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Zacks Industry Outlook like Lam Research, Cirrus Logic and FormFactor
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 07:56
Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing growth driven by the increasing demand for AI, Generative AI, IoT, and advanced manufacturing processes [1][5][9] - Key players such as Lam Research, Cirrus Logic, and FormFactor are positioned to benefit from this trend, with strong earnings outlooks and stock performance [1][16][20] Industry Overview - The Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry includes companies providing a variety of semiconductor technologies, including packaging, testing services, and factory automation [3] - The industry serves multiple end markets, including consumer electronics, communications, computing, industrial, and automotive sectors [4] Growth Drivers - The demand for AI-supportive chips from hyperscalers is a significant growth driver, supported by increased AI-related spending [1][5] - The rise of smart devices requiring advanced computing capabilities is further propelling industry demand [7] - Advanced packaging technologies are in high demand due to the need for miniaturization and improved performance [8] Market Performance - The Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry has outperformed the S&P 500 and the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, appreciating 57.8% over the past year compared to 26.8% and 16.1% respectively [14] - The industry's current forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio stands at 34.81X, higher than the S&P 500's 23.47X and the sector's 29.15X [15] Company Highlights - **Lam Research (LRCX)**: Strong demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and expected robust equipment spending in 2026, with a year-to-date stock appreciation of 128.5% [16][17] - **Cirrus Logic (CRUS)**: Benefiting from demand for custom-boosted amplifiers and expanding market share in the Android ecosystem, with a year-to-date stock appreciation of 19.9% [18][19] - **FormFactor (FORM)**: Dominating in HBM and DRAM markets, with a year-to-date stock appreciation of 25.8% and increasing earnings estimates [20]
Can FormFactor (FORM) Run Higher on Rising Earnings Estimates?
ZACKS· 2025-11-04 18:21
Core Viewpoint - FormFactor (FORM) is positioned as a strong investment opportunity due to its improving earnings outlook and analysts' increasing earnings estimates [1][2]. Earnings Estimates - Analysts are optimistic about FormFactor's earnings prospects, leading to higher estimates that are expected to positively impact the stock price [2]. - The current-quarter earnings estimate is $0.34 per share, reflecting a 25.9% increase from the previous year [6]. - Over the last 30 days, three estimates have been revised upward with no negative revisions, resulting in a 28.95% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current quarter [6]. - For the full year, the earnings estimate stands at $1.15 per share, unchanged from the previous year, but five estimates have been raised recently, contributing to a 16.11% increase in the consensus estimate [7][8]. Zacks Rank - FormFactor has achieved a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating favorable estimate revisions that suggest strong potential for stock performance [9]. - The Zacks Rank system has a proven track record, with Zacks 1 (Strong Buy) stocks averaging a 25% annual return since 2008 [3]. Stock Performance - FormFactor shares have increased by 32.5% over the past four weeks, indicating investor confidence in the company's earnings growth prospects [10].
A Look Into FormFactor Inc's Price Over Earnings - FormFactor (NASDAQ:FORM)
Benzinga· 2025-10-31 20:00
Core Insights - FormFactor Inc. (NASDAQ:FORM) stock price is currently at $54.89, reflecting a 7.36% decrease in the current market session, but has seen a significant increase of 38.30% over the past month and 41.58% over the past year [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock has experienced a recent decline despite strong performance over the past month and year [1] - Shareholders may question whether the stock is overvalued given its current performance [1] Group 2: P/E Ratio Analysis - FormFactor has a lower P/E ratio compared to the aggregate P/E of 135.58 for the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry, suggesting potential undervaluation [6] - A lower P/E ratio may indicate that shareholders do not expect the stock to perform better in the future, but it could also mean the stock is undervalued [5][6] Group 3: Limitations of P/E Ratio - The P/E ratio is a useful metric for analyzing market performance but has limitations; it should not be used in isolation [9] - Other factors such as industry trends and business cycles can also impact stock prices, necessitating a comprehensive analysis [9]
FormFactor: The Positives May Be Priced In For Now (FORM)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-31 16:53
Core Insights - FormFactor, Inc. reported a significant increase in its stock price, rising over 24% due to improved operational performance and a return to growth in sequential sales [1] Financial Performance - The company demonstrated very positive numbers, indicating a strong recovery in its financial metrics [1] Market Reaction - The substantial rise in share price reflects investor confidence following the reported operational improvements [1]
FormFactor: The Positives May Be Priced In For Now
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-31 16:53
Core Insights - FormFactor, Inc. reported a significant increase in share price by over 24% due to improved operational performance and a return to growth in sequential sales [1] Financial Performance - The company demonstrated very positive numbers indicating a strong operational performance [1] - There was a notable return to growth in sequential sales, which contributed to the surge in share price [1]
FormFactor (FORM) Hits New Record High as Firm Beats Revenue Guidance
