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Netflix shares surge as Q4 subscriber gains exceed expectations
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-01-21 21:31
Group 1 - Proactive provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The company focuses on medium and small-cap markets while also covering blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive's news team delivers insights across various sectors including biotech, pharma, mining, natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging technologies [3] Group 2 - Proactive is committed to adopting technology to enhance workflows and improve content production [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring all content is edited and authored by humans [5]
Netflix had its biggest quarter ever of new subscribers
Business Insider· 2025-01-21 21:15
Core Insights - The number of new Netflix subscribers increased significantly in the fourth quarter, adding 19 million new paid users, marking the largest quarterly net additions in the company's history [1][3] - Quarterly revenue reached $10.2 billion, reflecting a 16% increase compared to the previous year, surpassing analysts' expectations of $10.11 billion [1][2] Subscriber Growth - Netflix's subscriber growth was driven by efforts to crack down on password sharing, which led to an influx of new subscribers [2] - The company gained 13 million paying viewers in the same quarter of the previous year, indicating a substantial year-over-year growth [1] Market Reaction - Following the announcement, Netflix shares rose as much as 11% in after-hours trading, reflecting positive investor sentiment [2] Future Reporting Changes - Netflix will cease reporting quarterly subscriber numbers starting in 2025, which may impact how the market evaluates its growth moving forward [2][3] Content Performance - The release of season two of "Squid Game" contributed to the subscriber growth, breaking the record for premiere week viewership [2]
Netflix Smashes Estimates, Adding Nearly 19M Subscribers In Q4 To Hit 301.6M Worldwide
Deadline· 2025-01-21 21:08
Group 1: Subscriber Growth and Financial Performance - Netflix added nearly 19 million subscribers in Q4 2024, reaching a total of 301.6 million globally, significantly exceeding Wall Street's expectation of 9.8 million [1] - The company reported revenue of $10.247 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $4.27, surpassing the expected revenue of $10.1 billion and EPS of $4.21 [2] - The quarter featured high-impact programming, including the second season of Squid Game and the Jake Paul-Mike Tyson boxing event, contributing to a company record for subscriber growth [3][4] Group 2: Strategic Shift and Market Position - Netflix plans to shift its focus from reporting subscriber numbers to emphasizing revenue, operating margin, and audience engagement metrics [2] - The company maintains that it accounts for no more than 10% of total TV time in its operating markets, indicating potential for future growth despite some plateauing in certain territories [4] - Netflix's subscriber count does not include "extra member" accounts from paid password sharing, suggesting a total audience of 700 million globally [5] Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Future Outlook - The company acknowledges intense competition from traditional entertainment and big tech, while highlighting its focus on product/market fit without the distractions of declining linear networks [5] - Netflix's stock has surged nearly 80% over the past year, although there are concerns regarding its valuation relative to fundamentals [7] - The results mark the beginning of a series of earnings reports from major tech and media companies, with a spotlight on competitors like Disney and Warner Bros. Discovery [6]
YouTube Vs. Netflix: Streamers Top Usage Leaderboard In December, Sector Makes More Gains On Broadcast And Cable
Benzinga· 2025-01-21 16:33
Core Insights - The streaming sector continues to show strong performance, with Netflix tying its best market share and YouTube achieving a record share in December [1][4]. Streaming Market Performance - In December, streaming captured a market share of 43.3%, a 9% increase from November and significantly up from 35.9% year-over-year [2]. - Broadcast television held a market share of 22.4%, while cable television had 23.8%, and other options accounted for 10.6% [2]. - Overall television and streaming viewership increased by 4% from November, with notable viewing spikes during Thanksgiving and Christmas [3]. Company-Specific Performance - YouTube led the streaming market with an 11.1% share, while Netflix achieved an 8.5% share, tying its record from July 2023 [4]. - Netflix's market share increased by 14% from November, driven by NFL games on Christmas and the release of "Squid Game" Season 2 [4]. - Prime Video reached a market share of 4.0%, its best performance to date, supported by NFL games and the Christmas movie "Red One" [5]. Competitive Landscape - The Walt Disney Company, through Hulu and Disney+, holds a combined market share of 4.6% [6]. - Other streaming platforms include Hulu at 2.5%, Disney+ at 2.1%, and The Roku Channel at 2.0% [8]. Sports Viewership Impact - Broadcast and cable sports viewership increased by 17% and 29% respectively in December, highlighting the importance of sports content in retaining market share against streaming [9]. Financial Expectations for Netflix - Analysts predict Netflix will report earnings per share of $4.19 for the fourth quarter, up from $2.11 in the same period last year [11]. - Expected fourth-quarter revenue for Netflix is $10.11 billion, an increase from $8.83 billion year-over-year [12].
