Core Insights - The industrial sector is emerging as a key player in the high-growth AI infrastructure market as it approaches 2026, with power generation, transmission, and cooling being critical components for AI data centers [1] Company Summaries - **GE Vernova**: Positioned as a leader in AI power infrastructure, GE Vernova aims for $52 billion in revenue by 2028, supported by a significant backlog [2] - **Vertiv**: Specializes in cooling systems for AI chips, with a $9.5 billion backlog and a 28% year-over-year organic revenue growth at the end of 2025, as liquid cooling becomes standard [4][8] - **Eaton**: A global leader in electrical switchgear and transformers, Eaton is expected to benefit from long-term growth trends in AI infrastructure, with a $1.2 billion capacity expansion underway [5][8] - **Quanta Services**: Controls the largest private workforce of high-voltage linemen in North America, with a $39.2 billion backlog driven by utility-scale grid modernization projects [9][11] - **Honeywell**: Focused on becoming a pure-play leader in industrial automation and energy software, with a major aerospace spin-off planned for the second half of 2026 [10][11] Analyst Insights - **GE Vernova**: Analyst Colin Rusch upgraded the stock with a price target of $855, noting hyperscalers account for over one-third of recent orders [7] - **Vertiv**: Evercore ISI raised its price target to $210, highlighting its role as a key player in the AI era [8] - **Eaton**: UBS reiterated a "Buy" rating, emphasizing long-term structural growth trends in AI infrastructure [8] - **Quanta Services**: JPMorgan upgraded the stock to "Overweight" with a $515 target, citing its unique position to serve large-load customers [11] - **Honeywell**: RBC Capital upgraded Honeywell to "Outperform," with a price target of $253, following its strategic portfolio streamlining [11]

Summary of U.S. Machinery & Electricals Outlook 2026 Industry Overview - The report focuses on the machinery and electrical equipment industry, highlighting a cyclical recovery expected in 2026 after a challenging 2025, where estimates fell by 5-10% due to a downturn in core markets such as truck, agricultural, and construction equipment [1][12]. Key Points Cyclical Recovery - 2026 is anticipated to be a recovery year driven by aligned monetary and fiscal policies, which are expected to restart positive estimate revisions, with potential upside in low single digits to mid single digits [1][12]. - The recovery is not yet priced into the market, with current pricing reflecting a PMI of around 50, indicating stagnation [2][13]. Construction Equipment - Construction equipment is viewed as a tightly coiled spring, with looser monetary policy and strong fiscal impulses expected to impact the non-residential sector positively in 2026 [3][14]. - The supply/demand balance for construction equipment is tightening, with utilization rates and rental rates increasing, while inventories of used and new equipment are decreasing [3][14]. Truck and Agricultural Equipment - North American heavy-duty truck production is projected to decline by 6% year-over-year in 2026, with production expected to hit 225,000 units, which is 40,000 units below replacement levels [4][15]. - Agricultural equipment demand is expected to reach a 40-year low, declining by 10-15% year-over-year, but improving farmer profits and tighter inventories signal a potential trough [4][15]. Electrical Equipment - Demand for electrical equipment is expected to remain strong in 2026, with growth driven by data center capacity build-out, although regulatory obstacles and political factors may create friction [5][16]. - Four key factors to monitor include regulatory impacts on growth, shifts in utility capital expenditures, political implications of electricity price inflation, and the increasing importance of behind-the-meter solutions for data centers [5][16]. Investment Implications Top Stock Picks for 2026 - **United Rentals (URI)**: Top pick with a price target of $1,128, representing a 42% potential upside, driven by a cyclical recovery and business transformation [6][17]. - **Trimble (TRMB)**: Price target of $99, with a 25% potential upside, benefiting from low tech penetration in construction and expected earnings growth [6][18]. - **Hubbell (HUBB)**: Price target of $530, with a 23% potential upside, expected to benefit from organic growth and a cyclical recovery [6][19]. - **PACCAR (PCAR)**: Price target of $125, with a 12% potential upside, positioned to benefit from cyclical recovery in the truck market [6][22]. - **Eaton (ETN)**: Price target of $395, with a 25% potential upside, navigating growth challenges but set for recovery [6][23]. Valuation Insights - The report emphasizes that many stocks in the machinery and electrical sector are undervalued, trading at a discount compared to historical averages, suggesting significant upside potential as the market recovers [12][46]. Additional Insights - The report notes that the effects of tax reform could unlock $800 billion in fiscal stimulus, positively impacting non-residential construction and truck sectors [12][46]. - The cyclical recovery is expected to lead to a double-digit growth in estimates, driven by monetary policy and fiscal stimulus [12][46]. This comprehensive outlook indicates a significant potential for recovery in the machinery and electrical sectors, with specific stocks poised to benefit from the anticipated economic conditions in 2026.

