Devon Energy surpassed Wall Street expectations for third-quarter profit on Wednesday, as the U.S. shale producer benefited from higher output. ...

OKLAHOMA CITY, Nov. 05, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Devon Energy Corp. (NYSE: DVN) today reported financial and operational results for the third-quarter 2025. The company also declared its quarterly dividend and provided an updated 2025 outlook. Devon’s earnings release, supplemental financial tables, guidance and related earnings presentation can be accessed via the Investor Relations section of Devon’s website, www.devonenergy.com. The company’s third-quarter conference call will be held at 10:00 a.m. Centr ...

Core Viewpoint - Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) is anticipated to show an increase in revenue but a decrease in earnings for the third quarter of 2025, with results expected to be reported on November 5 [1][10] Group 1: Earnings and Production Expectations - Devon Energy is projected to maintain stable oil production, with an expected output of 387,000 barrels per day in Q3 2025, supported by strong performance from its multi-basin portfolio, particularly the Delaware Basin [2][10] - The company expects total production volumes to range between 829,000 to 847,000 barrels of oil equivalents per day (Mboe/d), with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of 838.7 Mboe/d, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 15.2% [6][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 revenues is $4.12 billion, indicating a growth of 2.34% compared to the previous year [6][10] - The consensus estimate for earnings is set at 93 cents per share, which represents a decline of 15.45% from the year-ago figure [7][10] Group 2: Factors Influencing Performance - The company has implemented hedging strategies for its Q3 production to mitigate market volatility in oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas prices, contributing to earnings stability [3][10] - Prudent cost management has allowed Devon Energy to maintain control over operating expenses, while strong cash flow generation has supported its share repurchase program, likely enhancing quarterly earnings [4][10] - Efforts to restructure NGL contracts and improve downstream oil realizations by expanding access to export markets are expected to positively impact Q3 earnings [5][10] Group 3: Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a likely earnings beat for Devon Energy, as it has an Earnings ESP of -0.07% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [8][9]

Core Insights - Approximately 38% of S&P 500 energy companies have reported Q3 2025 results, indicating noticeable challenges impacting earnings [1] - The Oil-Energy sector is experiencing mixed trends, with crude prices declining due to oversupply while natural gas prices are rising amid tighter supply and geopolitical tensions [2] Commodity Performance - Crude oil prices fell sharply in Q3 2025, with West Texas Intermediate averaging $65.74 per barrel, down 14% from $76.24 in Q3 2024, primarily due to oversupply as OPEC+ nations increased production by over 1.3 million barrels per day [3] - Natural gas prices rose significantly, with the Henry Hub spot price averaging $3.03 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), a 44% increase from $2.11 in Q3 2024, driven by supply disruptions and strong demand [5] Market Dynamics - Trade tensions between the U.S. and China, potential tariffs on imports from India, and softening industrial demand expectations contributed to bearish sentiment in the oil market [4] - Geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East and concerns over tariffs on LNG equipment imports have further increased production costs, supporting the rise in natural gas prices [6] Earnings Outlook - The energy sector's Q3 2025 earnings are projected to decline by 4.9% year over year, despite a sequential improvement from a negative 16.9% in Q2 2025, with revenues expected to grow only 1% [7] - In contrast, the broader S&P 500 is expected to show earnings and revenue growth of 7.3%, highlighting the energy sector's role as a market drag [8] Company-Specific Insights - Key companies to watch include APA Corporation, Permian Resources Corporation, Energy Transfer, and Devon Energy Corporation, all facing challenges in delivering earnings beats [2][10] - APA Corporation's earnings estimate is 74 cents per share, indicating a 26% decrease year over year, with a Zacks Rank of 3 [12][13] - Permian Resources Corporation's earnings estimate is 30 cents per share, reflecting a 14.29% decrease year over year, also with a Zacks Rank of 3 [14] - Energy Transfer's earnings estimate is 33 cents per share, a 3.13% increase year over year, but it holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [15] - Devon Energy Corporation's earnings estimate is 93 cents per share, indicating a 15.45% decrease year over year, with a Zacks Rank of 3 [16]

Group 1 - Devon Energy Corporation's market capitalization is significantly influenced by global spot market energy resource costs [1] - Historical patterns indicate a strong correlation between energy prices and the company's financial performance [1] Group 2 - The analysis aims to identify profitable and undervalued investment opportunities primarily in the U.S. market [1] - The approach combines macro-economic analysis with real-world trading experience to create a balanced portfolio [1]

