Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Warrior Met Coal (HCC) due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is a loss of $0.05 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year change of -101.9% [3]. - Expected revenues are projected at $275.22 million, which is a decrease of 45.3% compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 119.11%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Warrior Met Coal aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [7][8]. - Warrior Met Coal currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Warrior Met Coal was expected to post earnings of $0.53 per share but only achieved $0.15, resulting in a surprise of -71.70% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13]. Conclusion - Warrior Met Coal does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors when evaluating the stock ahead of its earnings release [16].

Core Viewpoint - Hanna Capital Corp. plans to raise up to $500,000 through a non-brokered private placement of secured convertible debenture units and/or units [1] Debenture Unit Offering - Each Debenture Unit consists of $10,000 principal amount of secured convertible debt and includes 500,000 common share purchase warrants [2] - Each Warrant allows the holder to acquire one common share at an exercise price of $0.05 for one year from issuance [2] - The Debentures will mature in three years, carrying an interest rate of 12% per annum, with interest paid monthly [3] - Debentures can be converted into common shares at a price of $0.01 per share [3] Unit Offering - Each Unit is priced at $0.01 and consists of one common share and one common share purchase warrant [4] - Each Warrant allows the holder to acquire one common share at a price of $0.05 for 36 months following issuance [4] Regulatory and Use of Proceeds - The private placement is subject to necessary regulatory approvals and a four-month hold period under Canadian securities laws [5] - The net proceeds will be used for general working capital [5]

Group 1 - The article discusses the declining favor of coal in the context of ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) initiatives and the "Green New Deal" [1] - It highlights that coal has historically been associated with wrongdoing, dating back to the 19th century, and this sentiment continues into the 21st century [1] Group 2 - The author expresses a personal investment strategy focused on value, with significant holdings in various sectors including energy and alternative assets [1] - The article does not provide specific financial data or performance metrics related to coal or the companies involved [1]

Core Insights - Tempest Therapeutics has made significant progress in 2024, achieving key milestones in the development of its drug candidates, particularly Amezalpat for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) and TPST-1495 for Familial Adenomatous Polyposis (FAP) [2][3] Drug Development Progress - Amezalpat (TPST-1120) received both Orphan Drug and Fast Track designations from the FDA for the treatment of HCC [3] - The company has secured regulatory agreement with the FDA and EMA on the Phase 3 plan for Amezalpat and received a "Study May Proceed" letter for a pivotal Phase 3 trial [3] - An agreement with Roche has been established to advance Amezalpat in combination with atezolizumab and bevacizumab into a pivotal Phase 3 trial for first-line treatment of unresectable or metastatic HCC [3] - New survival data indicates that Amezalpat combined with atezolizumab and bevacizumab shows a six-month improvement in median overall survival compared to the standard of care [3] - TPST-1495 has received a "Study May Proceed" letter from the FDA for a Phase 2 trial targeting FAP, with data expected in 2026 [3][8] Financial Performance - For the year ended December 31, 2024, Tempest reported a net loss of $41.8 million, or $1.50 per share, compared to a net loss of $29.5 million, or $1.91 per share, in 2023 [11] - Research and development expenses increased to $28.5 million from $17.5 million in the previous year, primarily due to costs associated with preparing for the pivotal Phase 3 trial of Amezalpat [8][11] - The company ended 2024 with $30.3 million in cash and cash equivalents, down from $39.2 million at the end of 2023 [8][10] Corporate Developments - The leadership team has been expanded to enhance global clinical expertise, with new appointments in key positions [3]

Core Insights - The European Commission has approved Bristol Myers' Opdivo plus Yervoy for first-line treatment of unresectable or advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) [1][2] - The approval is based on the phase III CheckMate -9DW study, showing significant improvement in overall survival compared to Lenvima or Nexavar [2] - HCC accounts for 90% of liver cancer cases globally, making it a critical area for treatment advancements [2] Regulatory Approvals - The FDA accepted a supplemental biologics license application for Opdivo plus Yervoy as a first-line treatment for unresectable HCC, with a target action date of April 21, 2025 [3] - The FDA previously granted accelerated approval for the combination as a second-line treatment in 2020 based on phase II CheckMate -040 study results [3] - Additional FDA acceptance for Opdivo plus Yervoy as a potential treatment for microsatellite instability-high or mismatch repair deficient colorectal cancer, with a target action date of June 23, 2025 [7] Financial Performance - Bristol Myers' shares have increased by 18% over the past year, contrasting with a 7% decline in the industry [4] - The company is focusing on new drugs like Opdualag, Reblozyl, and Breyanzi to stabilize revenue amid generic competition for legacy drugs [10] Drug Portfolio Expansion - Opdivo and Yervoy are already approved for multiple oncology indications, including metastatic melanoma and advanced renal cell carcinoma [5] - Opdivo's recent FDA approval for subcutaneous use is expected to enhance its market presence [6] - The approval of Cobenfy for schizophrenia represents a significant addition to the portfolio, with initial sales of $10 million in 2024 [11][12] Challenges Ahead - The outlook for 2025 indicates a potential revenue decline of 18-20% for Bristol Myers' legacy portfolio due to generic competition for key drugs [13]

