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Is Kinross Gold Stock a Smart Buy Before Q2 Earnings Release?
ZACKS· 2025-07-29 12:56
Core Insights - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is expected to report strong second-quarter 2025 results, benefiting from higher gold prices and robust production, despite facing challenges from increased costs [1][6]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KGC's second-quarter earnings is 32 cents per share, reflecting a 128.6% year-over-year increase. Revenue estimates stand at $1.35 billion, indicating a 10.3% rise year-over-year [2]. - KGC has outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 16.1% [3][4]. Production and Costs - Higher gold prices, which reached a record high of $3,500 per ounce in April 2025, are expected to positively impact KGC's performance. The average realized gold price for KGC in Q2 is estimated at $2,771 per ounce, an 18.3% increase from the previous year [6][7]. - Production costs have risen, with a 6% year-over-year increase in production costs of sales per ounce to $1,043 in Q1. The all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) are projected to rise 8.1% year-over-year to $1,499 per ounce in Q2 [9]. Market Position and Valuation - KGC's stock has increased by 79.7% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's 42.7% rise and the S&P 500's 17.9% increase [10]. - KGC is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 11.44, which is about 10% lower than the peer group average of 12.72 [13]. Growth Prospects - KGC has a strong production profile and a promising pipeline of exploration and development projects, including Great Bear in Ontario and Round Mountain Phase X in Nevada, which are expected to enhance production and cash flow [14][15]. - The company maintains a strong liquidity position and generates substantial cash flows, allowing it to finance development projects and enhance shareholder value [15]. Investment Outlook - With a solid pipeline of projects, strong financial health, and favorable market conditions, KGC stock is viewed as an attractive investment opportunity ahead of its earnings announcement [16].
Exploring Analyst Estimates for Kinross Gold (KGC) Q2 Earnings, Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-07-29 05:06
Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast Kinross Gold (KGC) will report quarterly earnings of $0.32 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 128.6% and revenues of $1.35 billion, a 10.3% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Group 1: Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3.2% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong relationship between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Group 2: Key Metrics - The average realized gold price per ounce is estimated to reach $2885.45, up from $2342.00 in the same quarter last year [5]. - The production cost of sales per equivalent ounce sold is estimated at $1199, compared to $1029 in the previous year [5]. - The attributable all-in sustaining cost per equivalent ounce sold is projected at $1.57 billion, an increase from $1.39 billion year-over-year [6]. Group 3: Market Performance - Kinross Gold shares have returned +8.2% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +4.9% change [6]. - With a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), KGC is expected to outperform the overall market in the near future [6].
Kinross announces sale of shares of White Gold
Globenewswire· 2025-07-25 21:25
Core Viewpoint - Kinross Gold Corporation has sold all of its common shares in White Gold Corp, totaling 23,681,160 shares, which represents approximately 12% of White Gold's outstanding shares, for an aggregate sale price of CAD 6,869,905.51 at an average price of CAD 0.29 per share [1]. Company Summary - Kinross Gold Corporation is a Canadian-based global senior gold mining company with operations in the United States, Brazil, Mauritania, Chile, and Canada, focusing on responsible mining, operational excellence, disciplined growth, and balance sheet strength [3]. - Kinross is listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (symbol: K) and the New York Stock Exchange (symbol: KGC) [3]. Additional Information - An early warning report related to the investment is available on White Gold's profile on SEDAR+ [2]. - Kinross's head office is located in Toronto, Ontario, while White Gold's head office is also in Toronto, Ontario [2]. - Media and investor relations contacts are provided for further inquiries [4].
Kinross Gold (KGC) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:08
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Kinross Gold (KGC) due to higher revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Kinross Gold is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.27 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +92.9% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $1.35 billion, which is a 10.3% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.74% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - Despite the downward revision, the Most Accurate Estimate for Kinross Gold is higher than the consensus, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +15.34% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [10]. - Kinross Gold holds a Zacks Rank of 1, indicating a high likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Kinross Gold exceeded the expected earnings of $0.22 per share by delivering $0.30, resulting in a surprise of +36.36% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Industry Context - In the Zacks Mining - Gold industry, Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. is expected to post earnings of $0.12 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of -29.4% [18]. - Idaho Strategic Resources has seen a 23.1% increase in its consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, but its Earnings ESP is 0%, making predictions about beating the consensus EPS estimate uncertain [19].