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming distribution details for the Eaton Vance Floating-Rate Income Trust, highlighting the monthly distribution amount and its implications for investors [1]. Distribution Details - The monthly distribution for Eaton Vance Floating-Rate Income Trust (EFT) is set at $0.0860 [1]. - There is no change from the prior distribution amount [1]. - The closing market price on December 18, 2025, was $11.24 [1]. - The distribution rate at the market price is 9.18% [1].

Core Insights - The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed into law on July 4, will significantly impact markets starting in January, particularly benefiting cyclical sectors outside of tech and AI [1][2] - Société Générale's chief US equity strategist, Manish Kabra, has identified 30 stocks that are expected to benefit from the tax and regulatory breaks provided by the bill, focusing on financials, industrials, and consumer cyclicals [2] Beneficiary Sectors - Key sectors poised for growth include defense, small-caps, consumer, and energy, as they are expected to receive a boost from the new tax and regulatory policies [2] - The average forward price-to-earnings ratio for the identified stocks is 17x, with an expected earnings-per-share growth of 15% in 2026 and 2027 [3] Defense Beneficiaries - General Dynamics Corp (GD): Positioned for defense modernization funding [6] - L3Harris Technologies Inc (LHX): Benefits from investment in advanced systems [6] - Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC): Well-placed for missile defense and space programs [6] - Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII): Supported by naval modernization initiatives [6] Capex Incentive Beneficiaries - United Rentals Inc (URI): Set to gain from increased construction activity [6] - Jacobs Solutions Inc (J): Benefits from infrastructure upgrades and industrial investment incentives [6] - Trimble Inc (TRMB): Aligned with manufacturing investment push [6] - Caterpillar Inc (CAT): Benefits from accelerated depreciation and domestic production incentives [6] - Cummins Inc (CMI): Supported by R&D expensing and industrial investment [6] - Deere & Co (DE): Gains from capex incentives and domestic manufacturing support [6] - Nucor Corp (NUE): Benefits from industrial base expansion and construction demand [6] - Freeport-McMoRan Inc (FCX): Critical supplier for electrification and infrastructure projects [6] - Duke Energy Corp (DUK): Positioned for grid modernization under capex policies [7]

Group 1 - The article provides a market analysis covering key players in the industry, including Johnson Controls International PLC, Eaton Corporation PLC, Xylem Inc, and Nuscale Power Corp [1] - The analysis highlights the investment opportunities and market trends associated with these companies, indicating a growing interest in sustainable and energy-efficient solutions [1] - It emphasizes the importance of technological advancements and regulatory support in driving growth within the sectors these companies operate in [1] Group 2 - Johnson Controls International PLC is noted for its innovations in building technologies and energy solutions, positioning itself as a leader in the smart building market [1] - Eaton Corporation PLC is recognized for its focus on electrical and industrial solutions, which are critical for enhancing energy efficiency and sustainability [1] - Xylem Inc is highlighted for its water technology solutions, addressing global water challenges and promoting sustainable water management practices [1] - Nuscale Power Corp is mentioned for its development of small modular reactors, which represent a significant advancement in nuclear energy technology [1]

