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McCormick: Valuation Already Pricing In Normalized EPS Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2024-10-03 10:40
Core Viewpoint - McCormick & Co. (NYSE: MKC) is expected to benefit from the trend of increased food consumption at home as consumers reduce discretionary spending on dining out, leading to higher demand for its products [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - The investment thesis suggests that MKC is positioned well to capitalize on changing consumer behavior towards home dining [1] - The company is viewed as having long-term growth potential, particularly as it aligns with value investing principles [1] Group 2: Market Context - The current economic environment is prompting consumers to pull back on discretionary spending, which is likely to drive demand for food products that can be prepared at home [1]
McCormick(MKC) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2024-10-01 20:07
Financial Performance - Net sales for the three months ended August 31, 2024, were $1,679.8 million, a slight decrease from $1,684.7 million in the same period last year[5] - Gross profit increased to $649.9 million for the three months ended August 31, 2024, compared to $622.8 million in the prior year, reflecting a gross margin improvement[5] - Operating income rose to $286.5 million for the three months ended August 31, 2024, up from $245.0 million year-over-year, indicating a 16.3% increase[5] - Net income for the three months ended August 31, 2024, was $223.1 million, compared to $170.1 million in the same period last year, representing a 31.1% increase[7] - Earnings per share (EPS) for the three months ended August 31, 2024, were $0.83, up from $0.63 in the prior year, marking a 31.7% increase[5] - Total operating income excluding special charges for the nine months ended August 31, 2024, was $762.0 million, up from $712.9 million in the same period of 2023, representing a growth of 6.9%[81] - Operating income excluding special charges for the three months ended August 31, 2024, was $288.4 million, compared to $251.1 million for the same period in 2023, reflecting an increase of 14.8%[79] Cash Flow and Assets - Cash and cash equivalents increased to $200.8 million as of August 31, 2024, compared to $166.6 million at the end of the previous period[9] - Total assets grew to $13,204.9 million as of August 31, 2024, up from $12,862.3 million at the end of the previous period[9] - The company reported a net cash flow provided by operating activities of $463.2 million for the nine months ended August 31, 2024, down from $660.1 million in the prior year[12] Shareholder Returns - The company declared cash dividends of $0.42 per share for the three months ended August 31, 2024, compared to $0.39 in the same period last year[5] - The company paid dividends totaling $112.9 million during the three months ended August 31, 2024[14] - As of August 31, 2024, $472.5 million remained of the $600 million share repurchase program authorized in November 2019[73] Liabilities and Equity - Total liabilities decreased slightly to $7,753.9 million as of August 31, 2024, compared to $7,778.8 million at the end of the previous period[9] - Total shareholders' equity as of August 31, 2024, was $5,451.0 million, up from $5,354.2 million at the end of May 2024[14] Special Charges and Costs - Special charges recorded during the three months ended August 31, 2024, amounted to $1.9 million, primarily related to the Global Operating Effectiveness program[29] - Special charges for the three months ended August 31, 2024, totaled $1.9 million, compared to $6.1 million in the same period of 2023, indicating a significant reduction[81] - The GOE program incurred total costs of approximately $48 million as of November 30, 2023, with special charges of $4.6 million recognized during the nine months ended August 31, 2024[31] Operational Insights - The company expects higher net sales and cash flow in the second half of the fiscal year due to seasonal consumer purchasing patterns[21] - The company plans to continue investing in new product development and market expansion strategies to drive future growth[5] - The company has integrated manufacturing and warehousing across its segments to maximize cost efficiencies, although segments are managed separately[78] Pension and Other Benefits - For the nine months ended August 31, 2024, total contributions to pension plans were $5.2 million, compared to $7.4 million for the same period in 2023[59] - The expected return on plan assets for the nine months ended August 31, 2024, was $(29.7) million, compared to $(31.8) million for the same period in 2023[59] - The net aggregate amount of pension and other postretirement benefits income, excluding service cost components, was $(1.9) million for Q3 2024, compared to $(2.7) million for Q3 2023[60] Foreign Currency and Financial Instruments - As of August 31, 2024, the notional amount of outstanding foreign currency exchange contracts was $1,110.7 million, up from $1,000.4 million as of November 30, 2023[40] - The company recognized a gain of $2.4 million from cross currency contracts for the nine months ended August 31, 2024, compared to a loss of $17.6 million in the same period of 2023[48] Stock Options and Compensation - Stock-based compensation for the three months ended August 31, 2024, was $8.8 million[14] - The weighted-average grant-date fair value of stock options granted in 2024 was $17.63, down from $19.35 in 2023[62] - The number of stock options outstanding at the end of the period increased to 6.1 million in 2024 from 5.3 million in 2023[63]
McCormick: Expanding Profit Power And Dividend-Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2024-10-01 20:01
