Table of Contents UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (MARK ONE) x QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2025 o TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from to Commission File No. 001-36842 (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) | Delaware | 46-5723951 | | --- | --- | | (State or othe ...

Rio Grande LNG Project Overview - Phase 1 (Trains 1-3) of the Rio Grande LNG Facility is under construction after achieving FID on July 12, 2023[13] - The project secured $18.4 billion in project financing, marking the largest greenfield energy project financing in U S history[13] - Phase 1 is supported by fixed-fee long-term LNG Sales and Purchase Agreements (SPAs) covering over 90% of its nameplate production capacity[17] - NextDecade expects an economic interest of up to 20 8% from Phase 1 operations[17] - Trains 1 and 2 are 8 1% complete as of September 2023, with engineering at 35 7%, procurement at 14 1%, and construction at 0 2%[21] Expansion Plans and Commercial Momentum - NextDecade is focused on expanding the LNG platform with Trains 4 and 5, leveraging Phase 1 agreements and commercial momentum[22] - Equity partner options are in place to potentially fund 60% of the equity financing required for each of Train 4 and Train 5[23] - TotalEnergies holds LNG SPA options for approximately 32% of the minimum expected contracted volume for each of Train 4 and Train 5[23] - The company is targeting a positive FID on Train 4 in the second half of 2024[24] Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) Initiatives - NextDecade is committed to developing more sustainable LNG with lower emissions through project design, responsibly sourced gas, a pledge to use net-zero power, and planned carbon capture and storage[12] - The company plans to capture up to 5 million metric tonnes per annum (mta) of CO2 at the Rio Grande LNG Facility, aiming to produce the lowest carbon-intensive LNG in North America[109]

Rio Grande LNG Project Overview - Phase 1 (Trains 1-3) is fully funded and under construction, with a final investment decision (FID) achieved on July 12, 2023, for 17.6 MTPA of liquefaction capacity[12, 13] - Phase 1 secured $18.4 billion in project financing concurrently with FID[13] - Total equity commitments for Phase 1 amount to $6.1 billion, with NextDecade's equity commitment at approximately $283 million[17] - Project debt financing for Phase 1 totals $12.3 billion, including $11.1 billion in construction term loan facilities[17] - Over 90% of Phase 1 liquefaction capacity is supported by fixed-fee long-term LNG Sales and Purchase Agreements (SPAs)[17] Expansion Plans and Financing - NextDecade expects to fund 40% of equity financing required for each of Train 4 and Train 5, for an expected initial economic interest of 40%, increasing to 60% when equity partners receive certain returns[23] - TotalEnergies holds LNG purchase options for 1.5 MTPA in each of Trains 4 and 5 for 20-year free on board (FOB) LNG SPAs indexed to Henry Hub[24] - Approximately 3 MTPA of additional contracted volumes from Train 4 are expected to be needed to support project financing[26] Financial Transactions and Liquidity - NextDecade LNG, LLC entered into a $50 million senior secured revolving credit facility in January 2024 for general corporate purposes, including Train 4 development costs[27] - Rio Grande LNG, LLC (Rio Grande) entered into $251 million of senior secured loans in December 2023, reducing commitments under existing bank credit facilities for Phase 1[27] - Rio Grande issued $190 million of senior secured notes in a private placement transaction in February 2024, further reducing Phase 1 bank credit facility commitments[27] LNG Market and Demand - Estimated demand growth scenario calls for approximately 370 MTPA of incremental LNG supply by 2040[34] - Existing global regas infrastructure can accommodate a significant increase in LNG supply, with an additional ~370 MTPA of LNG supply expected to be needed by 2040[44] Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) - Planned CCS project at Rio Grande LNG Facility expects to capture up to 5 million mta of CO2[109] - Approximately 650 U.S facilities reporting ≥1MM MTA of CO2 emissions, totaling ~1.75 billion MTA total CO2 emissions[99]

