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Mayville Engineering (MEC) Surges 6.0%: Is This an Indication of Further Gains?
ZACKS· 2024-09-30 18:56
Group 1: Mayville Engineering (MEC) - Mayville Engineering shares increased by 6% to close at $21.46, supported by higher trading volume compared to normal sessions [1] - The stock has gained 4.3% over the past four weeks, driven by positive housing prospects and improvements in office rent in key markets [1] - The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarterly report is $0.19, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 9.5%, with expected revenues of $157.22 million, down 0.6% from the previous year [2] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that the stock's price may not continue to rise without earnings estimate revisions [3] Group 2: Fluor (FLR) - Fluor's consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming report is $0.78, representing a 23.5% decrease from the previous year's report [4] - Fluor also holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), similar to Mayville Engineering [4]
After Surging, Mayville Engineering Company Deserves More Upside
Seeking Alpha· 2024-08-19 14:28
Core Viewpoint - Mayville Engineering Company has shown significant financial improvement, leading to a strong buy rating due to its undervalued shares and positive growth trajectory [1][8]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2024 reached $324.9 million, a 15.4% increase from $281.6 million in the same period last year, driven by organic sales and an acquisition [2]. - Net income nearly doubled from $4.2 million to $7 million, with adjusted net profits growing from $7.6 million to $10.1 million [3]. - Operating cash flow improved from negative $5.9 million to positive $33.9 million, and EBITDA rose from $29.1 million to $38.2 million [3]. Quarterly Insights - In the second quarter of 2024, revenue increased by 17.7% year-over-year to $163.6 million, with net income growing from $1.6 million to $3.8 million [3]. - Adjusted operating cash flow soared from $0.2 million to $23.3 million, and EBITDA expanded from $15.3 million to $19.6 million [3]. Future Projections - Management anticipates full-year 2024 revenue between $620 million and $640 million, representing a 7.1% increase from 2023 [4]. - Expected EBITDA for 2024 is projected between $72 million and $76 million, with adjusted operating cash flow anticipated at $38.5 million [4]. Valuation Metrics - Mayville Engineering Company is valued attractively compared to peers, with a price to operating cash flow of 10.3 and an EV to EBITDA of 7.0, lower than five comparable firms [6]. - Future market capitalization could reach $642.7 million, suggesting an annualized return of 21.4% over the next two and a half years [7]. Management Outlook - Management forecasts annualized revenue of $750 million to $850 million for the 2026 fiscal year, with EBITDA expected between $105 million and $135 million [5].
mec(MEC) - 2024 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2024-08-07 19:09
2Q24 Results Presentation August 7, 2024 SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT 2 Safe Harbor Statement under the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: This presentation contains statements that are forward-looking in nature which express the beliefs and expectations of management including statements regarding the Company's expected results of operations or liquidity; statements concerning projections, predictions, expectations, estimates or forecasts as to our business, financial and operational results a ...
mec(MEC) - 2024 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-08-07 19:08
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total sales for Q2 2024 increased by 17.7% year-over-year to $163.6 million, driven by the MSA acquisition and strong organic sales growth, with organic net sales growth at 6.9% excluding the acquisition [17][18] - Adjusted EBITDA rose to $19.6 million from $15.3 million in the prior year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin increase of 100 basis points to 12% [20] - Free cash flow improved significantly to $19.2 million from a negative $3.7 million in the prior year, attributed to better working capital efficiency [21][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Commercial vehicle revenue increased by 10.8% year-over-year, despite a 0.3% decrease in North American Class 8 production [7][8] - Powersports market revenue surged by 26.3% year-over-year, benefiting from market share gains [9] - Agricultural market revenue increased by 8.9% year-over-year, reflecting contributions from the MSA acquisition [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The commercial vehicle market is projected to see a 9.4% year-over-year decrease in Class 8 vehicle production in 2024, with expected declines of 17% in Q3 and 23% in Q4 [7][8] - The construction and access market saw a 2.7% year-over-year revenue increase, supported by steady demand in non-residential and public infrastructure [8] - The agricultural market outlook is uncertain due to lower crop prices and elevated inventory levels, with expectations of a mid-teens decline in the overall ag market [10][29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on strategic execution and operational excellence through MBX lean initiatives, which have driven significant margin improvements [5][13] - Capital allocation strategy includes debt reduction, strategic M&A, and share repurchases, with a focus on lightweight materials and complementary acquisitions [15][16] - The company aims to achieve revenue between $750 million and $850 million by 2026, with adjusted EBITDA margins expanding to 14% - 16% [13][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a softening customer outlook for the second half of the year in key end markets but remains confident in delivering growth for 2024 [6][23] - The company reiterated its 2024 financial guidance for net sales growth of 5% - 9% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 9% - 15% [6][22] - Management expressed confidence in maintaining flat revenue in the commercial vehicle market despite anticipated production declines [27][28] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $1 million worth of common equity under its share repurchase program, with $24 million remaining [14] - The ongoing litigation related to sports equipment is in the discovery phase, with a potential trial expected in late 2024 or early 2025 [40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Free cash flow guidance increase - Management attributed the increase in free cash flow guidance to the success of MBX initiatives, improving working capital efficiency [24][25] Question: Commercial vehicle revenue expectations - Management expects to maintain flat revenue in the commercial vehicle market despite a significant decline in production, relying on new program launches and market share gains [27][28] Question: Agricultural market outlook - Management anticipates a decline in the agricultural market but expects to outperform the overall market due to share gains [29][30] Question: Military program exposure - The company is primarily involved in the JLTV and FMTV military programs [31] Question: M&A activity potential - Management is open to pursuing M&A opportunities, especially in adjacent markets, as leverage improves and interest rates decrease [42][43]
Mayville Engineering (MEC) Soars 5.3%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?
