Market Overview - The S&P 500 rose by 5% in June, driven by optimism regarding trade deals, a ceasefire in the Middle East, and potential interest rate cuts in 2025 [1] - Positive economic indicators, including strong manufacturing data, increased factory orders, and a favorable jobs report for June, alleviated recession fears [1] July Market Conditions - As July begins, the job market remains robust, inflation is cooling, and companies are set to announce earnings [2] - Trade disagreements may cause short-term market fluctuations, but new trade agreements could provide additional momentum [2] Stock Recommendations - Recommended stocks based on relative price strength include Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL), Jabil Inc. (JBL), Phibro Animal Health Corporation (PAHC), and Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) [3][9] Relative Price Strength Strategy - Investors should assess stocks based on earnings growth and valuation multiples, while also considering their performance relative to industry peers [4] - Underperforming stocks should be avoided, while those outperforming their sectors in price should be prioritized for potential returns [5] Investment Criteria - Stocks that have outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 1, 4, and 12 weeks, along with positive earnings estimate revisions, indicate growth potential [6][8] - A focus on analyst optimism regarding upcoming earnings is crucial, as upward revisions can lead to price gains [7] Screening Parameters - Stocks must show positive relative price changes over 1, 4, and 12 weeks, and have positive current-quarter estimate revisions [8] - Stocks must have a minimum price of $5 and an average 20-day volume of at least 50,000 for adequate liquidity [10] Company Profiles - **Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL)**: Market cap of $84.7 billion, expected EPS growth of 16% year-over-year for fiscal 2026, with a trailing earnings surprise of 2.3% [11][12] - **Jabil Inc. (JBL)**: Expected EPS growth rate of 16.6% over three to five years, with a 102% share price increase in the past year [13][14] - **Phibro Animal Health Corporation (PAHC)**: Market cap of $1.2 billion, expected EPS growth of 71.4% for fiscal 2025, with a 75.7% share price increase in the past year [14][15] - **Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM)**: Expected EPS growth rate of 51.7% over three to five years, with a 43.8% year-over-year growth estimate for 2025 and a 17.6% share price increase in the past year [16][17]

Company Overview - JPMorgan upgraded Phibro Animal Health Corporation (PAHC) due to strong execution following its $350 million acquisition of Zoetis' medicated feed additive and water-soluble product portfolio, which includes 37 product lines sold in about 80 countries and six manufacturing sites across the U.S., Italy, and China [1] - The acquisition is expected to enhance Phibro's profitability, improve EBITDA margins, and be accretive to adjusted earnings per share [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Phibro's sales reached $347.8 million, an increase of $84.6 million, or 32% year over year, although it missed the consensus estimate of $352.40 million [3] - Adjusted earnings for the same period were 63 cents, surpassing the consensus of 52 cents [3] Guidance and Market Outlook - Phibro raised its fiscal 2025 adjusted earnings per share guidance from $1.87-$2.01 to $1.96-$2.09, compared to the consensus of $1.94 [4] - The company revised its sales guidance from $1.25 billion-$1.30 billion to $1.26 billion-$1.29 billion, against a consensus of $1.28 billion [4] - Analyst Knyazkova noted that despite a strong performance in PAHC shares this year, there remains a favorable setup for further upside to estimates and attractive valuation [4] Industry Insights - The animal health performance is expected to exceed expectations for 2025, driven by strong demand, price increases, and healthy growth across medicated feed additives, nutritional specialties, and vaccines for 2026 [2] - While growth in livestock is slower than in companion animals, the livestock sector maintains strong fundamentals, including population growth, rising meat consumption, and limited impact from economic shifts [3]