Rio Grande LNG Facility Phase 1 Construction and Financing - Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 achieved FID in July 2023 for Trains 1-3 with 17.6 MTPA liquefaction capacity[13, 49] - Project financing of $18.4 billion fully funds Phase 1 construction[49] - Phase 1 is supported by fixed-fee long-term LNG SPAs covering over 90% of liquefaction capacity[55] - NextDecade's expected economic interest in Phase 1 is up to 20.8%[55] - Trains 1 and 2 overall project completion is 18.2%, with engineering at 54.9%, procurement at 34.4%, and construction at 1.9%[16] - Train 3 overall project completion is 6.9%, with engineering at 5.2%, procurement at 16.7%, and construction at 0.0%[16] Train 4 Development and Expansion - Targeting positive FID on Train 4 in 2H 2024[20] - TotalEnergies holds an LNG purchase option for 1.5 MTPA from Train 4[22] - Approximately 3 MTPA of additional contracted volumes from Train 4 are expected to be needed to reach FID[22] - Phase 1 equity partners hold options to fund a cumulative 60% of the equity of Train 4[22] LNG Market and Demand - Estimated demand growth scenario calls for ~375 MTPA of incremental LNG supply by 2040[30] - Existing global regas infrastructure can accommodate a significant increase in LNG supply, with an additional ~375 MTPA of LNG supply expected to be needed by 2040[41] Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) - Planned CCS project at Rio Grande LNG Facility expects to capture up to 5 million MTPA of CO2[119]

Rio Grande LNG Facility & Construction Progress - Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 (Trains 1-3) achieved FID in July 2023 and is under construction, progressing on schedule and on budget[30, 63, 67] - As of June 2024, Trains 1 and 2 are 24.1% complete (Engineering 66.4%, Procurement 45.4%, Construction 3.5%), and Train 3 is 7.8% complete (Engineering 8.4%, Procurement 18.4%, Construction 0.1%)[33] - Rio Grande LNG, LLC refinanced over $1.85 billion of the original $11.1 billion term loan facilities since FID of Phase 1 in July 2023[36] Train 4 Development & Commercial Agreements - EPC contract for Train 4 was finalized in August 2024, with a price of approximately $4.3 billion and validity through December 31, 2024[39] - A 20-year SPA with ADNOC for 1.9 MTPA of LNG has been secured for Train 4, and a Heads of Agreement with Aramco for 1.2 MTPA is in progress[23, 40] - TotalEnergies holds an LNG purchase option for 1.5 MTPA from Train 4, which NextDecade expects to be exercised, potentially providing sufficient commercial support for FID[23, 40] LNG Market Fundamentals & Demand - Estimated global LNG demand is projected to grow by approximately 350 MTPA by 2040[45] - Existing operational regas capacity is expected to accommodate up to approximately 1,150 MTPA of LNG by 2040, with over 325 MTPA in development[53] - Phase 1 is supported by fixed-fee long-term LNG Sale and Purchase Agreements (SPAs) with high caliber offtakers, SPA volumes total over 90% of Phase 1 liquefaction capacity[71, 100] Sustainability & Carbon Capture - The Rio Grande LNG Facility is designed to produce less-carbon-intensive LNG through project design, responsibly sourced gas, a pledge to use net-zero electricity, and a proposed CCS project[27, 61] - Next Carbon Solutions is developing end-to-end carbon capture and storage (CCS) solutions, including a proposed project at the Rio Grande LNG Facility with a target of capturing up to 5 million metric tonnes per annum of CO2[13, 122, 130]

Rio Grande LNG Facility Development - NextDecade is developing a 5-Train, 27 MTPA liquefaction facility in Brownsville, TX, with Trains 1-3 under construction and first LNG expected in 2027[16] - Phase 1 (Trains 1-3) is under construction with a combined nameplate capacity of 17.6 MTPA, and FID was achieved in July 2023[83, 86, 96] - The EPC contract for Train 4 was finalized in August 2024, with a price of approximately $4.3 billion and validity through December 31, 2024[52] - A 20-year SPA with ADNOC for 1.9 MTPA of LNG and a Heads of Agreement with Aramco for 1.2 MTPA of LNG support Train 4's commercial progress[28, 54] Financial and Commercial Aspects - Phase 1 has total estimated capital project costs of $18 billion, fully funded through a combination of equity and debt financing[116, 118] - Over 90% of Phase 1 nameplate capacity is contracted with creditworthy customers, providing approximately $1.8 billion in expected annual fixed fees[113] - Equity partners have options to provide 60% of equity financing for each of Train 4 and 5[28] - NextDecade expects an economic interest of up to 20.8% in Phase 1[118] Market and Sustainability - Global LNG demand is expected to grow, requiring over 350 MTPA of incremental LNG supply by 2040[59] - NextDecade is committed to sustainability and social responsibility, aiming to deliver reliable and sustainable energy solutions through liquefaction and CCS infrastructure[33] - Next Carbon Solutions aims to reduce GHG emissions through the development of end-to-end CCS solutions[33]

