Core Insights - Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. reported solid second-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with both net sales and earnings exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate, although earnings decreased compared to the previous year [2][10] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were 69 cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 67 cents, but represented a 5% decrease year-over-year due to reduced adjusted gross profit [2][10] - Net sales reached $1,618.1 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,593 million, and increased by $17.2 million year-over-year [3][10] Sales and Volume Analysis - On a constant-currency basis, sales were flat, with an 8% volume growth offset by an 8% decline in price/mix, driven by customer wins and share gains, particularly in North America and Asia [4] - The North America segment's net sales were flat at $1,069.5 million, with an 8% volume increase driven by customer contract wins, while the price/mix fell 8% [7] - The International segment's net sales grew 4% to $548.6 million, with a 7% volume increase, but a decline in price/mix by 8% [9] Profitability Metrics - Adjusted gross profit fell by $15.6 million year-over-year to $327.9 million, primarily due to weaker price/mix [5] - Adjusted EBITDA decreased by $8.5 million year-over-year to $285.7 million, attributed to reduced adjusted gross profit and equity method investment earnings [6] Segment Performance - North America segment adjusted EBITDA increased by $18.6 million to $287.8 million, driven by higher volumes and reduced manufacturing costs [8] - International segment adjusted EBITDA decreased by $21.4 million to $27.2 million, mainly due to elevated manufacturing costs [11] Financial Health - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $82.7 million and long-term debt of $3,648.9 million [12] - Lamb Weston returned $51.6 million to shareholders through dividends and repurchased $39.6 million of common stock [13] Future Outlook - The company expects net sales at constant currency to be between $6.35 billion and $6.55 billion and adjusted EBITDA to be between $1.00 billion and $1.20 billion for fiscal 2026 [15]

Market Overview - U.S. stocks traded higher, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining over 1% on Friday, while the Dow rose 0.55% to 48,216.43, and the S&P 500 increased by 0.83% to 6,830.85 [1] - Information technology shares rose by 1.6%, while consumer staples stocks fell by 0.4% [1] Company Performance - Nike Inc. shares fell around 10% despite reporting second-quarter revenue of $12.43 billion, exceeding analyst estimates of $12.22 billion, and earnings of 53 cents per share, surpassing estimates of 38 cents per share. The decline in gross margins for the second consecutive quarter contributed to the stock's drop [2] Commodity Market - Oil prices increased by 0.9% to $56.66, gold rose by 0.4% to $4,381.60, silver surged 3.4% to $67.415, and copper gained 1.1% to $5.4955 [5] European Market - European shares were higher, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 gaining 0.37%, Spain's IBEX 35 Index rising 0.22%, London's FTSE 100 up by 0.61%, Germany's DAX 40 increasing by 0.37%, and France's CAC 40 gaining 0.01% [6] Asian Market - Asian markets closed higher, with Japan's Nikkei 225 gaining 1.03%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng up by 0.75%, China's Shanghai Composite rising 0.36%, and India's BSE Sensex increasing by 0.53% [7] Notable Stock Movements - Autozi Internet Technology shares surged 54% to $2.34 after announcing a $90 million initial equity investment [9] - Amicus Therapeutics shares rose 31% to $14.20 following the announcement of its acquisition by BioMarin for a total equity value of about $4.8 billion, with BioMarin shares up 19% to $61.88 [9] - Lamb Weston Holdings shares dropped 25% to $44.70 after second-quarter results, while BlackBerry shares fell 10% to $3.90 following third-quarter results [9] - Mangoceuticals Inc. shares declined 45% to $0.72 after announcing a $100 million Solana-focused digital asset treasury strategy [9]

U.S. Stock Market Performance - U.S. stocks traded higher, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining more than 1% on Friday [1] - The Dow increased by 0.55% to 48,216.43, while the NASDAQ rose by 1.10% to 23,260.50, and the S&P 500 gained 0.83% to 6,830.85 [1] - Information technology shares rose by 1.6%, while consumer staples stocks fell by 0.4% [1] Nike Inc. Earnings Report - Nike Inc. shares fell around 10% despite reporting better-than-expected earnings and sales for Q2 [2] - The company posted Q2 revenue of $12.43 billion, exceeding analyst estimates of $12.22 billion [2] - Nike's Q2 earnings were 53 cents per share, surpassing analyst expectations of 38 cents per share [2] Commodity Market Updates - Oil prices increased by 0.9% to $56.66, while gold rose by 0.4% to $4,381.60 [5] - Silver prices surged by 3.4% to $67.415, and copper rose by 1.1% to $5.4955 [5] European and Asian Market Performance - European shares were higher, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 gaining 0.37% [6] - Asian markets closed higher, with Japan's Nikkei 225 gaining 1.03% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng rising by 0.75% [7] Notable Stock Movements - Autozi Internet Technology shares surged 54% to $2.34 after announcing a $90 million equity investment [9] - Amicus Therapeutics shares rose 31% to $14.20 following the announcement of its acquisition by BioMarin for about $4.8 billion [9] - Lamb Weston Holdings shares dropped 25% to $44.70 after Q2 results, while BlackBerry shares fell 10% to $3.90 after reporting Q3 results [9]

