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Plains GP (PAGP) Is Attractively Priced Despite Fast-paced Momentum
ZACKS· 2025-01-30 14:50
Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on "buying high and selling higher," contrasting with traditional strategies of "buying low and selling high" [1] Group 1: Momentum Investing Strategy - Momentum investing can be risky as stocks may lose momentum if their valuations exceed future growth potential [1] - Identifying the right entry point for momentum stocks is challenging, leading to potential losses if the stock price does not continue to rise [1] Group 2: Bargain Momentum Stocks - Investing in bargain stocks that have recently shown price momentum may be a safer strategy [2] - The Zacks Momentum Style Score is useful for identifying strong momentum stocks, while the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen helps find attractively priced fast-moving stocks [2] Group 3: Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) Analysis - Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) has shown significant price momentum with a four-week price change of 19.1% [3] - Over the past 12 weeks, PAGP's stock gained 19.3%, indicating strong long-term momentum [4] - PAGP has a beta of 1.58, suggesting it moves 58% more than the market in either direction [4] - The stock has a Momentum Score of B, indicating a favorable time to invest [5] - PAGP has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) due to upward revisions in earnings estimates, which attract more investors [6] - The stock is trading at a low Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.09, meaning investors pay only 9 cents for each dollar of sales, indicating a reasonable valuation [6] Group 4: Additional Investment Opportunities - Besides PAGP, there are other stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen, presenting further investment opportunities [7] - Zacks offers over 45 Premium Screens tailored to different investing styles, which can help identify winning stock picks [8]
Are Investors Undervaluing Plains Group (PAGP) Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-01-29 15:46
Company Overview - Plains Group (PAGP) is currently rated with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and has an A grade for Value [4][6] - The stock is trading at a P/E ratio of 12.85, significantly lower than the industry average P/E of 18.46 [4] - Over the past year, PAGP's Forward P/E has fluctuated between a high of 18.70 and a low of 10.11, with a median of 12.25 [4] Financial Metrics - PAGP has a P/CF ratio of 3.50, indicating strong operating cash flow and suggesting the stock may be undervalued compared to its industry's average P/CF of 11.09 [5] - The P/CF ratio for PAGP has ranged from a high of 3.58 to a low of 2.50 over the past year, with a median of 3.01 [5] Investment Potential - The combination of PAGP's strong earnings outlook and attractive valuation metrics suggests that it is likely undervalued at the moment, making it an impressive value stock [6]
Is Plains Group (PAGP) Stock Undervalued Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-01-13 15:46
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of value investing and highlights Plains Group (PAGP) as a strong value stock based on its financial metrics and Zacks Rank [1][5]. Financial Metrics - Plains Group (PAGP) holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and a Value grade of A, indicating strong potential for value investors [3]. - The stock has a Forward P/E ratio of 12.05, significantly lower than the industry's average Forward P/E of 18.42, suggesting it may be undervalued [3]. - Over the past year, PAGP's Forward P/E has fluctuated between a high of 18.70 and a low of 10, with a median of 12.13 [3]. - PAGP's P/CF ratio stands at 3.25, which is attractive compared to the industry's average P/CF of 11.08, indicating strong operating cash flow [4]. - The P/CF ratio for PAGP has ranged from a high of 3.26 to a low of 2.50 over the past 52 weeks, with a median of 2.99 [4]. Investment Outlook - The combination of PAGP's favorable financial metrics and strong earnings outlook positions it as one of the market's strongest value stocks [5].
Fast-paced Momentum Stock Plains GP (PAGP) Is Still Trading at a Bargain
ZACKS· 2025-01-13 14:51
Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on "buying high and selling higher" rather than traditional "buying low and selling high" strategies, aiming for quicker profits [1] Group 1: Momentum Investing Characteristics - Momentum investing can be risky as stocks may lose momentum if their valuations exceed future growth potential, leading to potential losses for investors [2] - A safer approach involves investing in bargain stocks that exhibit recent price momentum, utilizing tools like the Zacks Momentum Style Score to identify such opportunities [3] Group 2: Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) Analysis - Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) has shown a four-week price change of 4.6%, indicating growing investor interest [4] - Over the past 12 weeks, PAGP's stock has gained 8.7%, with a beta of 1.58, suggesting it moves 58% more than the market [5] - PAGP has a Momentum Score of A, indicating a favorable time to invest based on its momentum characteristics [6] Group 3: Earnings Estimates and Valuation - An upward trend in earnings estimate revisions has contributed to PAGP's Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), as increased analyst interest typically drives stock prices higher [7] - PAGP is currently trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.08, suggesting it is undervalued at 8 cents for each dollar of sales, providing significant upside potential [7] Group 4: Additional Investment Opportunities - Besides PAGP, there are other stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen, presenting further investment opportunities [8] - Investors can explore over 45 Zacks Premium Screens tailored to different investing styles to identify potential winning stocks [9]
Strength Seen in Plains GP (PAGP): Can Its 6.1% Jump Turn into More Strength?