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-31 14:01
Core Insights - FormFactor Inc. (NASDAQ:FORM) achieved a new all-time high in share price after exceeding revenue guidance for Q3 [1][3] - The stock price peaked at $61.10 during intra-day trading, closing at $59.25, reflecting a 24.16% increase [1] - Revenue for Q3 was reported at $202.68 million, surpassing the $200 million guidance but down 2.5% from $207.9 million year-on-year [2] - Net income decreased by 16% to $15.66 million compared to $18.74 million in the same period last year [2] - For Q4, FormFactor is projecting revenues between $205 million and $215 million [2][3] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue: $202.68 million, exceeding guidance of $200 million but down 2.5% year-on-year [2] - Q3 net income: $15.66 million, a 16% decline from $18.74 million year-on-year [2] - Q4 revenue guidance: $205 million to $215 million [2][3] Management Outlook - CEO Mike Slessor expressed confidence in continued profitability improvements and expects sequential growth in revenue, earnings, and gross margin for Q4 [3]
FORM's Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Revenues Up Y/Y, Shares Rise
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 18:55
Core Insights - FormFactor (FORM) reported third-quarter 2025 non-GAAP earnings of 33 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 32%, although the earnings decreased 5.7% year over year. Shares increased by 23.5% at the time of reporting [1] - Revenues for the quarter were $202.7 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.31%, but reflecting a 2.5% decline year over year [1] Segmental Revenue Details - Probe card revenues amounted to $166.4 million, down 3.4% year over year, primarily due to a decline in Foundry & Logic revenues, which were $92.9 million (45.8% of total revenues), down 13.6% year over year. DRAM revenues were $68.2 million (33.6% of total revenues), up 13.3% year over year, while Flash revenues were $5.3 million (2.6% of total revenues), up 17.8% year over year [2] - Systems revenues, accounting for 17.9% of total revenues, were $36.3 million, reflecting a 1.7% increase year over year [3] Geographic Revenue Performance - Revenues from South Korea, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, and the Rest of the World increased by 69.8%, 40.7%, 9.4%, 80%, and 14.3% year over year, respectively. Conversely, revenues from the United States, Taiwan, China, and Europe declined by 33.8%, 2.1%, 66.1%, and 5.1% year over year [4] Operating Results - The gross margin contracted by 110 basis points year over year to 41%. Non-GAAP operating expenses decreased by 8% year over year to $54.6 million, representing 26.9% of revenues, down 160 basis points year over year. The non-GAAP operating margin improved by 50 basis points year over year to 14.1% [5] Balance Sheet & Cash Flow - As of September 27, 2025, cash and cash equivalents, along with marketable securities, totaled $266 million, up from $249.3 million as of June 28, 2025. Cash generated from operating activities was $27 million in the reported quarter, an increase from $18.9 million in the previous quarter, with free cash flow at $19.7 million [6] Future Guidance - FormFactor anticipates third-quarter 2025 revenues of $210 million (+/- $5 million), with the Zacks Consensus Estimate currently at $199.43 million, indicating a 5.3% growth compared to the previous year. The company expects a non-GAAP gross margin of 42% (+/- 1.5%) and earnings of 35 cents (+/- 4 cents) per share [7][8]
Why FormFactor Stock Exploded Higher Today
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-30 18:17
Core Insights - FormFactor is experiencing significant stock price appreciation, with a 23.6% increase following a positive earnings report [2][6] - The company reported earnings of $0.33 per share on revenue of $202.7 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.25 per share on $200 million in revenue [2][4] - Despite the earnings beat, FormFactor's revenue declined 2.5% year-over-year, although it showed sequential growth [4][5] Financial Performance - FormFactor's non-GAAP earnings were $0.33 per share, while GAAP earnings nearly doubled sequentially to $0.20 per share, but were down about 17% year-over-year [5] - The forecast for Q4 indicates a GAAP net income of $0.19 per share, with expected sales of approximately $210 million [6] - The company's valuation stands at $4.5 billion, with trailing net income of less than $44 million, resulting in a high price-to-earnings ratio of 102 [6] Market Position - Despite the recent earnings beat, analysts express skepticism about the stock's attractiveness, suggesting it remains a sell [7][10] - FormFactor is not included in a list of top stock recommendations by analysts, indicating a cautious outlook compared to other investment opportunities [10]
FormFactor(FORM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 21:27
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported Q3 2025 revenues of $202.7 million, with non-GAAP gross margins at 41%, up 250 basis points from 38.5% in Q2 2025 [23][24] - GAAP gross margins for Q3 were 39.8%, compared to 37.3% in Q2 [25] - Non-GAAP EPS for Q3 was $0.33, exceeding the high end of the outlook range of $0.21 to $0.29 [24][30] - Free cash flow in Q3 was $19.7 million, a significant improvement from negative $47.1 million in Q2 [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the DRAM Probecards segment, there was double-digit sequential growth in Q3, primarily driven by HBM [10] - The systems segment also saw a sequential revenue increase in Q3, with expectations for further growth in Q4 [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects continued growth in HBM revenue, with Q4 HBM revenue anticipated to be similar to Q3 levels [10] - Demand in the foundry and logic probecard market was weaker in Q3, with expectations of similar demand levels in Q4 [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on improving