Core Insights - Shares of Lamb Weston (NYSE: LW) fell 22% after disappointing earnings, marking a 60% decline from its all-time high in 2023 and reaching the lowest share price since 2017 [1] Financial Performance - In Q2, Lamb Weston reported a 1% increase in sales and adjusted earnings per share of $0.69, surpassing Wall Street expectations [2] - Full-year guidance indicated flat revenue year-over-year and an 11% decline in adjusted EBITDA at the midpoint, which alarmed the market [2] Sales and Pricing Dynamics - Sales volume increased by 8% in North America and 7% internationally, but an 8% drop in pricing mix in both markets offset these gains [3] - The company is facing challenges due to strong potato crops and ongoing weakness in the quick-service restaurant sector [3] Operational Challenges - Lamb Weston is ramping up production at a new processing plant in Argentina, impacting EBITDA and free cash flow generation [4] - Management anticipates cost savings of $100 million by 2026 and $250 million by 2028, but the current guidance for declining adjusted EBITDA disappointed investors [4] Capital Expenditure and Future Outlook - The company has significantly increased capital expenditures to over $1 billion in 2024, compared to $400 million the previous year [5] - 2026 is seen as a crucial year for demonstrating that these investments will lead to market share gains, with potential cash flow from operations projected at $900 million against an enterprise value of $12.2 billion [5] Valuation Perspective - Despite increased sales volume, the lower pricing mix and weak profitability suggest that Lamb Weston may deserve its discounted valuation for the time being [6] - The company is currently viewed as less attractive during its turnaround phase, although it may appeal to value investors in the future [7]

Economic Outlook - New York Fed President John Williams expressed optimism about the economy, stating that some data is "pretty encouraging" and there is no sign of a sharp deterioration in jobs data [1] - He projected US GDP growth for this year to be between 1.5% and 1.75%, with expectations of growth picking up next year [1] Consumer Sentiment and Housing Market - The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for December was unexpectedly revised downward by -0.4 to 52.9, falling short of expectations [2] - Existing home sales in the US for November rose by +0.5% month-over-month to a 9-month high of 4.13 million, although this was below the expected 4.15 million [2][4] Stock Market Performance - Stock indexes showed positive movement, with the S&P 500 up by +0.67%, the Dow Jones up by +0.56%, and the Nasdaq 100 up by +0.94% [6] - A rally in cloud infrastructure stocks, particularly Oracle which rose by more than 7%, contributed to improved market sentiment [5][13] Bond Market Dynamics - Higher bond yields are limiting stock gains, with the 10-year T-note yield increasing by +2 basis points to 4.14% [3] - The yield curve has steepened since the last FOMC meeting, impacting T-note prices negatively due to increased demand for short-term government debt [10] International Markets - Overseas stock markets also experienced gains, with the Euro Stoxx 50 up by +0.40%, China's Shanghai Composite up by +0.36%, and Japan's Nikkei Stock 225 up by +1.03% [8] Company-Specific Movements - Carnival Corp reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 34 cents, exceeding consensus expectations of 24 cents, leading to a stock increase of more than +9% [16] - Whitefiber Inc saw a stock increase of more than +7% following a significant co-location agreement, representing around $865 million in contracted revenue [17] - Nike's stock fell by more than -8% after forecasting a decline in Q3 revenue and gross margins due to ongoing weakness in China [19] - Lamb Weston Holdings forecasted full-year net sales below consensus, leading to a stock decline of more than -23% [18]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Second quarter net sales increased by 1%, with a $24 million benefit from foreign currency translation, while on a constant currency basis, net sales were essentially flat compared to last year [14] - Volume rose by 8% in the second quarter, driven by customer wins and share gains, despite softer restaurant traffic [14] - Adjusted EBITDA declined by $9 million year-over-year to $286 million, primarily due to unfavorable Price/Mix [17] - Adjusted Gross Profit decreased by $16 million year-over-year, mainly due to unfavorable Price/Mix [17] - Free cash flow was strong at $375 million, with capital expenditures down to $156 million in the first half, reflecting disciplined investment [22][23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America