Company Leadership Changes - Mike Schell will retire as President of Tokio Marine HCC on March 31, 2025, after over 50 years in the insurance industry [1][2] - Barry Cook, currently CEO of Tokio Marine HCC International, will take on the newly created role of Deputy CEO starting April 1, 2025 [1] Contributions and Achievements - Mike Schell has been a central figure at Tokio Marine HCC for 23 years, guiding the company through market cycles and contributing to its growth and success [3] - Under Schell's leadership, Tokio Marine HCC has achieved record performance, expanding its product offerings and global reach [3] Company Overview - Tokio Marine HCC is part of the Tokio Marine Group, which has a market capitalization of $70 billion as of December 31, 2024 [4] - The company is recognized as a leading specialty insurance group with strong financial ratings: 'A+' from S&P Global Ratings, 'A++' from AM Best, and 'AA-' from Fitch Ratings [4]

Company Overview - Warrior Met Coal is a U.S. metallurgical coal mining company with all production located in Alabama [1] - The company's mines are in close proximity to an export terminal in Mobile, enhancing logistical efficiency [1] Investment Strategy - The focus is on turnarounds in natural resource industries, with a typical holding period of 2-3 years [2] - Emphasis on value investing provides good downside protection while allowing for significant upside potential [2] - The portfolio has achieved a compounded annual growth rate of 26% over the last 6 years [2]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a net income of $1.1 million or $0.02 per diluted share for Q4 2024, a significant decrease from $129 million or $2.47 per diluted share in Q4 2023 [34] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 was $53 million, down from $164 million in the same quarter last year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18% compared to 45% in Q4 2023 [35][36] - Total revenues decreased to $297 million in Q4 2024 from $364 million in Q4 2023, primarily due to a 34% drop in average net selling prices [38] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales volume in Q4 2024 was 1.9 million short tons, up from 1.5 million short tons in the same quarter of 2023, driven by better production volumes [16][19] - Production volume increased to 2.1 million short tons in Q4 2024 from 2 million short tons in Q4 2023, with Mine 4 achieving a record high annual production of 2.8 million short tons [19][20] - The continuous miner units at the Blue Creek mine produced 170,000 short tons during Q4 2024, contributing to the overall production increase [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales by geography in Q4 2024 were 38% to Asia, 36% to Europe, and 25% to South America, with a notable shift from Europe to Asia compared to the previous year [17][18] - The primary index, PLD FOB Australia, ended Q4 at $178 per short ton, down $7 from the previous quarter, while the PLV CFR China Index ended at $180 per short ton [13] - Global pig iron production decreased by 1.8% in 2024, with China's production falling by 2.3% [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on the Blue Creek growth project, which is expected to enhance production and profitability, with a total project investment of $717 million to date [25][29] - The company plans to ramp up production at Blue Creek to approximately 1 million short tons of high vol A steelmaking coal in 2025, with the longwall production expected to start no later than Q2 2026 [27][30] - The company maintains a disciplined capital spending approach and expects to complete the Blue Creek project within the estimated capital expenditure range of $995 million to $1.1 billion [29][28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management indicated that weak market conditions are expected to persist, with downward pressure on steelmaking coal prices due to excess Chinese steel exports and weak demand [11][49] - The company remains optimistic about its operational performance in 2025, anticipating higher sales and production volumes despite the challenging market environment [46] - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining strong customer relationships and a low-cost structure to navigate the current market dynamics [52][53] Other Important Information - The company generated cash from operations of over $370 million in 2024, with $43 million returned to stockholders via dividends [9] - Free cash flow for Q4 2024 was negative $88 million, primarily due to capital expenditures related to the Blue Creek project [44] - The company ended 2024 with total available liquidity of $655 million [45] Q&A Session Summary Question: Contribution from Blue Creek versus Mine 4 and Mine 7 - The company projects about 1 million tons from Blue Creek, with Mine 4 expected to produce over 2 million tons in 2025 [60][61] Question: Cash cost guidance reductions - The reduction in cash cost guidance is primarily attributed to lower net coal prices affecting transportation royalties [62][63] Question: Sales by geography and potential shifts - Tons that would have gone to China are still expected to flow into the Asian market, maintaining similar transportation costs [66] Question: Shipment timing for Blue Creek - The majority of Blue Creek's shipments are expected in the second half of 2025 [70] Question: Price realizations for High Vol A - Current realizations are expected to remain in the 85% to 90% range, with potential adjustments as volumes increase [72] Question: Inventory targets for year-end 2025 - The company aims to normalize inventory levels to a couple hundred thousand tons per mine by the end of 2025 [80] Question: New labor contract negotiations - Ongoing negotiations with the United Mine Workers are still in progress, with uncertain outcomes [93] Question: Future cash balance considerations - The company is evaluating the need for a higher minimum cash balance as Blue Creek operations ramp up [95]