profitability to achieve a target model of 47% non-GAAP gross margins [6][19] - Initiatives include rapid gross margin improvement actions and long-term structural initiatives, such as developing differentiated new products and ramping up the new Farmers Branch facility [8][17] - The company aims to expand its market share in advanced packaging and high-performance compute sectors [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about achieving sequentially higher revenue and gross margins in Q4, building on Q3 performance [6] - The company is addressing challenges such as tariffs and supply chain disruptions while focusing on operational efficiency [19][28] Other Important Information - The company plans to invest between $140 million and $170 million in the Farmers Branch facility over 2026, which is expected to improve gross margins beyond the current target model [27][63] - The company has initiated a share repurchase program to offset dilution from stock-based compensation [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on HBM growth and Probecard intensity - Management noted that the transition to HBM4 is expected to increase test intensity and complexity, driving growth in Probecard demand [34] Question: Contribution of tactical versus structural improvements to gross margin - Management indicated that both tactical and structural improvements are contributing to the gross margin roadmap, with ongoing benefits expected from restructuring actions [36][38] Question: Impact of CPU and GPU customer ramps on foundry and logic - Management acknowledged the potential for significant revenue impact from CPU and GPU customer ramps, although quantification is challenging at this stage [42][43] Question: Revenue growth drivers in Q4 - Management clarified that revenue growth in Q4 is expected to be driven by a mix of legacy DRAM and improvements in operational efficiency [46][47] Question: Timing of capacity increase from Farmers Branch facility - Management expects initial capacity from the Farmers Branch facility to come online late in 2026, with the majority in 2027 [48] Question: HBM revenue specifics for Q3 - Management confirmed that HBM revenue for Q3 was approximately $40 million, with expectations for growth in Q4 driven by HBM4 [53] Question: Status of CPU customer revenue - Management acknowledged that a major CPU customer did not contribute significantly in Q3 but emphasized the importance of the long-term partnership [56] Question: ASIC projects contribution and updates - Management highlighted ongoing engagements with major hyperscalers in the custom ASIC space, with some revenue contribution in Q3 [60]
FormFactor(FORM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 21:27
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported Q3 2025 revenues of $202.7 million, with non-GAAP gross margins at 41%, up 250 basis points from 38.5% in Q2 2025 [23][24] - GAAP gross margins for Q3 were 39.8%, compared to 37.3% in Q2 [25] - Non-GAAP EPS for Q3 was $0.33, exceeding the high end of the outlook range of $0.21-$0.29 [23][24] - Free cash flow in Q3 was $19.7 million, a significant improvement from negative $47.1 million in Q2 [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the DRAM probecards segment, there was double-digit sequential growth in Q3, primarily driven by HBM [10] - The systems segment also saw a sequential revenue increase in Q3, with expectations for further growth in Q4 [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects continued growth in HBM revenue, with Q3 HBM revenue around $40 million, primarily from HBM applications [54] - The foundry and logic probecard market experienced weaker demand in Q3, with expectations for similar levels in Q4 [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on improving profitability to reach a target model of 47% non-GAAP gross margins, with short-term and long-term initiatives in place [6][19] - The strategy includes optimizing operational effectiveness, reducing manufacturing costs, and expanding capacity at a lower cost through the new Farmers Branch facility [8][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about achieving sequentially higher revenue and gross margins in Q4, driven by improved product mix and cost reduction initiatives [6][28] - The company is addressing challenges such as tariffs and supply chain disruptions while focusing on long-term growth opportunities in advanced packaging and high-performance computing [9][28] Other Important Information - The company plans to invest between $140 million and $170 million in the Farmers Branch facility over 2026, which is expected to enhance gross margins beyond the current target model [27][64] - The company is committed to share repurchase programs to offset dilution from stock-based compensation, with $70.9 million remaining for future purchases [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on HBM growth and test intensity - Management noted that the transition to HBM4 is expected to increase test intensity and complexity, driving demand for probecards [34] Question: Contribution of tactical versus structural improvements to gross margin - Management indicated that both tactical and structural improvements are contributing to the gross margin roadmap, with ongoing benefits expected [37] Question: Impact of CPU and GPU customer ramps on foundry and logic - Management highlighted that while specific quantification is challenging, significant impacts are anticipated as qualifications and commercial negotiations progress [43] Question: Revenue contribution from ASIC projects - Management confirmed ongoing engagement with major hyperscalers in the custom ASIC space, with contributions expected to grow as specifications align with GPU requirements [61] Question: Timing and focus of capacity expansion at Farmers Branch - Management stated that initial capacity from the Farmers Branch facility is expected to come online late in 2026, with a focus on flexibility to support various product lines [49][50]