segment net sales were essentially flat compared to the prior year, with volume increasing by 8% supported by recent customer contract wins [15] - International segment net sales increased by 4%, including a favorable foreign currency impact of $23 million, but declined by 1% on a constant currency basis [15][16] - Adjusted EBITDA in the North America segment increased by 7% to $288 million, reflecting strong execution and higher sales volume [20] - Adjusted EBITDA in the International segment declined by $21 million to $27 million, impacted by price and trade to support customers and higher manufacturing costs [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In North America, QSR traffic was flat, with QSR chicken growing while QSR burger traffic was down by 3% [14] - Internationally, restaurant traffic in most markets declined, including a 3% decrease in the U.K., the largest international market [14] - Asia, including China, led volume growth in the quarter, with growth also seen with multinational chain customers [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is executing its "Focus to Win" strategy, focusing on strengthening customer partnerships and driving cost savings [4][7] - The company is reopening previously curtailed capacity in North America to meet customer demand and maintain high fill rates [4][9] - The company is building a culture of continuous improvement and reducing volatility through customer contracting and raw procurement strategies [5][6] - The company is investing in innovation, including the launch of new products like Snap Fries, to capture additional market opportunities [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged a dynamic macroeconomic and competitive environment, particularly in international markets, but expressed confidence in long-term profitable growth [6][24] - The company expects continued volume growth and strong sales momentum for the remainder of the fiscal year, particularly in North America [24] - Price/Mix is anticipated to remain unfavorable in the second half, but to a lesser extent than in the first half [24][25] - Management remains committed to returning cash to shareholders, with a 3% increase in the quarterly dividend [7][23] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with approximately $1.43 billion of liquidity, including $1.35 billion available under its revolving credit facility [22] - The company has repurchased $40 million of shares during the second quarter and has $308 million remaining under its current repurchase authorization [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding rebalancing supply and demand in Europe - Management confirmed that they are curtailing a single line in the European market while reopening curtailed lines in North America due to strong volume [33] Question: On North America volume drivers and seasonal uptick - Management indicated that the mix shift towards private label and multinational chain customers will continue to affect gross margins in the back half of the year [36] Question: Update on Asia export markets and competition - Management acknowledged increased competition in Asia but expressed confidence in future growth due to strong customer support [42] Question: Clarification on gross margin expectations for the second half - Management confirmed that gross margins are expected to be flat to down in the second half, primarily due to mix shifts and ramp-up costs in Argentina [46] Question: Impact of reopening capacity in North America - Management stated that reopening additional capacity is necessary to meet customer expectations and will not negatively impact profitability [57] Question: Capital allocation and share repurchases - Management reiterated their commitment to capital allocation priorities, including opportunistic share repurchases while investing in the business [110]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Second quarter net sales increased by 1%, with a $24 million benefit from foreign currency translation, while on a constant currency basis, net sales were essentially flat compared to last year [14] - Volume rose by 8% in the second quarter, driven by customer wins and share gains, despite softer restaurant traffic [14][15] - Adjusted EBITDA declined by $9 million year-over-year to $286 million, while adjusted gross profit decreased by $16 million primarily due to unfavorable price mix [17][18] - Free Cash Flow was strong at $375 million, with capital expenditures down to $156 million in the first half, reflecting disciplined investment [22][23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America segment net sales were essentially flat year-over-year, with volume increasing by 8% supported by recent customer contract wins [15] - International segment net sales increased by 4%, including a favorable foreign currency impact of $23 million, but declined by 1% on a constant currency basis [15][16] - Adjusted EBITDA in the North America segment increased by 7% to $288 million, while the international segment's adjusted EBITDA declined by $21 million to $27 million [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In North America, QSR traffic was flat, with QSR chicken growing while