Netflix(NFLX)
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Netflix Stock Hasn't Impressed Investors Lately. Its Deal for Warner Bros. Isn’t Helping.
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-21 16:24
Core Insights - Investors are increasingly critical of Netflix's performance, leading to a nearly 5% drop in stock price following earnings that only slightly exceeded analyst expectations [2][4] - Netflix's stock has declined nearly 40% from last summer's highs, primarily due to uncertainties surrounding its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery [3][4] Financial Performance - Netflix reported fourth-quarter revenue of $12.05 billion, surpassing the analyst consensus of $11.97 billion, and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.56, slightly above estimates [6] - For the current quarter, Netflix expects EPS of $0.76 on revenue of $12.16 billion, which is below the analyst expectations of EPS of $0.82 on revenue of $12.19 billion [5] Strategic Moves - The company plans to pause stock buybacks to accumulate cash for the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition, which has been amended to an all-cash deal to counter a competing bid from Paramount Skydance [5][8] - Analysts suggest that Netflix's stock may remain under pressure until the Warner Bros. deal is finalized, with potential volatility expected until at least April [7]
Netflix's stock remains under pressure as investors balk at forecast and Warner Bros. acquisition
MarketWatch· 2026-01-21 16:11
Core Viewpoint - Investors are skeptical about Netflix's attempt to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery's studio and streaming businesses, showing dissatisfaction with the company's guidance for 2026 [1] Group 1 - Netflix's acquisition efforts for Warner Bros. Discovery's assets have not convinced investors [1] - The company's 2026 guidance has led to discontent among investors [1]
Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX) Faces Market Challenges Despite Growth
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-01-21 16:03
Core Insights - Netflix Inc is a leading streaming service provider, competing with major players like Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, and Hulu [1] - UBS set a price target of $95 for Netflix, indicating an expected increase of 8.87% from its trading price of $87.26 [1][6] Financial Performance - Netflix anticipates generating $12.16 billion in revenue for the current quarter, a 15.3% year-on-year increase, but below Wall Street's forecast of $12.18 billion [3] - The company projects an EPS of $0.76 for the current quarter, which is below the anticipated $0.81 [3] - For the fourth quarter, Netflix reported revenue of $12.05 billion, a 17.6% increase, and an EPS of $0.56, slightly exceeding consensus estimates [4] - For the full year, Netflix achieved $45.2 billion in revenue, reflecting a 16% increase, with an EPS of $2.53 [5] Market Reaction - Netflix's stock recently experienced a significant decline, dropping over 5% in after-hours trading, leading to a $19 billion reduction in market value [2][6] - The stock price is currently at $87.26, with a market capitalization of approximately $398.73 billion [5]
Netflix Beats Q4 Earnings Estimates, Crosses 325M Subscribers
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 15:56
Core Insights - Netflix reported fourth-quarter 2025 earnings of 56 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.82% and marking a 30.2% increase from the previous year [1] - Revenues rose 18% year over year to $12.05 billion, driven by membership growth, higher subscription pricing, and increased advertising revenues, surpassing the consensus mark by 0.67% [1][2] Financial Performance - Operating income reached $2.96 billion, up 30% year over year, with an operating margin of 24.5%, reflecting a two percentage point increase [3] - Net income included approximately $60 million in costs related to a bridge loan associated with the Warner Bros. acquisition [4] - Marketing expenses were $1.11 billion, technology and development expenses totaled $890.3 million, and general and administration expenses reached $567.8 million [5] Membership and Engagement - Netflix surpassed 325 million paid memberships, with significant engagement as members watched 96 billion hours in the second half of 2025, a 2% increase year over year [6][9] - The final season of "Stranger Things" generated 120 million views, contributing to high engagement levels [7] Content Performance - Successful fourth-quarter releases included "Emily in Paris" S5 (41 million views) and "Nobody Wants This" S2 (31 million views) [8][10] - Live events, such as Anthony Joshua's fight, generated significant audience engagement, with a 33 million average minute audience [13] Advertising Growth - Advertising revenues exceeded $1.5 billion in 2025, more than doubling year over year, as Netflix enhanced its advertising technology capabilities [15][16] - Partnerships with Spotify and iHeartMedia were announced to expand content offerings [17] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of December 31, 2025, Netflix had cash and cash equivalents of $9.03 billion and total debt of $14.46 billion [18] - Non-GAAP free cash flow for the fourth quarter was $1.87 billion, compared to $1.38 billion in the prior year [18] Acquisition Update - Netflix announced plans to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery for an all-cash transaction valued at $27.75 per share, expected to enhance its content library and subscription options [21][22][23] - The company will pause share buybacks to accumulate cash for the acquisition while maintaining a solid investment-grade rating [24] Future Outlook - For Q1 2026, Netflix expects revenues of $12.16 billion, indicating a 15.3% year-over-year growth [25] - Full-year 2026 revenue is projected between $50.7 billion and $51.7 billion, representing 12% to 14% growth, driven by membership increases and a projected doubling of ad revenues [26][28]