Group 1: Market Overview - The market is struggling to find upward momentum, primarily due to a decline in the tech sector, which has been a key support for the market [2][3] - There is a shift in sentiment from cautiously bullish to slightly bearish, indicating a potential for a larger pullback [3] Group 2: Eaton Corporation - Eaton Corporation is highlighted as a "picks and shovels" trade, benefiting from the infrastructure needed for AI data centers [6][18] - The stock is currently trading down approximately 4.2%, with a notable support level around $312 and resistance at $350 [8][12] - A bullish trade is considered, but it is categorized as a "wait and see" due to the stock closing below the 200-day moving average [15][17] Group 3: Quanta Services - Quanta Services is also positioned as a "picks and shovels" play, focusing on building out power grids for renewable energy [18][28] - The stock is in a long-term uptrend but has recently pulled back below the 50-day moving average, prompting a cautious approach [19][21] - A potential trade is being considered with a strike price of $400 for a long-term option, emphasizing the necessity of infrastructure development [28][29] Group 4: Southern Copper - Southern Copper is noted for its critical role in supplying copper, essential for data centers and electric vehicles [31][32] - The stock is in a long-term uptrend, with a recent pullback to the 10-day moving average, indicating a favorable entry point [32][34] - A long-term trade is suggested with a strike price of $120, allowing for a significant time frame to capitalize on the infrastructure buildout [39][40]

Core Insights - Eaton Corp. has been identified as one of the top 10 Data Center Cooling Companies to invest in, with Wolfe Research upgrading its stock rating from Peer Perform to Outperform and setting a target price of $413 [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Eaton Corporation plc operates as a power management company across various regions including the United States, Latin America, Canada, Asia Pacific, and Europe [4] - The company is structured into five segments: Electrical Global, Aerospace, eMobility, Vehicle, and Electrical Americas, providing a wide range of products such as power distribution, emergency lighting, and electrical components [4] Group 2: Recent Developments - On November 3, Eaton signed a deal to acquire Boyd Corporation's thermal business unit for $9.5 billion, aimed at enhancing its data center and liquid cooling capabilities to support AI infrastructure [4] - The acquisition was valued at 22.5 times Boyd Thermal's projected 2026 EBITDA, indicating a strategic investment to improve service offerings [4] Group 3: Market Outlook - Analysts at Wolfe Research suggest that Eaton's cyclical business units, particularly in the Vehicle segment and eMobility, may have reached a bottom, making the current valuation attractive [2] - The forward earnings expectations for Eaton are considered reasonable, with the Boyd transaction expected to support future growth and multiple expansion [3]

Core Insights - Eaton Corp. announced a $50 million investment to expand its manufacturing capacity in Virginia, aiming to meet the increasing demand for data centers driven by AI and cloud growth [1][4] - The company plans to construct a 350,000-square-foot facility near Richmond to produce essential power-distribution equipment for data centers [1][2] - The expansion is expected to create approximately 200 new local jobs starting in 2026 [2] Manufacturing Expansion - The new facility will more than double Eaton's footprint in the Richmond area, consolidating and upgrading production of static power infrastructure [4] - The investment is part of a broader strategy to support rising demand for electrification and data infrastructure [5] - Since 2023, Eaton has invested over $1.2 billion in North American manufacturing [4] Market Context - The expansion responds to a record number of new data-center approvals in Virginia this year [3] - Virginia's state leadership has welcomed the investment, highlighting the readiness of local companies to meet growing power requirements [5] - The project is expected to strengthen the region's manufacturing base and job market [5] Stock Performance - Eaton Corp. shares rose by 1.41% to $346.58 at the time of publication [6]

