Core Insights - Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 24, 2026, after market close [1] - In the last reported quarter, PARR achieved earnings of $5.95 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.98 [1] - PARR has had mixed performance in the past four quarters, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate once and beating it three times, resulting in an average surprise of 77.5% [1] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter earnings is $1.21 per share, reflecting a substantial increase of 253.2% compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue estimates for the fourth quarter are projected at $1.71 billion, indicating a decline of 6.55% from the previous year [2] Earnings Prediction - The model predicts an earnings beat for PARR, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.25% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - The combination of these factors enhances the likelihood of an earnings beat for the upcoming report [3] Commodity Price Analysis - Average WTI spot prices for the fourth quarter of 2025 were $60.89, $60.06, and $57.97 per barrel for October, November, and December, respectively [4] - In comparison, the average prices for the same months in 2024 were higher at $71.99, $69.95, and $70.12 per barrel, suggesting a favorable environment for PARR's refining business due to lower crude prices [5] Industry Context - Other major energy companies, including Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and BP, have reported their fourth-quarter results, with all three beating their respective Zacks Consensus Estimates [6][7] - XOM reported earnings of $1.71 per share, CVX reported $1.52, and BP reported adjusted earnings of 60 cents per share, all exceeding expectations [6][7]

Core Insights - Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) is experiencing a significant breakthrough driven by successful integration of the Billings factory, the upcoming Hawaii SAF project, and aggressive share buybacks, which have accounted for nearly 9% of all outstanding shares since 2024 [1] Company Developments - The integration of the Billings factory is a key factor in the company's current success [1] - The Hawaii SAF project is set to commence, contributing to the company's growth trajectory [1] - Share buybacks have been a strategic move, with nearly 9% of outstanding shares repurchased since 2024 [1] Investment Strategy - The focus is on uncovering high-upside opportunities in overlooked sectors, particularly in small-cap, energy, commodities, and special situations [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes growth, looking for fundamental momentum indicators such as EPS, ROE, and revenue [1] - Price-volume confirmation and macro filters are utilized to analyze market direction, cycles, and behavior [1]

Core Insights - The article does not provide specific insights or analysis regarding any companies or industries, focusing instead on disclaimers and disclosures [1][2] Group 1 - There is no stock, option, or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, nor are there plans to initiate such positions within the next 72 hours [1] - The article expresses personal opinions and is not receiving compensation beyond Seeking Alpha [1] - The authors are third-party contributors, which may include both professional and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified [2]

Have you been searching for a stock that might be well-positioned to maintain its earnings-beat streak in its upcoming report? It is worth considering Par Petroleum (PARR) , which belongs to the Zacks Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry.This independent oil and gas company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. The average surprise for the last two quarters was 154.31%.For the most recent quarter, Par Petroleum was expected to pos ...

Group 1 - Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. will release its fourth quarter 2025 results on February 24, 2026, after the NYSE closes [1] - A conference call for investors is scheduled for February 25, 2026, at 9:00 a.m. Central Time [2] - The full text of the earnings release will be available on Par Pacific's website [1] Group 2 - Par Pacific is an energy company providing renewable and conventional fuels to the western United States [4] - The company has a refining capacity of 219,000 barrels per day across four locations [4] - Par Pacific operates an extensive energy infrastructure network, including 13 million barrels of storage [4] - The company owns 46% of Laramie Energy, LLC, which focuses on natural gas production in Western Colorado [4]

Core Viewpoint - Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) has experienced a decline in share price and is facing adjustments in price targets from analysts, while still being recognized for its strong performance in the previous year [1][3][4]. Company Performance - The share price of Par Pacific Holdings fell by 4.5% from January 16 to January 23, 2026, making it one of the energy stocks that lost the most during that week [1]. - The company posted gains of over 114% in 2025, ranking it among the 11 best performing energy stocks of that year [4]. Analyst Insights - Piper Sandler lowered its price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $59 to $57, maintaining an 'Overweight' rating, indicating a positive outlook despite the price adjustment [3]. - The analyst anticipates that the American refining sector will be significantly impacted by U.S. actions in Venezuela, with potential increases in crude flow from 200,000 barrels per day to over 400,000 barrels per day due to U.S. involvement and sanctions relief [3]. Market Context - Par Pacific Holdings operates in logistically complex markets and is recognized as a growth-oriented company within the energy and infrastructure sectors [2].

Core Insights - Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) has experienced a significant increase of over 113% in its stock price, indicating strong market interest and potential for further growth [1]. Company Overview - Par Pacific Holdings operates in the energy and minerals sectors, which are noted for their growth opportunities and active market dynamics [1]. Analyst Background - The analyst has over a decade of experience in financial markets, primarily in hedge funds, with a focus on technology sectors such as SaaS and cloud businesses, as well as energy and minerals [1].

Core Viewpoint - Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) has experienced a significant increase of over 113% in its stock price, indicating potential for further growth despite the substantial rise already observed [1]. Company Insights - The analyst has over a decade of experience in financial markets, primarily in hedge funds, and emphasizes a rigorous approach to investment analysis [1]. - The analyst has a long position in PARR shares, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [2]. Sector Analysis - The analyst has a strong interest in the energy and minerals sectors, which are perceived to offer incredible growth opportunities and are actively researched [1].

Core Insights - Piper Sandler's "Macro Select" stock-picking model significantly outperformed the S&P 500 in 2025, achieving a return of approximately 22% compared to the S&P 500's 16% gain [1] - The updated Macro Select list for 2026 focuses on stocks with strong earnings surprises, earnings revisions, attractive earnings yield, and high return on equity (ROE) [3] Stock Performance - AT&T Inc. (Ticker: T) in the Communication Services sector had a 1-year return of 10% [5] - Graham Holdings (Ticker: GHC) in the Consumer Discretionary sector had a 1-year return of 4% [6] - Par Pacific Holdings (Ticker: EAT) in the Consumer Discretionary sector had a 1-year return of 12% [7] - Deluxe Corporation (Ticker: PARR) in the Energy sector had a 1-year return of 13% [8] - Mueller Water Products (Ticker: MWA) in the Industrials sector had a 1-year return of 14% [10] - Kilroy Realty (Ticker: KRC) in the Real Estate sector had a 1-year return of 6% [11] - UGI Corporation (Ticker: UGI) in the Utilities sector had a 1-year return of 33% [12] - Clearway Energy (Ticker: CWEN) in the Utilities sector had a 1-year return of 23% [13]

Core Viewpoint - The energy sector has several oversold stocks that present potential buying opportunities for undervalued companies [1] Group 1: Oversold Stocks - Delek US Holdings Inc (NYSE:DK) has an RSI value of 24, with a stock price decline of approximately 23% over the past month, reaching a 52-week low of $11.02 [5] - Par Pacific Holdings Inc (NYSE:PARR) has an RSI value of 27.9, with a stock price decline of around 24% over the past month, hitting a 52-week low of $11.86 [6] - PermRock Royalty Trust (NYSE:PRT) has an RSI value of 13.6, with a stock price decline of about 27% over the past month, reaching a 52-week low of $2.73 [6] Group 2: Price Actions and Analyst Ratings - Delek US Holdings closed at $29.66 after a 0.9% drop on Wednesday, with an analyst rating of Outperform and a price target raised from $45 to $51 [5] - Par Pacific closed at $35.14 after a 1.1% drop on Wednesday, with a capital expenditure guidance of $190 million to $220 million for 2026 [6] - PermRock Royalty Trust closed at $2.79 after a 4.6% drop on Wednesday, reporting second-quarter earnings of 10 cents per share, down from 11 cents per share year-over-year [6]