Netflix Just Upped Its Bid for Warner Bros. to All Cash. What Does That Mean for NFLX Stock?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-21 15:55
Core Viewpoint - Netflix's stock performance is under scrutiny due to its recent acquisition bid for Warner Bros. Despite reporting better-than-expected Q4 results, the company's guidance for Q1 2026 fell short of market expectations, leading to a decline in share price [1][3][17] Financial Performance - In Q4, Netflix reported revenues of $12.05 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $11.97 billion, with a year-over-year growth rate of 17.6% [7] - Operating margins improved to 24.5% from 22.2% year-over-year, and earnings per share (EPS) increased by 30.2% to $0.56, slightly above the consensus estimate of $0.55 [7] - Net cash from operating activities reached $2.11 billion, a 37.4% increase year-over-year, while free cash flow surged by 35.8% to $1.87 billion [8] Market Position and Strategy - Netflix holds a market cap of $372.8 billion and has seen its stock price remain flat over the past year, primarily due to skepticism surrounding its acquisition of Warner Bros. [3] - The company is the leading subscription video-on-demand platform with over 325 million subscribers, significantly ahead of competitors like Amazon Prime and Disney+ [11] - Netflix aims to double its advertising revenue between 2025 and 2026, focusing on live events and AI-driven advertising tools to enhance user engagement and reduce churn rates [12][13] Acquisition of Warner Bros. - Netflix has made an all-cash offer for Warner Bros., differentiating itself from Paramount's bid for the entire company, which includes global linear networks [5][6] - The acquisition is seen as a way to enhance Netflix's content library and strengthen its position in the entertainment landscape, although it raises concerns about increased leverage [15] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts maintain a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" for Netflix, with a mean target price of $124.58, indicating a potential upside of about 43% from current levels [17]
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq jump after brutal sell-off as Trump rules out force on Greenland
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-21 15:49
Corporate Performance - Netflix (NFLX) stock declined after quarterly results failed to impress investors, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment towards earnings reports [5] - S&P 500 companies are experiencing the worst share-price reactions on record despite earnings beats, suggesting a challenging environment for corporate performance [5] Market Reactions - US stocks rebounded on Wednesday following a significant selloff, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite, and S&P 500 each increasing by over 1% [1] - The dollar strengthened against the euro, reflecting market reactions to President Trump's comments on Greenland and ongoing trade tensions [3]
Analysts set Netflix stock price target
Finbold· 2026-01-21 15:44
Core Viewpoint - Netflix has experienced a series of price target cuts from major Wall Street analysts following its latest earnings report, primarily due to concerns over rising content costs, weak forward guidance, and uncertainty regarding a potential Warner Bros transaction [1][3][12]. Price Target Adjustments - Goldman Sachs reduced its price target from $112 to $100 while maintaining a 'Neutral' rating, citing strong momentum in Netflix's advertising-supported tier and robust free cash flow generation, but emphasized the need for clarity on any Warner deals [3][4]. - Morgan Stanley lowered its target from $120 to $110, reiterating an 'Overweight' rating, suggesting that much of the Warner-related risk is already reflected in the stock price [4]. - UBS made a more significant cut from $150 to $130 but kept a 'Buy' rating, noting Netflix's acceleration in investment for long-term growth [4]. - BMO Capital Markets reduced its forecast from $143 to $135 while maintaining an 'Outperform' rating, primarily due to disappointing 2026 guidance [5]. - Guggenheim lowered its expected figure from $145 to $130 with a 'Buy' rating, indicating that strong Q4 results were offset by softer engagement trends and a weaker profit outlook [6]. - Canaccord Genuity cut its target from $152 to $125 but maintained a 'Buy' rating, citing increased content investment as a limiting factor for margin expansion [7]. - TD Cowen made a modest cut from $115 to $112, still calling the stock a 'Buy' and describing Q4 results as a modest beat [8]. - Piper Sandler made the most drastic cut from $140 to $103, highlighting strong execution in Q4 but concerns over content reinvestment and deal-related issues [9]. - Wolfe Research reduced its target from $121 to $95 while keeping an 'Outperform' rating, warning that revenue growth comes with higher costs [9]. - Rosenblatt cut its price target to $94 from $105, reiterating a Neutral rating due to a subscriber outlook slightly below expectations [10]. - KeyBanc Capital Markets slightly nudged its target down from $110 to $108, maintaining an 'Overweight' rating but warning of near-term challenges [11]. Market Sentiment - Despite the price target cuts, the average price target for Netflix over the next 12 months is $117.06, indicating a nearly 39% upside potential according to 39 analyses on the market analysis platform TipRanks [12]. - This suggests that the overall market sentiment remains positive towards Netflix, viewing the cited concerns as short-term rather than long-term challenges [13].
