The AI opportunity is real, but too much optimism has created some bubbles within the space.Bubbles have formed throughout stock market history. The actual bubble, and even the circumstances causing it, can change. However, they generally go through the same sequence of events, ultimately ending in pain when the euphoria runs out and prices reverse course -- often sharply.The tricky thing about stock market bubbles, though, is that while you can often spot them, it's almost impossible to know when they will ...

Core Insights - The quantum computing industry is experiencing rapid growth, indicating a burgeoning interest and investment in this technology [1] Industry Summary - The quantum computing space is still in its early stages, suggesting that there is significant potential for future development and innovation [1]

Core Insights - Quantum computing is emerging as a significant trend in the investment landscape, rivaling artificial intelligence in investor interest [2][6] - Over the past year, quantum computing stocks such as IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. have experienced substantial price increases, with gains of 262%, 2,810%, 3,060%, and 1,130% respectively [3][9] - Despite the hype, some Wall Street analysts predict that these stocks could lose up to 58% of their value in the coming year based on their price target forecasts [4] Industry Overview - Quantum computing utilizes principles of quantum mechanics to solve complex problems that classical computers struggle with, offering the potential for significant advancements in various fields [6] - Potential applications include drug development through molecular interaction simulations and enhancing AI algorithms, which could lead to faster and more efficient large language models [7] Company Developments - The surge in stock prices for IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum is partly attributed to early-stage adoption by major companies [8] - Amazon and Microsoft dominate the global cloud infrastructure market, with their platforms (AWS and Azure) providing subscription-based quantum cloud computing services that grant access to IonQ's and Rigetti's quantum technologies [10]

Group 1: Market Performance - Quantum computing stocks have seen significant gains since Q3 2024, with Rigetti Computing rising 4,330%, D-Wave Quantum increasing 3,330%, and IonQ climbing 812% [1][7] Group 2: Company Valuations - IonQ has a market cap of $22.4 billion, trading at 303 times trailing sales, with an estimated 2026 revenue of $162 million [4] - D-Wave Quantum has a market cap of $12.6 billion, trading at 335 times trailing sales, with an estimated 2026 revenue of $38.2 million [5] - Rigetti Computing has the highest valuation at 1,111 times trailing sales, with a market cap of $11.5 billion and an estimated 2026 revenue of $21.5 million [6] Group 3: Technology and Market Dynamics - Major technology platforms and government agencies are investing billions in quantum computing, indicating a shift from research to commercialization [7] - Unlike dot-com companies, quantum companies currently have working technology and paying customers [7]

Core Insights - The article discusses the investment landscape and highlights the importance of understanding market dynamics and company fundamentals [1] Group 1 - The article emphasizes the significance of thorough research in identifying potential investment opportunities [1] - It mentions that market trends can significantly impact stock performance, necessitating a keen analysis of economic indicators [1] - The role of financial disclosures and transparency in building investor confidence is highlighted [1]

Core Insights - Quantum computing stocks are experiencing volatility as they approach their third-quarter earnings reports, with most companies still unprofitable while striving to advance the technology [1][2] Earnings Expectations - Investors are focusing on revenue growth for quantum computing stocks in Q3, with some also looking for smaller losses [2] - IonQ is expected to report a loss of $0.44 per share, widening from a loss of $0.26 a year earlier, while revenue is projected to grow 5118% to $27 million [3] - D-Wave is anticipated to record a 6-cent loss in Q2, improving from a 10-cent loss a year earlier, with revenue expected to grow 62% to $3 million [3] - Rigetti is expected to post a 5-cent loss in Q3, improving from an 18-cent loss a year earlier, but revenue is predicted to dip 9% to $2.2 million [5] - Quantum Computing is expected to report a 6-cent loss per share, with revenue rising 16% to $100 million [6] Market Dynamics - Quantum computing stocks are volatile due to uncertainties surrounding commercialization and competition from major tech companies like Cisco Systems, which is entering the quantum networking space [7] - As of October 31, 2025, D-Wave stock has increased by 285%, IonQ shares are up 19%, Rigetti has advanced about 121%, while Quantum Computing has pulled back 11% [8] Stock Behavior Metrics - Investors should monitor the average true range (ATR) of quantum computing stocks, which indicates the volatility of stock prices [10] - IonQ has the lowest ATR rating at 9.67%, followed by Rigetti at 13.21%, D-Wave at 14.02%, and Quantum Computing at 11.84% [10]