Netflix Earnings Are Imminent; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call
Benzinga· 2025-01-21 14:33
Earnings Report - Netflix is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings results on January 21, 2025, after the market closes [1] - Analysts anticipate earnings of $4.20 per share, a significant increase from $2.11 per share in the same quarter last year [1] - Projected revenue for the quarter is $10.11 billion, up from $8.83 billion a year earlier [1] Strategic Partnerships - IMAX Corp has partnered with Netflix to exclusively debut Greta Gerwig's upcoming film "Narnia" in IMAX theaters for a two-week run starting Thanksgiving 2026 [2] - Following the announcement, Netflix shares rose by 1.9%, closing at $858.10 [2] Analyst Ratings - Loop Capital analyst Alan Gould maintained a Hold rating and reduced the price target from $950 to $925 [4] - Seaport Global analyst David Joyce upgraded the stock from Neutral to Buy with a price target of $955 [4] - Rosenblatt analyst Barton Crockett kept a Neutral rating with a price target of $680 [4] - Oppenheimer analyst Jason Helfstein maintained an Outperform rating but lowered the price target from $1,065 to $1,040 [4] - BMO Capital analyst Brian Pitz maintained an Outperform rating and increased the price target from $825 to $1,000 [4]
Netflix: Q4 Should Set The Stage For A Much Better-Than-Expected 2025
Seeking Alpha· 2025-01-21 04:10
Core Viewpoint - The investment strategy focuses on identifying companies with strong qualitative attributes, purchasing them at attractive prices based on fundamentals, and holding them long-term [1]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The approach involves managing a concentrated portfolio aimed at avoiding underperforming stocks while maximizing exposure to high-potential winners [1]. - Companies may be rated as 'Hold' if their growth opportunities do not meet the analyst's threshold or if their downside risks are deemed too high [1]. Group 2: Analyst Background - The analyst holds an MBA and an L.L.B in law, currently working as a financial analyst at a large pension fund [1].
Should You Buy Netflix ETFs Ahead of Q4 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-01-20 17:01
Core Viewpoint - Netflix is expected to report strong earnings growth and revenue growth in its upcoming fourth-quarter results, with a significant increase in subscriber additions anticipated due to a robust content lineup [5][7]. Financial Performance - Netflix shares have increased by 11% over the past three months, outperforming the broader industry's growth of 5.5% during the same period [2]. - The company is projected to achieve earnings growth of 98.6% and revenue growth of 14.5% for the fourth quarter [5]. - For the full year, revenues are expected to grow at the higher end of the previous guidance of 14-15% year-over-year [9]. Earnings Expectations - Netflix has an Earnings ESP of +0.19% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a reasonable chance of beating earnings expectations [4]. - The company has a history of delivering an average earnings surprise of 5.73% over the past four quarters [5]. Analyst Recommendations - Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on Netflix, with an average brokerage recommendation of 1.91 from 41 firms, including 23 Strong Buy ratings [6]. - The average price target for Netflix is $889.81, with estimates ranging from $650.00 to $1,100.00 [6]. Subscriber Growth - Netflix anticipates higher subscriber additions in the fourth quarter compared to the previous year, with expectations for subscriber growth to double from the third quarter [7]. Valuation Metrics - Netflix shares are currently valued with a P/E ratio of 36.70, significantly higher than the industry average of 10.86, but the company has a strong Growth Score of A, justifying its high valuation [10]. ETFs in Focus - Several ETFs with significant allocations to Netflix include MicroSectors FANG+ ETN (10% allocation), Invesco Next Gen Media and Gaming ETF (7.7%), and First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund (7.6%) [3][11][15]. - The MicroSectors FANG+ ETN has an asset base of $427.9 million, while the First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund has $6.7 billion in assets [12][16].
