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Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Holley Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 14:41
Company Overview - Holley Inc. (HLLY) is experiencing significant attention from investors due to high implied volatility in its options market, particularly the Aug 15, 2025 $7.50 Call option [1] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Automotive - Original Equipment industry, which ranks in the top 29% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] Analyst Insights - Over the past 60 days, there has been a mixed sentiment among analysts regarding Holley's earnings estimates; one analyst has increased estimates while five have decreased them, resulting in a consensus estimate drop from 11 cents to 10 cents per share for the current quarter [3] Options Market Dynamics - The high implied volatility suggests that options traders are anticipating a significant price movement for Holley shares, which could indicate an upcoming event that may lead to a substantial rally or sell-off [2][4] - Seasoned options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility, aiming to benefit from the decay of the option's value if the underlying stock does not move as much as expected [4]
Holley (HLLY) FY Conference Transcript
2025-06-04 18:40
Summary of Holley (HLLY) FY Conference Call - June 04, 2025 Company Overview - Holley specializes in automotive aftermarket products, enhancing vehicle performance and enjoyment for car enthusiasts [2][3] - The company has a history of over 120 years, focusing on iconic brands in the automotive sector [6][27] Market Insights - The automotive enthusiast market in the U.S. comprises approximately 70 million individuals, surpassing other hobbies like golf and fishing [5] - The market for trucks, SUVs, and CUVs is valued at $26 billion, representing 80% of new vehicle sales in the U.S. [10] - Holley operates in four main verticals: domestic muscle cars, trucks/SUVs, import vehicles, and safety/racing [10][11] Financial Performance - In Q1, Holley reported a 3.3% year-over-year growth in core business, marking the first growth in five quarters [12][13] - Direct-to-consumer sales grew over 10%, while third-party marketplace sales increased by 50% [15] - The company achieved $8.1 million in product innovation and strategic pricing during the quarter [15] - Free cash flow was negatively impacted by timing issues, with expectations of recovery in Q2 [17] Operational Efficiency - Holley has cut operational inefficiencies by over $30 million in the past two and a half years, with a target of an additional $5-10 million this year [29][30] - The company reduced its SKU count by 45%, improving inventory management [32] - Past dues were reduced by 20%, and the company is focused on freeing up cash by eliminating unproductive inventory [18] Strategic Initiatives - Holley aims to enhance the consumer experience and improve its direct-to-consumer model, which has grown from 15% to 20-25% of sales [42] - The company is exploring transformational M&A opportunities to further strengthen its market position [23] - Holley is expanding into new markets, including Mexico, and is looking to enter additional international markets [22] Challenges and Risks - The automotive aftermarket industry has faced softness over the past three years, with market conditions being challenging [20] - Tariff impacts remain a concern, but Holley has managed to mitigate some effects through supplier consolidation and moderate pricing actions [49][50] Consumer Engagement - Holley has a strong social media presence with 8 million followers and hosts events that attract over 50,000 attendees [38][40] - The company emphasizes the importance of brand recognition and consumer loyalty in the automotive aftermarket [42] Future Outlook - Holley maintains a guidance of approximately $120 million in EBITDA for the year, with expectations of generating $40-50 million in free cash flow [36] - The company is focused on deleveraging and improving its balance sheet through strategic financial management [36][37] Conclusion - Holley is positioned for growth in the automotive aftermarket, leveraging its strong brand portfolio and operational improvements while navigating market challenges and consumer trends [37][42]
Holley Inc. (HLLY) Q1 Earnings Miss Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 13:45
Holley Inc. (HLLY) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.02 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.05 per share. This compares to break-even earnings per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -60%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.02 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.11, delivering a surprise of 450%.Over the last four quarters, the company has su ...
Holley (HLLY) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-07 13:32
Holley (HLLY) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 07, 2025 08:30 AM ET Company Participants Anthony Rozmus - Managing DirectorMatthew Stevenson - President, CEO & DirectorJesse Weaver - CFO & Head of Information TechnologyChristian Carlino - Equity Research AssociateMichael Swartz - Director - Equity ResearchBret Jordan - Managing DirectorJoseph Feldman - Senior MD & Assistant Director - Research Conference Call Participants Phillip Blee - Research AnalystBrian McNamara - MD & Senior Analyst - Consumer Operator Good ...