Core Insights - Quantum computing is gaining significant attention, transitioning from a theoretical concept to a potential reality, attracting retail investors to pure-play quantum stocks with multibillion-dollar market capitalizations [1] Company Summaries IonQ - IonQ's current market capitalization is approximately $22 billion, with a stock price of $62.33 and a gross margin of 1.14% [2] - The company reported trailing-12-month revenue of $53 million, which is significantly lower than its market value, raising concerns about inflated valuations [11] - IonQ utilizes "trapped ion" technology to create stable qubits, addressing the high error rates associated with quantum computing [6][8] D-Wave Quantum - D-Wave has a market capitalization of around $13 billion, with a stock price of $37.06 and a gross margin of 82.46% [11] - The company generated $22 million in trailing-12-month revenue, which is also seen as insufficient to justify its market valuation [9][11] - D-Wave focuses on scaling through an "annealing" approach, which allows for a higher qubit count but compromises stability [7][8] Industry Overview - Quantum computing has the potential to revolutionize various fields, including cryptography, drug discovery, and materials science, but practical large-scale quantum computing is still under development [5] - Current valuations of quantum stocks like D-Wave and IonQ are considered excessive given the nascent stage of the technology [9] - The industry faces challenges related to qubit stability and error rates, with different companies pursuing varying technological approaches [6][8]

We recently published Trending Analyst Calls: 10 Stocks to Buy and Sell. IonQ, Inc. (NYSE:IONQ) is one of the trending analyst calls. Bryn Talkington, Managing Partner of Requisite Capital Management, explained in a recent program on CNBC why she sold her position in IONQ Inc (NYSE:IONQ), a quantum computing hardware and software company. The analyst continues to believe in the potential of the quantum computing company, but thinks it will take several years for it to bear fruit. “I actually bought it la ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the potential downturn for quantum computing stocks, highlighting that historical valuation metrics indicate a significant reversal may be imminent for companies like IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. [1][4][18] Industry Overview - Quantum computing is emerging as a transformative technology, with applications across various sectors, including drug development and AI optimization [6][10]. - The technology is still in its infancy, and widespread commercialization is not yet evident, suggesting that it may take years for businesses to realize returns on investments in quantum computing [11]. Company Performance - Over the past year, IonQ's stock has increased by 270%, while Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantum Computing Inc. have seen gains of 3,220%, 3,270%, and 1,340%, respectively [4]. - Current market capitalizations for these companies are significant, with IonQ at $21 billion and Rigetti at $14 billion [8][16]. Valuation Metrics - The price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is identified as a more relevant valuation metric for early-stage companies like those in quantum computing, as traditional price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are less applicable due to negative earnings [14]. - Historical data shows that leading companies in emerging technologies have peaked at P/S ratios between 31 and 43, while current P/S ratios for quantum computing stocks are projected to be much higher, ranging from 69 to 352 by 2027 [15][17][19]. - This suggests that the current valuations of quantum computing stocks are unsustainable, indicating a potential for significant price corrections in the future [18].

Core Insights - IonQ's shares have increased approximately 47% this year despite a recent decline, highlighting investor interest in quantum computing as a transformative technology [1] - Quantum computing is not yet commercially viable, with no general-purpose quantum computer outperforming classical computing methods in real-world applications [4] - IonQ anticipates generating up to $100 million in revenue this year from various services, although current applications are primarily for research and experimentation [5] Industry Developments - Significant advancements in quantum computing have been made, including IBM's use of quantum computing to enhance bond trading computations and Alphabet's demonstration of a quantum algorithm speedup [6] - The Trump administration is reportedly interested in acquiring equity stakes in quantum computing companies, indicating a growing recognition of the technology's importance [7] Investment Considerations - The timeline for quantum computing to become commercially viable is uncertain, with estimates ranging from five to ten years, and potential delays if industry projections are overly optimistic [8] - IonQ faces stiff competition from tech giants like IBM and Alphabet, which are also pursuing advancements in quantum computing [9]