Company Performance - Phibro Animal Health (PAHC) shares have increased by 9.5% over the past month, reaching a new 52-week high of $26.77 [1] - Year-to-date, Phibro has gained 26.8%, outperforming the Zacks Medical sector, which saw a decline of 2.7%, and the Zacks Medical - Products industry, which returned 7.6% [1] Earnings and Revenue - Phibro has consistently exceeded earnings consensus estimates, reporting EPS of $0.63 against a consensus of $0.52 in its last earnings report [2] - For the current fiscal year, Phibro is projected to earn $2.29 per share on revenues of $1.28 billion, with a year-over-year earnings growth of 12.5% [3] - The next fiscal year earnings are expected to be $2.52 per share on revenues of $1.41 billion, reflecting a growth of 10.35% [3] Valuation Metrics - Phibro's current trading valuation is at 11.6X current fiscal year EPS estimates, significantly lower than the peer industry average of 19.5X [7] - The stock has a trailing cash flow valuation of 12.6X compared to the peer group's average of 10.9X, and a PEG ratio of 0.45, indicating strong value potential [7] Zacks Rank and Style Scores - Phibro holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) due to favorable earnings estimate revisions from analysts [8] - The stock has a Value Score of A, a Growth Score of A, and a Momentum Score of D, resulting in a combined VGM Score of A [6][8] Industry Comparison - In comparison, Perrigo Company plc (PRGO) has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and a Value Score of A, with earnings expected to be $3.03 per share on revenues of $4.44 billion for the current fiscal year [9][10] - PRGO shares have gained 3.4% over the past month, trading at a forward P/E of 9.06X and a P/CF of 5.43X [11]

Core Insights - Phibro Animal Health (PAHC) shares have increased by 52.8% over the past year, significantly outperforming the industry growth of 14.3% and the S&P 500's 11.7% gain, indicating strong momentum and solid fundamentals for investors [1][8] Company Overview - Phibro, based in New Jersey, provides a wide range of products for food animals, including poultry, swine, beef, dairy cattle, and aquaculture, while also manufacturing ingredients for personal care, automotive, industrial chemicals, and chemical catalysts [2] Key Growth Drivers - The surge in Phibro's share price is attributed to robust demand for its Animal Health products, with a reported 42% sales growth year over year in the Animal Health segment, driven by a 68% increase in Medicated Feed Additives (MFA) [3][8] - The acquisition of Zoetis' MFA product portfolio has expanded Phibro's offerings by adding over 37 product lines across 80 countries, enhancing its global presence [3][8] - The company has also invested in expanding vaccine manufacturing capacity, including a new facility in Brazil, which has contributed to a 1% revenue increase in the vaccine business for the third quarter of fiscal 2025 [4] Financial Performance - Phibro reported an operating profit of $33.4 million for the fiscal third quarter, marking a 67.8% increase year over year, with an operating margin expansion of 204 basis points [6] - The Mineral Nutrition business grew by 4% year over year, supported by increased sales volume and pricing, while the Performance Products segment benefited from strong demand for personal care ingredients [5] Future Outlook - Earnings per share (EPS) for fiscal 2025 and 2026 are projected to increase by 71.4% and 12.5%, reaching $2.04 and $2.29, respectively, with revenues expected to grow by 25.7% to $1.28 billion in fiscal 2025 [10]

Core Insights - Phibro Animal Health Corporation (PAHC) is focusing on advancing its Animal Health business, which is expected to drive growth in the upcoming quarters [1] - The company has shown strong performance with a 39.9% increase in shares over the past year, significantly outperforming the industry and S&P 500 [2] - Recovery in Mineral Nutrition and Performance Products is contributing to overall growth, although macroeconomic conditions remain a concern [1][9] Animal Health Business - Phibro's key animal health products, including Medicated Feed Additives (MFAs) and nutritional specialty products, are enhancing animal nutrition and are crucial for growth [3] - The Animal Health business reported a 42% sales growth year over year, with MFAs and other product sales increasing by 68% [4][8] - Nutritional specialty products saw an 8% increase in net sales, driven by improved domestic dairy demand [4] Global Market Presence - Phibro's operations outside the United States contributed approximately 40% to total revenues during the fiscal third quarter [6] - The company is targeting high-growth regions such as Brazil, China, India, and Southeast Asia, where livestock production growth rates are expected to exceed average levels [5] Mineral Nutrition and Performance Products - The Mineral Nutrition business grew 4% year over year, supported by increased sales volume and pricing [7] - Performance Products experienced a 28% year-over-year sales increase due to rising demand for personal care product ingredients [7][8] Macroeconomic Challenges - Phibro's operations are impacted by economic sanctions, supply chain disruptions, and inflationary pressures, particularly due to the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine [9] - The cost of goods sold increased by 32.5% from the prior year, reflecting the adverse macroeconomic environment [9] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings per share (EPS) has increased by 1.5% to $2.04, with revenue estimates at $1.28 billion, indicating a 25.6% rise from the previous year [10]