February 13, 2025 Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Results The revised project cost includes the original estimate of $700 million, plus scope changes of $120-$130 million, plus the impact of inflationary cost increases ranging from 25 to 35 percent. There have been no changes to the total project cost estimate range of $995 million to $1.075 billion. The estimated NPV, estimated IRR, estimated Payback calculation, projected valuation amounts, estimated production potential, anticipated schedule, estimated ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a net income of $1.1 million or $0.02 per diluted share for Q4 2024, a significant decrease from $129 million or $2.47 per diluted share in Q4 2023 [24] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 was $53 million, down from $164 million in the same quarter last year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18% compared to 45% in Q4 2023 [25][27] - Total revenues decreased to $297 million in Q4 2024 from $364 million in Q4 2023, primarily due to a 34% drop in average net selling prices [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales volume in Q4 2024 was 1.9 million short tons, up from 1.5 million short tons in Q4 2023, driven by better production volumes [12][14] - Production volume increased to 2.1 million short tons in Q4 2024 from 2 million short tons in the same quarter of 2023, with Mine 4 achieving record production of 2.8 million short tons for the year [14][24] - The company achieved a gross price realization of 86% for Q4 2024 and 89% for the full year, influenced by product mix and geography [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The PLV FOB Australia index ended Q4 2024 at $178 per short ton, down $7 from Q3, while the PLBCFR China index ended at $180 per short ton [10] - Global pig iron production decreased by 1.8% in 2024, with China's production falling by 2.3% [11] - Sales into Asia increased from 25% of the geographic mix in Q4 2023 to 38% in Q4 2024, while sales into Europe decreased from 56% to 36% [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on the Blue Creek growth project, with total project investment reaching $717 million, funded entirely from internally generated cash flows [18][20] - The company anticipates incremental annualized production of at least 4.8 million short tons after the startup of the longwall, enhancing its cost curve positioning [21] - The company plans to maintain tight capital spending discipline while preparing for the longwall production expected to start by Q2 2026 [20][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that weak market conditions are expected to persist, impacting steelmaking coal prices due to excess supply and low demand [9][31] - The company remains confident in its operational performance outlook for 2025, expecting higher sales and production volumes despite market challenges [31] - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining liquidity to complete the Blue Creek project and prepare for future market improvements [20][35] Other Important Information - The company generated cash from operations of over $367 million in 2024, returning over $43 million to stockholders via dividends [7] - Free cash flow for Q4 2024 was negative $88 million, primarily due to capital expenditures related to Blue Creek [30] - The company ended 2024 with total available liquidity of $655 million [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Contribution from Blue Creek versus Mine 4 and Mine 7 - The company projects about 1 million tons from Blue Creek and over 2 million tons from Mine 4 for the year [40] Question: Cash cost guidance reductions - The lower cash cost guidance is primarily attributed to lower met coal prices affecting transportation and royalties [41][42] Question: Sales by geography and potential shifts - Tons that would have gone to China are expected to flow into other Asian markets without significant transportation cost differentials [43] Question: Shipment timing for Blue Creek - The majority of Blue Creek's shipments are expected in the second half of the year [48] Question: Price realizations for high vol A coal - The company maintains a price realization expectation of 85% to 90% for now, with potential changes as volumes increase [49] Question: Inventory targets for year-end 2025 - The company aims to normalize inventory levels to a couple of hundred thousand tons per mine by year-end 2025 [55] Question: New labor contract negotiations - Ongoing negotiations with the United Mine Workers are still in progress, with uncertain outcomes [64] Question: Future cash balance considerations - The company plans to maintain a higher minimum cash balance as it scales up operations with Blue Creek [66]