Core Insights - Wall Street analysts' recommendations significantly influence investors' decisions regarding stock transactions, particularly for Eaton (ETN) [1][5] - The average brokerage recommendation (ABR) for Eaton is 1.75, indicating a consensus leaning towards a Strong Buy [2] - Despite the favorable ABR, reliance solely on brokerage recommendations may not be advisable due to their historical lack of success in guiding investors effectively [5][11] Brokerage Recommendation Trends - The current ABR of 1.75 is based on 24 brokerage firms, with 14 Strong Buy and 2 Buy recommendations, representing 58.3% and 8.3% of total recommendations respectively [2] - Analysts from brokerage firms tend to exhibit a positive bias, often issuing more favorable ratings than warranted by their research [6][11] Zacks Rank vs. ABR - The Zacks Rank, which is based on earnings estimate revisions, is a more reliable indicator of near-term stock performance compared to the ABR [8][12] - The Zacks Rank is updated more frequently and reflects timely changes in analysts' earnings estimates, unlike the ABR which may not be current [13] Investment Considerations for Eaton - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Eaton's earnings remains unchanged at $12.09, suggesting stable analyst views on the company's earnings prospects [14] - The Zacks Rank for Eaton is currently 3 (Hold), indicating a cautious approach despite the positive ABR [15]

Core Viewpoint - The report summarizes significant rating changes from Wall Street that are expected to impact the market, highlighting both upgrades and downgrades across various companies and sectors [1][6]. Upgrades - Synopsys (SNPS): Rosenblatt Securities upgraded the rating from "Neutral" to "Buy," lowering the target price from $605 to $560, anticipating that Q4 results will meet market expectations after a disappointing Q3 [5]. - Eaton Corporation (ETN): Wolfe Research upgraded the rating from "In-Line" to "Outperform," setting a target price of $413, expecting benefits from electrical business orders and easing cyclical factors in 2026 [5]. - Colgate-Palmolive (CL): Royal Bank of Canada upgraded the rating from "Sector Perform" to "Outperform," maintaining a target price of $88, noting that earnings expectations are at a reasonable low despite challenges in 2026 [5]. - RPM International (RPM): Royal Bank of Canada upgraded the rating from "Sector Perform" to "Outperform," raising the target price from $121 to $132, indicating that the stock price has "bottomed out" [5]. - Viking Holdings (VIK): Goldman Sachs upgraded the rating from "Neutral" to "Buy," increasing the target price from $66 to $78, citing the company's unique geographic business layout and high-income customer focus [5]. Downgrades - Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD): Harbor Research downgraded the rating from "Buy" to "Neutral" without providing a target price, following a hostile takeover bid from Paramount [5]. - Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH): Goldman Sachs downgraded the rating from "Buy" to "Neutral," lowering the target price from $23 to $21, citing an unfavorable risk-reward ratio due to market conditions in the Caribbean [5]. - Confluent (CFLT): Royal Bank of Canada downgraded the rating from "Outperform" to "Sector Perform," raising the target price from $30 to $31, following an acquisition agreement with IBM at $31 per share [5]. - SLM Corporation (SLM): Compass Point downgraded the rating from "Buy" to "Sell," reducing the target price from $35 to $23, after revealing updated mid-term outlooks at an investor forum [5]. - Viavi Solutions (VRT): Wolfe Research downgraded the rating from "Outperform" to "In-Line," citing valuation issues as the stock price has increased 14 times since the last upgrade [5]. Initiations - Micron Technology (MU): HSBC initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $330, identifying the company as a core beneficiary of the storage chip supercycle [9]. - United Airlines (UAL): Montreal Bank Capital Markets initiated coverage with an "Outperform" rating and a target price of $125, noting improvements in the industry environment and recovery in business travel [12]. - Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO): Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $685, expecting the market for life science tools to return to historical growth rates [12]. - Affirm (AFRM): Wolfe Research initiated coverage with a "Sector Perform" rating, setting a fair value range of $72-$82 for the end of 2026 [10]. - Urban Outfitters (URBN): Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a "Neutral" rating and a target price of $83, acknowledging market positioning but cautioning against high valuation risks [10].