ZACKS· 2025-01-09 16:26
Group 1 - Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) shares increased by 6.1% to close at $19.93, following a notable trading volume compared to typical sessions, contrasting with a 1.6% loss over the past four weeks [1] - The surge in shares is attributed to sustained demand for Plains GP's midstream services, supported by a favorable crude price environment and expected rising demand for crude products in the U.S. [2] - Plains GP has announced three new acquisitions, enhancing its presence in key crude-producing regions such as the Permian, Eagle Ford, and Mid-Con basins, which is a significant growth driver for the company [2] Group 2 - The company is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.28 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.7%, with revenues projected at $13.16 billion, also up 3.7% from the previous year [3] - The consensus EPS estimate for Plains GP has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that stock price movements may not continue without trends in earnings estimate revisions [4] - Plains GP is part of the Zacks Oil and Gas - Production and Pipelines industry, with a current Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [4]
Plains GP (PAGP) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2024-11-08 13:28
Financial Performance - Reported net income attributable to Plains All American of $220 million for Q3 2024, an 8% increase from $203 million in Q3 2023[2] - Adjusted EBITDA attributable to Plains All American was $659 million for Q3 2024, remaining stable compared to $662 million in Q3 2023[2] - Revenues for the three months ended September 30, 2024, increased to $12,743 million, up 5.6% from $12,071 million in the same period of 2023[13] - Operating income rose to $347 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $234 million in the prior year, reflecting a 48.3% increase[13] - Net income for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $312 million, compared to $279 million for the same period in 2023, representing an increase of 11.8%[20] - For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, revenues were $37,671 million, up from $36,014 million in the same period of 2023, marking a growth of 4.6%[33] - Operating income for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $1,090 million, consistent with the previous year's figure of $1,085 million[33] - Net income attributable to PAGP for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $736 million, compared to $918 million for the same period in 2023, indicating a decrease of 19.8%[33] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Net cash provided by operating activities was $692 million in Q3 2024, compared to $85 million in Q3 2023[2] - Adjusted Free Cash Flow for 2024 is anticipated to be approximately $1.45 billion, excluding changes in Assets & Liabilities[1] - Adjusted Free Cash Flow for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $401 million, compared to a negative $386 million in the same period of 2023[23] - Cash and cash equivalents increased to $640 million as of September 30, 2024, from $450 million at the end of 2023[14] - The company reported a net cash used in financing activities of $330 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, a decrease from $1,409 million in the same period of 2023, indicating improved cash management[16] Segment Performance - The Crude Oil Segment Adjusted EBITDA increased by 4% to $577 million in Q3 2024, driven by higher tariff volumes and contributions from acquisitions[3] - The NGL Segment Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 26% to $73 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to lower weighted average frac spreads[4] - Revenues for Crude Oil segment reached $12,444 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024, up from $11,934 million in the same period of 2023, indicating a year-over-year increase of approximately 4.3%[26] - Adjusted EBITDA for the crude oil segment was $1,707 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $1,600 million for the same period in 2023, reflecting a growth of 6.7%[29] Capital Expenditures and Investments - Total investment capital expenditures for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, were $232 million, up from $221 million in the same period of 2023, indicating an increase of approximately 5%[17] - Maintenance capital expenditures for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, were $135 million, compared to $107 million for the same period in 2023, indicating a 26.2% increase[27] - Maintenance capital expenditures for the three months ended September 30, 2024, were $69 million, compared to $60 million in the same period of 2023, indicating a rise of 15%[20] Debt and Leverage - Plains All American exited Q3 2024 with a leverage ratio of 3.0x, below the target range of 3.25x – 3.75x[1] - The company reported a total debt of $7,977 million as of September 30, 2024, up from $7,751 million at the end of 2023[14] - Long-term debt-to-total book capitalization ratio was 41% as of September 30, 2024, consistent with the ratio from December 31, 2023[14] Market and Economic Outlook - The company faces risks including fluctuations in crude oil prices, which could significantly impact its operational margins and commercial opportunities[36] - Future outlook includes potential impacts from economic conditions, supply chain issues, and regulatory changes affecting the energy sector[36] - The company is focused on maintaining its competitive position amidst market pressures and potential declines in crude oil demand[37] Credit Rating and Financial Stability - Moody's upgraded Plains All American's credit rating from Baa3 to Baa2 with a stable outlook, reflecting improved financial stability[1]
Plains GP (PAGP) - 2024 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2024-08-02 17:04
2Q24 Earnings Call August 2, 2024 Forward-Looking Statements & Non-GAAP Financial Measures Disclosure 2 This presentation contains forward-looking statements, including, in particular, statements about the performance, plans, strategies and objectives for future operations of Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. ("PAA") and Plains GP Holdings, L.P. ("PAGP"). These forward-looking statements are based on PAA's current views with respect to future events, based on what we believe to be reasonable assumptions. P ...