Group 1 - The recommendation to invest in McCormick & Company, Incorporated (NYSE: MKC) was made in October 2023, indicating a strategic entry point as the stock was at a low [1] - The investment call was reiterated in March 2024, suggesting continued confidence in the company's performance and potential for growth [1] Group 2 - The company is promoting a significant sale on its services, offering a 75% discount compared to the standard price of $1,668, which is time-sensitive and contingent on new member sign-ups [2] - A money-back guarantee is provided to ensure customer satisfaction, indicating a focus on customer retention and trust [2]
McCormick(MKC) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-10-01 16:56
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2024, sales were flat in constant currency, reflecting flat pricing and a 1% volume growth, impacted by the canning divestiture [5][19] - Adjusted earnings per share increased to $0.83 from $0.65 year-over-year, primarily due to increased operating profit and discrete tax benefits [24] - Adjusted operating income increased 15% compared to Q3 2023, with gross margin expansion and lower SG&A expenses contributing to this growth [22][27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Consumer segment, sales were comparable to the prior year, with a 1% volume growth offset by pricing investments [19] - Flavor Solutions segment saw constant currency sales comparable to the prior year, with a 3% increase in the Americas driven by volume growth [20] - The Americas Consumer segment experienced solid unit consumption growth in spices and seasonings, outperforming private label [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In EMEA, constant currency consumer sales increased by 3%, driven by a 4% volume growth [19] - Asia Pacific, excluding China, delivered strong volume-led sales growth, while China faced challenges leading to flat sales [7][20] - E-commerce drove double-digit consumption growth in the Americas and EMEA, significantly contributing to unit consumption growth [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on prioritized investments in key categories to strengthen volume trends and drive long-term sustainable growth [25][26] - The strategic roadmap emphasizes innovation and alignment with consumer trends, particularly in flavor exploration and healthy cooking [10][17] - The company plans to share more details on its growth plans at the upcoming Investor Day [16][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumers are resilient but value-seeking, leading to smaller shopping baskets and a focus on reducing waste [8] - The outlook for China remains challenging, with expectations of slight declines in consumer sales for the year [26][47] - Management expressed confidence in achieving the mid to high end of projected constant currency sales growth for 2024, despite uncertainties in the consumer environment [30][31] Other Important Information - The company returned $338 million to shareholders through dividends and invested $189 million in capital expenditures [25] - The adjusted effective tax rate for Q3 was 16.8%, benefiting from the resolution of an outstanding tax matter [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Volume lift from pricing actions and investments - Management confirmed that volume growth is on track and outperforming private label across core categories, with ongoing investments in brand marketing and innovation [32] Question: Prepared foods business stabilization - Management indicated that customer plans are performing as expected, with gradual improvement in volume trends across the industry [34] Question: Timing of customer activities impact on Q3 results - Management acknowledged a positive impact from customer activities in Q3, which is expected to normalize in Q4 [38] Question: 2025 outlook and EPS growth - Management refrained from providing specific guidance for 2025 but expressed confidence in the underlying fundamentals and growth plans [40][41] Question: Gross margin guidance and factors affecting it - Management explained that gross margin guidance remains unchanged due to normalization of product mix and supply chain investments impacting Q4 [43][44] Question: Challenges in the hot sauce market - Management noted ongoing pressure from competitors' trial sizes but expressed optimism about their own trial size offerings and innovation plans [57]
McCormick Q3 Earnings Top Estimates, MKC Volumes Improve Y/Y
ZACKS· 2024-10-01 16:01
Core Insights - McCormick & Company reported strong third-quarter fiscal 2024 results, with both top and bottom lines exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates and year-over-year earnings growth [1][4]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) reached 83 cents, up from 65 cents in the prior year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 68 cents, reflecting a 22.1% surprise [4]. - Total sales amounted to $1,679.8 million, remaining flat year over year, but exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,664 million [5]. - Gross profit margin expanded by 170 basis points, attributed to improved product mix and cost savings from the Comprehensive Continuous Improvement (CCI) program [6]. Segment Performance - In the Consumer segment, sales were flat at $937.4 million, with a 1% decline in pricing offset by a 1% increase in volume [7]. - Flavor Solutions segment sales decreased by 1% to $742.4 million, with a constant-currency basis showing flat sales year over year [8]. Strategic Initiatives - Management is focusing on growth levers such as brand marketing, product innovation, and cost-saving initiatives to enhance operating margins and fund future investments [3]. - The company anticipates that its strategic decisions, including divesting the canning business, will impact volume trends but is expected to improve overall profitability [12]. Future Outlook - For fiscal 2024, McCormick expects sales to range between a 1% decline and 1% growth, with adjusted operating income projected to grow by 4-6% [11][13]. - Management forecasts adjusted EPS for 2024 to be between $2.85 and $2.90, indicating a 5-7% increase from the previous year [13].