The Ascent of Gold Stocks: Why Investors Can Buy Now
ZACKS· 2025-07-21 19:36
Group 1: Gold Market Overview - Gold has outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 1-year, 3-year, and year-to-date periods, driven by geopolitical shifts and concerns over fiat currency stability [1] - Central bank demand, particularly from BRICS nations, is contributing to record levels of gold accumulation as these countries diversify away from US dollar-denominated assets [6] - Geopolitical tensions, including the Russia–Ukraine war and US-China relations, are increasing macro uncertainty, further supporting gold as a hedge against systemic risk [7][8] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold is forming a tightening bull flag pattern, with a potential breakout above $317.50 on GLD (or $3,475 in gold futures) signaling a major upward move [10] - The current price action indicates strong buying interest, suggesting that gold is on the verge of a significant breakout [2][10] Group 3: Top Gold Mining Stocks - Aris Mining Corporation is highlighted as a compelling opportunity, trading at 5.8x forward earnings with projected sales growth of 56% this year and earnings growth of 265% [12][13][14] - Agnico Eagle Mines, with a Zacks Rank 1, is noted for its operational consistency and projected annual EPS growth of 20.8% over the next three to five years, currently testing a breakout level [15][16][17] - Kinross Gold, also holding a Zacks Rank 1, is trading at 12.7x forward earnings with expected EPS growth of 21.2% over the next three to five years, presenting a GARP opportunity [18][22] - AngloGold Ashanti PLC has surged over 120% year-to-date, reflecting strong investor confidence and operational performance, also holding a Zacks Rank 1 [24][25][26] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The outlook for gold remains constructive, with prices nearing a technical breakout and strong global demand driven by macro trends [27][29] - Gold stocks are positioned as an attractive entry point for investors seeking diversification and exposure to rising commodity trends [29]
KGC's Debt Paydown Powers Balance Sheet Strength - Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-07-21 13:05
Key Takeaways KGC lowered net debt to $540M and net debt-to-EBITDA to 0.2X at the end of Q1. Kinross' free cash flow more than doubled to $370.8M in Q1, driven by strong gold prices and operations. KGC stock is up 65.4% YTD, outperforming the industry, and trades at a discount to the industry average.Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) has taken steps to improve its leverage profile, thanks to strong free cash flow generation. It repaid $800 million of debt during 2024 and the remaining $200 million of its ter ...
Does Kinross Gold's 68% YTD Rally Justify Buying the Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 14:35
Core Viewpoint - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) has experienced a significant share price increase of 67.9% year-to-date, outperforming both the Zacks Mining – Gold industry and the S&P 500 index, driven by strong earnings and higher gold prices [1][7]. Performance Comparison - KGC's peers, including Barrick Mining Corporation, Newmont Corporation, and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, have seen share price increases of 36.9%, 57%, and 53.1%, respectively, during the same period [2]. Technical Indicators - KGC has been trading above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) since March 6, 2024, and is also above its 50-day SMA, indicating a bullish trend [5]. Development Projects - Key development projects such as Great Bear and Round Mountain Phase X are expected to enhance KGC's production and cash flow [10]. - The commissioning of the Manh Choh project is anticipated to significantly increase cash flow at the Fort Knox operation [10]. Financial Health - KGC ended Q1 with a liquidity position of approximately $2.3 billion, which supports debt reduction and dividend safety [12]. - The company generated record free cash flows of around $1.3 billion in 2024, with free cash flow more than doubling year-over-year to $370.8 million in Q1 [12]. Debt Management - KGC repaid $800 million of debt in 2024 and reduced its net debt to around $540 million, with a long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio of 14.4% [13]. Gold Price Impact - Gold prices have increased by roughly 28% this year, reaching a record high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22, 2025, and currently hovering above $3,300 per ounce, which is expected to enhance KGC's profitability [14]. Dividend Information - KGC offers a dividend yield of 0.8% with a payout ratio of 14%, indicating a sustainable dividend backed by strong cash flows [15][16]. Analyst Sentiment - Earnings estimates for KGC have been rising, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings at $1.17, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 72.1% [17]. Valuation Metrics - KGC is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 12.29X, slightly below the industry average of 12.41X, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [18]. Investment Outlook - KGC presents an attractive investment opportunity with a strong pipeline of development projects, solid financial health, and favorable market conditions, making it a strong buy recommendation [21][22].