QSR burger traffic was down by 3% [14] - Internationally, restaurant traffic in most markets declined, including a 3% drop in the U.K., the largest international market [14] - Asia, including China, led volume growth in the quarter, with multinational chain customers also contributing to growth [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is executing its "Focus to Win" strategy, strengthening customer partnerships and driving cost savings [4][7] - The reopening of previously curtailed capacity in North America aims to meet customer demand and maintain high fill rates [4][9] - The company is focused on building a culture of continuous improvement and reducing volatility through customer contracting and raw procurement strategies [5][6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged a dynamic macroeconomic and competitive environment, particularly in international markets, but expressed confidence in their plans for long-term profitable growth [6][10] - The company expects continued volume growth and strong sales momentum for the remainder of the fiscal year, with North America remaining solid [24] - Price mix is anticipated to remain unfavorable in the second half, but to a lesser extent than the first half [25] Other Important Information - The board approved a 3% increase to the quarterly dividend, reflecting the company's commitment to returning cash to shareholders [7][23] - The company is actively working to rebalance supply and demand within its network, ensuring the right assets are in place to serve priority markets [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding rebalancing supply and demand in Europe - Management confirmed that they are curtailing a single line in the European market while reopening curtailed lines in North America due to strong volume [33] Question: On North America volume drivers and seasonal uptick - Management indicated that the mixed impact is significant, with a shift from branded to private label affecting gross margins [35][36] Question: Update on Asia export markets and competition - Management acknowledged increased competition in Asia but expressed confidence in future growth, particularly in Argentina and Latin America [42] Question: Clarification on gross margin expectations - Management confirmed that the flat to down commentary on gross margin applies to the second half of the year, with expectations for moderation in seasonal trends [46] Question: Impact of reopening capacity in North America - Management stated that reopening additional capacity is necessary to meet customer expectations and does not expect a negative impact on profitability [57][58] Question: Execution improvements and accountability - Management highlighted the implementation of clear accountabilities and KPIs across the supply chain to enhance execution [68] Question: Concerns about future EBITDA guidance - Management emphasized the importance of prudence in guidance, citing ongoing competitive pressures and macroeconomic headwinds [73][75] Question: Price mix dynamics in North America - Management noted that price mix headwinds are expected to moderate slightly in the second half as they lap prior pricing actions [86] Question: Industry capacity for frozen spuds - Management reiterated that the market is expected to be rational over time, with some delays and postponements in capacity additions [100]

Core Insights - Lamb Weston reported $1.62 billion in revenue for the quarter ended November 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 1.1% and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.59 billion by 1.6% [1] - The company achieved an EPS of $0.69, up from $0.66 a year ago, with a surprise of 2.99% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.67 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - The stock of Lamb Weston has returned +6.7% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.5% change [3] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3] Pricing and Volume Analysis - Consolidated pricing/mix decreased by 8%, worse than the two-analyst average estimate of -5.7% [4] - North American pricing/mix also fell by 8%, compared to the -6.1% average estimate [4] - International volume increased by 7%, slightly below the 8% estimated by analysts [4] - North American volume rose by 8%, exceeding the 4% estimate [4] - Consolidated volume increased by 8%, surpassing the two-analyst average estimate of 5.3% [4] - International pricing/mix declined by 8%, compared to the -5.1% estimate [4] - Geographic sales in the international market reached $548.6 million, slightly above the three-analyst average estimate of $546.84 million, reflecting a year-over-year change of +3.7% [4] - North American geographic sales totaled $1.07 billion, exceeding the $1.05 billion estimate, but showed a -0.2% change compared to the year-ago quarter [4]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the second quarter, net sales increased by 1%, with a $24 million benefit from foreign currency translation, while on a constant currency basis, net sales were essentially flat compared to last year [14] - Volume rose by 8%, driven by customer wins and share gains, despite softer restaurant traffic [14] - Adjusted