Oklo(OKLO)
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Is Oklo A $14 Billion “Paper Reactor” Bubble?
Forbes· 2025-12-02 15:15
Core Viewpoint - Oklo Inc. is perceived as a high-risk investment in the energy sector, trading at a significant discount but lacking fundamental revenue generation and regulatory approvals [3][9][18]. Company Overview - Oklo's stock price has dropped from $193 in October to approximately $90, indicating a 50% decline [3]. - The company currently has a market capitalization of around $14 billion with zero revenue, leading to an undefined price-to-sales ratio [10]. Financial Performance - Oklo filed to sell $3.5 billion in new stock, which raised concerns among investors after missing Q3 earnings estimates [9]. - The company burned $36 million in cash last quarter, highlighting its financial strain without any revenue [13]. Competitive Landscape - Oklo is competing against established companies like NuScale, X-energy, and Kairos Power, which have secured regulatory approvals and funding [12][15]. - The competitive advantage of Oklo is primarily based on the fame of its backer, Sam Altman, rather than solid business fundamentals [12]. Regulatory Challenges - Oklo's first application for regulatory approval was denied by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) in 2022, and it is still in the process of resubmitting paperwork [11][16]. - The NRC is described as a "Kill Switch," emphasizing the critical nature of regulatory approval in the nuclear sector [13]. Future Outlook - The company needs to successfully deploy its first reactor and secure billions in revenue contracts to justify its current valuation [10]. - Predictions suggest that while a "Nuclear Renaissance" is possible, Oklo may not be the right investment vehicle, with recommendations to invest in companies that own actual nuclear assets [19].
Why Oklo Stock Dropped Again Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-01 18:43
Group 1 - President Trump is showing interest in the UK's nuclear power industry, particularly in large nuclear reactors, which may impact the small modular reactor (SMR) market [1][3][6] - Oklo's stock experienced fluctuations, initially rising due to reports of shipping companies considering small nuclear reactors for containerships, but later declining as focus shifted to larger nuclear projects [2][4] - The UK government, led by Prime Minister Keir Starmer, plans to have Rolls-Royce build the first SMR reactors in Wales, with future projects involving larger reactors, which may not favor Oklo [3][5] Group 2 - The U.S. government, under the Trump administration, is reportedly securing a financial stake in Westinghouse, which could lead to a preference for larger nuclear contracts over those for small SMRs like those offered by Oklo [5][6] - U.S. Ambassador Warren Stephens expressed disappointment over the UK’s decision not to award larger contracts to American companies, indicating a potential shift in U.S. policy favoring larger nuclear projects [4][6]
This Nuclear Stock Could Turn $1,000 Into $100,000
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-29 07:05
Core Insights - Oklo has experienced significant growth since its IPO, with shares increasing nearly 600% and at one point growing more than tenfold [1][2] Company Overview - Oklo is developing a small compact nuclear reactor named Aurora, designed to operate for a decade or longer between refueling [3] - The company's strategy focuses on building smaller reactors near customers, targeting high-margin clients like data center operators who prefer long-term contracts for reliable power [3] Strategic Partnerships - Oklo has secured notable interest from major companies, including a $25 million prepayment from Equinix for a 20-year deal for up to 500 megawatts of clean power [4] - Other strategic relationships have been established with Switch and Diamondback Energy [4] Market Potential - Oklo's current market cap stands at $14 billion, with a potential for significant growth if the company can achieve a hundredfold increase, which would place its market cap in the trillion-dollar range [6] - The global utilities industry is valued at approximately $6.7 trillion, indicating substantial market potential for advanced nuclear technology [6][7] Growth Projections - The utilities sector is projected to grow steadily over the next five years, with an estimated CAGR of about 5%, suggesting that advanced nuclear technology could contribute to this growth [7] - Achieving a tenfold gain in Oklo's stock will require time and patience as the company works towards commercialization and operationalizing its reactors [7]
Why Oklo Stock Popped on Friday
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-28 18:08
Investors got a new reason to like Oklo stock today, but does it hold up?On a holiday-shortened trading day Friday, the last day of a holiday-interrupted trading week, shares of small modular (nuclear) reactor (SMR) company Oklo (OKLO +3.03%) charged ahead to close the day up 3.1% (at 1 p.m. ET).The reason doesn't concern Oklo directly... yet... but it might one day. Shipbuilders have nuclear dreamsAs nucnet.org reports this morning, shipbuilders and ocean-going shipping transport companies are considering ...
Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Fell by Over 13% This Week. Here is Why.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-28 01:28
The share price of Oklo Inc. (NYSE:OKLO) fell by 13.75% between November 19 and November 26, 2025, putting it among the Energy Stocks that Lost the Most This Week. OKLO Fell by Over 13% This Week. Here is Why. dan-meyers-xXbQIrWH2_A-unsplash Backed by OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Oklo Inc. (NYSE:OKLO) develops advanced fission power plants to provide clean, reliable, and affordable energy at scale to customers in the United States. Oklo Inc. (NYSE:OKLO) was among the nuclear stocks that came under pressure aft ...
How Oklo and Dominion Stack Up in the Nuclear Power Race
ZACKS· 2025-11-27 14:21
Core Insights - The article discusses the contrasting profiles of Oklo Inc. and Dominion Energy, both of which are involved in the nuclear power sector, highlighting their different stages of development and market perceptions [1][2]. Group 1: Oklo Inc. - Oklo is focused on next-generation microreactors, particularly its Aurora microreactor platform, and has made significant progress with a binding contract with Siemens Energy, which reduces supply-chain risks [3][6]. - Despite its long-term potential, Oklo has faced volatility, missing earnings in three of the last four quarters and experiencing a stock price decline of over 50% from its 52-week high [4][6]. - The company is still in the pre-revenue stage, raising concerns about execution risks and the need for additional capital, having already raised $460 million and filed for a $3.5 billion shelf registration [6][7]. - Regulatory challenges persist, with slow nuclear permitting processes that could lead to schedule delays, further complicating Oklo's path to commercialization [5][6]. Group 2: Dominion Energy - Dominion Energy operates a stable nuclear fleet that supplies nearly 40% of its electricity, providing a solid foundation for long-term growth and stability [8][10]. - The company is undergoing a turnaround, focusing on debt reduction, capital discipline, and a long-term capital expenditure program of $50 billion from 2025 to 2029, aimed at grid upgrades and renewable energy investments [10][11]. - Dominion's earnings visibility is strong, with projected EPS of $3.40 in 2025 and $3.60 in 2026, indicating growth rates of 23% and 6% respectively, alongside expected revenues of $16 billion in 2025 [18][20]. - The company is also advancing major projects like the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project, which is over 60% complete and on schedule, contributing to its rate-base growth [11][12]. Group 3: Comparative Analysis - Oklo's stock has seen a significant increase of over 300% year-to-date, driven by speculative sentiment, while Dominion's stock has risen about 16%, reflecting steady progress [13]. - Valuation metrics show Oklo trading at an elevated 11X book value, indicating speculative enthusiasm, whereas Dominion trades at 1.7X, aligning more closely with regulated utility fundamentals [15]. - Both companies carry a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), but Dominion is viewed as better positioned due to its regulated earnings and lower risk profile compared to Oklo's speculative nature [22].
Defiance ETFs Launches OKLS: The First 2X Short ETF of Oklo Inc.
Globenewswire· 2025-11-26 13:25
Core Viewpoint - Defiance ETFs has launched the Defiance Daily Target 2X Short OKLO ETF (Ticker: OKLS), aimed at sophisticated traders looking for short-term market expression through leveraged inverse investment strategies [1]. Investment Objective - The Fund aims for daily inverse investment results of -2 times (-200%) the daily percentage change in the share price of Oklo Inc. (NYSE: OKLO), focusing solely on single trading days [2]. Underlying Stock: Oklo Inc. - Oklo Inc. is a developer of advanced nuclear fission power modules, focusing on next-generation microreactor designs for reliable, clean energy. Its growth potential is linked to regulatory progress, partnerships, site licensing, reactor deployment, and global decarbonization trends [3]. Fund Suitability - The Fund is designed for knowledgeable investors who understand the risks of seeking daily leveraged inverse results and are willing to actively monitor their portfolios. It is not suitable for passive investors [4]. Performance Characteristics - The Fund's performance over periods longer than a single trading day will be influenced by compounded daily returns, which may differ significantly from -200% of the return of OKLO due to daily resets [4][12]. Risks Associated with the Fund - The Fund is subject to various risks, including: - OKLO price appreciation risk, where an increase in OKLO's share price could lead to significant losses for the Fund [7]. - Indirect investment risk, as Oklo Inc. is not affiliated with the Fund and has no obligations towards it [8]. - Performance risk linked to successful milestones achieved by Oklo Inc., which could lead to an increase in its stock price and losses for the Fund [9]. - Single issuer risk, as the Fund's focus on a single company may lead to higher volatility compared to diversified investments [11]. Investment Strategy - The Fund utilizes swap contracts and options to achieve its inverse exposure, which carries risks similar to short selling, including increased volatility and liquidity challenges [15][18]. Market Dynamics - The Fund's performance may be affected by market disruptions, regulatory restrictions, and volatility, which could hinder its ability to meet its daily investment objectives [13].
