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Kinross Gold (KGC) Up 26.4% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-08-29 16:36
Core Viewpoint - Kinross Gold has shown strong performance in its recent earnings report, with significant increases in profit and revenue, driven by higher gold prices, leading to positive investor sentiment and upward revisions in earnings estimates [3][4][9]. Financial Performance - Kinross reported a profit of $530.7 million or 43 cents per share for Q2 2025, up from $210.9 million or 17 cents per share in the same quarter last year [3]. - Adjusted earnings were 44 cents per share, compared to 14 cents in the prior-year quarter, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 33 cents [3]. - Revenues increased by nearly 41.7% year over year to $1,728.5 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,347.3 million [4]. Operational Performance - The company produced 512,574 gold equivalent ounces in the reported quarter, a decrease of 4.3% year over year, but above the estimate of 487,940 ounces [5]. - Average realized gold prices were $3,284 per ounce, up 40.2% from the previous year, exceeding the estimate of $2,771 per ounce [5]. - Production cost of sales per gold equivalent ounce was $1,074, up 4.4% year over year, but below the estimate of $1,143 [6]. Financial Position - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the quarter were $1,136.5 million, an increase of approximately 136.7% year over year [7]. - Long-term debt stood at $1,236.4 million, reflecting a slight increase of about 0.2% [7]. Future Outlook - Kinross expects to produce 2 million gold equivalent ounces (+/- 5%) with a production cost of sales per ounce of $1,120 (+/- 5%) and an all-in sustaining cost of $1,500 (+/- 5%) [8]. - The consensus estimate for Kinross has shifted upward by 23.04% since the earnings release, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [9][12]. Industry Context - Kinross Gold is part of the Zacks Mining - Gold industry, which has seen positive performance, with Newmont Corporation gaining 17.5% over the past month [13]. - Newmont reported revenues of $5.32 billion for the last quarter, a year-over-year increase of 20.8%, with EPS rising from $0.72 to $1.43 [13].
Kinross Gold's Costs to Rise Ahead: Can Profits Keep Shining?
ZACKS· 2025-08-26 12:21
Core Insights - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) experienced a 4% year-over-year increase in production costs of sales per ounce, reaching $1,074 in Q2, while all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) rose nearly 8% to $1,493 per gold equivalent ounce sold, indicating inflationary pressures [1][7] - The company anticipates continued cost pressures through the end of 2025, projecting full-year AISC to reach $1,500 and production cash costs around $1,120 per ounce due to lower expected production and inflation [2][7] - KGC's AISC remains lower than peers Barrick Mining Corporation and Newmont Corporation, but rising costs suggest potential margin compression risks ahead [5][7] Industry Comparisons - Barrick Mining Corporation reported a 17% increase in cash costs per ounce and a 12% rise in AISC year-over-year, with AISC reaching $1,684 in Q2 [3] - Newmont Corporation's gold costs applicable to sales rose approximately 6% to $1,215 per ounce, with AISC increasing around 2% to $1,593 per ounce due to production declines from asset divestments [4] Stock Performance - KGC's shares have surged 112.9% year-to-date, outperforming the Mining – Gold industry, which rose 78.6%, primarily driven by a rally in gold prices [6] - The forward 12-month earnings multiple for KGC is currently at 13.97, aligning with the industry average, and it holds a Value Score of A [8] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KGC's earnings in 2025 and 2026 indicates a year-over-year increase of 92.7% and 9.5%, respectively, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [9]
B vs. KGC: Which Gold Mining Stock Is the Better Bet Now?