Holley (HLLY) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-07 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved net sales of $153 million, representing a 3.3% increase in core business compared to the prior year [14][48] - Gross margins improved to 41.9%, an increase of 910 basis points from 32.8% in the prior year [15][49] - Free cash flow for the quarter was negative $10.8 million, a decrease of $28.6 million compared to the prior year [15][51] - Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 17.8%, an increase of 460 basis points from the prior year [16][50] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The direct-to-consumer channel saw significant growth with more than a 10% increase, while third-party platforms like Amazon and eBay experienced growth of over 50% [13][12] - The B2B channel strengthened relationships with partners, resulting in over 2.5% growth [12][22] - The domestic muscle vertical experienced a 3% year-over-year growth, while the Euro and import division recorded the highest growth at 17% [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is gaining market share despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, with no material pre-buy observed from customers in the second quarter [10][11] - The overall consumer sentiment has declined, indicating growing concerns regarding inflation and economic viability, which could moderate spending in the near term [53] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on operational excellence and cash flow optimization, with a strategic framework that includes enhancing customer relationships and product innovation [23][54] - The company is implementing proactive cost reductions and strategic sourcing initiatives to mitigate tariff impacts [14][30] - The strategic initiatives have driven $15 million in revenue across key areas and achieved $3.1 million in cost reductions [30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the financial health of consumers shows signs of strain, which could impact discretionary spending [53] - The company is maintaining its revenue guidance for 2025 of $580 million to $600 million, implying approximately 2.5% growth at the midpoint [55] - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate near-term challenges while preserving free cash flow [54] Other Important Information - The company launched several new products across various divisions, contributing approximately $8.1 million in revenue for the quarter [14][19] - The company has made significant progress in reducing inventory levels, achieving a reduction of over $3 million since year-end 2024 [20][47] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does Holley's sourcing mix and capabilities to respond differ from peers? - Management highlighted that Holley's breadth and depth of product across various categories positions the company to take market share, especially with most production costs based in the U.S. [58][60] Question: What has been the feedback on the price increase from distribution partners? - Overall feedback has been positive, with distribution partners appreciating the blended approach across the portfolio, contrasting with competitors who have implemented larger price increases [61][63] Question: Can you elaborate on the moderation in demand witnessed in the first quarter? - Management noted that January and February saw slow sales due to weather conditions, but March was strong, and current demand trends remain stable [67][69] Question: What is the approach to pricing in light of tariffs? - The company is implementing a blended price increase across its portfolio, with a focus on maintaining competitive pricing relative to peers [70][72] Question: How much exposure does the company have to China regarding tariffs? - Management indicated that while most production is U.S.-based, the evolving tariff situation requires ongoing analysis and mitigation efforts [90][92] Question: How are Holley events being optimized for revenue generation? - The company is enhancing event structures to increase attendance and merchandise sales, providing more opportunities for engagement with enthusiasts [93][95]
Holley (HLLY) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-07 12:05
Agenda Presenter: First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Call 1 Disclaimer Certain statements in this presentation may be considered "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the "safe harbor" provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements generally relate to future events or Holley's future financial or operating performance. For example, projections of future revenue and adjusted EBITDA and other metrics, along with statements regarding ...
Holley (HLLY) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-05-07 11:43
PRESS RELEASE Exhibit 99.1 2445 Nashville Road, Suite B1 Bowling Green, Kentucky 42101 Holley.com HOLLEY REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2025 RESULTS DELIVERED CORE BUSINESS GROWTH IN THE QUARTER NET INCOME OF $2.8 MILLION IN 2025 COMPARED TO $3.7 MILLION IN 2024 ADJUSTED EBITDA OF $27.3 MILLION UP $6.3 MILLION YEAR OVER YEAR ADJUSTED NET INCOME WAS $2.6 MILLION UP $2.5 MILLION YEAR OVER YEAR Strategic framework execution resulted in robust first-quarter net sales growth. Due to the strong performance in our core bus ...
Holley (HLLY) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 17:05
Core Viewpoint - Holley Inc. (HLLY) has received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][2]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [3][5]. - Institutional investors utilize earnings estimates to determine the fair value of stocks, leading to buying or selling actions that affect stock prices [3]. Business Improvement Indicators - The upgrade in Holley's rating reflects an improvement in the company's underlying business, suggesting that investors may respond positively by driving the stock price higher [4][9]. - Holley is projected to earn $0.26 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 30% [7]. Analyst Sentiment and Consensus - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Holley has increased by 7.7%, indicating a positive trend in analyst sentiment [7]. - The Zacks Rank system maintains a balanced distribution of ratings, with only the top 20% of stocks receiving a 'Strong Buy' or 'Buy' rating, positioning Holley favorably for potential market-beating returns [8][9].
HOLLEY SHAREHOLDER ALERT: Kaskela Law LLC Announces Investigation of Holley Inc. and Encourages Long-Term Investors to Contact the Firm – HLLY
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-04-21 21:50
Core Viewpoint - Kaskela Law LLC is investigating Holley Inc. for potential securities fraud on behalf of long-term shareholders, following a complaint that alleges misleading statements made by the company during a specified class period [1][2]. Summary by Sections Investigation Details - A securities fraud complaint was filed against Holley for misleading investors about its business and growth prospects between July 21, 2021, and February 6, 2023 [2]. - The complaint highlights that Holley excluded resellers from promotions, leading them to promote competitors' products, and failed to enforce minimum advertised pricing on most products [3]. Financial Impact - Following disclosures of the alleged misconduct, Holley's stock price fell from over $12.50 per share in July 2022 to below $3.00 per share by February 2023 [3]. Legal Rights and Options - Holley shareholders who acquired shares before May 12, 2022, are encouraged to contact Kaskela Law LLC for information regarding their legal rights and options [4].
Holley May Bear The Brunt Of Ongoing Macroeconomic Challenges, Analyst Highlights Softer Top-line Outlook
Benzinga· 2025-03-20 18:30
J.P. Morgan analyst Christian Carlino reiterated the Neutral rating on Holley Inc. HLLY.Carlino has expressed concerns over a lack of catalysts for growth and the ongoing macroeconomic challenges affecting the company.While the 2025 guidance suggests that Holley could achieve its target of a 20% EBITDA margin, the analyst notes that the overall sentiment may be impacted by a “softer” top-line outlook.The valuation is strongest at the top of the income statement, but the softer revenue projections are likely ...