-Lock™ accessory rail and folding side shelves [6]

Core Viewpoint - Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joseph Feldman downgraded Traeger, Inc. from Outperform to Market Perform, lowering the price forecast to $2.50 from $4.00 due to challenging performance trends expected in 2025 [1] Group 1: Financial Guidance and Performance - Traeger provided disappointing guidance for 2025, forecasting flat sales at the midpoint of $595 million to $615 million, which is below the FactSet consensus of $628 million [1] - The analyst has lowered the 2025 sales forecast to $605 million from $632 million and expects adjusted EBITDA to be $75 million, down from a previous estimate of $90 million, reflecting a contraction in the adjusted EBITDA margin to 12.3% from 14.2% [5] Group 2: Market Conditions and Risks - Consumer caution due to elevated interest rates and inflation continues to affect spending on big-ticket items, which may impact Traeger's sales [2] - The guidance does not account for potential tariff impacts under the new Trump administration, which could hurt sales as around 50% of products are sourced from China [2] - Macroeconomic challenges are projected to continue affecting demand, with tariffs adding further downside risk [4] Group 3: Management Changes and Strategic Initiatives - Long-time CFO Dominic Blosil will step down at the end of the first quarter of 2025, with Joey Hord, Traeger's SVP of Finance and Strategy, set to replace him [3] - Traeger is introducing innovations like the Woodbridge line and exploring adjacent product categories, aiming to drive recurring revenues through its consumables business and grocery distribution while expanding internationally [4] - The analyst suggests that Traeger may still outperform the industry due to efforts in increasing brand awareness through marketing and customer engagement [3] Group 4: Future Projections - For 2026, the analyst projects 6% sales growth to $642 million and adjusted EBITDA of $90 million [5]

Financial and Operational Restrictions - The First Lien Credit Agreement imposes significant operating and financial restrictions, limiting the company's ability to incur additional debt, make investments, or engage in fundamental changes [216]. - Breaching the covenants of the First Lien Credit Agreement could lead to default, allowing creditors to accelerate debt repayment and potentially resulting in bankruptcy or liquidation [217]. Cybersecurity and Data Privacy - Cybersecurity threats are increasing, and any breach could lead to significant financial penalties, legal liabilities, and damage to the company's reputation [225]. - The company is subject to various data security frameworks and laws, and non-compliance could result in fines and restrictions that adversely affect its business [230]. - Insurance coverage for cybersecurity incidents may be limited, and significant claims could exceed available coverage, impacting financial results [231]. - The company collects and processes personal data, subjecting it to evolving legal obligations related to privacy and security, which could result in liability if not complied with [232]. - The California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA) requires companies to provide disclosures to California consumers and allows them to opt-out of certain data disclosures, with civil penalties for violations [234]. - The General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) imposes fines of up to €20 million or £17.5 million, or up to 4% of annual global revenue for non-compliance, whichever is greater [237]. - China's Cybersecurity Law mandates that personal information of Chinese citizens must be collected based on legitimacy, justification, and necessity, with fines up to RMB 100,000 for non-compliance [239]. - The Personal Information Protection Law (PIPL) in China can impose fines of up to RMB 50 million or 5% of the previous year's total annual revenue for violations [243]. - The Data Security Law requires important data to be stored locally in China and imposes penalties for non-compliance, including fines up to RMB 50 million [240]. - The California Privacy Rights Act (CPRA) significantly modifies the CCPA and expands consumer rights regarding sensitive personal data [236]. - The enactment of the CCPA has led to similar privacy statutes being enforced in thirteen states, with more expected to follow, increasing compliance complexity [236]. - Companies must maintain adequate security measures to comply with varying state laws on data breaches, requiring significant resource investments [236]. - The introduction of new foreign privacy laws may restrict marketing and personalization activities, adversely impacting business operations [238]. - Regulatory investigations and enforcement actions may arise from perceived failures in data privacy practices, potentially harming the company's reputation and financial condition [246]. Corporate Governance and Ownership Structure - As of March 3, 2025, funds or entities affiliated with AEA Fund, OTPP, and TCP owned approximately 60% of the voting power of the company's common stock [257]. - Certain actions by the company or its subsidiaries will require prior written consent from AEA Fund, OTPP, and TCP if they collectively own at least 30% of the outstanding shares, including transactions exceeding $250 million [257]. - The company has opted out of Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law, which may affect takeover attempts and management changes [255]. - The concentration of ownership among a limited number of stockholders may conflict with the interests of other stockholders and affect market price [259]. - The company's stock price may be volatile due to various factors, including anticipated fluctuations in operating results and significant sales by existing stockholders [253]. - Future sales of shares by existing stockholders could lead to a decline in the company's stock price [261]. - The company's certificate of incorporation allows for the issuance of shares of undesignated preferred stock without further action by stockholders [260]. - The doctrine of "corporate opportunity" does not apply to certain stockholders, potentially leading to competition for beneficial opportunities [265]. - The company is classified as a "controlled company," which may limit stockholder protections and result in a board lacking a majority of independent directors [275]. - The company is an "emerging growth company," allowing it to take advantage of reduced disclosure requirements, which may affect the attractiveness of its common stock to investors [276][277]. Financial Performance and Reporting - The company has incurred approximately $40.5 million in accelerated stock-based compensation expense for the year ended December 31, 2022, and $27.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, due to modifications and cancellations of stock awards [273][274]. - The company is currently implementing a new product lifecycle management (PLM) system to enhance data compilation and analysis related to product lifecycles, which may incur significant costs and require substantial employee attention [272]. - The company intends to retain future earnings for business operations and expansion, with no plans to declare or pay dividends in the foreseeable future [279]. - The company has made strategic acquisitions, including the purchase of Apption Labs on July 1, 2021, which may involve unforeseen operational difficulties and additional liabilities [281]. - The company has a legal obligation to maintain effective internal controls over financial reporting, with potential implications for financial statement accuracy and investor confidence [267][271]. - The company may face increased legal and financial compliance costs due to reporting requirements under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act and the Dodd-Frank Act [267]. - The company may experience a decline in share price and trading volume if analysts downgrade its shares or cease coverage [278]. - The company may incur additional costs and operational disruptions if it fails to implement necessary systems and procedures effectively [272]. Cash and Debt Management - The company had cash and cash equivalents of $15.0 million and $29.9 million as of December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively [395]. - The outstanding debt was $403.6 million and $403.8 million as of December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively [395]. - For every 100 basis point increase in interest rates, the company would incur approximately $4.0 million of additional annual interest expense [395]. Market and Economic Risks - The company is exposed to commodity price fluctuations, particularly in steel, which is a primary raw material for manufacturing [399]. - A 25% tariff on all steel imports will become effective on March 12, 2025, which may impact costs [399]. - The company may face adverse effects from sustained high inflation rates if selling prices do not increase accordingly [401]. - The company utilizes hedging strategies to manage currency transaction risks but cannot guarantee effectiveness [286]. - The company is subject to various legal proceedings that could materially harm its business and financial condition [283].

For the quarter ended December 2024, Traeger (COOK) reported revenue of $168.64 million, up 3.2% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $0.01, compared to -$0.08 in the year-ago quarter.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $164.62 million, representing a surprise of +2.44%. The company has not delivered EPS surprise, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.01.While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expe ...