These Analysts Slash Their Forecasts On Netflix Following Q4 Earnings - Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX)
Benzinga· 2026-01-21 15:42
Core Insights - Netflix reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of 56 cents, slightly above the consensus estimate of 55 cents, and revenue of $12.05 billion, exceeding the expected $11.97 billion [1] - For the first quarter, Netflix anticipates earnings per share of 76 cents and revenue of approximately $12.16 billion, with expectations for continued advertising revenue growth and investments in content and new formats [2] Financial Performance - The company’s fourth-quarter revenue was $12.05 billion, surpassing estimates, while earnings per share were 56 cents, also beating expectations [1] - Netflix's guidance for the first quarter includes earnings per share of 76 cents and revenue of around $12.16 billion [2] Membership and Audience Reach - Netflix has over 325 million paid memberships, serving an audience nearing one billion globally, with a focus on providing a diverse range of series, films, and games [3] Stock Performance and Analyst Ratings - Following the earnings announcement, Netflix shares fell approximately 3.3% to $84.34 [3] - Analysts have adjusted their price targets for Netflix, with several maintaining their ratings but lowering targets, such as Pivotal Research from $105 to $95 and Goldman Sachs from $112 to $100 [4] - Other notable adjustments include Needham lowering from $150 to $120 and Guggenheim from $145 to $130, while Morgan Stanley maintained an Overweight rating with a target reduction from $120 to $110 [4]
These Analysts Slash Their Forecasts On Netflix Following Q4 Earnings
Benzinga· 2026-01-21 15:42
Core Viewpoint - Netflix reported mixed financial results for the fourth quarter, with earnings per share slightly above estimates but first-quarter guidance falling short, leading to a decline in share price [1][2]. Financial Performance - Netflix's earnings per share for the fourth quarter were 56 cents, surpassing the consensus estimate of 55 cents [1]. - The company generated revenue of $12.05 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $11.97 billion [1]. First Quarter Guidance - For the first quarter, Netflix anticipates earnings per share of 76 cents and revenue of approximately $12.16 billion [2]. - The company expects continued growth in advertising revenue and plans to invest in content, advertising initiatives, and new formats such as live events, video podcasts, and games [2]. Membership and Audience - Netflix has over 325 million paid memberships, serving an audience approaching one billion people globally [3]. Stock Performance and Analyst Ratings - Following the earnings announcement, Netflix shares fell 3.3% to trade at $84.34 [3]. - Analysts have adjusted their price targets for Netflix, with several maintaining their ratings but lowering targets significantly: - Pivotal Research: Hold, target lowered from $105 to $95 [4]. - Goldman Sachs: Neutral, target lowered from $112 to $100 [4]. - Needham: Buy, target lowered from $150 to $120 [4]. - Rosenblatt: Neutral, target lowered from $105 to $94 [4]. - Guggenheim: Buy, target lowered from $145 to $130 [4]. - Morgan Stanley: Overweight, target lowered from $120 to $110 [4]. - BMO Capital: Outperform, target lowered from $143 to $135 [4]. - Canaccord Genuity: Buy, target lowered from $152.5 to $125 [4]. - Keybanc: Overweight, target lowered from $110 to $108 [4]. - UBS: Buy, target lowered from $150 to $130 [4].
NFLX Plunges as Margin Outlook, Buyout Concerns Weigh
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-01-21 15:37
Shares of Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX) are 6% lower to trade at $82.01 at last glance, brushing off a fourth-quarter earnings and revenue beat after the streaming giant also issued a disappointing margin outlook. Concerns around the company's bid to acquire Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) for roughly $83 billion weighed as well.No fewer than eight analysts have slashed their price targets in response, including HSBC to $106 from $107. Analysts remain optimistic toward NFLX, however, with 27 of the 42 in question s ...