Group 1: Market Overview - Wall Street may face volatility due to renewed trade tensions between the United States and China, with both countries blaming each other for breaching a temporary trade deal [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Richard Driehaus's investment strategy, known as "buy high and sell higher," can help identify stocks with positive momentum despite broader market fluctuations [2][3] - The strategy emphasizes investing in stocks that are increasing in price rather than those in decline, aiming for better long-term returns [3][6] Group 3: Screening Parameters - The Association of Individual Investors (AAII) uses the percentage 50-day moving average and positive relative strength as key criteria for stock selection [4][5] - Stocks with a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and a Momentum Score of A or B are considered to have the best upside potential [7][8] Group 4: Stock Performance - Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN), Phibro Animal Health Corporation (PAHC), and Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) are highlighted as stocks demonstrating positive momentum and strong earnings growth [9][11][12][13] - URBN has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 29%, PAHC has 30.6%, and STRT has an impressive 195.8% average surprise over four quarters [11][12][13]

Summary of Fibro Animal Health Conference Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: Fibro Animal Health - **Ticker Symbol**: PAHC - **Founded**: 1946 - **Employees**: Approximately 2,300 - **Manufacturing Plants**: 6 to 18 worldwide - **Product Registrations**: About 22,000 - **Global Reach**: Customers in approximately 100 countries - **Fiscal Year End**: June 30 Industry Context - **Sector**: Food Animal Health - **Market Demand**: The global population is expected to reach 10 billion in the next couple of decades, necessitating a 70% increase in animal-based protein production [4][4] - **Sustainability Focus**: The company aims to produce more with fewer natural resources, emphasizing animal health and welfare [4][4] Financial Performance - **Fiscal Year 2024 Revenue**: Achieved $1 billion before the acquisition of Zoetis' medicated feed additive business [6][6] - **Pro Forma Revenue Post-Acquisition**: Expected to reach approximately $1.4 billion [15][15] - **EBITDA Margins**: Targeted low 20% margins; currently achieving mid to high 20% margins on the acquired business [15][15] - **Sales Growth**: Legacy business sales up 8% year-over-year; EBITDA up 26% [21][21] - **Guidance for Fiscal Year**: Net sales projected between $1.26 billion and $1.29 billion, with EBITDA between $177 million and $183 million [29][29] Acquisition Insights - **Acquisition of Zoetis MFA Business**: - Completed integration process deemed successful [14][14] - Acquisition was strategic, enhancing revenue diversification and market presence [11][11] - Introduced new geographies and balanced product offerings across species [16][16] - Sales from Zoetis products in the first five months totaled $113 million, with a full-year estimate of $350 million [30][30] Product Portfolio - **Core Product Categories**: - **Medicated Feed Additives**: Includes antimicrobials, antioxidants, and anthelmintics [22][22] - **Nutritional Specialties**: Non-medicated products aimed at maintaining animal health [25][25] - **Vaccines**: Primarily poultry vaccines, including custom autogenous vaccines [27][28] Market Trends and Opportunities - **Geographic Expansion**: Increased focus on Europe, which previously represented only 8% of the Zoetis business [18][18] - **Species Focus**: Strengthened presence in beef and swine markets, particularly in the U.S. [42][42] - **Sustainability Market**: Recognized as a growing opportunity, particularly in dairy, with potential for technology solutions to address environmental concerns [59][60] Challenges and Future Outlook - **Headwinds**: Anticipated tariffs could impact EBITDA by $5 million to $10 million [34][34] - **Transformation Initiative**: "Fiber Forward" aims to enhance income growth through cost and sales strategies [34][34] - **Long-term Growth**: Positive outlook for continued growth across all business lines, with a focus on vaccines, nutritional specialties, and medicated feed additives [32][32] Conclusion Fibro Animal Health is positioned for significant growth following its acquisition of Zoetis' MFA business, with a strong focus on sustainability and expanding its market presence across various species and geographies. The company is optimistic about its financial performance and future opportunities in the animal health sector.