ZACKS· 2025-08-22 13:30
Core Viewpoint - Barrick Mining Corporation and Kinross Gold Corporation are significant players in the gold mining sector, with favorable gold prices currently above $3,300 per ounce despite recent declines from April 2025 highs, making them attractive for investors seeking exposure to precious metals [1][2]. Barrick Mining Corporation - Barrick is advancing key growth projects, including Goldrush, Pueblo Viejo expansion, Fourmile, Lumwana Super Pit, and Reko Diq, which are expected to enhance production significantly [4][5]. - The Goldrush mine aims for 400,000 ounces of annual production by 2028, while the Fourmile project is anticipated to yield double the grades of Goldrush [5]. - The Reko Diq project in Pakistan is projected to produce 460,000 tons of copper and 520,000 ounces of gold annually by its second development phase, with first production expected by the end of 2028 [5]. - Barrick's Lumwana mine is undergoing a $2 billion expansion, transforming it into a vital copper asset [6]. - As of Q2 2025, Barrick's cash and cash equivalents were approximately $4.8 billion, with operating cash flows of around $1.3 billion, a 15% increase year-over-year [7]. - Barrick returned $1.2 billion to shareholders in 2024 and has a new share repurchase program authorized for up to $1 billion [7]. - The company offers a dividend yield of 1.6% with a payout ratio of 25% and a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of about 3% [8]. - However, Barrick faces challenges with rising costs, with cash costs per ounce increasing by 17% and all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) rising by 12% year-over-year in Q2 [8][9]. - For 2025, Barrick projects cash costs per ounce of $1,050-$1,130 and AISC of $1,460-$1,560, indicating potential year-over-year increases [10]. Kinross Gold Corporation - Kinross has a strong production profile with key development projects like Great Bear and Round Mountain Phase X, which are expected to enhance production and cash flow [11]. - The Tasiast and Paracatu mines are significant contributors to cash flow, with Tasiast being the lowest-cost asset and achieving record production in 2024 [12]. - Kinross ended Q2 2025 with robust liquidity of approximately $2.8 billion, including over $1.1 billion in cash [13]. - The company repaid $800 million of debt in 2024 and improved its net debt position to around $100 million by the end of Q2 2025 [14]. - Kinross offers a dividend yield of 0.6% with a payout ratio of 10% [14]. Price Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Barrick's stock has increased by 64.7%, while Kinross's stock has risen by 110.6%, compared to the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's increase of 72.7% [15]. - Barrick is trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 11.31, representing a 16.7% discount to the industry average of 13.57 [17]. - Kinross is trading at a forward earnings multiple of 13.98, slightly above the industry average [19]. Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Barrick's 2025 sales and EPS implies year-over-year growth of 19% and 54.8%, respectively [21]. - Kinross's 2025 sales and EPS estimates suggest year-over-year growth of 23.4% and 102.9%, respectively [22]. Investment Consideration - Both Barrick and Kinross are well-positioned to benefit from favorable gold prices, with strong development pipelines and solid financial health [23]. - Kinross's higher growth projections may present better investment prospects in the current market environment, with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) compared to Barrick's 3 (Hold) [24].
AU vs. KGC: Which Gold Mining Stock is the Better Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-08-20 15:21
Core Viewpoint - AngloGold Ashanti and Kinross Gold are two leading gold producers with diversified mining operations across various continents, both positioned to benefit from the ongoing rise in gold prices [1][27]. Group 1: Gold Market Overview - Gold prices recently fell to $3,320 per ounce due to easing geopolitical concerns and a stronger U.S. dollar, but have increased 26% year-to-date, driven by safe-haven demand and geopolitical risks [2]. - Central bank buying and expanding industrial use in sectors like energy, healthcare, and technology are expected to support gold prices moving forward [2]. Group 2: AngloGold Ashanti Analysis - AngloGold Ashanti, based in South Africa, has operations in multiple countries and recently acquired Centamin, enhancing its asset base with the Sukari mine, which has a production potential of 500,000 ounces annually [4]. - In Q2 2025, AngloGold's gold production rose 21% year-over-year to 804,000 ounces, with a projected production range of 2.9-3.225 million ounces for 2025, indicating a year-over-year growth of 9-21% [5]. - Gold revenues in Q2 increased by 78% to $2.4 billion, although higher operating costs partially offset these gains [6]. - Total cash costs per ounce rose 8% to $1,226, while all-in-sustaining costs increased 7% to $1,666, with earnings per share up 108% to $1.25 [7]. - Free cash flow surged 149% year-over-year to $535 million, with liquidity at $3.4 billion and adjusted net debt reduced by 92% to $92 million [8]. - The company is focused on its Full Asset Potential program and has made strategic acquisitions to enhance its growth [9][10]. Group 3: Kinross Gold Analysis - Kinross Gold, headquartered in Canada, operates in several countries and has a strong production profile with promising exploration and development projects [14]. - In Q2 2025, Kinross's revenues rose 41.7% year-over-year to $1.73 billion, with adjusted earnings per share increasing to 44 cents from 14 cents [17]. - The company produced 512,574 gold equivalent ounces, a 4.3% decrease year-over-year, but higher production from certain mines offset declines from others [16]. - Kinross ended Q2 with solid liquidity of approximately $2.8 billion and free cash flow increased by 87% year-over-year to a record $647 million [18]. - The company has been reducing debt levels, ending Q2 with a total debt to total capital ratio of 0.14 [19]. Group 4: Earnings Estimates and Valuation - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AngloGold Ashanti's 2025 earnings is $4.96 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 124.43%, but a slight dip is expected in 2026 [20]. - Kinross Gold's earnings estimate for 2025 is $1.38 per share, indicating a year-over-year jump of 103%, with a slight growth expected in 2026 [21]. - In the past six months, AngloGold's stock gained 64.8%, while Kinross's stock increased by 70.5% [23]. - AngloGold is trading at a forward earnings multiple of 11.01X, while Kinross is at 13.40X, both higher than their five-year medians [25]. Group 5: Investment Outlook - Both companies are well-positioned to benefit from rising gold prices, but Kinross Gold has shown stronger year-to-date price performance and has a more compelling project pipeline [27]. - Kinross Gold is rated as a Strong Buy, while AngloGold Ashanti holds a Hold rating, indicating a preference for Kinross as a more attractive investment option [28].
