This account is managed by Noah's Arc Capital Management. Our goal is provide Wall Street level insights to main street investors. Our research focus is mainly on 20th century stocks (old economy) undergoing a 21st century transformation, but occasionally we'll write on companies that help transform 20th century firms as well. We look for innovations in a business model that will cause a stock to change dramatically. Associated with SA contributor Elijah Buell.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, optio ...

There’s no hiding the fact that the S&P 500 index has been on a wild ride for the past couple of weeks. Volatility has popped with President Trump's rollout of new trade tariffs on most countries doing business with the United States. Since the stock market reflects future GDP expectations, and tariffs certainly create difficulty in forecasting future GDP, it makes sense to expect further volatility in the coming months and quarters. That being said, there are still fundamental arguments to be made for safe ...

Netflix (NFLX) is slated to report first-quarter 2025 results on Thursday. For the first quarter of 2025, Netflix forecasts revenues to increase 11%, which equates to 14% growth on an F/X neutral basis, which is modestly below the full-year guidance due to the timing of price changes and the seasonality of the ads business.The company anticipates total revenues to be $10.416 billion, suggesting growth of 11.2% year over year. The consensus mark for revenues is pinned at $10.54 billion, above the company’s e ...

Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX) will announce its first-quarter results after the close on Thursday, April 17. Ahead of the event, analysts anticipate earnings of $7.73 per share, which is an 8.6% premium to the same quarter last year. It's worth noting that this would be the company's slowest growth rate in seven quarters, however. At last look today, NFLX was up 0.7% at $925.27, though pressure at the 80-day moving average still lingers above. Year to date, the equity is still up 3.7% despite the tariff-fueled ...

April 8, 2025 04:13 AM GMT Netflix Inc | North America Adolescence & Beyond – Reiterate OW | What's Changed | | | | --- | --- | --- | | Netflix Inc (NFLX.O) | From | To | | Top Pick | DIS.N | NFLX.O | A more defensive lens to our M&E coverage leaves us incrementally bullish on Netflix, our new Top Pick. We expect Netflix to demonstrate relative resilience in a weaker global macro. Momentum in its core subscription business combined with recent USD weakness should de-risk '25 estimates - even in a softer ad ...

Group 1: Economic Impact of Tariffs - President Trump's decision to impose sweeping tariffs has led to one of the worst quarters for the U.S. stock market in years, raising concerns about the overall economic impact [1] - The retaliatory actions from other countries in response to these tariffs are expected to further affect the economy [1] Group 2: Netflix - Netflix's business model is somewhat insulated from tariffs as it generates most of its revenue from subscriptions rather than physical products [3] - The company may still face challenges if an economic slowdown leads to reduced advertising budgets, impacting its ad-supported subscription tier [4] - Despite potential subscriber losses during a recession, Netflix is well-positioned for long-term growth due to its strong revenue, earnings, and free cash flow [5] - Netflix has an addressable market of $650 billion, of which it has captured only 6%, indicating significant growth potential [6] - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing shift from linear TV to streaming, making it a strong buy-and-hold option [7] Group 3: Visa - Visa operates as a leading provider of financial services, facilitating digital transactions without issuing credit cards or providing loans, which reduces its exposure to borrower defaults during recessions [8][9] - The potential for higher inflation due to tariffs could benefit Visa, as its fees are a small percentage of transactions, leading to increased revenues with higher spending [10] - Visa's long-term prospects are strong due to the shift away from cash and checks, supported by a network effect that enhances its attractiveness to both consumers and businesses [11] - The company has increased its dividend payouts by approximately 392% over the past decade, indicating a reliable income stream for investors [12]

Group 1: Netflix - Netflix shares significantly outperformed the S&P 500 year to date, driven by a focus on affordable digital entertainment [2] - The upcoming content slate, including returning hits like Squid Game and Stranger Things, is expected to attract millions of viewers and drive subscriber growth [3] - Paid memberships grew 15.9% year over year in Q4, surpassing 300 million for the first time, aided by live events and a cheaper ad-supported subscription tier [4] - Analysts project Netflix's earnings to grow at an annualized rate of 24% in the coming years, indicating strong long-term potential despite potential short-term stock fluctuations [5] Group 2: Take-Two Interactive - Take-Two Interactive operates in the $400 billion video game industry and has a strong release slate for 2025, which is expected to lead to record revenue [6] - The company generates over $5 billion in annual revenue from its catalog of titles, with Grand Theft Auto VI being the most anticipated release [7] - Analysts project Take-Two to achieve $8.2 billion in adjusted revenue for fiscal 2026, representing a 46% increase over expected fiscal 2025 revenue [8] - The monetization strategy for Grand Theft Auto VI through content updates is expected to sustain revenue growth, with earnings per share projected to reach $9.24 in fiscal 2027 [10]

Group 1: Upcoming Earnings Reports - Major banks such as Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Bank of America are set to report earnings next week, with Goldman Sachs expected to perform well due to management confidence and downsizing efforts [1][2] - Citigroup's stock is anticipated to gain regardless of quarterly performance, while Bank of America is expected to post decent earnings based on recent trends [3] - Johnson & Johnson's earnings report will be closely watched for updates on ongoing litigation and potential news about new drugs, which could positively impact its stock [4] Group 2: Other Notable Earnings - Abbott Laboratories is expected to show strength in its franchises but may also address ongoing lawsuits affecting its stock [5] - Taiwan Semiconductor, UnitedHealth, and American Express will report earnings on Thursday, with UnitedHealth being labeled a "universal buy" and American Express expected to have a strong quarter despite potential post-report trading issues [7] - Netflix's earnings call is anticipated to highlight its ad-tier subscription model, although external factors such as political drama may overshadow its news [8] Group 3: Economic Indicators - Retail sales data will be released on Wednesday, with expectations of strong numbers based on positive signals from major retailers like Walmart, Amazon, and Costco [6]

Netflix (NFLX) continues to demonstrate why it remains the undisputed king of streaming, with an impressive 47.9% rise in its stock price over the past year, significantly outperforming tech giants like Apple (AAPL) , Amazon (AMZN) and Disney (DIS) , as well as the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector.The company's relentless focus on diverse, high-quality content has positioned it as not just a survivor but a dominant force in the increasingly competitive streaming landscape.Original & Diversified C ...

This market correction is an opportunity to accumulate quality stocks. Sure, the markets may crash further from here, but timing the markets is seldom a fruitful exercise. Enter Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX ), an almost tariff-proof business thatI am a stock analyst with 20+ years of experience in quantitative research, financial modeling, and risk management. I specialize in equity valuation, market trends, and portfolio optimization to identify high-growth investment opportunities. As a former Vice President at ...