Company Overview - Phibro Animal Health (PAHC) currently has a Momentum Style Score of B, indicating a positive momentum outlook [2] - The company is rated 2 (Buy) by the Zacks Rank, which has a strong track record of outperforming the market [3] Momentum Indicators - PAHC shares have increased by 6.81% over the past week, outperforming the Zacks Medical - Products industry, which rose by 2.46% during the same period [5] - Over the last month, PAHC's stock price has changed by 41.37%, significantly higher than the industry's 3.6% performance [5] - In the last quarter, PAHC shares increased by 9%, and over the past year, they gained 31.14%, while the S&P 500 saw movements of -2.63% and 13.25%, respectively [6] Trading Volume - The average 20-day trading volume for PAHC is 258,588 shares, which serves as a baseline for price-to-volume analysis [7] Earnings Outlook - In the past two months, four earnings estimates for PAHC have been revised upwards, with no downward revisions, leading to an increase in the consensus estimate from $1.94 to $2.01 [9] - For the next fiscal year, four estimates have also moved upwards without any downward revisions [9] Conclusion - Considering the positive momentum indicators and earnings outlook, PAHC is positioned as a promising investment opportunity with a Momentum Score of B [11]

Financial Performance - Q3 FY2025 - Consolidated net sales increased to $347.8 million, compared to $263.2 million in Q3 FY24[12] - Consolidated adjusted EBITDA increased to $45 million, an 85% increase compared to $29.7 million in Q3 FY24[12] - Animal Health sales increased by 42% to $258.4 million[10, 16] - Animal Health adjusted EBITDA increased by 73% to $63.1 million[10, 16] - Mineral Nutrition net sales increased by 4% to $66.8 million[10, 20] - Performance Products net sales increased by 28% to $22.7 million[10, 21] FY2025 Guidance - Net sales are projected to be between $1.260 billion and $1.290 billion[11] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $177 million and $183 million[11] - Adjusted EPS is projected to be between $1.96 and $2.09[11] Capitalization - Free cash flow was $49 million for the trailing twelve months[25] - The company has a gross leverage ratio of 3.0x, with $734 million in total debt[25] - The company has a net leverage ratio of 2.7x, with $664 million in net debt[25]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total sales increased by 32% year over year, reaching $347.8 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2025 [12] - Adjusted EBITDA rose by 85%, reflecting strong operational performance [7][12] - Adjusted diluted EPS more than doubled compared to the previous year [7] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Animal Health segment led with a 42% revenue growth, totaling $258.4 million [12][14] - Nutritional Specialties achieved 8% revenue growth, while Performance Products saw a significant increase of 28% [9][12] - Newly integrated MSA and other products within Animal Health experienced a 68% increase in sales [8][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates some pressure on certain inputs and markets in the range of $5 million to $10 million due to tariffs in fiscal year 2026 [10] - The overall performance in international markets was stable, with limited impact from foreign exchange fluctuations [44] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The "Fiber Forward" strategy focuses on disciplined operations and continuous improvement, contributing to current performance [9][10] - The company is making targeted investments in procurement and supply chain resilience to manage potential disruptions [10][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating external challenges, including tariffs, without significant impact on financial results for the remainder of fiscal year 2025 [10][22] - The updated guidance reflects solid execution and continued momentum, with net sales expected between $1.26 billion and $1.29 billion [11][20] Other Important Information - The company generated $49 million of positive free cash flow for the twelve months ended March 31, 2025 [17] - Cash and cash equivalents were $70 million at the end of the quarter [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the company's exposure to upcoming pharma tariffs? - Management indicated that most manufacturing is done in the U.S., with some inputs sourced from other markets, and they have implemented measures to mitigate tariff impacts [25][27] Question: What drove the slower growth in the Medicaid fee added business? - The decline was attributed to the timing of orders from larger customers, with overall year-to-date growth remaining positive [28][29] Question: What factors are driving the increase in guidance for EBITDA and EPS? - The increase is driven by a favorable mix, strong vaccine performance, and contributions from the Zoetis MFA portfolio [32][35] Question: Can you provide more details on the specific products affected by tariffs? - The impact is primarily from inputs subject to general tariffs rather than specific products from China [38] Question: Is the company lobbying for exceptions from potential pharma tariffs? - Management confirmed involvement in lobbying efforts for exceptions, emphasizing the importance of these products in food pricing [42] Question: What was the FX impact for the quarter? - Limited impact was noted, with efforts to transact in U.S. dollars to minimize foreign exchange effects [44]