Better Nuclear Play: NuScale Power vs. Oklo
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-26 09:20
Industry Overview - Nuclear energy is experiencing a renaissance due to rising electricity demands, government initiatives, and recognition of its safety and cleanliness [1] - The market for nuclear energy projects is seeing a resurgence, with start-ups capitalizing on this trend and their stock prices increasing [1] Company Analysis: NuScale Power - NuScale Power has developed a small modular reactor (SMR) that is the only one approved by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) [4] - Each SMR can generate 77 megawatts of power, but none have been built yet, as utilities are still exploring potential uses [4] - The company has a market capitalization of approximately $7 billion and holds close to $1 billion in cash [6] - Despite having an approved reactor design, NuScale has not secured any contracts with utility providers and has never generated a profit [7] Company Analysis: Oklo - Oklo is focused on fast-reactor technology that uses recycled nuclear fuel, aiming for a more cost-effective and efficient process [5] - The company plans to vertically integrate its supply chain with its own nuclear recycling facility and a radioisotopes business, but its reactor designs are not approved by the NRC [5] - Oklo has a market capitalization of around $13 billion and has generated zero revenue since its inception [2][5] Investment Comparison - Between NuScale Power and Oklo, NuScale is considered a better investment due to its approved reactor design and stronger cash position [6] - Oklo's lack of an approved reactor design and higher market cap suggests it may take years to generate revenue, if at all [6] - Overall, while NuScale appears to be a better option, neither stock is recommended for a rational investor's portfolio [8]
What Is One of the Best AI Energy Stocks to Hold for the Next 5 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-26 01:05
Core Insights - The demand for energy in artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to increase significantly, with projections indicating a tenfold rise by 2030 according to S&P Global Market Intelligence [2]. - The International Energy Agency forecasts that electricity consumption in data centers will also double by 2030, highlighting the urgent need for energy solutions to support AI growth [2]. Company Overview - Oklo is a next-generation nuclear company focused on developing small, modular reactors, termed "powerhouses," which are designed to provide reliable, continuous power to data centers [4][3]. - The lead reactor design, Aurora, is engineered to operate for a decade or more without refueling, which is approximately five times longer than traditional water-cooled reactors [4]. Energy Capacity and Efficiency - Oklo's reactors can generate up to 75 million megawatts of electricity, sufficient to power most midsize facilities, and can be assembled more quickly than traditional reactors, aligning with the rapid development of AI [5][4]. - The company’s energy solutions could help alleviate the high-density computing and data center loads driven by AI, although overall energy demand is still expected to rise [3]. Market Performance - Oklo's stock has seen a dramatic increase of over 300% this year, reflecting investor enthusiasm for its energy potential, although it has also experienced significant volatility [7]. - As of the last quarter, Oklo had a cash reserve of $410 million, but it remains pre-revenue and lacks regulatory approval to build or operate reactors commercially [8].
Nuclear Stock Meltdown Continues For Oklo, NuScale, Nano
Benzinga· 2025-11-25 16:14
Core Insights - November experienced a significant correction in the advanced nuclear energy sector, particularly affecting small modular reactor (SMR) and microreactor companies, which saw substantial stock price declines [1][3] - Industry leaders Oklo Inc., NuScale Power Corp., and Nano Nuclear Energy Inc. have lost over a third of their valuations within weeks, with NuScale Power declining approximately 55%, Oklo by about 39%, and Nano Nuclear Energy by around 37% [2][3] Market Dynamics - The sell-off followed a previous surge fueled by hype around the demand for carbon-free power from AI data centers, but the market began reassessing the risks associated with long-term nuclear investments [3] - The correction highlights the speculative nature of investing in nuclear stocks, despite supportive global energy policies and AI demand [3] Company-Specific Challenges - All three companies are in the pre-commercialization phase, resulting in minimal to no operating revenue, making them vulnerable to market sentiment shifts [4] - The commercial deployment of their technologies is still years away, leading to high cash burn rates and ongoing operating losses, which challenge investor patience [4] - The broader correction in tech and AI-related stocks in November, driven by valuation concerns, also impacted advanced nuclear infrastructure investments [4]