EBITDA declined by $9 million year-over-year to $286 million, while adjusted gross profit decreased by $16 million primarily due to unfavorable price mix [17][18] - Free Cash Flow was strong at $375 million, with capital expenditures down to $156 million in the first half, reflecting disciplined investment [22][23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America net sales were essentially flat year-over-year, with an 8% increase in volume supported by recent customer contract wins [15] - International segment net sales increased by 4%, but declined by 1% on a constant currency basis, with volume growth of 7% [15][16] - Adjusted EBITDA in North America increased by 7% to $288 million, while the international segment's adjusted EBITDA declined to $27 million due to pricing pressures and higher manufacturing costs [19][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In North America, QSR traffic was flat, with QSR chicken growing while QSR burger traffic declined by 3% [14] - Internationally, restaurant traffic in most markets declined, including a 3% drop in the U.K., the largest international market [14] - Asia, including China, led volume growth in the quarter, with multinational chain customers also contributing to growth [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is executing its "Focus to Win" strategy, focusing on strengthening customer partnerships and driving cost savings [4][6] - The company is reopening previously curtailed capacity in North America to meet customer demand and maintain high fill rates [4][9] - The company is building a culture of continuous improvement and reducing volatility through customer contracting and raw procurement strategies [5] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a dynamic macroeconomic and competitive environment, particularly in international markets, but expressed confidence in their plans to control controllables for long-term growth [5][6] - The company expects continued volume growth and strong sales momentum for the second half of the fiscal year, with North America volumes expected to grow at or above first-half rates [24] - Price mix is anticipated to remain unfavorable in the second half, but to a lesser extent than the first half [25] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $40 million of shares during the second quarter and announced a 3% increase in the quarterly dividend [6][23] - The company is actively working to rebalance supply and demand within its network, ensuring the right assets are in place to serve priority markets [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding rebalancing supply and demand in Europe - Management confirmed that they are curtailing a single line in Europe and are looking across the global supply chain to balance supply and demand [28][29] Question: Volume drivers in North America for the back half of the year - Management indicated that a significant component of volume growth is driven by a higher proportion of business with multinational chain customers and a shift from branded to private label [30][31] Question: Update on international markets, particularly Asia - Management acknowledged increased competition in Asia but expressed confidence in future growth, particularly in Latin America [32][33] Question: Gross margin expectations for the second half - Management clarified that gross margins are expected to be flat to down in the second half, primarily due to mixed shifts and pricing headwinds [34][35] Question: Capacity decisions in North America - Management explained that high utilization rates necessitated reopening additional capacity to meet customer expectations, with no expected negative impact on profitability [39][40] Question: Execution improvements and metrics - Management highlighted the implementation of clear accountabilities and KPIs across the supply chain to enhance execution and predictability [42][43] Question: Capital allocation and share repurchases - Management reiterated their commitment to disciplined capital allocation, including opportunistic share repurchases while investing in business capabilities [61]

分组1 - Lamb Weston reported quarterly earnings of $0.69 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.67 per share, and showing an increase from $0.66 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +2.99% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $1.62 billion for the quarter ended November 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.60%, and compared to year-ago revenues of $1.6 billion [2] - Over the last four quarters, Lamb Weston has consistently surpassed consensus EPS and revenue estimates [2] 分组2 - Despite the positive earnings report, Lamb Weston shares have declined approximately 11.2% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 15.2% [3] - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, with current consensus EPS estimates of $0.87 on $1.5 billion in revenues for the coming quarter and $3.11 on $6.53 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the Food - Miscellaneous sector is currently in the bottom 20% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may negatively impact Lamb Weston’s stock performance [8]