Group 1 - Devon Energy Corporation's market capitalization is significantly influenced by global spot market energy resource costs [1] - Historical patterns indicate a strong correlation between energy prices and the company's financial performance [1] Group 2 - The analysis aims to identify profitable and undervalued investment opportunities primarily in the U.S. market [1] - A balanced portfolio of U.S. securities is emphasized through a combination of macro-economic analysis and trading experience [1]

Core Viewpoint - Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) has significantly underperformed the broader market and its sector peers over the past year, despite reporting better-than-expected Q2 results and maintaining a generally positive analyst outlook. Performance Summary - DVN shares have declined 16.5% over the past year, while the S&P 500 Index has increased by nearly 17.4% [2] - Year-to-date, DVN stock is down 2.2%, contrasting with the S&P 500's 17.2% gains [2] - Compared to the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP), which has declined about 4.4% over the past year, DVN's losses are more pronounced, with a 4.9% dip year-to-date [3] Financial Results - For Q2, DVN reported an adjusted EPS of $0.84, exceeding Wall Street expectations of $0.83, and revenue of $4.3 billion, surpassing forecasts of $4 billion [4] - Analysts project an 18.5% decline in DVN's EPS for the current fiscal year, estimating it to be $3.93 on a diluted basis [5] Analyst Ratings - Among 28 analysts covering DVN, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," with 18 "Strong Buy" ratings, two "Moderate Buys," and eight "Holds" [5] - The analyst sentiment has improved, with 16 analysts now suggesting a "Strong Buy" [6] - Benchmark Co. analyst Subash Chandra has reiterated a "Buy" rating with a price target of $44, indicating a potential upside of 37.5% from current levels [6] - The mean price target of $44.69 suggests a 39.6% premium to DVN's current price, while the highest target of $70 implies an upside potential of 118.7% [6]

Core Insights - The energy sector is currently overshadowed by higher growth sectors and commodities, with limited attention beyond oil market fluctuations [1] - Energy stocks, while not performing poorly, are lagging behind the broader market as indicated by the S&P Energy Select Sector Index, but there is potential for a rebound by the end of the year [2] - The ALPS CoreCommodity Natural Resources ETF (CCNR) is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity for those looking to capitalize on a future energy sector recovery [2][3] Company Insights - CCNR has a significant exposure to the energy sector, accounting for 34.49% of its holdings, making it a diversified option for investors interested in commodities-linked equities [3] - Devon Energy is noted for its strong presence in key US shale basins with low breakeven costs, which positions it well for modest production growth and operational improvements [5] - Occidental Petroleum, another component of CCNR, is expected to improve its financial standing despite past criticisms, with a focus on carbon sequestration that differentiates it from peers [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - International oil prices strengthened significantly, with WTI and Brent crude both rising over 5% due to U.S. sanctions on Russian oil producers [1] Group 1: Oil Price Movement - WTI and Brent crude oil prices both increased by more than 5% [1] - U.S. oil stocks also saw a collective rise, with Apache Corporation (APA.US) up over 5.6%, Devon Energy (DVN.US) up over 2.9%, ConocoPhillips (COP.US) up over 3%, and Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US) up over 3.3% [1] Group 2: Sanctions Impact - The U.S. announced sanctions against Russia's two largest oil companies, which has led to a surge in oil prices [1] - An executive from an Indian refinery indicated that the sanctions would make it difficult to continue oil trade with Russia [1]

Core Viewpoint - Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) is set to announce its fiscal third-quarter earnings for 2025, with analysts projecting a decline in profit per share compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - Analysts expect DVN to report a profit of $0.92 per share on a diluted basis, which represents a 16.4% decrease from $1.10 per share in the same quarter last year [2]. - For the full fiscal year, EPS is anticipated to be $3.98, down 17.4% from $4.82 in fiscal 2024, but is projected to rise 2.8% year over year to $4.09 in fiscal 2026 [3]. Stock Performance - DVN stock has underperformed the S&P 500 Index, which gained 14.8% over the past 52 weeks, with DVN shares down 21.5% during the same period [4]. - The stock also underperformed the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund, which saw a 3.8% dip [4]. Recent Earnings Report - On August 5, DVN reported its Q2 results, with an adjusted EPS of $0.84, exceeding Wall Street expectations of $0.83, and revenue of $4.3 billion, surpassing forecasts of $4 billion [5]. Analyst Ratings - The consensus opinion on DVN stock is moderately bullish, with a "Moderate Buy" rating overall. Out of 28 analysts, 18 recommend a "Strong Buy," 2 suggest a "Moderate Buy," and 8 give a "Hold" rating [6]. - The average analyst price target for DVN is $45.15, indicating a potential upside of 41.4% from current levels [6].