Netflix's Expected Q4 Subscriber Bonanza Should Get Earnings Season Off To A Fast Start
Deadline· 2025-01-20 16:00
Group 1: Netflix Earnings Report - The core question for Netflix's earnings report is not whether subscriber numbers will rise, but how high they can go, with expectations for a significant increase in Q4 driven by high-profile events and series premieres [1][4] - Wall Street analysts predict Netflix will add 8.2 million subscribers in Q4, reaching a total of 290.9 million, with some estimates revised upward to over 11.1 million net adds [4][5] - The company plans to shift its focus from reporting subscriber numbers to revenue, operating margin, and audience engagement metrics [4][5] Group 2: Advertising and Revenue Growth - Analysts believe Netflix's advertising business, established two years ago, will become a primary revenue driver by 2026, with a strong lead in the streaming market [6] - Questions during Netflix's earnings call will likely focus on price hikes, advertising growth, and strategies for live sports, including recent acquisitions of sports broadcasting rights [6] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Disney is adopting a similar streaming strategy, pushing customers towards cheaper, ad-supported options while also addressing password sharing [7] - Disney faces challenges from recent natural disasters impacting its operations, but analysts do not expect significant effects on attendance at Disneyland [8][9] - The failed joint streaming venture Venu Sports, involving Disney, Fox, and Warner Bros. Discovery, has incurred costs exceeding $50 million, adding financial strain to the companies involved [10][11]
Netflix Q4 Earnings Coming Up: Time to Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-01-20 15:05
Earnings and Revenue Projections - Netflix forecasts Q4 2024 revenues to increase 15% year over year, reaching $10.12 billion, in line with consensus estimates [1] - The company anticipates earnings of $4.23 per share, slightly above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.19 per share, which has declined by 0.5% over the past 30 days [2] - Netflix's Q4 results are expected to benefit from its diversified content portfolio, including localized and foreign-language productions [3] Earnings Estimate Trends - Current Q4 2024 earnings estimate is $4.19 per share, down from $4.21 per share 30 days ago [4] - Next quarter (Q1 2025) earnings estimate is $5.96 per share, down from $6.07 per share 30 days ago [4] - Full-year 2024 earnings estimate is $19.76 per share, unchanged over the past 90 days [4] Earnings Surprise History - Netflix delivered a 6.09% earnings surprise in the last reported quarter [6] - The company has beaten earnings estimates in three of the trailing four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 5.73% in the missed quarter [6] Content and Subscriber Growth - Netflix expects higher sequential paid net additions in Q4 due to seasonality and strong content slate [8] - Key Q4 releases include Squid Game S2, Outer Banks S4, Love is Blind S7, and new dramas like Black Doves [9] - Latin American premieres include 100 Years of Solitude and Senna, two of the region's biggest shows [9] - Unscripted offerings include Aaron Rodgers: Enigma and Rhythm + Flow S2 [10] - Film releases include Carry-On, The Six Triple Eight, and Spellbound [10] Operational Performance - Netflix projects Q4 operating margin of 22%, a 5 percentage point improvement year over year [10] - The company's gaming portfolio, including Grand Theft Auto: The Trilogy, is enhancing user engagement and attracting new subscribers [11] Regional Revenue Estimates - Asia-Pacific Q4 revenues estimated at $1.15 billion, up 20.4% year over year [13] - Latin America Q4 revenues estimated at $1.23 billion, up 7% quarter over quarter [13] - EMEA Q4 revenues estimated at $3.21 billion, up 15.5% year over year [14] - US and Canada Q4 revenues estimated at $4.49 billion, up 14.2% year over year [14] Market Performance and Valuation - Netflix shares have surged 76.8% in the past year, outperforming the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector (13.4%) and peers like Apple (21.9%), Amazon (47.2%), and Disney (16.1%) [15] - The company is trading at 36.31X forward 12-month earnings, above its five-year median of 33.82X and the industry average of 26.32X [18] Competitive Landscape - Netflix faces intense competition from Disney+, HBO Max, Peacock, Paramount+, Apple TV+, and Amazon Prime Video [12] - The company also competes with traditional linear TV, YouTube, TikTok, and the gaming industry for consumer attention [12]
AMC Networks: Better Than Expected EPS, And Connections With Netflix
Seeking Alpha· 2025-01-20 13:03
Group 1 - AMC Networks Inc. reported a 31.0% increase in content licensing and other revenues due to a new content licensing agreement with Netflix [1] - The company may benefit from a decrease in taxes in the United States [1] Group 2 - The article reflects the author's personal opinions and does not provide financial advice [2][3]