Core Viewpoint - Diamondback Energy (FANG) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on August 4, with a consensus estimate of $2.63 earnings per share and $3.4 billion in revenues, reflecting a significant year-over-year revenue increase of 35.9% despite a projected earnings decline of 41.8% [1][3][9]. Group 1: Previous Performance - In the first quarter, Diamondback reported adjusted earnings per share of $4.54, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.09, with revenues of $4 billion surpassing estimates by 8.1% [2]. - The company has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, indicating a strong performance trend [3]. Group 2: Production and Operations - Diamondback holds approximately 900,000 net acres in the Delaware and Midland regions, with nearly 9,600 drilling locations and a production capacity exceeding 880,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day [4]. - The company’s wells have low oil price breakeven costs, requiring prices below $40 per barrel to remain profitable [4]. - Following the $26 billion acquisition of Endeavor Energy, Diamondback is expected to benefit from increased production, with an anticipated average second-quarter volume of 884,987.3 BOE/d, representing an 86.4% increase from the previous year [5][6]. Group 3: Earnings Expectations - The current earnings model suggests a likely earnings beat for Diamondback, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.28% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [7]. - The consensus estimate for the second quarter indicates a significant decline in earnings year-over-year, contrasting with the expected revenue growth [3][9].

In the latest trading session, Diamondback Energy (FANG) closed at $152.50, marking a +1.32% move from the previous day. The stock outperformed the S&P 500, which registered a daily loss of 0.3%. On the other hand, the Dow registered a loss of 0.46%, and the technology-centric Nasdaq decreased by 0.38%. The energy exploration and production company's shares have seen an increase of 9.55% over the last month, surpassing the Oils-Energy sector's gain of 3.2% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.64%.The upcoming earnin ...

Industry Overview - The Zacks Oil and Gas Exploration and Production – United States industry is crucial to the U.S. energy framework, focusing on identifying and extracting oil and gas reserves [2] - The U.S. is a leading global producer of oil and natural gas, with significant production areas including the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford [2] - Innovations like hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling have significantly boosted domestic production, reducing reliance on imports [2] Environmental and Regulatory Challenges - The industry is facing increasing environmental challenges, stricter regulations, and a global shift towards renewable energy [3] - Volatile commodity prices impact investment decisions and operational strategies [3] - U.S. E&P companies are enhancing efficiency, reducing emissions, and adopting sustainable practices to remain competitive [3] Company Profiles Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) - Devon Energy is recognized as a top-tier U.S. onshore oil and gas producer with a diversified asset base and strong capital management [4] - The company consistently generates robust free cash flow and engages in shareholder-friendly initiatives, including a variable dividend program [4] - Devon's low-cost operating structure and strong balance sheet position it well to benefit from ongoing hydrocarbon demand [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings decline of 14.11% for 2025, with a modest growth of 2.09% for 2026 [7] - Devon's current ROE is 21.9%, outperforming both Diamondback Energy and the industry average of 16.74% [13] - The company plans to invest between $3.7 billion and $3.9 billion in capital expenditures for 2025 [19] - Devon Energy trades at a lower EV/EBITDA of 3.6X compared to Diamondback's 6.84X [16] Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) - Diamondback Energy is a low-cost operator in the Permian Basin, focusing on capital discipline and shareholder value [5] - The company has high-margin assets and consistently produces strong free cash flow [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings decline of 19.19% for 2025 and 12.63% for 2026 [10] - Diamondback's current ROE is 11.22%, which is lower than Devon's [13] - The company has reduced its 2025 capital budget by $400 million, resulting in a total investment range of $3.4 billion to $3.8 billion [19] Financial Metrics Comparison - Devon Energy's dividend yield is 2.88%, while Diamondback Energy's is 2.75%, both exceeding the S&P 500's yield of 1.46% [12] - Devon has a debt to capital ratio of 36.24%, compared to Diamondback's 23.74% [14] - Devon's liquidity ratio is 1.08, indicating sufficient liquidity to meet near-term obligations, while Diamondback's is 0.86 [14] Conclusion - Devon Energy is favored due to its multi-basin portfolio, cheaper valuation, higher dividend yield, and better ROE compared to Diamondback Energy [21]

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Core Insights - The comparison between Diamondback Energy and Chevron highlights different investment profiles for oil and gas investors, with Chevron being more suitable for yield-focused investors and Diamondback offering greater upside potential with higher oil prices [1][11]. Company Analysis - Chevron's break-even oil price is approximately $30 per barrel, while Diamondback's is around $37 per barrel, giving Chevron an advantage in lower oil price environments [3][5]. - Diamondback, as a pure-play exploration and production company, employs hedging strategies to protect against oil price declines, with current hedges effective down to $55 per barrel [4][6]. - Chevron offers a dividend yield of 4.8%, which is secure down to $30 per barrel, while Diamondback's yield of 2.9% is safe down to $37 per barrel [5][11]. Financial Projections - Diamondback's management estimates adjusted free cash flow (FCF) for 2025 across various oil prices, aiming to return 50% of FCF to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks [7]. - At an oil price of $60 per barrel, Diamondback could potentially offer $5.20 in dividends, yielding 3.8%, and this could rise to $8.70 in dividends, yielding 6.4%, at $80 per barrel [8][9]. - The price of oil would need to be around $67 per barrel for Diamondback's dividend yield to match Chevron's current yield [10]. Investment Considerations - Dividend-focused investors may prefer Chevron due to its diversified operations and lower exposure to oil price volatility, while those seeking higher upside potential may favor Diamondback [11][14]. - Both companies present attractive options for passive income-seeking investors, with the possibility of holding both stocks to balance yield and growth potential [14].