McCormick (MKC) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-10-01 14:31
Core Insights - McCormick reported revenue of $1.68 billion for the quarter ended August 2024, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 0.3% and an EPS of $0.83, up from $0.65 a year ago, exceeding both revenue and EPS estimates [1][2] Revenue Performance - Net Sales for Flavor Solutions were $742.40 million, slightly below the estimated $734.15 million, representing a year-over-year decline of 0.7% [3] - Net Sales for Consumer reached $937.40 million, matching the average estimate of $926.75 million, with no change year over year [3] Operating Income - Operating income for Flavor Solutions, excluding special charges, was $101.60 million, surpassing the estimated $90.23 million [3] - Operating income for Consumer, also excluding special charges, was $186.80 million, exceeding the average estimate of $173.42 million [3] Stock Performance - McCormick's shares have returned +2.8% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.2% change, with a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) indicating potential for near-term outperformance [4]
McCormick (MKC) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-10-01 12:45
Core Insights - McCormick (MKC) reported quarterly earnings of $0.83 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.68 per share, and showing an increase from $0.65 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of 22.06% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $1.68 billion for the quarter ended August 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.94%, with no year-over-year change in revenue [2] - McCormick has consistently surpassed consensus EPS estimates over the last four quarters, indicating strong performance [2] Earnings Outlook - The sustainability of McCormick's stock price movement will depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and future earnings expectations [3][4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.87 on revenues of $1.76 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.85 on revenues of $6.67 billion [7] Industry Context - The Food - Miscellaneous industry, to which McCormick belongs, is currently ranked in the top 41% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook for stocks within this sector [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5][6]
McCORMICK REPORTS THIRD QUARTER PERFORMANCE AND REAFFIRMS 2024 OUTLOOK
Prnewswire· 2024-10-01 10:30
Core Insights - McCormick & Company reported third-quarter financial results for 2024, showing stable sales and reaffirming its fiscal outlook for sales and operating profit growth [1][2][11] Financial Performance - Sales in Q3 2024 were $1.68 billion, comparable to the same period last year, with a volume growth of 1% offset by pricing [2][39] - Operating income increased to $287 million from $245 million year-over-year, with adjusted operating income rising to $288 million from $251 million [2][8] - Earnings per share (EPS) rose to $0.83 from $0.63 in the prior year, with adjusted EPS also at $0.83 compared to $0.65 [2][10] Segment Performance - The Consumer segment reported net sales of $937.4 million, showing a slight increase from $937.1 million in Q3 2023, driven by a 1% volume growth [15][16] - The Flavor Solutions segment experienced a 1% decline in sales to $742.4 million, primarily due to the divestiture of a canning business [17][19] - Operating income for the Consumer segment increased by 8% year-over-year, while the Flavor Solutions segment saw a significant 31% increase in operating income [17][20] Outlook for Fiscal Year 2024 - McCormick expects sales growth in the range of -1% to 1% for 2024, with operating income projected to grow by 9% to 11% from $963 million in 2023 [12][13] - The company anticipates adjusted EPS for 2024 to be between $2.85 and $2.90, reflecting a 5% to 7% increase from $2.70 in 2023 [14][31] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focused on strengthening its business through brand marketing, new product development, and cost-saving initiatives, which are expected to drive operating margin expansion [4][5] - McCormick plans to host an Investor Day on October 22, 2024, to share its strategic roadmap and long-term objectives [2][5]
How To Earn $500 A Month From McCormick Stock Ahead Of Q3 Earnings
Benzinga· 2024-09-30 12:33
McCormick & Company, Incorporated MKC will release earnings results for its third quarter, before the opening bell on Tuesday, Oct. 1. Analysts expect the Hunt Valley, Maryland-based company to report quarterly earnings at 67 cents per share, up from 65 cents per share in the year-ago period. McCormick is projected to post quarterly revenue of $1.67 billion, according to Benzinga Pro. With the recent buzz around McCormick, some investors may be eyeing potential gains from the company's dividends. As of now, ...
McCormick Q3 Earnings Preview: Why I Reiterate My Sell Rating
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-26 18:03
Group 1 - The article emphasizes a dividend-focused value investment strategy that prioritizes capital preservation and steady income growth [1] - The author shares insights from a diversified dividend stock portfolio, highlighting high-quality value stocks that provide meaningful growth and long-term safety [1] Group 2 - The author has a beneficial long position in the shares of RBGPF, indicating a personal investment interest in the company [2] - The article is presented as a personal opinion and does not constitute investment or tax advice, reflecting the author's status as a private investor [3]