ZACKS· 2024-07-12 15:02
Mayville Engineering (MEC) shares rallied 5.3% in the last trading session to close at $17.35. This move can be attributable to notable volume with a higher number of shares being traded than in a typical session. This compares to the stock's 1.4% loss over the past four weeks. This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.17 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -15%. Revenues are expected to be $160.38 million, up 15.4% from the year-ago quarter. The sto ...
Are Investors Undervaluing Mayville Engineering (MEC) Right Now?
ZACKS· 2024-05-30 14:46
While the proven Zacks Rank places an emphasis on earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find strong stocks, we also know that investors tend to develop their own individual strategies. With this in mind, we are always looking at value, growth, and momentum trends to discover great companies. Of these, value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. Value investors use tried-and-true metrics and fundamental analysis to find companies that they bel ...
Should Value Investors Buy Mayville Engineering (MEC) Stock?
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-05-14 14:46
While the proven Zacks Rank places an emphasis on earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find strong stocks, we also know that investors tend to develop their own individual strategies. With this in mind, we are always looking at value, growth, and momentum trends to discover great companies. Of these, perhaps no stock market trend is more popular than value investing, which is a strategy that has proven to be successful in all sorts of market environments. Value investors use a variety of methods, in ...
mec(MEC) - 2024 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-05-10 15:33
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total sales for the first quarter increased by 13.1% year-over-year to $161.3 million, driven by the MSA acquisition and improved organic sales volumes, partially offset by softening demand in the agriculture market [58] - Adjusted EBITDA increased to $18.5 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.5%, up 180 basis points from the prior year [31][67] - Free cash flow improved to $7.9 million compared to a negative $8.5 million in the prior year period, primarily due to a $14.3 million increase in cash from net working capital [59] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Powersports market represented approximately 17% of trailing 12-month revenues, increasing by 25.7% year-over-year in the first quarter, benefiting from market share gains [28] - Commercial vehicle revenue decreased by 0.3% year-over-year, reflecting softening demand, while the agricultural market increased by 3.5% year-over-year, supported by market share growth and contributions from the MSA acquisition [90][56] - Construction and access revenues increased by 7.3% year-over-year, driven by steady demand in nonresidential and public infrastructure markets [64] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Class 8 vehicle production is forecasted to decrease by 10.4% year-over-year in 2024, with expectations of recovery in 2025 [4] - The agricultural market is expected to experience continued softness, but new project wins are anticipated to firm up potential weaknesses [56] - The commercial vehicle market is expected to be down over 10% for the year, yet the company managed to remain flat in Q1 [98] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Strategic M&A remains a key part of the company's growth strategy, focusing on expanding capabilities to meet the demand for lightweight materials fabrication [6] - The company aims to achieve a net leverage ratio of between 1.5 to 2 times by the end of 2024, prioritizing debt reduction while evaluating M&A opportunities [92][110] - The company expects to deliver between $750 million and $850 million in revenues by the end of 2026, with adjusted EBITDA margins expanding to between 14% and 16% [57] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding growth and margin improvement through 2024, despite broader market volatility [63] - The company anticipates a steady cadence of growth, supported by new project starts and ongoing demand in select end markets [63] - Management highlighted the importance of operational excellence initiatives and the MBX program in driving productivity and margin improvements [89] Other Important Information - The MSA acquisition contributed 9.8% to top-line growth year-over-year, with revenue synergies expected to ramp up in the second half of the year [91] - The company has conducted over 150 MBX kaizen events since launching the MBX program, focusing on sourcing optimization and labor utilization [29][94] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on MSA capacity utilization - Management indicated that MSA's utilization rate has decreased to around 70%, providing opportunities for cross-pollination and growth [39] Question: Capacity utilization outside of Hazel Park and MSA - Management confirmed strong demand and ongoing capacity expansion across all plants, with a focus on filling existing capacity [41] Question: M&A strategy and potential opportunities - Management remains focused on debt reduction but continues to engage with potential M&A targets, although the likelihood of closing a transaction in 2024 is small [110] Question: Examples of value-added steps in processes - Management emphasized ongoing efforts to increase complex fabrications and value-added services across all customer offerings [84] Question: Kaizen initiatives and capacity optimization - Management highlighted significant savings and capacity improvements achieved through Kaizen initiatives, with a focus on sustaining these gains [85]
mec(MEC) - 2024 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2024-05-09 16:50
SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT 1Q24 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE • Adjusted EPS of $0.22, an increase of 29.4% from $0.17 in Q1 2023 May 8, 2024 Safe Harbor Statement under the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: This presentation contains statements that are forward-looking in nature which express the beliefs and expectations of management including statements regarding the Company's expected results of operations or liquidity; statements concerning projections, predictions, expectations, estimates or f ...
mec(MEC) - 2024 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2024-05-08 16:30
Table of Contents UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, DC 20549 FORM 10-Q OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from to (Mark One) ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2024 135 S. 84th Street, Suite 300 Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53214 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) Commission File Number: 001-38 ...