5 Top-Ranked Gold Mining Stocks Amid Strong Central Bank Purchases
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 14:31
Industry Overview - Gold prices are on the rise, currently around $3,342/oz, reflecting a 37% increase year to date, driven by supply constraints and strong demand from central banks [4][5] - The World Gold Council indicates a scarcity of gold mining deposits, which is expected to sustain the upward momentum in gold prices [1] - Central banks, particularly in emerging economies, are increasing their gold reserves due to rising global debt levels and geopolitical risks, which supports demand for gold [3] Investment Opportunities - It is recommended to invest in gold mining stocks with a favorable Zacks Rank, specifically those rated 1 (Strong Buy), including Franco-Nevada Corp. (FNV), Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD), Kinross Gold Corp. (KGC), AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU), and Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM) [2] - All five selected stocks exhibit strong growth estimates and recent upward earnings revisions for the current year [9] Company Highlights Franco-Nevada Corp. (FNV) - FNV is expected to achieve revenue and earnings growth rates of 34.6% and 43.9%, respectively, for the current year, with a recent earnings estimate improvement of 0.2% [12] - The company has a debt-free balance sheet and focuses on expanding its portfolio and paying dividends, benefiting from rising gold prices [11] Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD) - RGLD anticipates revenue and earnings growth rates of 28.8% and 42%, respectively, for the current year, with a 4.5% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [14] - The company maintains high margins despite inflationary pressures and is focused on allocating cash flow towards dividends and debt reduction [13] Kinross Gold Corp. (KGC) - KGC is projected to have revenue and earnings growth rates of 17.9% and 72.1%, respectively, for the current year, with a 5.4% increase in earnings estimates recently [17] - The company is enhancing production through its Tasiast mine expansion and has promising projects like the Great Bear project in Ontario [15][16] AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) - AU expects revenue and earnings growth rates of 52.8% and over 100%, respectively, for the current year, with a 1.6% improvement in earnings estimates [19] - The company operates in multiple regions and focuses on gold exploration and production, with a flagship mine in Tanzania [18] Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM) - AEM is projected to achieve revenue and earnings growth rates of 26.6% and 52.5%, respectively, for the current year, with a 7% increase in earnings estimates [22] - The company is advancing key projects and has strengthened its market position through strategic acquisitions and mergers [20][21]
KGC on Firm Footing With Solid Liquidity: Can It Fuel Future Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 12:26
Core Insights - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) ended Q1 2025 with strong liquidity of approximately $2.3 billion, including cash and cash equivalents of $694.6 million, and free cash flow more than doubled year over year to $370.8 million, driven by strong gold prices and operational performance [1][6] - The company's robust liquidity and cash flows enable it to finance development projects, reduce debt, and enhance shareholder value, supporting key projects like Great Bear in Ontario and Round Mountain Phase X in Nevada [2][6] - KGC's shares have increased by 65.5% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's rise of 50.8%, primarily due to the rally in gold prices [5] Financial Performance - KGC repaid $200 million of its term loan in Q1, reducing net debt to around $540 million, supported by strong cash generation [1][6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KGC's earnings in 2025 and 2026 indicates a year-over-year rise of 73.5% and 14%, respectively, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [7] - KGC is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 12.62, which is a modest 1.9% premium to the industry average of 12.39X, and carries a Value Score of B [9] Comparison with Peers - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) ended Q1 with cash and cash equivalents of $1,138 million and generated free cash flow of $594 million, a 50% increase from the previous year [3] - Barrick Mining Corporation reported cash and cash equivalents of approximately $4.1 billion and generated operating cash flows of roughly $1.2 billion, up 59% year over year, with free cash flow of $375 million, marking a nearly 12-fold increase year over year [4]
Kinross Gold: A Healthy And Undervalued Acquisition Target
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-10 18:54
Group 1 - Kinross Gold (NYSE: KGC) has significantly outperformed its peers in recent years and remains an attractive gold miner in terms of valuation [1] - The company benefits from a relatively low All-In Sustaining Cost (AISC), solid production, and high-quality assets [1]