KGC Stock Zooms 70% in 6 Months: Should You Buy the Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-08-18 12:20
Core Viewpoint - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) has experienced a significant share price increase of 70.5% over the past six months, outperforming both the Zacks Mining – Gold industry and the S&P 500 index, driven by strong earnings performance and favorable gold prices [1][7]. Performance Comparison - KGC's peers, including Barrick Mining Corporation, Newmont Corporation, and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, have seen share price increases of 28.3%, 46.2%, and 36% respectively during the same period [2]. Technical Indicators - KGC has been trading above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) since March 6, 2024, and is also above its 50-day SMA, indicating a bullish trend [5]. Development Projects - Key projects such as Great Bear in Ontario and Round Mountain Phase X in Nevada are expected to enhance production and cash flow, with the Manh Choh project commencing production in Q3 2024 [10]. - Tasiast and Paracatu are the company's largest assets, contributing significantly to cash flow, with Tasiast achieving record production in 2024 [11]. Financial Health - KGC reported liquidity of approximately $2.8 billion, including over $1.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents, with free cash flow increasing by 87% year-over-year [12]. - The company repaid $800 million of debt in 2024 and reduced its net debt to around $100 million by the end of Q2 2025 [13]. Gold Price Impact - Gold prices have risen approximately 27% this year, reaching a peak of $3,500 per ounce in April 2025, currently hovering above $3,300 per ounce, which is expected to enhance KGC's profitability [14]. Dividend Information - KGC offers a dividend yield of 0.6% with a payout ratio of 10%, indicating a sustainable dividend backed by strong cash flows [15]. Analyst Sentiment - Earnings estimates for KGC have been revised upward, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings at $1.38, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 102.9% [16]. Valuation Metrics - KGC is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 13.86X, slightly above the industry average of 13.48X, indicating a competitive valuation compared to peers [17]. Investment Outlook - KGC presents a strong investment case with a solid pipeline of projects, healthy financials, and favorable market conditions, making it a compelling choice for investors [20][21].
KGC's Low Leverage Edge: Is Bigger Shareholder Value Awaiting?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 12:51
Core Insights - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is focused on improving its leverage profile through strong free cash flow generation, having repaid $800 million of debt in 2024 and the remaining $200 million of its term loan in Q1 2025 [1][3] - The company reduced its net debt position to approximately $100 million at the end of Q2 from $540 million in the previous quarter, with a long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio of 13.9%, lower than the industry average of 14.9% [1][3] - KGC ended Q2 2025 with robust liquidity of around $2.8 billion, including over $1.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and experienced a free cash flow increase of approximately 87% year-over-year and 74% quarter-over-quarter [2][7] Financial Performance - KGC's shares have increased by 108.5% year-to-date, outperforming the industry’s rise of 72.2%, primarily due to the rally in gold prices [6][7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings rise of 102.9% for 2025 and 2.2% for 2026, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [9] Valuation Metrics - KGC is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 13.86, which is a 3.3% premium to the industry average of 13.42 [8]
Asante Announces Receipt of Net Proceeds From C$237M Equity Offering, Completion of Kinross Restructuring
Globenewswire· 2025-08-12 15:02
VANCOUVER, British Columbia, Aug. 12, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Asante Gold Corporation (CSE: ASE | GSE: ASG | FRANKFURT:1A9 | OTCQX: ASGOF) ("Asante" or the "Company") is pleased to announce that, further to its news release dated August 11, 2025 announcing the execution of definitive agreements relating to an approximately $500 million financing package (the "Financing Package"), the Company has satisfied the conditions to first draw down under such definitive agreements, resulting in the satisfaction by t ...