Project Overview - Rio Grande LNG Facility has a potential liquefaction capacity of approximately 48 MTPA, with Phase 1 (Trains 1-3) under construction and Trains 4-5 in commercialization[12] - First LNG is expected in 2027[13] - NextDecade is developing a potential CCS project at the Rio Grande Facility[14] Financial Highlights - Phase 1 has an estimated capital project cost of $18 billion, fully funded through $6.1 billion in equity commitments and $12.3 billion in debt financing[111] - Over 90% of Phase 1 nameplate capacity is contracted with diverse customers, with Henry Hub-linked SPAs providing approximately $1.8 billion in expected annual fixed fees[105] - NextDecade expects an economic interest of up to 20.8% in Phase 1[111] - Projected distributable cash flow from Trains 1-3 is estimated between $0.2 billion and $0.3 billion per year over 20 years, and Trains 4-5 is estimated between $0.7 billion and $1.0 billion per year[123] Expansion and Growth - Equity partners have options to provide 60% of equity financing for each of Train 4 and 5[27] - A 20-year SPA with ADNOC for 1.9 MTPA of LNG and a Heads of Agreement with Aramco for 1.2 MTPA for 20 years have been executed for Train 4[27] - TotalEnergies holds an LNG purchase option for 1.5 MTPA from Train 4 for a 20-year SPA[27] - Expansion plans include developing Trains 6-8 with a total potential liquefaction capacity of approximately 18 MTPA[35] Construction Progress - Trains 1 and 2 are 38.1% complete, while Train 3 is 15.3% complete[35] - A $175 million senior secured loan was entered into for working capital and development expenses for expansion trains[35]

Rio Grande LNG Facility Development - Rio Grande LNG Facility has approximately 48 MTPA of potential liquefaction capacity under construction or in development[15] - Phase 1 (Trains 1-3) is under construction with first LNG expected in 2027[15, 16] - Train 4 commercialization is complete, supported by 4.6 MTPA of LNG SPAs with ADNOC, Aramco, and TotalEnergies[30, 37] - Equity partners have options to provide 60% of equity financing for each of Train 4 and 5[30] - Trains 1 and 2 are 42.8% complete, and Train 3 is 17.8% complete[38, 48] Commercial Agreements and Financial Structure - Over 90% of Phase 1 nameplate capacity is contracted with creditworthy customers, with Henry Hub-linked SPAs providing approximately $1.8 billion in expected annual fixed fees[114] - Total estimated capital project costs for Phase 1 are $18 billion, fully funded by project financing[120] - NextDecade expects an economic interest of up to 20.8% in Phase 1[120] Market and Sustainability - Global gas demand increased approximately 2.5% in 2024 despite limited new LNG supplies[75] - Global gas demand is expected to outpace LNG supply growth of approximately 170 MTPA to 2030 in a conservative growth case[79] - NextDecade is developing a potential CCS project at the Rio Grande LNG Facility, focused on post-combustion carbon capture[34, 139]

Group 1 - The article suggests that NextDecade (NASDAQ: NEXT) is considered a significant investment opportunity linked to former President Trump, potentially more so than other Trump-related stock trades previously discussed [1] - The author references a previous article titled "Rethinking Stock Market Trump Trades," indicating a shift in focus towards NextDecade as a prime candidate for investment [1] Group 2 - There is no disclosure of any current stock or derivative positions in NextDecade by the author, but there is an indication of a potential future long position [2] - The article emphasizes that the opinions expressed are solely those of the author and not influenced by any business relationships with the companies mentioned [2] - Seeking Alpha clarifies that past performance does not guarantee future results and that the views expressed may not represent the platform as a whole [3]

Group 1 - NextDecade Corporation has finalized contracts with Bechtel Energy for the construction of Train 4 and Train 5 at its Rio Grande LNG project, with a combined value of approximately $9 billion [1][9] - The EPC contract for Train 4 is valued at about $4.77 billion, while Train 5's contract is approximately $4.32 billion, both including a pricing-validity clause through September 15, 2025 [2][9] - NextDecade intends to reach a final investment decision (FID) on Train 4 before the pricing-validity period expires, which is contingent on securing sufficient supply agreements [3][9] Group 2 - NextDecade is making progress in securing supply deals for Train 5, including a 20-year LNG supply agreement with JERA for approximately 2 million tons per annum [4] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating a less favorable outlook compared to other energy sector stocks [5]