Core Viewpoint - The market has shown declining interest in oil stocks over the past year, with Devon Energy, Diamondback Energy, and Vitesse Energy experiencing stock price declines, yet they now offer attractive dividend yields and price-to-free cash flow multiples [1]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Oil Prices - The oil price environment has been volatile, particularly following geopolitical events such as Israel's attack on Iran, which caused a spike in oil prices [3]. - Prior to this spike, oil prices were trading in the low-to-mid $60 per barrel range, with negative sentiment driven by slower economic growth and OPEC's decision to increase production [5]. - The negative sentiment towards oil intensified after spring events, prompting companies to adjust their capital expenditures [7]. Group 2: Company Responses to Market Conditions - Vitesse Energy implemented a 32% cut in planned capital expenditures to preserve returns and maintain financial flexibility amid commodity price volatility [7]. - Diamondback Energy reduced its planned capital expenditures for 2025 from a range of $3.8 billion to $4.2 billion down to $3.4 billion to $3.8 billion [7]. - Devon Energy has not made specific adjustments but is monitoring the macro environment and retains flexibility in its capital programs [8]. Group 3: Hedging Strategies - Following the recent oil price spike, there was a significant increase in hedging activities among oil companies, with independent oil companies likely taking advantage of the price surge [9]. - All three companies have integrated hedging into their capital allocation strategies to ensure returns to investors through dividends and share buybacks [11]. - Vitesse had 61% of its remaining oil production hedged at an average price of $70.75 per barrel as of March [13]. - Diamondback has downside protection in place at $55 per barrel, allowing for upside exposure above this price [14]. - Devon Energy had over 25% of its expected 2025 oil production hedged, projecting significant free cash flow at various oil price levels [16]. Group 4: Dividend Security and Investment Opportunities - Diamondback and Devon Energy's dividends appear secure, with potential for increased discretionary dividends, share buybacks, or debt repayment [18]. - The hedging strategies employed by these companies enhance the security of their dividend payouts, providing passive income investors with confidence in their investments [18].

Group 1 - Diamondback Energy's stock increased by 2.05% to $140.87, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.8% for the day [1] - Over the past month, Diamondback Energy shares appreciated by 1.29%, underperforming the Oils-Energy sector's gain of 3.8% and the S&P 500's gain of 5.12% [1] Group 2 - The upcoming earnings report for Diamondback Energy is expected to show an EPS of $2.72, a decline of 39.82% year-over-year, while revenue is projected to be $3.41 billion, reflecting a 37.23% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - Full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $13.2 per share and revenue of $14.05 billion, indicating year-over-year changes of -20.34% and +26.94%, respectively [3] Group 3 - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Diamondback Energy suggest a correlation with near-term stock prices, with positive adjustments indicating analyst optimism regarding business and profitability [3][4] - The Zacks Rank system, which includes estimate changes, currently ranks Diamondback Energy at 3 (Hold) [5] Group 4 - Diamondback Energy has a Forward P/E ratio of 10.46, which is slightly below the industry average Forward P/E of 10.49 [6] - The Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry, part of the Oils-Energy sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 167, placing it in the bottom 33% of over 250 industries [6] Group 5 - The Zacks Industry Rank is based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks, with the top 50% rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Company Overview - Viper Energy, Inc. is a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, Inc. focused on owning, acquiring, and exploiting oil and natural gas properties in North America, particularly in the Permian Basin in West Texas [3] - Diamondback Energy, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas company headquartered in Midland, Texas, specializing in the acquisition, development, exploration, and exploitation of unconventional, onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin [4] Upcoming Financial Results - Viper Energy plans to release its second quarter 2025 financial results on August 4, 2025, after the market closes [1] - A conference call and webcast will be held on August 5, 2025, at 10:00 a.m. CT to discuss the second quarter results [2]

MIDLAND, Texas, June 26, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Diamondback Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ: FANG) (“Diamondback”), today announced that it plans to release second quarter 2025 financial results on August 4, 2025 after the market closes. In connection with the earnings release, Diamondback will host a conference call and webcast for investors and analysts to discuss its results for the second quarter of 2025 on Tuesday, August 5, 2025 at 8:00 a.m. CT. Access to the live webcast, and replay which will be available fo ...

Company Overview - Diamondback Energy (FANG) shares increased by 3.7% to close at $154.91, with a notable trading volume compared to normal sessions, and a total gain of 5.2% over the past four weeks [1][2] Recent Developments - The company amended its credit agreement with Wells Fargo Bank, extending the maturity to 2030 and reducing interest rates, which enhanced investor confidence in its financial stability [2] - Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran have driven oil prices up, benefiting U.S. shale producers like Diamondback Energy due to concerns over the security of the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil supply route [2] Earnings Expectations - Diamondback is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.72 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 39.8%, while revenues are projected to be $3.41 billion, an increase of 37.2% from the previous year [3] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 6.4% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a negative trend in earnings estimate revisions, which typically does not lead to price appreciation [4] Industry Context - Diamondback Energy is part of the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry, which includes other companies like Comstock Resources (CRK) [5] - Comstock's EPS estimate for the upcoming report remains unchanged at $0.16, representing a year-over-year increase of 180% [6]