Kinross Files Early Warning Report with respect to Asante Gold
Globenewswire· 2025-08-11 11:10
Core Viewpoint - Kinross Gold Corporation has amended its share purchase agreement with Asante Gold Corporation, which includes a cash payment of US$55 million and the acquisition of shares and a convertible debenture, potentially increasing Kinross's ownership in Asante to a maximum of 18% on a partially diluted basis [1][2][3]. Group 1: Transaction Details - The transaction involves Kinross acquiring 36,927,650 common shares of Asante at a price of C$1.45 per share and a convertible debenture convertible into shares at a price of C$1.81 per share for a period of five years [8]. - Kinross currently holds approximately 6.0% of Asante's issued shares on a non-diluted basis and 6.9% on a partially diluted basis, which will increase to approximately 9.5% on a non-diluted basis and up to 18% on a partially diluted basis post-transaction [3][4]. - If the transaction were to close immediately, Kinross would own approximately 17.3% of Asante's outstanding shares on a partially diluted basis [4]. Group 2: Regulatory and Advisory Information - Kinross has acquired beneficial ownership of more than 10% of Asante's outstanding shares, necessitating the issuance of a press release and an early warning report as per Canadian securities laws [5]. - INFOR Financial Inc. acted as the financial advisor and Osler, Hoskin & Harcourt LLP served as the legal advisor to Kinross regarding the purchase agreement and related negotiations [9]. Group 3: Company Overview - Kinross Gold Corporation is a Canadian-based global senior gold mining company with operations in the United States, Brazil, Mauritania, Chile, and Canada, focusing on responsible mining and operational excellence [10].
Kinross Gold's Q2 Earnings Surpass Estimates on Higher Gold Prices
ZACKS· 2025-08-05 13:50
Core Insights - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) reported a profit of $530.7 million or 43 cents per share for Q2 2025, an increase from $210.9 million or 17 cents per share in the same quarter last year [1] - Adjusted earnings were 44 cents per share, up from 14 cents in the prior-year quarter, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 33 cents [1][8] - Revenues rose nearly 41.7% year over year to $1,728.5 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,347.3 million, driven by higher average realized gold prices [2][8] Operational Performance - KGC produced 512,574 gold equivalent ounces in the reported quarter, down 4.3% year over year, but above the estimate of 487,940 ounces [3] - Average realized gold prices were $3,284 per ounce, up 40.2% from the previous year, and exceeded the estimate of $2,771 per ounce [3] - The production cost of sales per gold equivalent ounce was $1,074, up 4.4% year over year, but below the estimate of $1,143 [4] Financials - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the quarter were $1,136.5 million, an increase of approximately 136.7% year over year [5] - Long-term debt was $1,236.4 million, reflecting a slight increase of about 0.2% [5] Outlook - KGC expects to produce 2 million gold equivalent ounces (+/- 5%) with a production cost of sales per gold equivalent ounce of $1,120 (+/- 5%) and an all-in sustaining cost of $1,500 (+/- 5%) per ounce sold [6] Price Performance - Kinross' shares have surged 105.4% over the past year, compared to a 51.7% rise in the industry [7]
Kinross Gold's Record FCF Sets Stage for Growth: What Comes Next?
ZACKS· 2025-08-05 13:01
Core Insights - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) achieved record free cash flow of $646.6 million in Q2, driven by strong gold prices and operational performance, marking an 87% year-over-year increase and a 74% rise from the previous quarter [1][7] - The company's free cash flow for the first half of 2025 surpassed $1 billion [1] Financial Performance - Record operating margins, supported by effective cost management, healthy production levels, and higher gold prices, contributed to the robust free cash flow generation in Q2 [2] - The Paracatu and Tasiast mines were significant contributors, accounting for over half of KGC's production and cash flow in the quarter [2][7] Strategic Development - KGC's strong free cash flow enables financing for development projects, debt reduction, and enhancement of shareholder value [3] - Key development projects include Great Bear in Ontario and Round Mountain Phase X in Nevada, which are expected to increase production and cash flow, delivering substantial value [3] Industry Comparison - Among peers, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) reported a Q2 free cash flow of $1,305 million, more than doubling the previous year's figure [4] - Newmont Corporation (NEM) also recorded a significant free cash flow of $1.7 billion in Q2, nearly tripling year-over-year [5] Market Performance - KGC's shares have increased by 86.2% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's rise of 55.6%, primarily due to the rally in gold prices [6] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KGC's earnings in 2025 and 2026 indicates a year-over-year increase of 100% and 3.7%, respectively, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [9] Valuation Metrics - KGC is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 12.43, which is a modest 1.4% premium to the industry average of 12.26 [10]