Core Points - Brinker International, Inc. has scheduled its earnings conference call for August 13, 2025, at 10 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss fourth quarter fiscal 2025 earnings [1] - The earnings announcement will occur before the market opens on the same day, and additional business updates may be provided during the call [1] - A live audio webcast of the conference call will be available on Brinker's investor relations website, with a replay accessible for two weeks post-event [2] Company Overview - Brinker International, Inc. is a leading casual dining restaurant company, operating over 1,600 restaurants across 29 countries and two U.S. territories [3] - The company is known for its popular brands, Chili's® Grill & Bar and Maggiano's Little Italy®, and emphasizes bold flavors, handcrafted drinks, and genuine hospitality [3] - Brinker has received accolades for its workplace culture, ranking among the top five workplaces in Dallas-Fort Worth, and its CEO, Kevin Hochman, has been recognized with the 2025 IFMA Gold Plate Award and named a Barron's 2025 Top 25 CEO in the World [3]

Industry Overview - U.S. restaurant sales reached $98.7 billion in June, marking a 0.6% increase from May's revised total of $98.2 billion, indicating strong consumer spending despite inflationary pressures [4][9] - The increase in restaurant sales is attributed to a broader rise in retail sales, which also grew by 0.6% in June after a decline in the previous month [5][6] Investment Opportunities - Investment in restaurant stocks such as Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC), Brinker International, Inc. (EAT), and Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL) is recommended due to positive earnings estimate revisions over the last 60 days [3][9] - Yum China Holdings has an expected earnings growth rate of 12.8% for the next year, with a 0.4% improvement in current-year earnings estimates [7] - Brinker International is projected to have a 10.5% earnings growth rate for the next year, with a 0.9% increase in current-year earnings estimates [10] - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store shows a 9.4% expected earnings growth rate for the next year, with a significant 14.3% improvement in current-year earnings estimates [12]

Core Concept - Chili's Grill & Bar is collaborating with Tecovas to launch limited-edition Booth Boots, handcrafted cowboy boots made from the material of Chili's iconic red booths, celebrating both brands' Texas heritage and style [1][2][4]. Product Details - The Booth Boots collection includes a matching Booth Belt and features classic silhouettes with bold design elements, such as exclusive chili pepper stitching [3][5]. - The Booth Boots retail for $345, while the Booth Belt is priced at $75 [5][7]. Availability - The limited-edition Booth Boots and Booth Belt will be available on Tecovas.com starting July 29 at 10 a.m. CT [3][5]. - Select Tecovas stores will serve Chili's margaritas on August 2 to celebrate the collection launch [6]. Brand Background - Chili's has been a leader in the casual dining industry since its founding in 1975, operating 1,600 restaurants across 29 countries and territories [9]. - Tecovas, established in 2015, is known for its handcrafted Western footwear and has rapidly expanded its presence both online and through physical stores [10].

Group 1 - Schaeffer's Investment Research celebrates its 44th anniversary and expresses gratitude to subscribers by releasing a free report on top stock picks for 2025 [1] Group 2 - Brinker International Inc (NYSE:EAT), the parent company of Chili's, has seen a strong performance with a year-to-date increase of over 37% [2] - The stock broke above resistance levels in the $168-170 range in late May and successfully retested this area in early June [2] Group 3 - Despite the strong technical performance, short positions in EAT have increased by 41% since mid-February, with 12.9% of the stock's float currently sold short [3] - There is potential for bullish sentiment as 14 out of 18 analysts covering Brinker International stock have a "hold" or worse rating [3]

Group 1 - Brinker International Inc (NYSE:EAT) shares have retraced to the 50-day moving average, which aligns with their highs from April, and are currently just above the 20% year-to-date mark, indicating potential support in the upcoming weeks [2] - Short interest in Brinker International increased by 40% from mid-February to May, with a slight decrease in the most recent report, now accounting for 13.2% of the stock's available float [2] - The stock has a front-month gamma-weighted Schaeffer's open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.16, showing an upward trend from a previous low, and the Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) is in the 11th percentile of its annual range, indicating that options are currently favored [5] Group 2 - The recommended call option for Brinker International has a leverage ratio of 5.2, suggesting that it will double with a 22% increase in the underlying equity [5]

Company Performance - Brinker International (EAT) stock increased by 1.02% to $166.18, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.32% [1] - Over the past month, shares have depreciated by 8.01%, underperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 3.84% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.51% [1] Financial Projections - Upcoming earnings per share (EPS) are projected at $2.4, reflecting a 49.07% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is estimated to be $1.4 billion, indicating a 16.17% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year [2] Annual Estimates - Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $8.81 per share and revenue of $5.35 billion for the year, indicating changes of +114.88% and 0% respectively compared to the previous year [3] - Recent analyst estimate revisions suggest confidence in Brinker International's business performance and profit potential [3] Valuation Metrics - Current Forward P/E ratio is 17.02, which is a discount compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 20.84 [6] - The PEG ratio is currently 0.43, significantly lower than the industry average PEG ratio of 2.65 [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Restaurants industry has a Zacks Industry Rank of 151, placing it in the bottom 39% of over 250 industries [7] - Top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Core Insights - Brinker International (EAT) shares have increased by 1% to $166.25, remaining below the record peak of $192.22 reached on February 4 [1] - The stock has shown a year-to-date gain of 25.8%, but has struggled to maintain levels above $180 [1] - A historically bullish trendline suggests potential for recovery in share price [1] Technical Analysis - EAT is currently within one standard deviation of its 80-day moving average, having traded above this trendline in 8 of the last 10 trading days and spent 80% of the past two months above it [2] - Historical data indicates that similar conditions have led to an 80% probability of the stock being higher one month later, with an average gain of 11.6%, potentially bringing shares to around $185.53 [2] Market Sentiment - The short interest float for EAT stands at 13.7%, indicating potential for a short squeeze [4] - Among the 18 brokerages covering EAT, 14 have a "hold" recommendation, suggesting room for bullish upgrades if bearish sentiment shifts [4] Options Market - Options for EAT are currently considered affordable, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 58%, ranking in the low 28th percentile of its annual range [5] - The stock has historically outperformed options traders' volatility expectations, as indicated by a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 76 out of 100 [5]

Group 1 - A recent decline in Brinker International's share prices enhances the value proposition of EAT, indicating a potential investment opportunity [1] - The company is focusing on improving efficiency and consistency, which is expected to support strong growth and lay the groundwork for future expansion [1] Group 2 - The analysis emphasizes the importance of observing megatrends and technological advancements to identify investment opportunities, while also highlighting the necessity of focusing on fundamentals and company leadership [2] - The analyst has experience in evaluating startups and emerging industries, which adds credibility to the insights provided [2]

Group 1 - Despite weak consumer confidence in the U.S. due to tariffs, Brinker International, Inc. has achieved over 150% gains in the past 52 weeks [1] - The company appears to be resilient in the face of consumer spending cuts [1]

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