Plains GP (PAGP) - 2024 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-08-02 17:04
Plains GP Holdings, L.P. Class A Shares (NASDAQ:PAGP) Q2 2024 Earnings Conference Call August 2, 2024 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Blake Fernandez - Vice President, Investment Relations Willie Chiang - Chairman and CEO Al Swanson - Executive Vice President and CFO Jeremy Goebel - Chief Commercial Officer Chris Chandler - Chief Operating Officer Conference Call Participants Tristan Richardson - Scotiabank Michael Blum - Wells Fargo Jeremy Tonet - JPMorgan Securities Manav Gupta - UBS Keith Stanley - Wolf ...
Plains GP (PAGP) - 2024 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2024-05-10 01:14
Table of Contents UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 ________________________________________________________________ Delaware 90-1005472 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) 333 Clay Street, Suite 1600 FORM 10-Q ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ☑ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES E ...
Plains GP (PAGP) - 2024 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-05-03 16:45
Financial Data and Key Metrics - The company reported Q1 2024 adjusted EBITDA of $718 million, reaffirming its 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $2.625 billion to $2.725 billion [43][47] - The company expects to generate $1.55 billion of adjusted free cash flow in 2024, including $110 million from bolt-on acquisitions, with $1.15 billion allocated to common and preferred distributions [27] - The NGL segment remains highly hedged with frac spreads at approximately $0.65 per gallon for 2024 [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics - The Permian long-haul portfolio has seen increased contract volumes and extended terms, with a weighted-average contract duration of approximately five years, extending through 2028 [14] - The company expects Permian production to grow by 200,000 to 300,000 barrels per day in 2024, with growth weighted towards the second half of the year [43][80] - The company acquired an additional 10% in the Saddlehorn Pipeline Company LLC and the Mid-Con Terminal asset for $110 million, expected to generate returns above the weighted-average cost of capital [42] Market Data and Key Metrics - The company noted that the movement of barrels to the West Coast could create opportunities for its Mid-Continent pipelines [1] - The company expects the Permian Basin to grow by 200,000 to 300,000 barrels per day, with growth disproportionately coming from the Delaware Basin [81] - The company highlighted potential gas constraints in 2026 but expects new pipelines to be sanctioned, mitigating long-term impacts [51][59] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The company remains focused on capital discipline, generating free cash flow, and returning capital to investors, with a multiyear targeted annual distribution increase of $0.15 per unit [31][34] - The company has re-contracted its Permian long-haul capacity, offering better visibility and clarity around contractual support, with rates consistent with market levels [10][32] - The company is actively monitoring its hedging profile and is being opportunistic, with minimal forward hedging due to low liquidity [20][69] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in meeting 2024 guidance, citing strong Q1 performance and bolt-on acquisitions, but remains cautiously optimistic about increasing guidance [38][39] - The company expects flat adjusted EBITDA in 2026 compared to 2024, driven by lower contracted rates offset by efficient growth investments [32][41] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining flexibility in long-haul contracts to capture higher margins from uncontracted capacity over time [32][78] Other Important Information - The company plans to self-fund $375 million in growth capital and $230 million in maintenance capital in 2024, consistent with February guidance [13] - The company noted that weather-related challenges in Q1 impacted Permian volumes, but recovery has been in-line with expectations, with no change to the full-year outlook [50][101] - The company sees opportunities in the Canadian market, particularly with the startup of TMX, which could lead to more tariff-based opportunities and less market-based opportunities [66][88] Q&A Session Summary Question: Why not increase 2024 guidance given strong Q1 performance and bolt-on acquisitions? - Management stated it is early in the year and remains confident in meeting the current guidance range, with a cautiously optimistic outlook [38][39] Question: Are contract extensions for Cactus II and Sunrise/Basin consistent with prior rates? - The extensions were associated with existing contract options, and rates were consistent with prior levels [15][40] Question: How is the company thinking about hedging strategy for 2025? - The company is actively monitoring its hedging profile but is not currently hedging forward due to low liquidity and backwardated markets [20][69] Question: What is the impact of the Permian re-contracting on long-term capital allocation? - The capital allocation strategy remains unchanged, with a focus on high-return bolt-on acquisitions and maintaining financial flexibility [75] Question: How is the company managing gas constraints in 2026? - The company expects new pipelines to be sanctioned, mitigating long-term impacts, and sees potential upside from oilier areas in low gas price environments [51][59] Question: What is the outlook for Permian production growth in 2024? - The company expects 200,000 to 300,000 barrels per day of growth, with a back-half weighted ramp [43][80] Question: How is the startup of TMX impacting Canadian assets? - The company expects short-term blips but long-term benefits, with more tariff-based opportunities and potential for increased Canadian production [88][94]